UL Monroe Warhawks at Texas State Bobcats
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium - San Marcos, TX (Sun Belt)
Warhawks (1 - 1) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach Bryant Vincent (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 15 - 37 (15 - 73 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 9.1 (#130)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
Coach Bryant Vincent (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 15 - 37 (15 - 73 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 9.1 (#130)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
TXST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Texas State -21 (SP+ TXST -17)
Projected Score: ULM: 26 - TXST: 47 (72)
TXST Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
ULM Travel: 391 miles
Our Line: Texas State -21 (SP+ TXST -17)
Projected Score: ULM: 26 - TXST: 47 (72)
TXST Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
ULM Travel: 391 miles
Bobcats (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (15 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 32 (52 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 3.3 (#29)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
Coach G. J. Kinne (15 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 32 (52 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 3.3 (#29)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
| UL Monroe's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | UL Monroe vs St. Francis (PA) | -31.0 | 47.0 | W 29 - 0 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | UL Monroe at Alabama | +34.0 | 50.0 | L 0 - 73 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/20 | UL Monroe at UTEP | +5.5 | 47.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | UL Monroe vs Arkansas State | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | UL Monroe vs Northwestern | +22.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina | +9 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | UL Monroe vs Troy | +10.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | UL Monroe at Southern Miss | +18 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | UL Monroe vs Old Dominion | +17 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | UL Monroe vs South Alabama | +12 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | UL Monroe at Texas State | +21 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | UL Monroe at Louisiana | +12.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 7, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 7, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 7, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Texas State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Texas State vs Eastern Michigan | -14.0 | 58.5 | W 52 - 27 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Texas State at UTSA | +4.5 | 64.5 | W 43 - 36 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Texas State at Arizona State | +18.5 | 61.5 | L 15 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Texas State vs Nicholls | -22 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Texas State at Arkansas State | -11.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Texas State vs Troy | -8 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Texas State at Marshall | -9.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/28 | Texas State vs James Madison | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Texas State at Louisiana | -6 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Texas State at Southern Miss | -1 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Texas State vs UL Monroe | -21 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Texas State vs South Alabama | -6.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ULM | #46 (.29) | 35% (127) | 14.5 | 38% (105) | 3.14 (52) | 202 | 32% (121) | 89 | 3.88 (75) | #127 (.37) | 51% (130) | 36.5 | 53% (128) | 50% (120) | 6.6 (136) | 43 | 2 | 0.5 |
| TXST | #27 (.36) | 50% (32) | 36.7 | 52% (30) | 3 (68) | 229 | 46% (52) | 228 | 5.05 (30) | #123 (.33) | 44% (101) | 32.3 | 51% (121) | 37% (51) | 4.56 (107) | 35.7 | 1 | 0 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ULM | #94 (.15) | 37% (121) | 40% (102) | 2.93 (87) | 173 | 33% (128) | 135 | 3.33 (117) | #89 (.2) | 47% (120) | 53% (134) | 39% (53) | 4.12 (99) | 43.3 | 1.3 | 1.1 | ||
| TXST | #25 (.25) | 48% (17) | 49% (14) | 3.41 (11) | 194 | 48% (10) | 245 | 3.89 (72) | #50 (.14) | 39% (31) | 38% (21) | 39% (54) | 3.47 (33) | 56.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ULM Offense | 2 | 14.5 | 14.5 | 34.7% | 3.88 | 2 | 16 | 291 | 202 | 89 | 5.4 | 56% | 41% | 38% | 32% | 26% | .29 |
| TXST Defense | 3 | 32.3 | 27 | 43.7% | 4.56 | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 51% | 51% | 37% | 14% | .33 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ULM Defense | 2 | 36.5 | 73 | 50.7% | 6.6 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 44% | 55% | 53% | 50% | 9% | .37 |
| TXST Offense | 3 | 36.7 | 52 | 49.7% | 5.05 | 1 | 23 | 457 | 229 | 228 | 5.5 | 60% | 40% | 52% | 46% | 16% | .36 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UL Monroe | 2 | 28:17 | 15.5 | 42% | 67% | 4.5 | 43 | 2 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 28 |
| Texas State | 3 | 29:57 | 22.7 | 43% | 75% | 4 | 35.7 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 | 2 | 0 | 29.3 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ULM Offense | 2 | 56% (39) | 38% (105) | 37.5 | 202 | 5.4 | 2 (109) | .38 (14) | 3.14 (52) | 100% (1) | 20% (135) | 1.49 (8) |
| TXST Defense | 3 | 49% (57) | 51% (121) | - | - | - | - | .41 (132) | 3.28 (119) | 75% (80) | 9% (80) | 1.45 (129) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ULM Defense | 2 | 44% (28) | 53% (128) | - | - | - | - | .19 (107) | 3.64 (134) | 100% (127) | 6% (125) | 0.71 (17) |
| TXST Offense | 3 | 60% (19) | 52% (30) | 41.7 | 228.7 | 5.5 | 8 (26) | .32 (27) | 3 (68) | 70% (79) | 10% (93) | 1.11 (40) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ULM Offense | 2 | 41% (112) | 32% (121) | 12 | 22 | 89 | 4.1 | 7.4 | 2 (102) | 2 (60) | .2 (90) | 1.8 (16) | 41% (134) | 35% (43) | .64 (24) | 6% (89) | 2.3 (27) |
| TXST Defense | 3 | 51% (82) | 37% (51) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0 | .25 (79) | 1.6 (86) | 35% (48) | 39% (123) | .61 (124) | 5% (93) | 2.1 (81) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ULM Defense | 2 | 55% (103) | 50% (120) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .54 (125) | 1.5 (60) | 23% (132) | 35% (108) | .65 (126) | 3% (128) | 2.1 (82) |
| TXST Offense | 3 | 40% (116) | 46% (52) | 18.3 | 27.7 | 228 | 8.2 | 12.4 | 6 (34) | 1 (23) | .4 (44) | 1.6 (45) | 27% (36) | 39% (31) | .54 (34) | 6% (84) | 1.8 (95) |
UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -20.30 #129
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 5.33 #101
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 25.65 #131
2025 Talent Rating: 398.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
UL Monroe's 2025 Expected Record: 2.9 - 9.1
UL Monroe's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.2 #128
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.2 #131
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -20.30 #129
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 5.33 #101
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 25.65 #131
2025 Talent Rating: 398.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
UL Monroe's 2025 Expected Record: 2.9 - 9.1
UL Monroe's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.2 #128
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.2 #131
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -20.30 Texas State: 0.92
SP+ Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -20.2 Texas State: -3.4
UL Monroe: -20.30 Texas State: 0.92
SP+ Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -20.2 Texas State: -3.4
Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: 0.92 #79
Texas State's Offense Rating: 16.20 #45
Texas State's Defense Rating: 15.96 #104
2025 Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Texas State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3
Texas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #80
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #45
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #111
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Texas State's Power Rating: 0.92 #79
Texas State's Offense Rating: 16.20 #45
Texas State's Defense Rating: 15.96 #104
2025 Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Texas State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3
Texas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #80
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #45
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #111
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 14.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.5
Defense: 36.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 73
UL Monroe's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 14.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.5
Defense: 36.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 73
UL Monroe's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Texas State 47
UL Monroe 26
Total Points: 72
Texas State 47
UL Monroe 26
Total Points: 72
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 52
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27
Texas State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 36.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 52
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27
Texas State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/09 | UL Monroe | 17 | Texas State | 38 | Texas State | Texas State -9.5 | Texas State | 50.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 10/14 | Texas State | 21 | UL Monroe | 20 | Texas State | Texas State -18.5 | UL Monroe | 64.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/05 | UL Monroe | 31 | Texas State | 30 | UL Monroe | Louisiana Monroe -2.5 | Texas State | 52.5 | Over |
| 2021 | 11/06 | Texas State | 27 | UL Monroe | 19 | Texas State | Texas State -3 | Texas State | 57.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 09/19 | UL Monroe | 17 | Texas State | 38 | Texas State | Texas State -3 | Texas State | 58.0 | Under |
| 2019 | 10/10 | Texas State | 14 | UL Monroe | 24 | UL Monroe | Louisiana Monroe -3.5 | UL Monroe | 60.5 | Under |
| 2018 | 10/20 | UL Monroe | 20 | Texas State | 14 | UL Monroe | Louisiana Monroe -10.5 | Texas State | 60.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 10/07 | Texas State | 27 | UL Monroe | 45 | UL Monroe | Louisiana Monroe -6 | UL Monroe | 55.0 | Over |
| 2016 | 10/15 | UL Monroe | 40 | Texas State | 34 | UL Monroe | Louisiana Monroe -4.5 | UL Monroe | 66.5 | Over |
| 2015 | 11/19 | Texas State | 16 | UL Monroe | 3 | Texas State | Texas State -5 | Texas State | 58.5 | Under |
| 2014 | 10/25 | UL Monroe | 18 | Texas State | 22 | Texas State | Louisiana Monroe -2 | Texas State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 10/12 | Texas State | 14 | UL Monroe | 21 | UL Monroe | Texas State -6 | UL Monroe | 0 | |
| 2000 | 09/29 | UL Monroe | 7 | Texas State | 27 | Texas State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State | 7 | 7 | 4 Overs |
| UL Monroe | 6 | 5 | 6 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 6 - 7 | 3 - 9 | 3 - 5 | 0 - 4 |
| Road Teams | 7 - 6 | 9 - 3 | 4 - 0 | 5 - 3 |
(#129) UL Monroe Info
Power Rating: -20.30 #129
Offense Rating: 5.33 #101
Defense Rating: 25.65 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -20.2 #128
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.2 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Talent Rating: 398.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Expected Record: 2.9 - 9.1
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 41%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Awful Pass Success 32%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 51%
Awful in Scoring Position 6.6 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 53%
Awful Pass Def Success 50%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
UL Monroe has lost 9 straight
UL Monroe has lost 5 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
UL Monroe Notes
(8/1) Can ULM get any QB play to help Run Off?
(8/1) RB McReynolds, P-Smith & watch for Fr D Ford
(8/1) Slow, run heavy Off (62%) to shorten, help D
(8/1) Secondary looks decent, Run Def awful again
(7/13) Smaller Def wore down LY, bigger in '25
(6/11) RB Palmer-Smith (Rich) a pot. gamechanger
(5/19) QB Armenta some exp (JAG) vs Sr. Herring
(5/19) RB 4 portals added to replace Hardy (Mizzu)
(5/19) WR awful LY, some exp but big ? plus TEs
(5/19) OL 2-3 starters back, bad LY. 1 portal add?
UL Monroe Highlights
UL Monroe offense is explosive (#4)
UL Monroe commits very few Penalties (#6)
UL Monroe Deficiencies
UL Monroe has a really bad Offense
UL Monroe offense is really bad (#127)
UL Monroe run game is really bad (#105)
UL Monroe pass game is really bad (#121)
UL Monroe Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UL Monroe does not Sack the QB (#112)
UL Monroe has a bad defense (#130)
UL Monroe Does Not Stuff Runs (#136)
UL Monroe has a bad defensive line (#134)
UL Monroe has a bad red zone defense (#136)
Power Rating: -20.30 #129
Offense Rating: 5.33 #101
Defense Rating: 25.65 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -20.2 #128
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.2 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Talent Rating: 398.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Expected Record: 2.9 - 9.1
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 41%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Awful Pass Success 32%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 51%
Awful in Scoring Position 6.6 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 53%
Awful Pass Def Success 50%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
UL Monroe has lost 9 straight
UL Monroe has lost 5 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
UL Monroe Notes
(8/1) Can ULM get any QB play to help Run Off?
(8/1) RB McReynolds, P-Smith & watch for Fr D Ford
(8/1) Slow, run heavy Off (62%) to shorten, help D
(8/1) Secondary looks decent, Run Def awful again
(7/13) Smaller Def wore down LY, bigger in '25
(6/11) RB Palmer-Smith (Rich) a pot. gamechanger
(5/19) QB Armenta some exp (JAG) vs Sr. Herring
(5/19) RB 4 portals added to replace Hardy (Mizzu)
(5/19) WR awful LY, some exp but big ? plus TEs
(5/19) OL 2-3 starters back, bad LY. 1 portal add?
UL Monroe Highlights
UL Monroe offense is explosive (#4)
UL Monroe commits very few Penalties (#6)
UL Monroe Deficiencies
UL Monroe has a really bad Offense
UL Monroe offense is really bad (#127)
UL Monroe run game is really bad (#105)
UL Monroe pass game is really bad (#121)
UL Monroe Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UL Monroe does not Sack the QB (#112)
UL Monroe has a bad defense (#130)
UL Monroe Does Not Stuff Runs (#136)
UL Monroe has a bad defensive line (#134)
UL Monroe has a bad red zone defense (#136)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | TXST | ULM |
| OverallOver | #47 | #68 |
| OffenseOff | #34 | #48 |
| DefenseDef | #78 | #77 |
| Special TeamsST | #15 | #97 |
| PassingPass | #95 | #47 |
| RushingRush | #4 | #47 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #33 | #32 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #41 | #33 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #53 | #90 |
| TacklingTkl | #109 | #60 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #84 | #86 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #41 | #65 |
| Coverage DefCov | #97 | #83 |
Previous Matchups
Texas State beat UL Monroe last year (38-17)
Texas State beat UL Monroe in 2023 (21-20)
UL Monroe beat Texas State in 2022 (31-30)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: ULM | TXST
Depth Chart: ULM | TXST
Rosters: ULM | TXST
(#79) Texas State Info
Power Rating: 0.92 #79
Offense Rating: 16.20 #45
Defense Rating: 15.96 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #111
Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.05 PPO
Good Run Success 52%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.56 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Texas State has lost 8 straight
Texas State has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Texas State Notes
(9/4) Run Off mauled EMU, OL looked outstanding
(8/1) Over Bet Watch, Kinne Off trust, Def struggles
(8/1) OL 3/5 back, good LY. 3 portals, some depth
(8/1) Def portals 10 DL, 5 LB, 6 DBs. Will take time
(7/13) QB1? 4 guys will battle, Jackson & 3 portals
(6/11) RB Pare has 2K yds & 20 total TDs in his career
(5/23) New OC Keopple downgrade Leftwich (T Tech)
(3/24) RB Pare (#2 LY) looks good, Burrell (UNLV)
(3/24) WR rebuild. Dawn/Sparks exp'd, 3 portal adds
(3/24) Def fell apart late LY, replacing most everyone
Texas State Highlights
Texas State is Undefeated at Home
Texas State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Texas State has Really Good Running Game (#16)
Texas State offense is good in red zone (#30)
Texas State commits very few Penalties (#25)
Texas State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)
Texas State Deficiencies
Texas State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Texas State has a bad defense (#101)
Texas State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#123)
Texas State has a bad defensive line (#119)
Texas State has a bad red zone defense (#107)
Power Rating: 0.92 #79
Offense Rating: 16.20 #45
Defense Rating: 15.96 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #111
Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.05 PPO
Good Run Success 52%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.56 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Texas State has lost 8 straight
Texas State has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Texas State Notes
(9/4) Run Off mauled EMU, OL looked outstanding
(8/1) Over Bet Watch, Kinne Off trust, Def struggles
(8/1) OL 3/5 back, good LY. 3 portals, some depth
(8/1) Def portals 10 DL, 5 LB, 6 DBs. Will take time
(7/13) QB1? 4 guys will battle, Jackson & 3 portals
(6/11) RB Pare has 2K yds & 20 total TDs in his career
(5/23) New OC Keopple downgrade Leftwich (T Tech)
(3/24) RB Pare (#2 LY) looks good, Burrell (UNLV)
(3/24) WR rebuild. Dawn/Sparks exp'd, 3 portal adds
(3/24) Def fell apart late LY, replacing most everyone
Texas State Highlights
Texas State is Undefeated at Home
Texas State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Texas State has Really Good Running Game (#16)
Texas State offense is good in red zone (#30)
Texas State commits very few Penalties (#25)
Texas State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)
Texas State Deficiencies
Texas State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Texas State has a bad defense (#101)
Texas State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#123)
Texas State has a bad defensive line (#119)
Texas State has a bad red zone defense (#107)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Armenta | 20 | 37 | 54% | 123 | 1 | 2 | 3.3 |
| Landon Graves | 4 | 7 | 57% | 55 | 1 | 0 | 7.9 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braylon McReynolds (Tr) | 18 | 137 | 0 | 7.6 | 74 |
| Tyrell Reed Jr. (Tr) | 13 | 53 | 0 | 4.1 | 19 |
| Dorian Lewis | 9 | 52 | 0 | 5.8 | 21 |
| Aidan Armenta | 7 | 43 | 1 | 6.1 | 32 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Griffin | 5 | 54 | 1 | 10.8 | 19 |
| JP Coulter | 4 | 30 | 0 | 7.5 | 11 |
| Rico Powers Jr. | 3 | 28 | 0 | 9.3 | 18 |
| Jacob Godfrey | 3 | 21 | 0 | 7.0 | 25 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr) | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Korian Wilson | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Noah Flemmings | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kam Canterbury | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr) | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Dylan Howell | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Davin Anderson | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Julian Nixon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Pullen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Noah Flemmings | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr) | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Jackson | 55 | 82 | 67% | 684 | 6 | 1 | 8.3 |
| Keldric Luster (Tr) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln Pare | 46 | 299 | 2 | 6.5 | 57 |
| Jaylen Jenkins | 16 | 140 | 2 | 8.8 | 58 |
| Greg Burrell (Tr) | 12 | 98 | 1 | 8.2 | 20 |
| Brad Jackson | 35 | 91 | 3 | 2.6 | 24 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beau Sparks | 22 | 307 | 5 | 14.0 | 73 |
| Chris Dawn Jr. | 8 | 160 | 0 | 20.0 | 56 |
| Lincoln Pare | 8 | 69 | 0 | 8.6 | 20 |
| Kylen Evans | 6 | 44 | 1 | 7.3 | 13 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treylin Payne | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Ryan Nolan | 21 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Kenard Snyder (Tr) | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Ayden Jones (Tr) | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treylin Payne | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Kenard Snyder (Tr) | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Kalil Alexander | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Donterry Russell (Tr) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Mitchell | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Bobby Crosby | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Treylin Payne | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |