Texas State at Louisiana - 2025 Matchup Preview
Texas State logo Texas State Bobcats at Louisiana Ragin' CajunsLouisiana logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Cajun Field - Lafayette, LA  (Sun Belt)

 
Bobcats (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (15 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 32 (29 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 3.3 (#29)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
ULL is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Texas State -6   (SP+ TXST -5.5)

Projected Score: TXST: 30 - ULL: 24 (54)
TXST Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
TXST Travel: 353 miles
Ragin' Cajuns (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (23 - 17)
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (23 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#90)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
Texas State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas State vs Eastern Michigan-14.058.5W 52 - 27OY
Sat 9/6 Texas State at UTSA+4.564.5W 43 - 36OY
Sat 9/13 Texas State at Arizona State+18.561.5L 15 - 34UN
Sat 9/20 Texas State vs Nicholls-22
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas State at Arkansas State-11.5
Sat 10/11 Texas State vs Troy-8
Sat 10/18 Texas State at Marshall-9.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28 Texas State vs James Madison+2.5
Sat 11/8 Texas State at Louisiana-6
Sat 11/15 Texas State at Southern Miss-1
Sat 11/22 Texas State vs UL Monroe-21
Sat 11/29 Texas State vs South Alabama-6.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Louisiana's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Louisiana vs Rice-14.549.5L 12 - 14UN
Sat 9/6 Louisiana vs McNeese-19.050.0W 34 - 10UY
Sat 9/13 Louisiana at Missouri+27.547.5L 10 - 52ON
Sat 9/20 Louisiana at Eastern Michigan-2.551.5
Sat 9/27 Louisiana vs Marshall-6
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Louisiana at James Madison+16
Sat 10/18 Louisiana vs Southern Miss+3
Sat 10/25 Louisiana at Troy+5.5
Sat 11/1 Louisiana at South Alabama+7
Sat 11/8 Louisiana vs Texas State+6
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/20 Louisiana at Arkansas State-3
Sat 11/29 Louisiana vs UL Monroe-12.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TXST#27 (.36)50% (32)36.752% (30)3 (68)22946% (52)2285.05 (30)#123 (.33)44% (101)32.351% (121)37% (51)4.56 (107)35.710
ULL#104 (.1)35% (125)18.746% (59)3.05 (62)19423% (133)593.57 (93)#88 (.17)48% (119)25.352% (127)43% (92)4.06 (92)43.70.71
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TXST#25 (.25)48% (17)49% (14)3.41 (11)19448% (10)2453.89 (72)#50 (.14)39% (31)38% (21)39% (54)3.47 (33)56.51.61.2
ULL#16 (.3)45% (47)42% (91)3.24 (35)15947% (17)2424.27 (32)#97 (.22)48% (126)53% (133)44% (105)4.43 (121)44.50.61.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TXST Offense336.72949.7%5.051234572292285.560%40%52%46%16%.36
ULL Defense325.31248.2%4.061 - - - - - 62%37%52%43%10%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TXST Defense332.33543.7%4.560 - - - - - 49%51%51%37%14%.33
ULL Offense318.72335.4%3.570.71525419459656%43%46%23%20%.1

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas State329:5722.743%75%435.7106.32029.3
Louisiana325:001532%40%643.70.714.31.7026.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TXST Offense360% (19)52% (30)41.7228.75.58 (26).32 (27)3 (68)70% (79)10% (93)1.11 (40)
ULL Defense362% (127)52% (127) - - - - .24 (115)3.16 (108)78% (100)8% (98)0.99 (80)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TXST Defense349% (57)51% (121) - - - - .41 (132)3.28 (119)75% (80)9% (80)1.45 (129)
ULL Offense356% (34)46% (59)32.7194.365 (62).33 (26)3.05 (62)38% (135)15% (130)1.37 (13)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TXST Offense340% (116)46% (52)18.327.72288.212.46 (34)1 (23).4 (44)1.6 (45)27% (36)39% (31).54 (34)6% (84)1.8 (95)
ULL Defense337% (9)43% (92) - - - - - - 2 (56).18 (59)1.2 (19)25% (129)26% (48).13 (37)3% (131)1.6 (26)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TXST Defense351% (82)37% (51) - - - - - - 0.25 (79)1.6 (86)35% (48)39% (123).61 (124)5% (93)2.1 (81)
ULL Offense343% (102)23% (133)8.721.359.32.86.91 (123)1 (23)-.2 (134)0.9 (136)35% (113)27% (97).23 (95)5% (68)1.8 (99)

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: 0.24 #79
Texas State's Offense Rating: 16.20 #45
Texas State's Defense Rating: 15.96 #104
2025 Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Texas State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3
Texas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #80
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #45
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #111

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State: 0.24   Louisiana: -7.595

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -3.4   Louisiana: -8.7




Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: -7.595 #108
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 6.10 #98
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 17.58 #110
2025 Talent Rating: 568.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Louisiana's 2025 Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6
Louisiana's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.7 #94
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #95

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

Texas State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Texas State 30
Louisiana 24


Total Points: 54

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 18.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 23
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 12

