James Madison at Texas State - 2025 Matchup Preview
James Madison logo James Madison Dukes at Texas State BobcatsTexas State logo
Tuesday, October 28th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium - San Marcos, TX  (Sun Belt)

 
Dukes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bob Chesney (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 33 - 21 (31 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 2.9 (#15)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
JMU coming off BYE
TXST coming off BYE
Our Line: James Madison -4   (SP+ JMU -10)
Projected Score: JMU: 32 - TXST: 28 (58)
JMU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
JMU Travel: 1236 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bobcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (15 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 25 (39 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 5.3 (#63)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
 
James Madison's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 James Madison vs Weber State-25.5
Sat 9/6 James Madison at Louisville+12.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 James Madison at Liberty+0.5
Sat 9/27 James Madison vs Georgia Southern-8
Sat 10/4 James Madison at Georgia State-16
Sat 10/11 James Madison vs Louisiana-11
Sat 10/18 James Madison vs Old Dominion-14.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28 James Madison at Texas State-4
Sat 11/8 James Madison at Marshall-16.5
Sat 11/15 James Madison vs App State-18
Sat 11/22 James Madison vs Washington State-14.5
Sat 11/29 James Madison at Coastal Carolina-10.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for James Madison's Schedule
Texas State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas State vs Eastern Michigan-14.058.5
Sat 9/6 Texas State at UTSA+8
Sat 9/13 Texas State at Arizona State+22
Sat 9/20 Texas State vs Nicholls-19
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas State at Arkansas State-4
Sat 10/11 Texas State vs Troy-2
Sat 10/18 Texas State at Marshall-10
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28 Texas State vs James Madison+4
Sat 11/8 Texas State at Louisiana+0.5
Sat 11/15 Texas State at Southern Miss-1.5
Sat 11/22 Texas State vs UL Monroe-12.5
Sat 11/29 Texas State vs South Alabama-0.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JMU#88 (.16)44% (61)33.347% (29)3.28 (30)19440% (87)2163.93 (66)#4 (.03)34% (1)20.534% (5)34% (3)3.64 (53)54.80.72.5
TXST#25 (.25)48% (17)36.549% (14)3.41 (11)19448% (10)2453.89 (72)#50 (.14)39% (31)24.538% (21)39% (54)3.47 (33)56.51.61.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TXST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JMU Offense1333.331.343.6%3.930.7214101942164.952%48%47%40%14%.16
TXST Defense1324.522.138.6%3.471.2 - - - - - 51%48%38%39%19%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JMU Defense1320.528.733.9%3.642.5 - - - - - 46%54%34%34%20%.03
TXST Offense1336.538.748%3.891.6244381942455.252%47%49%48%13%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
James Madison1331:4520.841%40%754.80.72.57.13.2632.9
Texas State1328:1724.145%64%6.156.51.61.26.92.4231
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JMU Offense1352% (54)47% (29)39.8193.74.920 (67).17 (45)3.28 (30)72% (82)10% (61)0.98 (58)
TXST Defense1351% (72)38% (21) - - - - .12 (67)2.97 (60)68% (34)14% (7)1.13 (123)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JMU Defense1346% (19)34% (5) - - - - (14)2.46 (5)65% (26)13% (15)1.07 (106)
TXST Offense1352% (59)49% (14)37.1193.75.225 (41).16 (49)3.41 (11)75% (53)8% (35)0.88 (110)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JMU Offense1348% (79)40% (87)17.829.3215.97.412.228 (15)4 (1).18 (99)1.5 (103)31% (61)29% (95).26 (95)4% (18)2.1 (38)
TXST Defense1348% (56)39% (54) - - - - - - 7 (104).19 (45)1.6 (62)35% (23)29% (44).3 (65)5% (106)2.2 (110)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JMU Defense1354% (116)34% (3) - - - - - - 17 (5).07 (10)1.8 (118)40% (1)26% (18).16 (11)7% (24)2.3 (125)
TXST Offense1347% (86)48% (10)20.930.2244.78.111.730 (9)13 (103).4 (13)1.5 (91)29% (31)34% (41).32 (74)5% (44)1.7 (131)

James Madison's Power Ratings
James Madison's Power Rating: 0.61 #64
James Madison's Offense Rating: 14.52 #64
James Madison's Defense Rating: 13.91 #62
2025 Talent Rating: 432.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #80
James Madison's 2025 Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
James Madison's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #49
James Madison's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #49
James Madison's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #52

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 525.43
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74

Power Ratings Matchup
James Madison: 0.61   Texas State: -2.215

SP+ Ratings Matchup
James Madison: 3.0   Texas State: -7.2




Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: -2.215 #68
Texas State's Offense Rating: 13.59 #70
Texas State's Defense Rating: 15.82 #74
2025 Talent Rating: 540.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #80
Texas State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3
Texas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #92
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #111

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 525.43
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74


James Madison Scoring
Offense: 33.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.3
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.7

James Madison's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
James Madison 32
Texas State 28

Projected Total Points: 58
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.1

Texas State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/01James Madison40Texas State13James MadisonJames Madison -22James Madison51.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas State001 Overs
James Madison110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#64) James Madison Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.61 #64
Offense Rating: 14.52 #64
Defense Rating: 13.91 #62
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #49
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #52
Talent Rating: 432.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #80
Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 34%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Great Run Def Success 34%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


James Madison Notes
(7/13) QB1 Sluka (UNLV) played for Chesney at H.C.
(7/12) HC Chesney taking lots of FCS portals w/ exp
(5/29) RB loaded w/ Pettaway & Knight back. Top SBC?
(5/29) WR portal losses, 6 portals, good FCS adds
(5/29) OL 4/5 back. Could be top SBC? Have depth
(5/29) Pass rush from portal DE's? Holmes (Maine) int.
(5/29) Def rebuild, took 14 portals, 6 DL, 6 DBs
(5/29) QB Coleman, WRs Ellis & DeGennaro (Richmond)
(5/29) QB Barnett ? for season, a top SBC QB (leg inj)
(5/1) Fr WR M Scott to step in for massive portal losses
James Madison     Ratings Matchup     Texas State
Power #64
#68
Off #64
#70
Def #62
#74
Talent #119
#98
SP+ #49
#92
SP+ Off #49
#65
SP+ Def #52
#111

Previous Matchups
James Madison beat Texas State in 2022 (40-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: JMU | TXST
Depth Chart: JMU | TXST
Rosters: JMU | TXST
(#68) Texas State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.215 #68
Offense Rating: 13.59 #70
Defense Rating: 15.82 #74
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #92
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #111
Talent Rating: 540.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #80
Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Texas State Notes
(7/13) QB1? 4 guys will battle, Jackson & 3 portals
(6/11) RB Pare has 2K yds & 20 total TDs in his career
(5/23) New OC Keopple downgrade Leftwich (T Tech)
(3/24) RB Pare (#2 LY) looks good, Burrell (UNLV)
(3/24) WR rebuild. Dawn/Sparks exp'd, 3 portal adds
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, good LY. 1 portal, some depth
(3/24) Def fell apart late LY, replacing most everyone
(3/24) Def portals 5 DL, 4 LB, 5 DBs. Will take time
(3/24) Kinne great HC, but has a ton to replace TY


  
James Madison's OC Dean Kennedy
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Alonza Barnett21235460%25962647.3
Camden Coleman (Tr)16024964%20311458.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
George Pettaway16397656.031
Alonza Barnett13545073.350
Wayne Knight7744925.859
Camden Coleman (Tr)7533864.559
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Landon Ellis (Tr)50588411.861
Nick DeGennaro (Tr)40576414.460
Jaylan Sanchez (Tr)33483314.672
Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen21254012.151

View James Madison's Full Roster
James Madison's DC Lyle Hemphill
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Thomas738113
Xavier Holmes (Tr)710470
Trent Hendrick549331
DJ Barksdale425122
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Holmes (Tr)710470
Trent Hendrick549331
Immanuel Bush345231
Mychal Mcmullin142200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Thomas738113
KJ Flowe181013
Amar Thomas192212

Texas State's OC Landon Keopple
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nate Yarnell (Tr)9816759%10561056.3
Brad Jackson81553%118107.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lincoln Pare9454785.873
Greg Burrell (Tr)6637035.642
Torrance Burgess Jr.6036726.157
Brad Jackson2317147.418
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Dawn Jr.37418611.360
Tiaquelin Mims (Tr)33393111.956
Beau Sparks25271210.824
Lincoln Pare12134011.222

View Texas State's Full Roster
Texas State's DC Dexter McCoil
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ryan Nolan521001
Kalil Alexander4011652
Jo'Laison Landry338540
DJ Jackson291001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kalil Alexander4011652
Jo'Laison Landry338540
Kenard Snyder (Tr)82200
Jermy Jackson Jr.21110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bobby Crosby181005
Trez Moore263024
Kalil Alexander4011652