Texas State at Louisiana Game Matchup
Texas State logo Texas State Bobcats at Louisiana Ragin' CajunsLouisiana logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Cajun Field - Lafayette, LA  (Sun Belt)

 
Bobcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (15 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 25 (34 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 5.3 (#63)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
ULL is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Louisiana -0.5   (SP+ ULL -4)
Projected Score: TXST: 29 - ULL: 30 (58)
ULL Win prob: 53% | Cover: 53%
TXST Travel: 353 miles
Ragin' Cajuns (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (23 - 17)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (34 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 5.4 (#65)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
Texas State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Texas State vs Eastern Michigan-14.00.0
Sat 9/6 Texas State at UTSA+8
Sat 9/13 Texas State at Arizona State+22
Sat 9/20 Texas State vs Nicholls-19
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas State at Arkansas State-4
Sat 10/11 Texas State vs Troy-2
Sat 10/18 Texas State at Marshall-10
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28 Texas State vs James Madison+4
Sat 11/8 Texas State at Louisiana+0.5
Sat 11/15 Texas State at Southern Miss-1.5
Sat 11/22 Texas State vs UL Monroe-13
Sat 11/29 Texas State vs South Alabama-0.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Louisiana's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Louisiana vs Rice-14.50.0
Sat 9/6 Louisiana vs McNeese-17
Sat 9/13 Louisiana at Missouri+22
Sat 9/20 Louisiana at Eastern Michigan-5.5
Sat 9/27 Louisiana vs Marshall-13
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Louisiana at James Madison+11
Sat 10/18 Louisiana vs Southern Miss-4.5
Sat 10/25 Louisiana at Troy+5
Sat 11/1 Louisiana at South Alabama+6.5
Sat 11/8 Louisiana vs Texas State-0.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/20 Louisiana at Arkansas State-2
Sat 11/29 Louisiana vs UL Monroe-11

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TXST#25 (.25)48% (17)36.549% (14)3.41 (11)19448% (10)2453.89 (72)#50 (.14)39% (31)24.538% (21)39% (54)3.47 (33)56.51.61.2
ULL#16 (.3)45% (47)30.942% (91)3.24 (35)15947% (17)2424.27 (32)#97 (.22)48% (126)24.153% (133)44% (105)4.43 (121)44.50.61.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TXST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ULL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TXST Offense1336.533.848%3.891.6244381942455.252%47%49%48%13%.25
ULL Defense1424.125.648.4%4.431.4 - - - - - 50%50%53%44%13%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TXST Defense1324.52438.6%3.471.2 - - - - - 51%48%38%39%19%.14
ULL Offense1430.93444.5%4.270.620401159242553%47%42%47%11%.3

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas State1328:1724.145%64%6.156.51.61.26.92.4231
Louisiana1429:1219.743%64%5.444.50.61.43.91.5228.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TXST Offense1352% (59)49% (14)37.1193.75.225 (41).16 (49)3.41 (11)75% (53)8% (35)0.88 (110)
ULL Defense1450% (61)53% (133) - - - - .24 (121)3.36 (118)82% (116)7% (125)0.87 (18)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TXST Defense1351% (72)38% (21) - - - - .12 (67)2.97 (60)68% (34)14% (7)1.13 (123)
ULL Offense1453% (52)42% (91)31.6158.9526 (36).2 (33)3.24 (35)76% (44)6% (6)1.07 (31)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TXST Offense1347% (86)48% (10)20.930.2244.78.111.730 (9)13 (103).4 (13)1.5 (91)29% (31)34% (41).32 (74)5% (44)1.7 (131)
ULL Defense1450% (77)44% (105) - - - - - - 15 (18).21 (53)1.4 (11)28% (121)34% (108).33 (84)5% (97)1.9 (33)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TXST Defense1348% (56)39% (54) - - - - - - 7 (104).19 (45)1.6 (62)35% (23)29% (44).3 (65)5% (106)2.2 (110)
ULL Offense1447% (80)47% (17)18.427.5241.98.813.122 (46)7 (26).41 (10)1.6 (50)28% (17)29% (97).39 (48)5% (29)2.3 (9)

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: -2.23 #70
Texas State's Offense Rating: 13.59 #71
Texas State's Defense Rating: 15.82 #76
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #62
Texas State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3
Texas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #92
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #111

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 527
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -2.23   Louisiana: -4.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -7.2   Louisiana: -3.1




Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: -4.2 #92
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 12.93 #76
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 23.23 #111
2025 Talent Rating: 552.00 #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Louisiana's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
Louisiana's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.1 #74
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #71
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #83

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 527
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.8
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24

Texas State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Louisiana 30
Texas State 29

Projected Total Points: 58
Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

Louisiana's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/29Texas State17Louisiana23LouisianaTexas State -4Louisiana60.5Under
202310/07Louisiana34Texas State30LouisianaLouisiana -1Louisiana67.5Under
202211/26Texas State13Louisiana41LouisianaLouisiana -5Louisiana44.0Over
202110/30Louisiana45Texas State0LouisianaLouisiana -21Louisiana58.0Under
202010/31Texas State34Louisiana44LouisianaLouisiana -17.0Texas State0
201911/02Louisiana31Texas State3LouisianaLouisiana -23Louisiana55.0Under
201810/06Texas State27Louisiana42LouisianaLouisiana -3Louisiana57.5Over
201710/12Louisiana24Texas State7LouisianaLouisiana -14Louisiana55.5Under
201610/22Texas State3Louisiana27LouisianaLouisiana -11.5Louisiana65.0Under
201510/10Louisiana49Texas State27LouisianaLouisiana -4Louisiana68.0Over
201410/14Texas State10Louisiana34LouisianaTexas State -3Louisiana61.5Under
201310/05Louisiana48Texas State24LouisianaLouisiana -10Louisiana0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisiana12113 Overs
Texas State017 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 67 - 56 - 21 - 3
Road Teams6 - 65 - 73 - 12 - 6

(#70) Texas State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.23 #70
Offense Rating: 13.59 #71
Defense Rating: 15.82 #76
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #92
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #111
Talent Rating: 554.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #62
Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Texas State Notes
(5/23) New OC Keopple downgrade Leftwich (T Tech)
(3/24) QB McCoy (Oreg St) likely, Yarnell (Pitt) #2
(3/24) RB Pare (#2 LY) looks good, Burrell (UNLV)
(3/24) WR rebuild. Dawn/Sparks exp'd, 3 portal adds
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, good LY. 1 portal, some depth
(3/24) Def fell apart late LY, replacing most everyone
(3/24) Def portals 5 DL, 4 LB, 5 DBs. Will take time
(3/24) Kinne great HC, but has a ton to replace TY
Texas State     Ratings Matchup     Louisiana
Power #70
#92
Off #71
#76
Def #76
#111
Talent #92
#94
SP+ #92
#74
SP+ Off #65
#71
SP+ Def #111
#83

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat Texas State last year (23-17)
Louisiana beat Texas State in 2023 (34-30)
Louisiana beat Texas State in 2022 (41-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cajun Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TXST | ULL
Depth Chart: TXST | ULL
Rosters: TXST | ULL
(#92) Louisiana Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.2 #92
Offense Rating: 12.93 #76
Defense Rating: 23.23 #111
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.1 #74
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #71
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #83
Talent Rating: 552.00 #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.27 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Great Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 53%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Louisiana Notes
(5/14) OL 3/5 back. Good LY. No portal adds
(5/14) WR rebuild. Of 5 team portals, 1 WR & 2 TE
(3/25) QB Howard (Miss) a fun pickup.
(3/25) RB Davis/Perry back, good LY. Some depth
(3/25) Def wasn't good LY, replacing a ton, 1 portal?
(3/25) Big leap LY to 10 wins. Staff all back TY
(3/25) 2nd yr DC Salgado must trust depth, 1 portal


  
Texas State's OC Landon Keopple
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nate Yarnell (Tr)9816759%10561056.3
Brad Jackson81553%118107.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lincoln Pare9454785.873
Greg Burrell (Tr)6637035.642
Torrance Burgess Jr.6036726.157
Brad Jackson2317147.418
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Dawn Jr.37418611.360
Tiaquelin Mims (Tr)33393111.956
Beau Sparks25271210.824
Lincoln Pare12134011.222

View Texas State's Full Roster
Texas State's DC Dexter McCoil
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ryan Nolan521001
Kalil Alexander4011652
Jo'Laison Landry338540
DJ Jackson291001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kalil Alexander4011652
Jo'Laison Landry338540
Kenard Snyder (Tr)82200
Jermy Jackson Jr.21110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bobby Crosby181005
Trez Moore263024
Kalil Alexander4011652

Louisiana's OC Tim Leger
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Daniel Beale133043%126024.2
D'Wayne' Winfield1250%6003.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bill Davis16379694.973
Zylan Perry11269546.230
Tylon Citizen107307.336
D'Wayne' Winfield51903.85
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Robert Williams26290111.247
Caden Jensen1913827.318
Bill Davis118617.818
Jaydon Johnson573014.632

View Louisiana's Full Roster
Louisiana's DC Jim Salgado
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Lawson4411651
Tyree Skipper410002
Jaden Dugger374112
Cameron Whitfield367631
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Whitfield367631
Jordan Lawson4411651
Jaden Dugger374112
Fitzgerald West Jr.212100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kody Jackson221003
Jaden Dugger374112
Tyree Skipper410002