Louisiana's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/29Texas State17Louisiana23LouisianaTexas State -4Louisiana60.5Under
202310/07Louisiana34Texas State30LouisianaLouisiana -1Louisiana67.5Under
202211/26Texas State13Louisiana41LouisianaLouisiana -5Louisiana44.0Over
202110/30Louisiana45Texas State0LouisianaLouisiana -21Louisiana58.0Under
202010/31Texas State34Louisiana44LouisianaLouisiana -17.0Texas State0
201911/02Louisiana31Texas State3LouisianaLouisiana -23Louisiana55.0Under
201810/06Texas State27Louisiana42LouisianaLouisiana -3Louisiana57.5Over
201710/12Louisiana24Texas State7LouisianaLouisiana -14Louisiana55.5Under
201610/22Texas State3Louisiana27LouisianaLouisiana -11.5Louisiana65.0Under
201510/10Louisiana49Texas State27LouisianaLouisiana -4Louisiana68.0Over
201410/14Texas State10Louisiana34LouisianaTexas State -3Louisiana61.5Under
201310/05Louisiana48Texas State24LouisianaLouisiana -10Louisiana0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisiana12113 Overs
Texas State017 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 67 - 56 - 21 - 3
Road Teams6 - 65 - 73 - 12 - 6

(#79) Texas State Info
Power Rating: 0.24 #79
Offense Rating: 16.20 #45
Defense Rating: 15.96 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #111
Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.05 PPO
Good Run Success 52%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.56 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Texas State has lost 6 straight
Texas State has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Texas State Notes
(9/4) Run Off mauled EMU, OL looked outstanding
(8/1) Over Bet Watch, Kinne Off trust, Def struggles
(8/1) OL 3/5 back, good LY. 3 portals, some depth
(8/1) Def portals 10 DL, 5 LB, 6 DBs. Will take time
(7/13) QB1? 4 guys will battle, Jackson & 3 portals
(6/11) RB Pare has 2K yds & 20 total TDs in his career
(5/23) New OC Keopple downgrade Leftwich (T Tech)
(3/24) RB Pare (#2 LY) looks good, Burrell (UNLV)
(3/24) WR rebuild. Dawn/Sparks exp'd, 3 portal adds
(3/24) Def fell apart late LY, replacing most everyone

Texas State Highlights
Texas State has Really Good Running Game (#16)
Texas State offense is good in red zone (#30)
Texas State commits very few Penalties (#25)
Texas State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Texas State Deficiencies
Texas State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Texas State has a bad defense (#101)
Texas State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#123)
Texas State has a bad defensive line (#119)
Texas State has a bad red zone defense (#107)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatULLTXST
OverallOver#106#47
OffenseOff#103#34
DefenseDef#100#78
Special TeamsST#115#15
PassingPass#112#95
RushingRush#24#4
Run BlockRBLK#36#33
Pass BlockPBLK#83#41
Route RunningWR Rt#107#53
TacklingTkl#103#109
Run DefenseR Def#102#84
Pass Rush DefPRush#62#41
Coverage DefCov#71#97

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat Texas State last year (23-17)
Louisiana beat Texas State in 2023 (34-30)
Louisiana beat Texas State in 2022 (41-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cajun Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TXST | ULL
Depth Chart: TXST | ULL
Rosters: TXST | ULL
(#108) Louisiana Info
Power Rating: -7.595 #108
Offense Rating: 6.10 #98
Defense Rating: 17.58 #110
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.7 #94
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #95
Talent Rating: 568.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 43%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.57 PPO
Avg Run Success 46%
Awful Pass Success 23%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.06 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 52%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Louisiana has lost 7 straight
Louisiana has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Louisiana Notes
(9/4) QB Walker Howard likely out for the season
(9/4) 4 straight years starting QB has been injured
(8/30) Offense awful in bad L to Rice, Howard terrible
(8/28) Don't love HC Desormeaux so far
(8/19) QB1 Walker Howard named starter Aug 19th
(8/1) Off has great potential, but slow & methodical
(8/1) Pot. co favs in SB West, but Def must improve
(8/1) QB W Howard (Miss) huge pickup, 5* croot.
(8/1) Def real bad LY, replacing a ton, 1 portal?
(7/13) Little return but only 5 portals. Trust depth

Louisiana Highlights
Louisiana defense does not give up big plays (#26)
Louisiana has a great TO Margin (#28)

Louisiana Deficiencies
Louisiana has a really bad Offense
Louisiana offense is really bad (#125)
Louisiana Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#101)
Louisiana pass game is really bad (#133)
Louisiana offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Louisiana has a bad defense (#119)
Louisiana Does Not Stuff Runs (#106)
Louisiana has a bad defensive line (#108)


  
Texas State's OC Landon Keopple
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brad Jackson558267%684618.3
Keldric Luster (Tr)010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lincoln Pare4629926.557
Jaylen Jenkins1614028.858
Greg Burrell (Tr)129818.220
Brad Jackson359132.624
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Beau Sparks22307514.073
Chris Dawn Jr.8160020.056
Lincoln Pare86908.620
Kylen Evans64417.313

View Texas State's Full Roster
Texas State's DC Dexter McCoil
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Treylin Payne232101
Ryan Nolan211021
Kenard Snyder (Tr)132120
Ayden Jones (Tr)120010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Treylin Payne232101
Kenard Snyder (Tr)132120
Kalil Alexander123100
Donterry Russell (Tr)42100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
William Mitchell100002
Bobby Crosby120002
Treylin Payne232101

Louisiana's OC Tim Leger
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Daniel Beale153642%91102.5
Walker Howard (Tr)102246%88014.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Zylan Perry3022617.584
Bill Davis3619125.336
Steven Blanco1310017.734
Walker Howard (Tr)94715.225
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Shelton Sampson Jr. (Tr)563012.625
Kedarius Wade225012.519
Caden Jensen51803.65
Robert Williams21809.09

View Louisiana's Full Roster
Louisiana's DC Jim Salgado
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Dugger243100
Terrence Williams212100
Jake St. Andre151000
Tyree Skipper140001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Dugger243100
Caleb Kibodi111100
Jaelen Crider41100
Trae Tomlinson (Tr)81110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brent Gordon Jr.80001
Tyree Skipper140001
Jalen Clark121001