Louisiana at Texas State - 2022 Matchup Preview
Louisiana logo Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at Texas State BobcatsTexas State logo
Saturday, November 26th 2022 (5:00 PM EST)
Louisiana -5 (44.0)
Louisiana 41 - Texas State: 13  (Sun Belt)

 
Ragin' Cajuns (6 - 7) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (24 - 33 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ULL 2nd straight Road Game
TXST 2nd straight Home Game
TXST is playing their 4th straight game
ULL is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -4.5  (SP+ ULL -13.5)

Projected Score: ULL: 27 - TXST: 34 (61)
ULL Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
ULL Travel: 353 miles
Bobcats (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jake Spavital (9 - 27)
Avg Score : 37 - 29 (38 - 28 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Louisiana's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Louisiana vs SE Louisiana-13.561.0W 24 - 7UY
Sat 9/10 Louisiana vs Eastern Michigan-11.056.0W 49 - 21OY
Sat 9/17 Louisiana at Rice-11.552.0L 21 - 33ON
Sat 9/24 Louisiana at UL Monroe-9.551.0L 17 - 21UN
Sat 10/1 Louisiana vs South Alabama+8.547.0L 17 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/12 Louisiana at Marshall+10.545.5W 23 - 13UY
Sat 10/22 Louisiana vs Arkansas State-6.051.0W 38 - 18OY
Thu 10/27 Louisiana at Southern Miss-2.542.5L 24 - 39ON
Sat 11/5 Louisiana vs Troy+3.542.5L 17 - 23UN
Thu 11/10 Louisiana vs Georgia Southern-3.563.0W 36 - 17UY
Sat 11/19 Louisiana at Florida State+25.052.5L 17 - 49ON
Sat 11/26 Louisiana at Texas State-5.044.0W 41 - 13OY
Fri 12/23 Louisiana vs Houston+5.556.5L 16 - 23UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule
Texas State's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Texas State at Nevada-2.051.5L 14 - 38ON
Sat 9/10 Texas State vs Florida International-13.562.5W 41 - 12UY
Sat 9/17 Texas State at Baylor+30.053.0L 7 - 42UN
Sat 9/24 Texas State vs Houston Christian-26.565.0W 34 - 0UY
Sat 10/1 Texas State at James Madison+22.051.5L 13 - 40ON
Sat 10/8 Texas State vs App State+19.554.5W 36 - 24OY
Sat 10/15 Texas State at Troy+16.547.0L 14 - 17UY
Sat 10/22 Texas State vs Southern Miss+2.543.0L 14 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Texas State at UL Monroe+2.552.5L 30 - 31OY
Sat 11/12 Texas State at South Alabama+16.046.0L 21 - 38ON
Sat 11/19 Texas State vs Arkansas State-6.050.0W 16 - 13UN
Sat 11/26 Texas State vs Louisiana+5.044.0L 13 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULL.2446%2647%3.1419444%2194.13.1839%29.243%36%3.19490.61.9
TXST.1842%36.546%3.4314939%1934.12.3148%2947%49%4.1858.81.71.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TXST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULL Offense142623.845.5%4.130.6214131942194.855%45%47%44%15%.24
TXST Defense122928.347.9%4.181.1 - - - - - 53%46%47%49%15%.31
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULL Defense1429.232.838.9%3.191.9 - - - - - 51%49%43%36%20%.18
TXST Offense1236.53841.8%4.121.720342149193448%50%46%39%21%.18

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisiana1430:5221.437%59%5.3490.61.96.12.8130.9
Texas State1228:1820.133%67%5.858.81.71.14.71.5126.8
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULL Offense1455%47%40.4193.94.834.233.1468%11%1.04
TXST Defense1253%47% - - - - .243.5181%10%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULL Defense1451%43% - - - - .23.3468%12%1.08
TXST Offense1248%46%36.9149.2417.163.4384%14%0.9

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULL Offense1445%44%17.628.9218.67.612.4224.261.529%33%.414%2
TXST Defense1246%49% - - - - - - 3.411.430%40%.545%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULL Defense1449%36% - - - - - - 10.181.837%32%.427%2.2
TXST Offense1250%39%18.632.3193.1610.41512.221.536%28%.367%2.2

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: NR
Louisiana's Offense Rating: NR
Louisiana's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Louisiana's 2022 Expected Record: -
Louisiana's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0  #64
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #95
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3  #32

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana:    Texas State: -3.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: 2.0   Texas State: -11.5




Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: -3.25 NR
Texas State's Offense Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Texas State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Texas State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.5  #102
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.4  #110
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5  #79

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Louisiana's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Texas State 34
Louisiana 27


Projected Total Points: 61
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.3

Texas State's 2022 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Louisiana42Texas State39Texas State -3.5Louisiana62.5Over
202410/29Texas State17Louisiana23Texas State -4Louisiana60.5Under
202310/07Louisiana34Texas State30Louisiana -1Louisiana67.5Under
202211/26Texas State13Louisiana41Louisiana -5Louisiana44.0Over
202110/30Louisiana45Texas State0Louisiana -21Louisiana58.0Under
202010/31Texas State34Louisiana44Louisiana -17.0Texas State0
201911/02Louisiana31Texas State3Louisiana -23Louisiana55.0Under
201810/06Texas State27Louisiana42Louisiana -3Louisiana57.5Over
201710/12Louisiana24Texas State7Louisiana -14Louisiana55.5Under
201610/22Texas State3Louisiana27Louisiana -11.5Louisiana65.0Under
201510/10Louisiana49Texas State27Louisiana -4Louisiana68.0Over
201410/14Texas State10Louisiana34Texas State -3Louisiana61.5Under
201310/05Louisiana48Texas State24Louisiana -10Louisiana0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas State014 Overs
Louisiana13127 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 68 - 56 - 22 - 3
Road Teams6 - 75 - 83 - 22 - 6

(#) ULL at (#) TXST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatULLTXST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #64 #102
Perf GradeGrade #53 #42
OffenseOff #77 #98
DefenseDef #22 #3
Spec TeamsST #117 #99
TalentTal #93 #90
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Louisiana on Offense
CategoryCat
ULL OffTXST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #77 #3
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #95 #79
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Louisiana Run Game
CategoryCat
ULL OffTXST Def
Run GameRun #57 #1
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #49 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #77
Louisiana Pass Game
CategoryCat
ULL OffTXST Def
Pass GamePass #83 #27
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #104 #3
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Texas State on Offense
CategoryCatTXST OffULL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #98 #22
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #110 #32
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas State Run Game
CategoryCat
TXST OffULL Def
Run GameRun #113 #21
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #75 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #62
Texas State Pass Game
CategoryCatTXST OffULL Def
Pass GamePass #105 #15
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #22 #78
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TXST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

ULL 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Louisiana 5.0 (44.0)
Louisiana won at Texas State this year (41-13)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat Texas State last year (42-39)
Louisiana beat Texas State in 2024 (23-17)
Louisiana beat Texas State in 2023 (34-30)

  
ULL's OC Tim Leger (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC LaMar Morgan (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TXST's OC Jake Spavital (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Texas State's Full Roster

TXST's DC Zac Spavital (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD