Georgia Southern at Texas State Game Matchup

Georgia Southern Eagles at Texas State Bobcats

Saturday, November 4th 2023 (5:00 PM EDT)
Georgia Southern -2 (69.0) (114) Open: -2.5
Texas State 45 - Georgia Southern: 24 (Sun Belt)

Eagles (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Clay Helton (8 - 8)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (25 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 7.7 (#92)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TXST 3rd straight Home Game
GASO is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Texas State -6 (SP+ TXST -0)
Projected Score: GASO: 29 - TXST: 35 (58)
GASO Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
GASO Travel: 969 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Bobcats (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 37 - 25 (39 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 5.2 (#47)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GASO Players
TXST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia Southern's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Georgia Southern vs The Citadel	-34.0	53.5	W 34 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/9	Georgia Southern vs UAB	-7.0	63.0	W 49 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Georgia Southern at Wisconsin	+20.5	65.5	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/23	Georgia Southern at Ball State	-6.0	60.0	W 40 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina	-6.0	67.5	W 38 - 28	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Georgia Southern at James Madison	+5.5	60.0	L 13 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/21	Georgia Southern vs UL Monroe	-16.5	60.5	W 38 - 28	O	N
Thu 10/26	Georgia Southern vs Georgia State	+1.0	63.0	W 44 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Georgia Southern at Texas State	-2.0	69.0	L 24 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/11	Georgia Southern at Marshall	-1.5	56.5	L 33 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/18	Georgia Southern vs Old Dominion	-4.5	61.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/25	Georgia Southern at App State	+7.5	62.5	L 27 - 55	O	N
Sat 12/16	Georgia Southern vs Ohio	-1.5	48.5	L 21 - 41	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia Southern's Schedule

Texas State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Texas State at Baylor	+26.5	58.5	W 42 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Texas State at UTSA	+13.5	66.5	L 13 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Texas State vs Jackson State	-17.5	61.5	W 77 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Texas State vs Nevada	-17.0	60.0	W 35 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/30	Texas State at Southern Miss	-6.5	60.0	W 50 - 36	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Texas State at Louisiana	+1.0	67.5	L 30 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/14	Texas State vs UL Monroe	-18.5	64.5	W 21 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Texas State vs Troy	+6.5	53.0	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/4	Texas State vs Georgia Southern	+2.0	69.0	W 45 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Texas State at Coastal Carolina	-2.5	55.5	L 23 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/18	Texas State at Arkansas State	-3.5	59.5	L 31 - 77	O	N
Sat 11/25	Texas State vs South Alabama	+6.5	57.0	W 52 - 44	O	Y
Tue 12/26	Texas State vs Rice	-3.5	58.5	W 45 - 21	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GASO	.25	46%	28	46%	3.13	137	47%	329	4.15	.25	45%	27.6	49%	42%	3.71	45.8	1.6	1.5
TXST	.11	38%	36.5	47%	3.14	103	33%	221	3.69	.13	41%	24.5	40%	42%	3.63	44.3	1.4	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GASO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TXST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GASO Offense	13	28	25	46%	4.15	1.6	25	467	137	329	4.8	36%	62%	46%	47%	16%	.25
TXST Defense	12	24.5	22.1	40.7%	3.63	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	40%	42%	20%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GASO Defense	13	27.6	28.8	45.4%	3.71	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	49%	42%	14%	.25
TXST Offense	12	36.5	38.7	38.3%	3.69	1.4	18	324	103	221	3.2	43%	56%	47%	33%	21%	.11

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia Southern	13	27:40	25.2	46%	57%	5.1	45.8	1.6	1.5	3.8	1.5	2	26.6
Texas State	12	30:28	17.7	37%	33%	4.8	44.3	1.4	2.1	6.4	2.2	2	26.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GASO Offense	13	36%	46%	28.5	137.2	4.8	23	.21	3.13	72%	6%	1.03
TXST Defense	12	44%	40%	-	-	-	-	.12	3.17	63%	12%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GASO Defense	13	52%	49%	-	-	-	-	.28	3.57	69%	7%	1.02
TXST Offense	12	43%	47%	31.9	103	3.2	9	.13	3.14	75%	13%	0.84

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GASO Offense	13	62%	47%	28.7	47	329.4	7	11.5	28	16	.32	1.4	29%	36%	.41	11%	2
TXST Defense	12	55%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.19	1.4	33%	30%	.25	7%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GASO Defense	13	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.29	1.6	28%	34%	.34	8%	1.9
TXST Offense	12	56%	33%	22.8	36.8	220.8	6	9.7	19	10	.14	1.6	33%	27%	.38	8%	2.2

