Colorado State at Texas State - 2026 Matchup Preview
Colorado State logo   Colorado State Rams at Texas State Bobcats  Texas State logo
Thursday, October 15th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium - San Marcos, TX  ([{"type":"event","headline":"Will be played Oct. 15 or Oct. 17"}])

 
Rams (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jim Mora (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 31 (17 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#68)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
CSU coming off BYE
TXST coming off BYE
Our Line: Texas State -15.5  (SP+ TXST -18)

Projected Score: CSU: 22 - TXST: 37 (59)
TXST Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
CSU Travel: 841 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bobcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (23 - 16)
Avg Score : 37 - 29 (38 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 4 (#42)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)
 
Colorado State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Colorado State vs Wyoming-1
Sat 9/12 Colorado State vs Southern Utah-10.5
Sat 9/19 Colorado State vs BYU+26.5
Sat 9/26 Colorado State at UTSA+13.5
Sat 10/3 Colorado State vs Oregon State-4.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/15 Colorado State at Texas State+15.5
Sat 10/24 Colorado State vs San Diego State+11
Sat 10/31 Colorado State at Utah State+8
Sat 11/7 Colorado State vs Boise State+13.5
Sat 11/14 Colorado State at Washington State+15
Sat 11/21 Colorado State at Fresno State+11.5
Sat 11/28 Colorado State vs TBD-10.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule
Texas State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Texas State at Texas+24.5
Sat 9/12 Texas State vs UTSA-5
Sat 9/19 Texas State vs North Texas+1
Sat 9/26 Texas State vs Incarnate Word-23.5
Sat 10/3 Texas State at San Diego State+3
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/15 Texas State vs Colorado State-15.5
Sat 10/24 Texas State vs Utah State-10
Sat 10/31 Texas State at Boise State+5
Sat 11/7 Texas State at Oregon State-12.5
Sat 11/14 Texas State vs Fresno State-7
Sat 11/21 Texas State vs Washington State-3

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CSU#95 (.13)40% (98)18.544% (66)2.97 (63)10838% (110)2163.52 (87)#117 (.24)45% (118)30.846% (106)46% (116)4.03 (103)56.31.71.3
TXST#6 (.33)46% (24)36.546% (43)3.13 (34)22347% (25)2514.42 (21)#76 (.18)41% (61)2940% (48)43% (87)3.98 (98)59.51.30.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TXST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CSU Offense1218.516.640.3%3.521.7183241082163.645%54%44%38%19%.13
TXST Defense132928.341.2%3.980.9 - - - - - 52%46%40%43%16%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CSU Defense1230.83645.3%4.031.3 - - - - - 57%42%46%46%13%.24
TXST Offense1336.53846.3%4.421.3234742232515.256%42%46%47%12%.33

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Colorado State1226:5018.333%47%5.856.31.71.33.81.3126
Texas State1329:1022.946%60%6.959.51.30.97.21.9227.4
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CSU Offense1245% (107)44% (66)30.3108.33.613 (70).09 (79)2.97 (63)59% (132)12% (121)0.9 (96)
TXST Defense1352% (101)40% (48) - - - - .08 (58)2.67 (25)70% (58)11% (25)1.06 (110)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CSU Defense1257% (131)46% (106) - - - - .17 (105)3.26 (123)77% (109)7% (129)0.94 (59)
TXST Offense1356% (22)46% (43)42.9222.75.236 (4).28 (7)3.13 (34)67% (102)9% (42)1.15 (10)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CSU Offense1254% (29)38% (110)20.332.8215.96.610.715 (103)12 (7).2 (97)1.5 (91)35% (126)28% (87).25 (89)7% (110)2 (85)
TXST Defense1346% (44)43% (87) - - - - - - 9 (123).3 (89)1.6 (97)33% (42)32% (98).28 (64)5% (114)1.9 (30)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CSU Defense1242% (7)46% (116) - - - - - - 8 (31).38 (120)1.7 (123)27% (129)35% (125).34 (94)6% (57)1.9 (31)
TXST Offense1342% (115)47% (25)19.527.8250.8912.921 (86)7 (7).42 (17)1.6 (31)29% (29)38% (9).54 (6)4% (10)2 (71)

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -10.64  #100
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 6.87  #94
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 22.51  #111
2026 Talent Rating: 676.00  #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #59
Colorado State's 2026 Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
Colorado State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.6  #124
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.6  #120
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9  #105

