Texas State Bobcats at South Alabama Jaguars
Friday, November 29th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Texas State -2.5 (60.5) (-130) Open: -1.0 | 61.5
Texas State 45 - South Alabama: 38 (Sun Belt)
Bobcats (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 37 - 25 (34 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 37 - 25 (34 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
TXST is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Texas State -2 (SP+ TXST -2.5)
Projected Score: TXST: 32 - USA: 30 (62)
TXST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
TXST Travel: 592 miles
Our Line: Texas State -2 (SP+ TXST -2.5)
Projected Score: TXST: 32 - USA: 30 (62)
TXST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
TXST Travel: 592 miles
Jaguars (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Major Applewhite (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (44 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Coach Major Applewhite (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (44 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
| Texas State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Texas State vs Lamar | -26 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Texas State vs UTSA | -2.5 | 58.5 | W 49 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Thu 9/12 | Texas State vs Arizona State | -2.5 | 58.5 | L 28 - 31 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/28 | Texas State vs Sam Houston | -11.0 | 55.0 | L 39 - 40 | O | N | |
| Thu 10/3 | Texas State at Troy | -14.5 | 56.0 | W 38 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Texas State vs Arkansas State | -13.5 | 66.0 | W 41 - 9 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Texas State at Old Dominion | -10.5 | 60.0 | L 14 - 24 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/29 | Texas State vs Louisiana | -4.0 | 60.5 | L 17 - 23 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Texas State at UL Monroe | -9.5 | 50.0 | W 38 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Texas State vs Southern Miss | -27.5 | 56.5 | W 58 - 3 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Texas State vs Georgia State | -23.0 | 59.5 | L 44 - 52 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | Texas State at South Alabama | -2.5 | 60.5 | W 45 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Fri 1/3 | Texas State vs North Texas | -15.5 | 67.5 | W 30 - 28 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
| South Alabama's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | South Alabama vs North Texas | -6.0 | 61.5 | L 38 - 52 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | South Alabama at Ohio | -1.5 | 55.5 | L 20 - 27 | U | N | |
| Thu 9/12 | South Alabama vs Northwestern State | -36.5 | 60.5 | W 87 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Thu 9/19 | South Alabama at App State | +8.0 | 62.5 | W 48 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | South Alabama at LSU | +21.0 | 64.5 | L 10 - 42 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | South Alabama at Arkansas State | -2.5 | 62.5 | L 16 - 18 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/15 | South Alabama vs Troy | -10.0 | 53.0 | W 25 - 9 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | South Alabama vs UL Monroe | -7.0 | 45.0 | W 46 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | South Alabama vs Georgia Southern | -5.5 | 60.0 | L 30 - 34 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | South Alabama at Louisiana | +6.5 | 60.0 | W 24 - 22 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | South Alabama at Southern Miss | -24.0 | 54.0 | W 35 - 14 | U | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | South Alabama vs Texas State | +2.5 | 60.5 | L 38 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 12/14 | South Alabama vs Western Michigan | -6.0 | 53.5 | W 30 - 23 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST | #25 (.25) | 48% (17) | 36.5 | 49% (14) | 3.41 (11) | 194 | 48% (10) | 245 | 3.89 (72) | #50 (.14) | 39% (31) | 24.5 | 38% (21) | 39% (54) | 3.47 (33) | 56.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| USA | #5 (.34) | 50% (9) | 34.4 | 53% (4) | 3.57 (6) | 199 | 47% (18) | 243 | 4.66 (13) | #58 (.15) | 41% (58) | 25.2 | 39% (28) | 43% (96) | 3.66 (56) | 70.8 | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST | #25 (.25) | 48% (17) | 49% (14) | 3.41 (11) | 194 | 48% (10) | 245 | 3.89 (72) | #50 (.14) | 39% (31) | 38% (21) | 39% (54) | 3.47 (33) | 56.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | ||
| USA | #5 (.34) | 50% (9) | 53% (4) | 3.57 (6) | 199 | 47% (18) | 243 | 4.66 (13) | #58 (.15) | 41% (58) | 39% (28) | 43% (96) | 3.66 (56) | 70.8 | 0.9 | 1.5 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Offense | 13 | 36.5 | 33.8 | 48% | 3.89 | 1.6 | 24 | 438 | 194 | 245 | 5.2 | 52% | 47% | 49% | 48% | 13% | .25 |
| USA Defense | 13 | 25.2 | 27.8 | 40.9% | 3.66 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 48% | 52% | 39% | 43% | 16% | .15 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Defense | 13 | 24.5 | 24 | 38.6% | 3.47 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 38% | 39% | 19% | .14 |
| USA Offense | 13 | 34.4 | 44 | 49.8% | 4.66 | 0.9 | 22 | 442 | 199 | 243 | 5.8 | 51% | 49% | 53% | 47% | 14% | .34 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State | 13 | 28:17 | 24.1 | 45% | 64% | 6.1 | 56.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6.9 | 2.4 | 2 | 31 |
| South Alabama | 13 | 29:20 | 21.5 | 39% | 68% | 8.2 | 70.8 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 4 | 29.3 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Offense | 13 | 52% (59) | 49% (14) | 37.1 | 193.7 | 5.2 | 25 (41) | .16 (49) | 3.41 (11) | 75% (53) | 8% (35) | 0.88 (110) |
| USA Defense | 13 | 48% (38) | 39% (28) | - | - | - | - | .09 (53) | 2.78 (32) | 71% (51) | 10% (78) | 1.05 (98) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Defense | 13 | 51% (72) | 38% (21) | - | - | - | - | .12 (67) | 2.97 (60) | 68% (34) | 14% (7) | 1.13 (123) |
| USA Offense | 13 | 51% (67) | 53% (4) | 34.1 | 199.2 | 5.8 | 32 (14) | .33 (3) | 3.57 (6) | 82% (12) | 10% (79) | 1.06 (40) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Offense | 13 | 47% (86) | 48% (10) | 20.9 | 30.2 | 244.7 | 8.1 | 11.7 | 30 (9) | 13 (103) | .4 (13) | 1.5 (91) | 29% (31) | 34% (41) | .32 (74) | 5% (44) | 1.7 (131) |
| USA Defense | 13 | 52% (98) | 43% (96) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 16 (10) | .24 (73) | 1.5 (32) | 32% (69) | 30% (55) | .15 (8) | 6% (59) | 1.7 (5) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Defense | 13 | 48% (56) | 39% (54) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (104) | .19 (45) | 1.6 (62) | 35% (23) | 29% (44) | .3 (65) | 5% (106) | 2.2 (110) |
| USA Offense | 13 | 49% (68) | 47% (18) | 19.5 | 30 | 243.2 | 8.1 | 12.5 | 21 (51) | 6 (10) | .36 (27) | 1.5 (101) | 29% (27) | 33% (49) | .48 (15) | 4% (14) | 2.2 (14) |
Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: 2.50 #52
Texas State's Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Texas State's Defense Rating: 5.36 #29
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Texas State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #48
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #20
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #82
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Texas State's Power Rating: 2.50 #52
Texas State's Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Texas State's Defense Rating: 5.36 #29
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Texas State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #48
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #20
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #82
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State: 2.50 South Alabama: 2.08
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: 5.4 South Alabama: 2.8
Texas State: 2.50 South Alabama: 2.08
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: 5.4 South Alabama: 2.8
South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: 2.08 #76
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 25.69 #16
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 10.70 #78
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
South Alabama's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
South Alabama's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #61
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
South Alabama's Power Rating: 2.08 #76
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 25.69 #16
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 10.70 #78
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
South Alabama's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
South Alabama's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #61
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.8
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24
Texas State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.8
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24
Texas State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Texas State 32
South Alabama 30
Total Points: 62
Texas State 32
South Alabama 30
Total Points: 62
South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8
South Alabama's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8
South Alabama's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/29 | South Alabama | 38 | Texas State | 45 | Texas State | Texas State -2.5 | Texas State | 60.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/25 | Texas State | 52 | South Alabama | 44 | Texas State | South Alabama -6.5 | Texas State | 57.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 11/12 | South Alabama | 38 | Texas State | 21 | South Alabama | South Alabama -16 | South Alabama | 46.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/09 | Texas State | 33 | South Alabama | 31 | Texas State | South Alabama -4 | Texas State | 52.5 | Over |
| 2020 | 10/17 | South Alabama | 30 | Texas State | 20 | South Alabama | South Alabama -4.5 | South Alabama | 57.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 11/09 | Texas State | 30 | South Alabama | 28 | Texas State | Texas State -7 | South Alabama | 41.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 09/15 | South Alabama | 41 | Texas State | 31 | South Alabama | South Alabama -10 | Push | 49.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 10/24 | Texas State | 36 | South Alabama | 18 | Texas State | Texas State -5 | Texas State | 63.0 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/15 | South Alabama | 24 | Texas State | 20 | South Alabama | South Alabama -4 | Push | 0 | |
| 2013 | 10/26 | Texas State | 33 | South Alabama | 31 | Texas State | South Alabama -1 | Texas State | 0 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama | 4 | 3 | 6 Overs |
| Texas State | 6 | 5 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 9 - 1 | 6 - 2 | 3 - 1 | 3 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 1 - 9 | 2 - 6 | 1 - 3 | 1 - 3 |
(#52) Texas State Info
Power Rating: 2.50 #52
Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Defense Rating: 5.36 #29
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #48
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #20
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #82
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Texas State has lost 1 straight
Texas State has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 1 (3 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Texas State Notes
(11/29) Off torched S Al, 530 yds, Def forced 3 TOs
(11/25) Awful L vs Ga St, Def torched 500+, Off 4 TOs
(11/18) 2 str W's, killed SoMiss, McCloud/Rgame great
(11/3) 2 awful L's, season slipping, McCloud replaced?
(10/20) Off/McCloud awful in bad L (ODU), 2 TOs, woof
(10/12) Off 600 yds (271 rush) killing Ark St. Def OK
(10/4) Great Pass Off, run enough. TO's an issue, fun team
(9/12) Spread Off fun. McCloud looks great w/ weapons
(9/8) Dog fight W over Lamar? 2 TOs, 156 penalty yds!
(9/8) Torched UTSA, McCould good, Run D great
Texas State Highlights
Texas State has Really Good Running Game (#16)
Texas State offense is efficent (#32)
Texas State has a top Offensive Line (#68)
Texas State offense is good on 3rd downs
Texas State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#59)
Texas State has a good run defense (#121)
Texas State Front 7 is disruptive (#80)
Texas State Deficiencies
Texas State has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Texas State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Texas State offense is not Explosive (#55)
Texas State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#123)
Power Rating: 2.50 #52
Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Defense Rating: 5.36 #29
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #48
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #20
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #82
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Texas State has lost 1 straight
Texas State has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 1 (3 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Texas State Notes
(11/29) Off torched S Al, 530 yds, Def forced 3 TOs
(11/25) Awful L vs Ga St, Def torched 500+, Off 4 TOs
(11/18) 2 str W's, killed SoMiss, McCloud/Rgame great
(11/3) 2 awful L's, season slipping, McCloud replaced?
(10/20) Off/McCloud awful in bad L (ODU), 2 TOs, woof
(10/12) Off 600 yds (271 rush) killing Ark St. Def OK
(10/4) Great Pass Off, run enough. TO's an issue, fun team
(9/12) Spread Off fun. McCloud looks great w/ weapons
(9/8) Dog fight W over Lamar? 2 TOs, 156 penalty yds!
(9/8) Torched UTSA, McCould good, Run D great
Texas State Highlights
Texas State has Really Good Running Game (#16)
Texas State offense is efficent (#32)
Texas State has a top Offensive Line (#68)
Texas State offense is good on 3rd downs
Texas State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#59)
Texas State has a good run defense (#121)
Texas State Front 7 is disruptive (#80)
Texas State Deficiencies
Texas State has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Texas State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Texas State offense is not Explosive (#55)
Texas State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#123)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | USA | TXST |
| OverallOver | #43 | #13 |
| OffenseOff | #51 | #10 |
| DefenseDef | #48 | #20 |
| Special TeamsST | #91 | #37 |
| PassingPass | #66 | #21 |
| RushingRush | #3 | #29 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #93 | #23 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #39 | #8 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #34 | #13 |
| TacklingTkl | #102 | #58 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #36 | #14 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #93 | #8 |
| Coverage DefCov | #39 | #76 |
Rematch from Week 14
Texas State 2.5 (60.5)
Texas State won at South Alabama this year (45-38)
Previous Matchups
Texas State beat South Alabama last year (45-38)
Texas State beat South Alabama in 2023 (52-44)
South Alabama beat Texas State in 2022 (38-21)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: TXST | USA
Depth Chart: TXST | USA
Rosters: TXST | USA
(#76) South Alabama Info
Power Rating: 2.08 #76
Offense Rating: 25.69 #16
Defense Rating: 10.70 #78
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.66 PPO
Great Run Success 53%
Great Pass Success 47%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.66 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
South Alabama has won 2 straight
South Alabama has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
South Alabama Notes
(12/15) Great QB depth, backup Davenport can run/throw
(11/29) Def torched, gave up 3 TOs, OG'd by 160 by T St
(11/25) Rgame good, Lopez 3 TD over awful So Miss
(11/18) Huge W @ ULL, QB good, Def barely held on
(11/3) 450+ yds but 2 TOs cost badly in GaSo loss
(10/27) Rgame great (ULM), 358 yds, 7.8 ypc. Run D bad
(10/16) Avg 17 ppg last 3 games, stopped Troy, NBD
(10/4) Off great, Def v bad. High totals keep going under
(9/19) QB Lopez dynamic, FR RB Bothwell is a weapon
(9/8) QB Lopez (toe) DNP in L at Ohio
South Alabama Highlights
South Alabama has Really Good Running Game (#57)
South Alabama offense is efficent (#61)
South Alabama has a top Offensive Line (#37)
