Troy Trojans at Texas State Bobcats
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium - San Marcos, TX (Sun Belt)
Trojans (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Gerad Parker (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 20 - 25 (16 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 5.9 (#79)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
Coach Gerad Parker (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 20 - 25 (16 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 5.9 (#79)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
Our Line: Texas State -8 (SP+ TXST -4)
Projected Score: TROY: 26 - TXST: 34 (59)
TXST Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
TROY Travel: 722 miles
Projected Score: TROY: 26 - TXST: 34 (59)
TXST Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
TROY Travel: 722 miles
Bobcats (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (15 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 32 (52 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 3.3 (#29)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
Coach G. J. Kinne (15 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 32 (52 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 3.3 (#29)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
| Troy's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Troy vs Nicholls | -16.5 | 46.5 | W 38 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Troy at Clemson | +31.0 | 51.5 | L 16 - 27 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Troy vs Memphis | +4.5 | 51.5 | L 7 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Troy at Buffalo | +6.0 | 42.5 | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Troy vs South Alabama | -1 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Troy at Texas State | +8 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Troy at UL Monroe | -10.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Troy vs Louisiana | -5.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Troy vs Arkansas State | -11 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 11/13 | Troy at Old Dominion | +9 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Troy vs Georgia State | -16 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Troy at Southern Miss | +5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Texas State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Texas State vs Eastern Michigan | -14.0 | 58.5 | W 52 - 27 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Texas State at UTSA | +4.5 | 64.5 | W 43 - 36 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Texas State at Arizona State | +18.5 | 61.5 | L 15 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Texas State vs Nicholls | -22 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Texas State at Arkansas State | -11.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Texas State vs Troy | -8 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Texas State at Marshall | -9.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/28 | Texas State vs James Madison | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Texas State at Louisiana | -6 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Texas State at Southern Miss | -1 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Texas State vs UL Monroe | -21 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Texas State vs South Alabama | -6.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TROY | #101 (.1) | 38% (110) | 20.3 | 42% (84) | 3.09 (60) | 130 | 33% (116) | 146 | 3.09 (115) | #57 (.11) | 42% (82) | 25 | 44% (94) | 40% (67) | 5.08 (123) | 72.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| TXST | #27 (.36) | 50% (32) | 36.7 | 52% (30) | 3 (68) | 229 | 46% (52) | 228 | 5.05 (30) | #123 (.33) | 44% (101) | 32.3 | 51% (121) | 37% (51) | 4.56 (107) | 35.7 | 1 | 0 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TROY | #50 (.22) | 44% (49) | 42% (94) | 2.88 (95) | 157 | 48% (15) | 213 | 4.43 (22) | #77 (.18) | 43% (87) | 45% (87) | 42% (76) | 3.77 (65) | 58.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | ||
| TXST | #25 (.25) | 48% (17) | 49% (14) | 3.41 (11) | 194 | 48% (10) | 245 | 3.89 (72) | #50 (.14) | 39% (31) | 38% (21) | 39% (54) | 3.47 (33) | 56.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TROY Offense | 3 | 20.3 | 16 | 37.5% | 3.09 | 1.3 | 17 | 276 | 130 | 146 | 3.9 | 49% | 51% | 42% | 33% | 16% | .1 |
| TXST Defense | 3 | 32.3 | 27 | 43.7% | 4.56 | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 51% | 51% | 37% | 14% | .33 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TROY Defense | 3 | 25 | 27 | 42% | 5.08 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 53% | 47% | 44% | 40% | 17% | .11 |
| TXST Offense | 3 | 36.7 | 52 | 49.7% | 5.05 | 1 | 23 | 457 | 229 | 228 | 5.5 | 60% | 40% | 52% | 46% | 16% | .36 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy | 3 | 28:57 | 17 | 42% | 50% | 7.3 | 72.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 2.7 | 1 | 26.3 |
| Texas State | 3 | 29:57 | 22.7 | 43% | 75% | 4 | 35.7 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 | 2 | 0 | 29.3 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TROY Offense | 3 | 49% (80) | 42% (84) | 33 | 130 | 3.9 | 2 (109) | .12 (75) | 3.09 (60) | 77% (45) | 8% (63) | 0.98 (61) |
| TXST Defense | 3 | 49% (57) | 51% (121) | - | - | - | - | .41 (132) | 3.28 (119) | 75% (80) | 9% (80) | 1.45 (129) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TROY Defense | 3 | 53% (96) | 44% (94) | - | - | - | - | .04 (62) | 3.33 (125) | 77% (98) | 11% (48) | 0.81 (36) |