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 627.25
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -10.64   Texas State: 2.575

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -15.6   Texas State: 2.3




Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: 2.575  #73
Texas State's Offense Rating: 13.85  #47
Texas State's Defense Rating: 21.00  #101
2026 Talent Rating: 616.00  #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #79
Texas State's 2026 Expected Record: 7.0 - 4.0
Texas State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3  #65
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6  #15
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6  #117

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 627.25
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17


Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 18.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.6
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36

Colorado State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas State 37
Colorado State 22


Projected Total Points: 59
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.3

Texas State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas State000 Overs
Colorado State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#100) CSU at (#73) TXST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCSUTXST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #100 #73
SP+SP+ #124 #65
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #78 #86
Blue ChipsBC% #59 #79
Colorado State Notes
(2/4) New staff under Mora, OC Tracy was PGC (UConn)
(2/4) QB1 Curry (PT LY) vs Farrar (UConn transfer)
(2/4) RB could get huge boost if D. Robinson is healthy
(2/4) WR has 4 guys with exp but none very productive
(2/4) OL huge ? only 4 have any exp, 5 portal adds
(2/4) DL took 5 portals, run def grades are awful
(2/4) LBs decent unit. Diomande (UConn) huge add
(2/4) DBs 5 portals, decent parts to work with
(2/4) Roster TO w 37 portals in/38 out + 22 croots
Colorado State Injury Report
Colorado State on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
CSU OffTXST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #98 #61
ExplosiveExp #98 #110
PPAPPA #95 #76
PowerPwr #94 #101
SP+SP+ #120 #117
Pts POPPO #87 #98
HavocHav #125 #67
Colorado State Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
CSU OffTXST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #66 #48
Run ExplRExp #96 #110
PPAExp #79 #58
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #63 #25
Stuff RateStuff #76 #10
TackleTak - NR
Colorado State Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
CSU OffTXST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #110 #87
Pass ExplPExl #91 #97
PPAExp #97 #89
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #121 #25
DB HavocDB #110 #114
Texas State on Offense
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatTXST OffCSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #24 #118
ExplosiveExp #16 #77
PPAPPA #6 #117
PowerPwr #47 #111
SP+SP+ #15 #105
Pts POPPO #21 #103
HavocHav #15 #116
Texas State Run Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
TXST OffCSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #43 #106
Run ExplRExp #10 #59
PPAExp #7 #105
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #34 #123
Stuff RateStuff #36 #121
TackleTak - NR
Texas State Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatTXST OffCSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #25 #116
Pass ExplPExl #31 #123
PPAExp #17 #120
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #42 #129
DB HavocDB #10 #57
Program Comparison
TXST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Remains Top G5

CSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
CSU's OC Pryce Tracy (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Darius Curry7010765%740576.9
Ksaan Farrar (Tr)111861%84004.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayden Brown3226228.249
Oliver Lundberg-Coleman2313816.017
Terrence Smith Jr. (Tr)147515.421
Durell Robinson (Tr)357119.054
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tommy Maher32358011.235
Javonte Vereen (Tr)21305514.550
Lavon Brown22244011.131
Jordan Mosley (Tr)8168121.075

View Colorado State's Full Roster

CSU's DC Tyson Summers (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Oumar Diomande (Tr)1168551
Jace Bellah581020
Elijah Mc-Cantos (Tr)521002
Jaseim Mitchell293110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Oumar Diomande (Tr)1168551
Stephon Wright (Tr)284232
Robby Harrison (Tr)162110
DeAndre Gill122120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Blocker230013
AJ Noland190042
Elijah Mc-Cantos (Tr)521002

TXST's OC Landon Keopple (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brad Jackson25135271%32232179.2
Shaker Reisig (Tr)101953%141127.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Brad Jackson174744174.363
Greg Burrell10067136.761
Beau Sparks674112.349
Shaker Reisig (Tr)7100.18
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Beau Sparks8412001014.373
Chris Dawn Jr.651007415.582
Kylen Evans15211114.145
Greg Burrell1312509.623

View Texas State's Full Roster

TXST's DC Will Windham (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ryan Nolan723022
Ayden Jones521020
Amarion Atwood292023
Cole Nilles273021
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donterry Russell186401
Chancellor Owens (Tr)21100
Ryan Nolan723022
Tice Williams51010
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dexter Ricks Jr. (Tr)181004
Amarion Atwood292023
Ryan Nolan723022