Jackson State at Texas State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Jackson State logo   Jackson State Tigers at Texas State Bobcats  Texas State logo
Saturday, September 16th 2023 (8:30 PM EDT)
Texas State -17.5 (61.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Texas State 77 - Jackson State: 34

 
Tigers (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (20 - 38 on Road)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ TXST -4)
TXST Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
Bobcats (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 37 - 29 (38 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 5.2 (#47)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Jackson State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/16 Jackson State at Texas State+17.561.5L 34 - 77ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Jackson State's Schedule
Texas State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Texas State at Baylor+26.558.5W 42 - 31OY
Sat 9/9 Texas State at UTSA+13.566.5L 13 - 20UY
Sat 9/16 Texas State vs Jackson State-17.561.5W 77 - 34OY
Sat 9/23 Texas State vs Nevada-17.060.0W 35 - 24UN
Sat 9/30 Texas State at Southern Miss-6.560.0W 50 - 36OY
Sat 10/7 Texas State at Louisiana+1.067.5L 30 - 34UN
Sat 10/14 Texas State vs UL Monroe-18.564.5W 21 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Texas State vs Troy+6.553.0L 13 - 31UN
Sat 11/4 Texas State vs Georgia Southern+2.069.0W 45 - 24UY
Sat 11/11 Texas State at Coastal Carolina-2.555.5L 23 - 31UN
Sat 11/18 Texas State at Arkansas State-3.559.5L 31 - 77ON
Sat 11/25 Texas State vs South Alabama+6.557.0W 52 - 44OY
Tue 12/26 Texas State vs Rice-3.558.5W 45 - 21OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JKST0%200%000%000%380%0%0000
TXST.1138%36.547%3.1410333%2213.69.1341%2940%42%3.6344.31.42.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JKST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TXST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JKST Offense020200%00000000%0%0%0%0%
TXST Defense122928.340.7%3.632.1 - - - - - 44%55%40%42%20%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JKST Defense038380%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
TXST Offense1236.53838.3%3.691.4183241032213.243%56%47%33%21%.11

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Jackson State00:000NAN%0%0000000100
Texas State1230:2817.737%33%4.844.31.42.16.42.2226.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JKST Offense00%0%000000%0%0
TXST Defense1244%40% - - - - .123.1763%12%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JKST Defense00%0% - - - - 00%0%0
TXST Offense1243%47%31.91033.29.133.1475%13%0.84

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JKST Offense00%0%000000000%0%0%0
TXST Defense1255%42% - - - - - - 11.191.433%30%.257%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JKST Defense00%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
TXST Offense1256%33%22.836.8220.869.71910.141.633%27%.388%2.2

Jackson State's Power Ratings
Jackson State's Power Rating: NR
Jackson State's Offense Rating: NR
Jackson State's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: 351.51  #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Jackson State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Jackson State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Jackson State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Jackson State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SWAC Talent Rating is 148.77
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Jackson State:    Texas State: -0.53

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Jackson State:    Texas State: -4.0




Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: -0.53  #77
Texas State's Offense Rating: 22.88  #21
Texas State's Defense Rating: 11.42  #91
2023 Talent Rating: 484.79  #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Texas State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.80 - 5.20
Texas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0  #79
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6  #47
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.7  #114

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 517.06
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Jackson State Scoring
Offense: 20 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Jackson State's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Texas State 38
Jackson State 25

Projected Total Points: 63
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.3

Texas State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/16Texas State77Jackson State34Texas State -17.5Texas State61.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas State111 Overs
Jackson State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) JKST at (#77) TXST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatJKSTTXST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #77
SP+SP+NR #79
Perf GradeGradeNR #45
OffenseOffNR #48
DefenseDefNR #51
Spec TeamsSTNR #53
TalentTal #121 #94
Blue ChipsBC%NR #75
Jackson State on Offense
CategoryCat
JKST OffTXST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #51
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNR #91
SP+SP+NR #114
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Jackson State Run Game
CategoryCat
JKST OffTXST Def
Run GameRunNR #76
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #122
Jackson State Pass Game
CategoryCat
JKST OffTXST Def
Pass GamePassNR #48
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #10
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Texas State on Offense
CategoryCatTXST OffJKST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #48NR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #21NR
SP+SP+ #47NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas State Run Game
CategoryCat
TXST OffJKST Def
Run GameRun #53NR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #105 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Texas State Pass Game
CategoryCatTXST OffJKST Def
Pass GamePass #36NR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #77NR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TXST 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Top G5

JKST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Texas State -17.5 (61.5)
Texas State won vs Jackson State this year (77-34)

Previous Matchups
Texas State beat Jackson State in 2023 (77-34)

  
JKST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
JaCobian Morgan9215360%11791027.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ahmad Miller163103556.376
JaCobian Morgan4228236.735
Desmond Moultrie42005.010
Isaiah Spencer1303.03
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Fabian Mccray38537314.163
Kobe Paul13208016.051
Isaiah Spencer14194013.938
Jency Riley16164110.328

View Jackson State's Full Roster

JKST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
B.J. Washington90001
Jeremiah Williams31000
Avery Salerno10000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
B.J. Washington90001
Jeremiah Williams31000
Avery Salerno10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
B.J. Washington90001
Jeremiah Williams31000
Avery Salerno10000

TXST's OC Mack Leftwich (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
TJ Finley27941467%34392488.3
Malik Hornsby81553%83015.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ismail Mahdi (Tr)2231331106.065
Donerio Davenport9146125.143
Malik Hornsby3522966.531
Jahmyl Jeter4117394.229
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Joey Hobert (Tr)76895811.883
Ashtyn Hawkins55874315.948
Kole Wilson (Tr)66747811.377
Ismail Mahdi (Tr)20275113.889

View Texas State's Full Roster

TXST's DC Jonathan Patke (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brian Holloway10516280
Shawn Holton (Tr)920001
Kaleb Culp (Tr)801005
Ben Bell57161060
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Bell57161060
Tavian Coleman (Tr)288410
Deven Wright (Tr)194320
Sam Latham (Tr)156310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joshua Eaton (Tr)221008
Kaleb Ford-Dement (Tr)323107
Kaleb Culp (Tr)801005