James Madison Dukes at Texas State Bobcats
Tuesday, October 28th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium - San Marcos, TX (Sun Belt)
Dukes (1 - 1) (2 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bob Chesney (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (14 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.4 - 2.6 (#15)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
Coach Bob Chesney (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (14 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.4 - 2.6 (#15)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
JMU coming off BYE
TXST coming off BYE
Our Line: James Madison -2.5 (SP+ JMU -7)
Projected Score: JMU: 31 - TXST: 29 (60)
JMU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
JMU Travel: 1236 miles, 1 hrs ahead
TXST coming off BYE
Our Line: James Madison -2.5 (SP+ JMU -7)
Projected Score: JMU: 31 - TXST: 29 (60)
JMU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
JMU Travel: 1236 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bobcats (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (15 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 32 (52 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 3.3 (#29)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
Coach G. J. Kinne (15 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 32 (52 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 3.3 (#29)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
| James Madison's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | James Madison vs Weber State | -26.5 | 54.5 | W 45 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Fri 9/5 | James Madison at Louisville | +15.0 | 57.0 | L 14 - 28 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/20 | James Madison at Liberty | -9.5 | 48.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | James Madison vs Georgia Southern | -24 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | James Madison at Georgia State | -21.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | James Madison vs Louisiana | -16 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | James Madison vs Old Dominion | -6.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/28 | James Madison at Texas State | -2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | James Madison at Marshall | -14.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | James Madison vs App State | -16 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | James Madison vs Washington State | -14 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | James Madison at Coastal Carolina | -15 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for James Madison's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Texas State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Texas State vs Eastern Michigan | -14.0 | 58.5 | W 52 - 27 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Texas State at UTSA | +4.5 | 64.5 | W 43 - 36 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Texas State at Arizona State | +18.5 | 61.5 | L 15 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Texas State vs Nicholls | -22 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Texas State at Arkansas State | -11.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Texas State vs Troy | -8 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Texas State at Marshall | -9.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/28 | Texas State vs James Madison | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Texas State at Louisiana | -6 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Texas State at Southern Miss | -1 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Texas State vs UL Monroe | -21 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Texas State vs South Alabama | -6.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JMU | #97 (.12) | 44% (68) | 29.5 | 48% (46) | 3.3 (36) | 220 | 39% (97) | 141 | 3.69 (85) | #16 (-.05) | 24% (2) | 19 | 24% (5) | 24% (5) | 2.29 (25) | 85 | 2 | 2 |
| TXST | #27 (.36) | 50% (32) | 36.7 | 52% (30) | 3 (68) | 229 | 46% (52) | 228 | 5.05 (30) | #123 (.33) | 44% (101) | 32.3 | 51% (121) | 37% (51) | 4.56 (107) | 35.7 | 1 | 0 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JMU | #88 (.16) | 44% (61) | 47% (29) | 3.28 (30) | 194 | 40% (87) | 216 | 3.93 (66) | #4 (.03) | 34% (1) | 34% (5) | 34% (3) | 3.64 (53) | 54.8 | 0.7 | 2.5 | ||
| TXST | #25 (.25) | 48% (17) | 49% (14) | 3.41 (11) | 194 | 48% (10) | 245 | 3.89 (72) | #50 (.14) | 39% (31) | 38% (21) | 39% (54) | 3.47 (33) | 56.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JMU Offense | 2 | 29.5 | 14 | 43.8% | 3.69 | 2 | 21 | 361 | 220 | 141 | 4.8 | 56% | 43% | 48% | 39% | 17% | .12 |
| TXST Defense | 3 | 32.3 | 27 | 43.7% | 4.56 | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 51% | 51% | 37% | 14% | .33 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JMU Defense | 2 | 19 | 28 | 24.1% | 2.29 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 53% | 47% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -.05 |
| TXST Offense | 3 | 36.7 | 52 | 49.7% | 5.05 | 1 | 23 | 457 | 229 | 228 | 5.5 | 60% | 40% | 52% | 46% | 16% | .36 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison | 2 | 34:49 | 21 | 47% | 33% | 9 | 85 | 2 | 2 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 34.8 |
| Texas State | 3 | 29:57 | 22.7 | 43% | 75% | 4 | 35.7 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 | 2 | 0 | 29.3 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JMU Offense | 2 | 56% (37) | 48% (46) | 45.5 | 219.5 | 4.8 | 5 (62) | .25 (39) | 3.3 (36) | 70% (79) | 11% (110) | 1.02 (54) |
| TXST Defense | 3 | 49% (57) | 51% (121) | - | - | - | - | .41 (132) | 3.28 (119) | 75% (80) | 9% (80) | 1.45 (129) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JMU Defense | 2 | 53% (97) | 24% (5) | - | - | - | - | -.13 (16) | 1.26 (3) | 38% (4) | 13% (35) | 1.26 (119) |
| TXST Offense | 3 | 60% (19) | 52% (30) | 41.7 | 228.7 | 5.5 | 8 (26) | .32 (27) | 3 (68) | 70% (79) | 10% (93) | 1.11 (40) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JMU Offense | 2 | 43% (101) | 39% (97) | 17.5 | 29 | 141 | 4.9 | 8.1 | 3 (90) | 2 (60) | .02 (126) | 1.3 (113) | 31% (69) | 36% (40) | .19 (103) | 5% (76) | 1.4 (129) |
| TXST Defense | 3 | 51% (82) | 37% (51) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0 | .25 (79) | 1.6 (86) | 35% (48) | 39% (123) | .61 (124) | 5% (93) | 2.1 (81) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JMU Defense | 2 | 47% (42) | 24% (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .04 (27) | 1.8 (115) | 37% (34) | 9% (1) | -.19 (4) | 12% (2) | 1.3 (3) |
| TXST Offense | 3 | 40% (116) | 46% (52) | 18.3 | 27.7 | 228 | 8.2 | 12.4 | 6 (34) | 1 (23) | .4 (44) | 1.6 (45) | 27% (36) | 39% (31) | .54 (34) | 6% (84) | 1.8 (95) |
James Madison's Power Ratings
James Madison's Power Rating: 3.49 #71
James Madison's Offense Rating: 6.87 #93
James Madison's Defense Rating: 3.38 #46
2025 Talent Rating: 482.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
James Madison's 2025 Expected Record: 9.4 - 2.6
James Madison's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.6 #63
James Madison's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #60
James Madison's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #56
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
James Madison's Power Rating: 3.49 #71
James Madison's Offense Rating: 6.87 #93
James Madison's Defense Rating: 3.38 #46
2025 Talent Rating: 482.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
James Madison's 2025 Expected Record: 9.4 - 2.6
James Madison's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.6 #63
James Madison's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #60
James Madison's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #56
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
James Madison: 3.49 Texas State: 0.92
SP+ Ratings Matchup
James Madison: 3.6 Texas State: -3.4
James Madison: 3.49 Texas State: 0.92
SP+ Ratings Matchup
James Madison: 3.6 Texas State: -3.4
Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: 0.92 #79
Texas State's Offense Rating: 16.20 #45
Texas State's Defense Rating: 15.96 #104
2025 Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Texas State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3
Texas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #80
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #45
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #111
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Texas State's Power Rating: 0.92 #79
Texas State's Offense Rating: 16.20 #45
Texas State's Defense Rating: 15.96 #104
2025 Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Texas State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3
Texas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #80
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #45
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #111
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
James Madison Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense on Road: 28
James Madison's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense on Road: 28
James Madison's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
James Madison 31
Texas State 29
Total Points: 60
James Madison 31
Texas State 29
Total Points: 60
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 52
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27
Texas State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 36.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 52
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27
Texas State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 10/01 | James Madison | 40 | Texas State | 13 | James Madison | James Madison -22 | James Madison | 51.5 | Over |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State | 0 | 0 | 1 Overs |
| James Madison | 1 | 1 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 1 - 0 | 1 - 0 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 1 |
(#71) James Madison Info
Power Rating: 3.49 #71
Offense Rating: 6.87 #93
Defense Rating: 3.38 #46
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.6 #63
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #56
Talent Rating: 482.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Expected Record: 9.4 - 2.6
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 43%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 44%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.69 PPO
Avg Run Success 48%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 24%
Good in Scoring Position 2.29 PPO
Great Run Def Success 24%
Great Pass Def Success 24%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
James Madison has lost 6 straight
James Madison has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
James Madison Notes
(9/5) Def front 7 dominant. Shut down Louisville
(9/2) QB Barnett started opener, Run Off mauled FCS
(8/25) QB Barnett cleared to play, is a top SBC QB
(8/1) New DC Hitschler was co-DC at Bama/Wisc/Cincy
(8/1) Class of the Sun Belt, good on both sides + staff
(8/1) Great QB depth big w/ Barnett inj, QB run game
(7/13) QB1 Sluka (UNLV) played for Chesney at H.C.
(7/12) HC Chesney taking lots of FCS portals w/ exp
(5/29) RB loaded w/ Pettaway & Knight back. Top SBC?
(5/29) WR portal losses, 6 portals, good FCS adds
James Madison Highlights
James Madison is Undefeated vs Spread
James Madison offense is good on 3rd downs
James Madison has a really good defense (#2)
James Madison defense is really good in red zone (#25)
James Madison has a good run defense (#5)
James Madison has a good pass defense (#5)
James Madison Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#2)
James Madison Defensive Line is very good (#3)
James Madison Secondary is very good (#2)
James Madison defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
James Madison Deficiencies
James Madison offense is not Explosive (#105)
James Madison does not Sack the QB (#112)
James Madison gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#119)
Power Rating: 3.49 #71
Offense Rating: 6.87 #93
Defense Rating: 3.38 #46
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.6 #63
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #56
Talent Rating: 482.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Expected Record: 9.4 - 2.6
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 43%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 44%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.69 PPO
Avg Run Success 48%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 24%
Good in Scoring Position 2.29 PPO
Great Run Def Success 24%
Great Pass Def Success 24%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
James Madison has lost 6 straight
James Madison has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
James Madison Notes
(9/5) Def front 7 dominant. Shut down Louisville
(9/2) QB Barnett started opener, Run Off mauled FCS
(8/25) QB Barnett cleared to play, is a top SBC QB
(8/1) New DC Hitschler was co-DC at Bama/Wisc/Cincy
(8/1) Class of the Sun Belt, good on both sides + staff
(8/1) Great QB depth big w/ Barnett inj, QB run game
(7/13) QB1 Sluka (UNLV) played for Chesney at H.C.
(7/12) HC Chesney taking lots of FCS portals w/ exp
(5/29) RB loaded w/ Pettaway & Knight back. Top SBC?
(5/29) WR portal losses, 6 portals, good FCS adds
James Madison Highlights
James Madison is Undefeated vs Spread
James Madison offense is good on 3rd downs
James Madison has a really good defense (#2)
James Madison defense is really good in red zone (#25)
James Madison has a good run defense (#5)
James Madison has a good pass defense (#5)
James Madison Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#2)
James Madison Defensive Line is very good (#3)
James Madison Secondary is very good (#2)
James Madison defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
James Madison Deficiencies
James Madison offense is not Explosive (#105)
James Madison does not Sack the QB (#112)
James Madison gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#119)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | TXST | JMU |
| OverallOver | #47 | #65 |
| OffenseOff | #34 | #97 |
| DefenseDef | #78 | #28 |
| Special TeamsST | #15 | #79 |
| PassingPass | #95 | #113 |
| RushingRush | #4 | #44 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #33 | #56 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #41 | #109 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #53 | #96 |
| TacklingTkl | #109 | #18 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #84 | #21 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #41 | #48 |
| Coverage DefCov | #97 | #31 |
(#79) Texas State Info
Power Rating: 0.92 #79
Offense Rating: 16.20 #45
Defense Rating: 15.96 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #111
Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.05 PPO
Good Run Success 52%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.56 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Texas State has lost 5 straight
Texas State has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Texas State Notes
(9/4) Run Off mauled EMU, OL looked outstanding
(8/1) Over Bet Watch, Kinne Off trust, Def struggles
(8/1) OL 3/5 back, good LY. 3 portals, some depth
(8/1) Def portals 10 DL, 5 LB, 6 DBs. Will take time
(7/13) QB1? 4 guys will battle, Jackson & 3 portals
(6/11) RB Pare has 2K yds & 20 total TDs in his career
(5/23) New OC Keopple downgrade Leftwich (T Tech)
(3/24) RB Pare (#2 LY) looks good, Burrell (UNLV)
(3/24) WR rebuild. Dawn/Sparks exp'd, 3 portal adds
(3/24) Def fell apart late LY, replacing most everyone
Texas State Highlights
Texas State is Undefeated at Home
Texas State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Texas State has Really Good Running Game (#16)
Texas State offense is good in red zone (#30)
Texas State commits very few Penalties (#25)
Texas State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)
Texas State Deficiencies
Texas State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Texas State has a bad defense (#101)
Texas State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#123)
Texas State has a bad defensive line (#119)
Texas State has a bad red zone defense (#107)
Power Rating: 0.92 #79
Offense Rating: 16.20 #45
Defense Rating: 15.96 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #111
Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.05 PPO
Good Run Success 52%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.56 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Texas State has lost 5 straight
Texas State has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Texas State Notes
(9/4) Run Off mauled EMU, OL looked outstanding
(8/1) Over Bet Watch, Kinne Off trust, Def struggles
(8/1) OL 3/5 back, good LY. 3 portals, some depth
(8/1) Def portals 10 DL, 5 LB, 6 DBs. Will take time
(7/13) QB1? 4 guys will battle, Jackson & 3 portals
(6/11) RB Pare has 2K yds & 20 total TDs in his career
(5/23) New OC Keopple downgrade Leftwich (T Tech)
(3/24) RB Pare (#2 LY) looks good, Burrell (UNLV)
(3/24) WR rebuild. Dawn/Sparks exp'd, 3 portal adds
(3/24) Def fell apart late LY, replacing most everyone
Texas State Highlights
Texas State is Undefeated at Home
Texas State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Texas State has Really Good Running Game (#16)
Texas State offense is good in red zone (#30)
Texas State commits very few Penalties (#25)
Texas State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)
Texas State Deficiencies
Texas State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Texas State has a bad defense (#101)
Texas State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#123)
Texas State has a bad defensive line (#119)
Texas State has a bad red zone defense (#107)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonza Barnett | 29 | 47 | 62% | 232 | 2 | 0 | 4.9 |
| Matthew Sluka (Tr) | 6 | 9 | 67% | 50 | 1 | 2 | 5.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Pettaway | 15 | 120 | 0 | 8.0 | 35 |
| Matthew Sluka (Tr) | 27 | 113 | 2 | 4.2 | 18 |
| Wayne Knight | 12 | 101 | 1 | 8.4 | 59 |
| Jordan Fuller (Tr) | 7 | 31 | 0 | 4.4 | 8 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Ellis (Tr) | 5 | 75 | 1 | 15.0 | 26 |
| Wayne Knight | 6 | 43 | 0 | 7.2 | 12 |
| Michael Scott | 4 | 38 | 0 | 9.5 | 14 |
| Logan Kyle | 3 | 38 | 0 | 12.7 | 23 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Hendrick | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gannon Weathersby | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob Thomas | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Mychal Mcmullin | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Immanuel Bush | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Jacob Thomas | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Gannon Weathersby | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Trent Hendrick | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Barksdale | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jacob Thomas | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Tyler Brown | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Jackson | 55 | 82 | 67% | 684 | 6 | 1 | 8.3 |
| Keldric Luster (Tr) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln Pare | 46 | 299 | 2 | 6.5 | 57 |
| Jaylen Jenkins | 16 | 140 | 2 | 8.8 | 58 |
| Greg Burrell (Tr) | 12 | 98 | 1 | 8.2 | 20 |
| Brad Jackson | 35 | 91 | 3 | 2.6 | 24 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beau Sparks | 22 | 307 | 5 | 14.0 | 73 |
| Chris Dawn Jr. | 8 | 160 | 0 | 20.0 | 56 |
| Lincoln Pare | 8 | 69 | 0 | 8.6 | 20 |
| Kylen Evans | 6 | 44 | 1 | 7.3 | 13 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treylin Payne | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Ryan Nolan | 21 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Kenard Snyder (Tr) | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Ayden Jones (Tr) | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treylin Payne | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Kenard Snyder (Tr) | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Kalil Alexander | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Donterry Russell (Tr) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Mitchell | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Bobby Crosby | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Treylin Payne | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |