UL Monroe at Texas State Game Matchup
UL Monroe logo UL Monroe Warhawks at Texas State BobcatsTexas State logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium - San Marcos, TX  (Sun Belt)

 
Warhawks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bryant Vincent (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 21 - 29 (15 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#123)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)
TXST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Texas State -13   (SP+ TXST -7)
Projected Score: ULM: 22 - TXST: 35 (56)
TXST Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
ULM Travel: 391 miles
Bobcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (15 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 25 (39 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 5.3 (#63)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
 
UL Monroe's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 UL Monroe vs St. Francis (PA)-8.5
Sat 9/6 UL Monroe at Alabama+47.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 UL Monroe at UTEP+3.5
Sat 9/27 UL Monroe vs Arkansas State+1.5
Sat 10/4 UL Monroe vs Northwestern+15.5
Sat 10/11 UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina+6.5
Sat 10/18 UL Monroe vs Troy+8
Sat 10/25 UL Monroe at Southern Miss+9
Sat 11/1 UL Monroe vs Old Dominion+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 UL Monroe vs South Alabama+9.5
Sat 11/22 UL Monroe at Texas State+13
Sat 11/29 UL Monroe at Louisiana+11

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule
Texas State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Texas State vs Eastern Michigan-14.00.0
Sat 9/6 Texas State at UTSA+8
Sat 9/13 Texas State at Arizona State+22
Sat 9/20 Texas State vs Nicholls-19
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas State at Arkansas State-4
Sat 10/11 Texas State vs Troy-2
Sat 10/18 Texas State at Marshall-10
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28 Texas State vs James Madison+4
Sat 11/8 Texas State at Louisiana+0.5
Sat 11/15 Texas State at Southern Miss-1.5
Sat 11/22 Texas State vs UL Monroe-13
Sat 11/29 Texas State vs South Alabama-0.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULM#94 (.15)37% (121)2140% (102)2.93 (87)17333% (128)1353.33 (117)#89 (.2)47% (120)28.853% (134)39% (53)4.12 (99)43.31.31.1
TXST#25 (.25)48% (17)36.549% (14)3.41 (11)19448% (10)2453.89 (72)#50 (.14)39% (31)24.538% (21)39% (54)3.47 (33)56.51.61.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TXST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULM Offense122115.237.4%3.331.3153081731354.662%37%40%33%15%.15
TXST Defense1324.522.138.6%3.471.2 - - - - - 51%48%38%39%19%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULM Defense1228.83546.9%4.121.1 - - - - - 57%42%53%39%13%.2
TXST Offense1336.538.748%3.891.6244381942455.252%47%49%48%13%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UL Monroe1230:4615.333%67%5.943.31.31.14.21.5130.3
Texas State1328:1724.145%64%6.156.51.61.26.92.4231
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULM Offense1262% (6)40% (102)37.8172.84.617 (84).16 (54)2.93 (87)74% (64)10% (75)1.12 (15)
TXST Defense1351% (72)38% (21) - - - - .12 (67)2.97 (60)68% (34)14% (7)1.13 (123)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULM Defense1257% (127)53% (134) - - - - .24 (122)3.48 (129)89% (133)8% (117)0.89 (26)
TXST Offense1352% (59)49% (14)37.1193.75.225 (41).16 (49)3.41 (11)75% (53)8% (35)0.88 (110)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULM Offense1237% (128)33% (128)11.220.5134.86.612.111 (122)12 (85).14 (110)1.9 (8)34% (118)28% (106).27 (92)5% (26)2 (87)
TXST Defense1348% (56)39% (54) - - - - - - 7 (104).19 (45)1.6 (62)35% (23)29% (44).3 (65)5% (106)2.2 (110)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULM Defense1242% (6)39% (53) - - - - - - 6 (109).17 (38)1.5 (20)29% (110)30% (53).27 (50)5% (111)1.8 (17)
TXST Offense1347% (86)48% (10)20.930.2244.78.111.730 (9)13 (103).4 (13)1.5 (91)29% (31)34% (41).32 (74)5% (44)1.7 (131)

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -15.45 #110
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 6.03 #118
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 21.48 #105
2025 Talent Rating: 318.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
UL Monroe's 2025 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
UL Monroe's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.6 #116
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #126
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #99

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 526.43
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -15.45   Texas State: -2.215

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -14.6   Texas State: -7.2




Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: -2.215 #70
Texas State's Offense Rating: 13.59 #71
Texas State's Defense Rating: 15.82 #76
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #61
Texas State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3
Texas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #92
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #111

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 526.43
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31


UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 21 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.2
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

UL Monroe's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas State 35
UL Monroe 22

Projected Total Points: 56
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.1

Texas State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09UL Monroe17Texas State38Texas StateTexas State -9.5Texas State50.0Over
202310/14Texas State21UL Monroe20Texas StateTexas State -18.5UL Monroe64.5Under
202211/05UL Monroe31Texas State30UL MonroeLouisiana Monroe -2.5Texas State52.5Over
202111/06Texas State27UL Monroe19Texas StateTexas State -3Texas State57.5Under
202009/19UL Monroe17Texas State38Texas StateTexas State -3Texas State58.0Under
201910/10Texas State14UL Monroe24UL MonroeLouisiana Monroe -3.5UL Monroe60.5Under
201810/20UL Monroe20Texas State14UL MonroeLouisiana Monroe -10.5Texas State60.0Under
201710/07Texas State27UL Monroe45UL MonroeLouisiana Monroe -6UL Monroe55.0Over
201610/15UL Monroe40Texas State34UL MonroeLouisiana Monroe -4.5UL Monroe66.5Over
201511/19Texas State16UL Monroe3Texas StateTexas State -5Texas State58.5Under
201410/25UL Monroe18Texas State22Texas StateLouisiana Monroe -2Texas State0
201310/12Texas State14UL Monroe21UL MonroeTexas State -6UL Monroe0
200009/29UL Monroe7Texas State27Texas State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas State774 Overs
UL Monroe656 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 73 - 93 - 50 - 4
Road Teams7 - 69 - 34 - 05 - 3

(#110) UL Monroe Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.45 #110
Offense Rating: 6.03 #118
Defense Rating: 21.48 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.6 #116
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #126
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #99
Talent Rating: 318.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.12 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 53%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


UL Monroe Notes
(5/19) QB Armenta some exp (JAG) vs Sr. Herring
(5/19) RB 4 portals added to replace Hardy (Mizzu)
(5/19) WR awful LY, some exp but big ? plus TEs
(5/19) OL 2-3 starters back, bad LY. 1 portal add?
(5/19) Def improved LY, return nice pieces. 5 portals
(5/19) Secondary looks decent, glaring need at DT
(5/19) 5-1 start, 0-6 finish. Vincent still OK 1st year
(5/1) RB Martin/McReynolds, watch for Fr RB D Ford
UL Monroe     Ratings Matchup     Texas State
Power #110
#70
Off #118
#71
Def #105
#76
Talent #129
#92
SP+ #116
#92
SP+ Off #126
#65
SP+ Def #99
#111

Previous Matchups
Texas State beat UL Monroe last year (38-17)
Texas State beat UL Monroe in 2023 (21-20)
UL Monroe beat Texas State in 2022 (31-30)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ULM | TXST
Depth Chart: ULM | TXST
Rosters: ULM | TXST
(#70) Texas State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.215 #70
Offense Rating: 13.59 #71
Defense Rating: 15.82 #76
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #92
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #111
Talent Rating: 554.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #61
Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Texas State Notes
(5/23) New OC Keopple downgrade Leftwich (T Tech)
(3/24) QB McCoy (Oreg St) likely, Yarnell (Pitt) #2
(3/24) RB Pare (#2 LY) looks good, Burrell (UNLV)
(3/24) WR rebuild. Dawn/Sparks exp'd, 3 portal adds
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, good LY. 1 portal, some depth
(3/24) Def fell apart late LY, replacing most everyone
(3/24) Def portals 5 DL, 4 LB, 5 DBs. Will take time
(3/24) Kinne great HC, but has a ton to replace TY


  
UL Monroe's OC Bryant Vincent
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Armenta10218854%12949106.9
Hunter Herring3475%17004.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Hunter Herring1611627.344
Braylon McReynolds (Tr)2011115.624
Aidan Armenta475711.243
Tyrell Reed Jr. (Tr)63616.010
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nic Trujillo (Tr)16305119.143
Jacob Godfrey24265211.057
Tyler Griffin8193124.140
Javon Campbell8176122.044

View UL Monroe's Full Roster
UL Monroe's DC Earnest Hill
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Carl Fauntroy Jr.491014
Kevontay Wells4610350
Tyrese Hopkins412081
Billy Pullen416451
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Billy Pullen416451
Tristan Shorter164331
Kevontay Wells4610350
Dylan Howell232220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Carl Fauntroy Jr.491014
David Godsey Jr.391004
Korian Wilson290003

Texas State's OC Landon Keopple
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nate Yarnell (Tr)9816759%10561056.3
Brad Jackson81553%118107.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lincoln Pare9454785.873
Greg Burrell (Tr)6637035.642
Torrance Burgess Jr.6036726.157
Brad Jackson2317147.418
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Dawn Jr.37418611.360
Tiaquelin Mims (Tr)33393111.956
Beau Sparks25271210.824
Lincoln Pare12134011.222

View Texas State's Full Roster
Texas State's DC Dexter McCoil
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ryan Nolan521001
Kalil Alexander4011652
Jo'Laison Landry338540
DJ Jackson291001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kalil Alexander4011652
Jo'Laison Landry338540
Kenard Snyder (Tr)82200
Jermy Jackson Jr.21110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bobby Crosby181005
Trez Moore263024
Kalil Alexander4011652