Georgia State at Texas State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Georgia State logo Georgia State Panthers at Texas State BobcatsTexas State logo
Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (7:00 PM EST)
Texas State -23 (59.5) (-2100)  Open: -18.0
Georgia State 52 - Texas State: 44  (Sun Belt)

 
Panthers (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Dell McGee (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 34 (24 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
TXST 2nd straight Home Game
TXST is playing their 4th straight game
GAST is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Texas State -26.5   (SP+ TXST -23)

Projected Score: GAST: 17 - TXST: 43 (59)
TXST Win prob: 95% | Cover: 56%
GAST Travel: 837 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bobcats (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 37 - 25 (39 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
Georgia State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Georgia State at Georgia Tech+20.557.0L 12 - 35UN
Sat 9/7 Georgia State vs Chattanooga-9.551.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 9/14 Georgia State vs Vanderbilt+8.545.5W 36 - 32OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Georgia State vs Georgia Southern-3.557.5L 21 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Georgia State vs Old Dominion-3.053.0L 14 - 21UN
Thu 10/17 Georgia State at Marshall+9.551.5L 20 - 35ON
Sat 10/26 Georgia State at App State+7.559.0L 26 - 33UY
Fri 11/1 Georgia State at UConn+7.048.0L 27 - 34OY
Sat 11/9 Georgia State at James Madison+14.553.5L 7 - 38UN
Sat 11/16 Georgia State vs Arkansas State-2.560.0L 20 - 27UN
Sat 11/23 Georgia State at Texas State+23.059.5W 52 - 44OY
Sat 11/30 Georgia State vs Coastal Carolina-0.552.5L 27 - 48ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 3, Poor: 3

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule
Texas State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Texas State vs Lamar-26
Sat 9/7 Texas State vs UTSA-2.558.5W 49 - 10OY
Thu 9/12 Texas State vs Arizona State-2.558.5L 28 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Texas State vs Sam Houston-11.055.0L 39 - 40ON
Thu 10/3 Texas State at Troy-14.556.0W 38 - 17UY
Sat 10/12 Texas State vs Arkansas State-13.566.0W 41 - 9UY
Sat 10/19 Texas State at Old Dominion-10.560.0L 14 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/29 Texas State vs Louisiana-4.060.5L 17 - 23UN
Sat 11/9 Texas State at UL Monroe-9.550.0W 38 - 17OY
Sat 11/16 Texas State vs Southern Miss-27.556.5W 58 - 3OY
Sat 11/23 Texas State vs Georgia State-23.059.5L 44 - 52ON
Fri 11/29 Texas State at South Alabama-2.560.5W 45 - 38OY
Fri 1/3 Texas State vs North Texas-15.567.5W 30 - 28UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GAST#68 (.19)42% (72)23.840% (105)2.84 (112)18844% (41)2063.92 (65)#94 (.22)42% (68)33.840% (43)45% (111)3.95 (83)57.51.21.3
TXST#23 (.29)47% (20)36.546% (36)3.19 (53)18848% (15)2714.55 (19)#64 (.18)40% (45)24.539% (37)42% (77)3.7 (59)681.81.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GAST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TXST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GAST Offense1323.82441.6%3.921.2203941882064.855%44%40%44%15%.19
TXST Defense1324.522.140.4%3.71.7 - - - - - 50%49%39%42%19%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GAST Defense1333.836.542.1%3.951.3 - - - - - 47%52%40%45%15%.22
TXST Offense1336.538.746.7%4.551.8244591882714.651%48%46%48%15%.29

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia State1329:2619.546%47%6.457.51.21.35.52229.1
Texas State1329:0423.944%66%7.2681.81.77.72.6429.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GAST Offense1355% (29)40% (105)39.3188.14.825 (37).15 (74)2.84 (112)78% (30)11% (89)1.16 (7)
TXST Defense1350% (69)39% (37) - - - - .12 (56)2.87 (28)54% (3)14% (6)1.21 (127)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GAST Defense1347% (25)40% (43) - - - - .15 (72)3.05 (56)63% (19)10% (63)1.06 (95)
TXST Offense1351% (56)46% (36)40.5187.84.633 (8).24 (21)3.19 (53)78% (31)11% (84)1.13 (15)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GAST Offense1344% (104)44% (41)19.228.2205.57.310.720 (70)7 (21).31 (61)1.5 (91)31% (45)33% (47).37 (58)4% (14)2.1 (38)
TXST Defense1349% (68)42% (77) - - - - - - 11 (53).27 (66)1.7 (109)36% (10)36% (123).42 (113)5% (117)2 (47)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GAST Defense1352% (106)45% (111) - - - - - - 11 (53).37 (113)1.6 (76)33% (55)31% (89).42 (114)4% (122)2.2 (106)
TXST Offense1348% (73)48% (15)22.133270.98.212.324 (41)9 (40).36 (36)1.5 (97)32% (63)36% (22).47 (24)4% (8)2 (80)

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -22.37 #124
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 14.80 #108
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 18.69 #126
2024 Talent Rating: 546.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Georgia State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Georgia State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #123

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -22.37   Texas State: 6.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -17.9   Texas State: 5.4




Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: 6.45 #52
Texas State's Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Texas State's Defense Rating: 5.36 #29
2024 Talent Rating: 456.00 #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Texas State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #48
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #20
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #82

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.5

Georgia State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Texas State 43
Georgia State 17


Projected Total Points: 59
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.1

Texas State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Texas State44Georgia State52Georgia StateTexas State -23Georgia State59.5Over
202110/23Georgia State28Texas State16Georgia StateGeorgia State -10Georgia State58.5Under
201909/21Texas State37Georgia State34Texas StateTexas State -3Push62.5Over
201811/03Georgia State30Texas State40Texas StateGeorgia State -7Texas State53.0Over
201711/11Texas State30Georgia State33Georgia StateGeorgia State -5.5Texas State51.5Over
201610/08Georgia State41Texas State21Georgia StateGeorgia State -8.5Georgia State58.0Over
201511/14Texas State19Georgia State41Georgia StateTexas State -5Georgia State64.0Under
201411/29Georgia State31Texas State54Texas StateTexas State -11Texas State0
201310/19Texas State24Georgia State17Texas StateTexas State -19Georgia State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas State435 Overs
Georgia State552 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 53 - 52 - 41 - 1
Road Teams5 - 45 - 31 - 14 - 2

(#124) Georgia State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -22.37 #124
Offense Rating: 14.80 #108
Defense Rating: 18.69 #126
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #123
Talent Rating: 546.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Georgia State Notes
(11/18) Fight w/ Ark St, Rgame awful, QB great, R D awful
(11/3) Run Def mauled by UConn, Off 2 TOs cost bad
(10/17) QB Gibson OK, have some RB's (Brock/Dukes)
(10/17) Run D mauled by Marshall, 295 yds, 8 ypc
(10/13) Run Def mauled by Old D. Rgame ugly, a theme
(9/28) Run Def mauled by Ga South, Rgame 29 yds (1.9)
(9/14) Huge W over Vandy. 22 4th Q pts to steal W
(8/17) McGee hired v late (Feb 23), year 0 spot
(7/30) New HC McGee was RB/AHC at UGA for 8 years
(7/30) Complete roster TO: 32 in/ 36 out in Portal
Georgia State     Ratings Matchup     Texas State
Power #124
#52
Off #108
#38
Def #126
#29
Talent #86
#110
SP+ #123
#48
SP+ Off #106
#20
SP+ Def #123
#82

Rematch from Week 13
Texas State -23.0 (59.5)
Georgia State won at Texas State this year (52-44)

Previous Matchups
Georgia State beat Texas State last year (52-44)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 65°

Team Information
Injuries: GAST | TXST
Depth Chart: GAST | TXST
Rosters: GAST | TXST
(#52) Texas State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.45 #52
Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Defense Rating: 5.36 #29
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #48
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #20
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #82
Talent Rating: 456.00 #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Texas State Notes
(11/29) Off torched S Al, 530 yds, Def forced 3 TOs
(11/25) Awful L vs Ga St, Def torched 500+, Off 4 TOs
(11/18) 2 str W's, killed SoMiss, McCloud/Rgame great
(11/3) 2 awful L's, season slipping, McCloud replaced?
(10/20) Off/McCloud awful in bad L (ODU), 2 TOs, woof
(10/12) Off 600 yds (271 rush) killing Ark St. Def OK
(10/4) Great Pass Off, run enough. TO's an issue, fun team
(9/12) Spread Off fun. McCloud looks great w/ weapons
(9/8) Dog fight W over Lamar? 2 TOs, 156 penalty yds!
(9/8) Torched UTSA, McCould good, Run D great


  
Georgia State's OC Jim Chaney
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Christian Veilleux (Tr)16629157%204713117.0
Zach Gibson (Tr)10215168%1004726.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Freddie Brock15181985.457
Michel Dukes6336525.835
Sy'veon Wilkerson (Tr)239704.241
Christian Veilleux (Tr)287412.623
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ted Hurst (Tr)56961917.276
Dorian Fleming49558611.458
Michel Dukes4335438.226
Petey Tucker30324010.829

View Georgia State's Full Roster
Georgia State's DC Kevin Sherrer
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Johnson691016
Josiah Robinson627423
Xavier Robinson (Tr)605210
Jyron Gilmore (Tr)542011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Henry Bryant306421
Josiah Robinson627423
Xavier Robinson (Tr)605210
K.D. McDaniel (Tr)423231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Johnson691016
Izaiah Guy300005
Josiah Robinson627423

Texas State's OC Mack Leftwich
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jordan McCloud (Tr)27238970%322230138.3
RJ Martinez (Tr)182475%148016.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ismail Mahdi18399145.445
Lincoln Pare9454785.873
Greg Burrell6637035.642
Torrance Burgess Jr. (Tr)6036726.157
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Williams (Tr)57807714.270
Kole Wilson43630414.753
Chris Dawn Jr.37418611.360
Beau Sparks (Tr)25271210.824

View Texas State's Full Roster
Texas State's DC Dexter McCoil
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Polk (Tr)686252
Ryan Nolan521001
James Neal (Tr)502011
Max Harris (Tr)443120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kalil Alexander4011652
Steven Parker (Tr)299511
Jo'Laison Landry338540
Ben Bell136362
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joshua Eaton242115
Bobby Crosby181005
Trez Moore (Tr)263024