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -8.20 #109
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: 16.14 #69
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: 13.87 #111
2023 Talent Rating: 486.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #68
Georgia Southern's 2023 Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70
Georgia Southern's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #80
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #120

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -8.20 Texas State: -0.53

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -4.4 Texas State: -4.0

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: -0.53 #77
Texas State's Offense Rating: 22.88 #21
Texas State's Defense Rating: 11.42 #91
2023 Talent Rating: 140.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Texas State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.80 - 5.20
Texas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #79
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #47
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #114

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Georgia Southern's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Texas State 35
Georgia Southern 29

Projected Total Points: 58

Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.1

Texas State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/04	Texas State	45	Georgia Southern	24	Texas State	Georgia Southern -2	Texas State	69.0	Push
2021	11/13	Texas State	30	Georgia Southern	38	Georgia Southern	Texas State -2.5	Georgia Southern	52.0	Over
2020	11/14	Georgia Southern	40	Texas State	38	Georgia Southern	Georgia Southern -11	Texas State	50.0	Over
2018	10/11	Texas State	13	Georgia Southern	15	Georgia Southern	Georgia Southern -17	Texas State	52.0	Under
2015	10/29	Georgia Southern	37	Texas State	13	Georgia Southern	Georgia Southern -18.5	Georgia Southern	65.0	Under
2014	11/08	Texas State	25	Georgia Southern	28	Georgia Southern	Georgia Southern -8	Texas State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas State	1	4	2 Overs
Georgia Southern	5	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 3	4 - 2	1 - 2	3 - 0
Road Teams	3 - 3	2 - 4	0 - 3	2 - 1

(#109) Georgia Southern Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.20 #109
Offense Rating: 16.14 #69
Defense Rating: 13.87 #111
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #120
Talent Rating: 486.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #68
Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70

Team Profile

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Georgia Southern Ratings Matchup Texas State

Power #109

#77

Off #69

#21

Def #111

#91

Talent #96

#131

SP+ #80

#79

SP+ Off #40

#47

SP+ Def #120

#114

Rematch from Week 10
Georgia Southern 2.0 (69.0)
Texas State won vs Georgia Southern this year (45-24)

Previous Matchups
Texas State beat Georgia Southern in 2023 (45-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 77° - Wind: 6 mph

Team Information
Injuries: GASO | TXST
Depth Chart: GASO | TXST
Rosters: GASO | TXST

(#77) Texas State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.53 #77
Offense Rating: 22.88 #21
Defense Rating: 11.42 #91
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #79
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #47
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #114
Talent Rating: 140.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 7.80 - 5.20

Team Profile

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Georgia Southern's OC Bryan Ellis

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen White	164	745	14	4.5	49
Derwin Burgess Jr.	1	2	0	2.0	2

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Derwin Burgess Jr.	59	659	3	11.2	48
Beau Johnson	9	71	1	7.9	16
Jalen White	20	69	0	3.5	17
Parker Self	1	22	0	22.0	22

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

Georgia Southern's DC Brandon Bailey

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davon Gilmore (Tr)	62	5	3	4	1
TJ Smith (Tr)	28	1	0	0	0
Cameron Williams (Tr)	26	3	1	0	1
Reid Dedman (Tr)	25	2	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davon Gilmore (Tr)	62	5	3	4	1
Cameron Williams (Tr)	26	3	1	0	1
Kristian Varner	6	2	1	2	0
TJ Smith (Tr)	28	1	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davon Gilmore (Tr)	62	5	3	4	1
Cameron Williams (Tr)	26	3	1	0	1
TJ Smith (Tr)	28	1	0	0	0

Texas State's OC Mack Leftwich

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
TJ Finley	48	75	64%	490	1	2	6.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Donerio Davenport	31	107	1	3.5	12
Malik Hornsby	5	86	1	17.2	73
TJ Finley	11	20	0	1.8	8
Joey Hobert (Tr)	3	6	0	2.0	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Joey Hobert (Tr)	70	680	8	9.7	40
Ashtyn Hawkins	45	567	5	12.6	35
Konner Fox (Tr)	14	143	1	10.2	23
Drew Donley (Tr)	1	60	1	60.0	60

View Texas State's Full Roster

Texas State's DC Jonathan Patke

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Kenny Haynes	35	2	0	0
Chris Mills	33	3	1	7
Kaleb Culp (Tr)	29	1	0	0
Jaylon Shelton (Tr)	26	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Chris Mills	33	3	1	7
Kenny Haynes	35	2	0	0
Kaleb Culp (Tr)	29	1	0	0
Jaylon Shelton (Tr)	26	0	0	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Chris Mills	33	3	1	7
Jaylon Shelton (Tr)	26	0	0	3
Ronnie Hamrick II	5	0	0	1