South Alabama offense is good in red zone (#52)
South Alabama does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#26)
South Alabama has a good run defense (#122)
South Alabama has a great TO Margin (#107)
South Alabama defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)
South Alabama Deficiencies
South Alabama Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)
Power Rating: 2.08 #76
Offense Rating: 25.69 #16
Defense Rating: 10.70 #78
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.66 PPO
Great Run Success 53%
Great Pass Success 47%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.66 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
South Alabama has won 2 straight
South Alabama has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
South Alabama Notes
(12/15) Great QB depth, backup Davenport can run/throw
(11/29) Def torched, gave up 3 TOs, OG'd by 160 by T St
(11/25) Rgame good, Lopez 3 TD over awful So Miss
(11/18) Huge W @ ULL, QB good, Def barely held on
(11/3) 450+ yds but 2 TOs cost badly in GaSo loss
(10/27) Rgame great (ULM), 358 yds, 7.8 ypc. Run D bad
(10/16) Avg 17 ppg last 3 games, stopped Troy, NBD
(10/4) Off great, Def v bad. High totals keep going under
(9/19) QB Lopez dynamic, FR RB Bothwell is a weapon
(9/8) QB Lopez (toe) DNP in L at Ohio
South Alabama Highlights
South Alabama has Really Good Running Game (#57)
South Alabama offense is efficent (#61)
South Alabama has a top Offensive Line (#37)
South Alabama offense is good in red zone (#52)
South Alabama does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#26)
South Alabama has a good run defense (#122)
South Alabama has a great TO Margin (#107)
South Alabama defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)
South Alabama Deficiencies
South Alabama Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan McCloud (Tr) | 272 | 389 | 70% | 3222 | 30 | 13 | 8.3 |
| RJ Martinez (Tr) | 18 | 24 | 75% | 148 | 0 | 1 | 6.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ismail Mahdi | 183 | 991 | 4 | 5.4 | 45 |
| Lincoln Pare | 94 | 547 | 8 | 5.8 | 73 |
| Torrance Burgess Jr. (Tr) | 60 | 367 | 2 | 6.1 | 57 |
| Jordan McCloud (Tr) | 74 | 278 | 7 | 3.8 | 42 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Williams (Tr) | 57 | 807 | 7 | 14.2 | 70 |
| Joey Hobert | 70 | 680 | 8 | 9.7 | 40 |
| Kole Wilson | 43 | 630 | 4 | 14.7 | 53 |
| Chris Dawn Jr. | 37 | 418 | 6 | 11.3 | 60 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Polk (Tr) | 68 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| Ryan Nolan | 52 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| James Neal (Tr) | 50 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Max Harris (Tr) | 44 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalil Alexander | 40 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 2 |
| Steven Parker (Tr) | 29 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Jo'Laison Landry | 33 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Ben Bell | 13 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Mills | 33 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Bobby Crosby | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Joshua Eaton | 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giovanni Lopez | 205 | 311 | 66% | 2557 | 18 | 5 | 8.2 |
| Bishop Davenport | 48 | 79 | 61% | 604 | 3 | 1 | 7.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluff Bothwell | 112 | 834 | 13 | 7.4 | 59 |
| Kentrel Bullock | 152 | 832 | 7 | 5.5 | 59 |
| Giovanni Lopez | 82 | 465 | 7 | 5.7 | 50 |
| Bishop Davenport | 37 | 161 | 1 | 4.4 | 50 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamaal Pritchett | 91 | 1126 | 9 | 12.4 | 75 |
| Jeremiah Webb | 36 | 649 | 5 | 18.0 | 52 |
| Devin Voisin | 34 | 407 | 0 | 12.0 | 28 |
| Shamar Sandgren | 19 | 208 | 1 | 10.9 | 21 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blayne Myrick | 101 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Jaden Voisin | 84 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
| Darius McKenzie (Tr) | 72 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Jordan Scruggs | 70 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney McBride | 39 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| Parker Shattuck | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Tyler Thomas | 19 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Norman | 25 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amarion Fortenberry | 43 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Jaden Voisin | 84 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
| Darius McKenzie (Tr) | 72 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 |