| TXST Offense | 3 | 60% (19) | 52% (30) | 41.7 | 228.7 | 5.5 | 8 (26) | .32 (27) | 3 (68) | 70% (79) | 10% (93) | 1.11 (40) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TROY Offense | 3 | 51% (57) | 33% (116) | 15 | 29 | 146.3 | 5.1 | 9.8 | 4 (72) | 4 (121) | .08 (119) | 1.6 (56) | 36% (121) | 24% (113) | .26 (86) | 8% (128) | 2.2 (40) |
| TXST Defense | 3 | 51% (82) | 37% (51) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0 | .25 (79) | 1.6 (86) | 35% (48) | 39% (123) | .61 (124) | 5% (93) | 2.1 (81) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TROY Defense | 3 | 47% (44) | 40% (67) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | .18 (58) | 1.6 (85) | 30% (105) | 27% (53) | .17 (49) | 5% (85) | 2.2 (99) |
| TXST Offense | 3 | 40% (116) | 46% (52) | 18.3 | 27.7 | 228 | 8.2 | 12.4 | 6 (34) | 1 (23) | .4 (44) | 1.6 (45) | 27% (36) | 39% (31) | .54 (34) | 6% (84) | 1.8 (95) |
Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: -6.70 #97
Troy's Offense Rating: 6.79 #95
Troy's Defense Rating: 13.48 #95
2025 Talent Rating: 584.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Troy's 2025 Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
Troy's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.7 #91
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #107
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Troy's Power Rating: -6.70 #97
Troy's Offense Rating: 6.79 #95
Troy's Defense Rating: 13.48 #95
2025 Talent Rating: 584.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Troy's 2025 Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
Troy's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.7 #91
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #107
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Troy: -6.70 Texas State: 0.92
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: -7.7 Texas State: -3.4
Troy: -6.70 Texas State: 0.92
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: -7.7 Texas State: -3.4
Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: 0.92 #79
Texas State's Offense Rating: 16.20 #45
Texas State's Defense Rating: 15.96 #104
2025 Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Texas State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3
Texas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #80
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #45
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #111
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Texas State's Power Rating: 0.92 #79
Texas State's Offense Rating: 16.20 #45
Texas State's Defense Rating: 15.96 #104
2025 Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Texas State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3
Texas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #80
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #45
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #111
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Troy Scoring
Offense: 20.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 16
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 27
Troy's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 20.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 16
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 27
Troy's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas State 34
Troy 26
Total Points: 59
Texas State 34
Troy 26
Total Points: 59
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 52
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27
Texas State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 36.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 52
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27
Texas State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/03 | Troy | 17 | Texas State | 38 | Texas State | Texas State -14.5 | Texas State | 56.0 | Under |
| 2023 | 10/28 | Texas State | 13 | Troy | 31 | Troy | Troy -6.5 | Troy | 53.0 | Under |
| 2022 | 10/15 | Troy | 17 | Texas State | 14 | Troy | Troy -16.5 | Texas State | 47.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 10/16 | Texas State | 28 | Troy | 31 | Troy | Troy -7.5 | Texas State | 49.0 | Over |
| 2020 | 10/10 | Troy | 37 | Texas State | 17 | Troy | Troy -7.0 | Troy | 59.0 | Under |
| 2019 | 11/16 | Texas State | 27 | Troy | 63 | Troy | Troy -7 | Troy | 65.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/17 | Troy | 12 | Texas State | 7 | Troy | Troy -23 | Texas State | 47.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/24 | Troy | 62 | Texas State | 9 | Troy | Troy -23.5 | Troy | 53.5 | Over |
| 2016 | 11/26 | Texas State | 7 | Troy | 40 | Troy | Troy -26.5 | Troy | 57.5 | Under |
| 2013 | 11/29 | Troy | 42 | Texas State | 28 | Troy | Troy -4.5 | Troy | 0 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State | 1 | 4 | 3 Overs |
| Troy | 9 | 6 | 6 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 5 - 5 | 4 - 6 | 3 - 2 | 1 - 4 |
| Road Teams | 5 - 5 | 6 - 4 | 4 - 1 | 2 - 3 |
(#97) Troy Info
Power Rating: -6.70 #97
Offense Rating: 6.79 #95
Defense Rating: 13.48 #95
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.7 #91
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #107
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88
Talent Rating: 584.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 38%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.09 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.08 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Troy has lost 4 straight
Troy has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Troy Notes
(8/1) OL bad LY, 3/5 back, 5 portal adds. Looks Ok
(7/12) Finished 3-1, fought hard after 1-7 start
(7/12) RB 3 portals, 2 FCS adds. Lots of ? all over
(5/4) M Caldwell lost QB battle, transfer to Texas
(5/4) QB1A, RB1, TE1, DE1, CB1 all gone post spring
(5/4) QB Crowder (starter/inj) won QB1 job in spring
(4/14) RB Taylor (1k LY) big spring portal loss, big ?
(4/8) Top CB LJ Green (So) into portal in spring
(3/24) WR rebuild. Higgins/Taylor exp'd. 3 portals
(3/24) Def solid LY, returns a ton. 5 portals, looks good
Troy Highlights
Troy Deficiencies
Troy has a really bad Offense
Troy Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
Troy throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Troy offense is really bad (#110)
Troy offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#115)
Troy pass game is really bad (#116)
Troy Does Not Stuff Runs (#110)
Troy has a bad defensive line (#125)
Troy has a bad red zone defense (#123)
Power Rating: -6.70 #97
Offense Rating: 6.79 #95
Defense Rating: 13.48 #95
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.7 #91
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #107
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #88
Talent Rating: 584.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 38%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.09 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.08 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Troy has lost 4 straight
Troy has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Troy Notes
(8/1) OL bad LY, 3/5 back, 5 portal adds. Looks Ok
(7/12) Finished 3-1, fought hard after 1-7 start
(7/12) RB 3 portals, 2 FCS adds. Lots of ? all over
(5/4) M Caldwell lost QB battle, transfer to Texas
(5/4) QB1A, RB1, TE1, DE1, CB1 all gone post spring
(5/4) QB Crowder (starter/inj) won QB1 job in spring
(4/14) RB Taylor (1k LY) big spring portal loss, big ?
(4/8) Top CB LJ Green (So) into portal in spring
(3/24) WR rebuild. Higgins/Taylor exp'd. 3 portals
(3/24) Def solid LY, returns a ton. 5 portals, looks good
Troy Highlights
Troy Deficiencies
Troy has a really bad Offense
Troy Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
Troy throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Troy offense is really bad (#110)
Troy offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#115)
Troy pass game is really bad (#116)
Troy Does Not Stuff Runs (#110)
Troy has a bad defensive line (#125)
Troy has a bad red zone defense (#123)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | TXST | TROY |
| OverallOver | #47 | #85 |
| OffenseOff | #34 | #79 |
| DefenseDef | #78 | #85 |
| Special TeamsST | #15 | #84 |
| PassingPass | #95 | #92 |
| RushingRush | #4 | #66 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #33 | #44 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #41 | #48 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #53 | #93 |
| TacklingTkl | #109 | #96 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #84 | #90 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #41 | #77 |
| Coverage DefCov | #97 | #71 |
(#79) Texas State Info
Power Rating: 0.92 #79
Offense Rating: 16.20 #45
Defense Rating: 15.96 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #111
Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.05 PPO
Good Run Success 52%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.56 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Texas State has lost 3 straight
Texas State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Texas State Notes
(9/4) Run Off mauled EMU, OL looked outstanding
(8/1) Over Bet Watch, Kinne Off trust, Def struggles
(8/1) OL 3/5 back, good LY. 3 portals, some depth
(8/1) Def portals 10 DL, 5 LB, 6 DBs. Will take time
(7/13) QB1? 4 guys will battle, Jackson & 3 portals
(6/11) RB Pare has 2K yds & 20 total TDs in his career
(5/23) New OC Keopple downgrade Leftwich (T Tech)
(3/24) RB Pare (#2 LY) looks good, Burrell (UNLV)
(3/24) WR rebuild. Dawn/Sparks exp'd, 3 portal adds
(3/24) Def fell apart late LY, replacing most everyone
Texas State Highlights
Texas State is Undefeated at Home
Texas State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Texas State has Really Good Running Game (#16)
Texas State offense is good in red zone (#30)
Texas State commits very few Penalties (#25)
Texas State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)
Texas State Deficiencies
Texas State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Texas State has a bad defense (#101)
Texas State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#123)
Texas State has a bad defensive line (#119)
Texas State has a bad red zone defense (#107)
Power Rating: 0.92 #79
Offense Rating: 16.20 #45
Defense Rating: 15.96 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #111
Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.05 PPO
Good Run Success 52%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.56 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Texas State has lost 3 straight
Texas State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Texas State Notes
(9/4) Run Off mauled EMU, OL looked outstanding
(8/1) Over Bet Watch, Kinne Off trust, Def struggles
(8/1) OL 3/5 back, good LY. 3 portals, some depth
(8/1) Def portals 10 DL, 5 LB, 6 DBs. Will take time
(7/13) QB1? 4 guys will battle, Jackson & 3 portals
(6/11) RB Pare has 2K yds & 20 total TDs in his career
(5/23) New OC Keopple downgrade Leftwich (T Tech)
(3/24) RB Pare (#2 LY) looks good, Burrell (UNLV)
(3/24) WR rebuild. Dawn/Sparks exp'd, 3 portal adds
(3/24) Def fell apart late LY, replacing most everyone
Texas State Highlights
Texas State is Undefeated at Home
Texas State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Texas State has Really Good Running Game (#16)
Texas State offense is good in red zone (#30)
Texas State commits very few Penalties (#25)
Texas State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)
Texas State Deficiencies
Texas State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Texas State has a bad defense (#101)
Texas State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#123)
Texas State has a bad defensive line (#119)
Texas State has a bad red zone defense (#107)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crowder | 35 | 58 | 60% | 374 | 4 | 3 | 6.4 |
| Tucker Kilcrease | 10 | 29 | 35% | 65 | 0 | 1 | 2.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tae Meadows | 44 | 269 | 1 | 6.1 | 47 |
| Jordan Lovett | 20 | 83 | 0 | 4.2 | 15 |
| Will Crowder | 17 | 53 | 1 | 3.1 | 16 |
| DJ Epps | 2 | 12 | 0 | 6.0 | 8 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tray Taylor (Tr) | 5 | 97 | 2 | 19.4 | 44 |
| Roman Mothershed | 10 | 90 | 1 | 9.0 | 27 |
| Ethan Conner | 7 | 73 | 1 | 10.4 | 24 |
| Rara Thomas (Tr) | 5 | 47 | 0 | 9.4 | 19 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Stringer | 26 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Devin Lafayette | 23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Jaquez White | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Taleeq Robbins (Tr) | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donnie Smith | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Luis Medina | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jah-Mal Williams | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Devin Lafayette | 23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Lafayette | 23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Jaquez White | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Taleeq Robbins (Tr) | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Jackson | 55 | 82 | 67% | 684 | 6 | 1 | 8.3 |
| Keldric Luster (Tr) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln Pare | 46 | 299 | 2 | 6.5 | 57 |
| Jaylen Jenkins | 16 | 140 | 2 | 8.8 | 58 |
| Greg Burrell (Tr) | 12 | 98 | 1 | 8.2 | 20 |
| Brad Jackson | 35 | 91 | 3 | 2.6 | 24 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beau Sparks | 22 | 307 | 5 | 14.0 | 73 |
| Chris Dawn Jr. | 8 | 160 | 0 | 20.0 | 56 |
| Lincoln Pare | 8 | 69 | 0 | 8.6 | 20 |
| Kylen Evans | 6 | 44 | 1 | 7.3 | 13 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treylin Payne | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Ryan Nolan | 21 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Kenard Snyder (Tr) | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Ayden Jones (Tr) | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treylin Payne | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Kenard Snyder (Tr) | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Kalil Alexander | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Donterry Russell (Tr) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Mitchell | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Bobby Crosby | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Treylin Payne | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |