Texas State at Eastern Michigan - 2021 Matchup Preview

Texas State Bobcats at Eastern Michigan Eagles

Saturday, September 25th 2021 (2:00 PM EDT)
Eastern Michigan -7.5 (62.0)
Eastern Michigan 59 - Texas State: 21

Bobcats (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jake Spavital (6 - 21)
Avg Score : 37 - 29 (34 - 33 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

EMU is playing their 4th straight game
TXST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -6.5 (SP+ EMU -8)
Projected Score: TXST: 31 - EMU: 28 (59)
EMU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
TXST Travel: 1165 miles, 1 hrs behind

Eagles (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (32 - 52)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (24 - 25 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TXST Players
EMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Texas State vs Baylor	+13.5	52.5	L 20 - 29	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Texas State at Florida International	+2.0	55.5	W 23 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Texas State vs Incarnate Word	-10.5	70.0	L 34 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/25	Texas State at Eastern Michigan	+7.5	62.0	L 21 - 59	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9	Texas State vs South Alabama	+4.0	52.5	W 33 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Texas State vs Troy	+7.5	49.0	L 28 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Texas State at Georgia State	+10.0	58.5	L 16 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/30	Texas State at Louisiana	+21.0	58.0	L 0 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/6	Texas State vs UL Monroe	-3.0	57.5	W 27 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Texas State vs Georgia Southern	-2.5	52.0	L 30 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/20	Texas State at Coastal Carolina	+24.5	60.5	L 21 - 35	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Texas State at Arkansas State	+2.0	62.0	W 24 - 22	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule

Eastern Michigan's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Eastern Michigan vs St. Francis (PA)	-34.0	54.5	W 35 - 15	U	N
Sat 9/11	Eastern Michigan at Wisconsin	+26.0	52.0	L 7 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/18	Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts	-22.0	56.5	W 42 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/25	Eastern Michigan vs Texas State	-7.5	62.0	W 59 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois	+0.0	62.5	L 20 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/9	Eastern Michigan vs Miami (OH)	+2.5	58.0	W 13 - 12	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Eastern Michigan vs Ball State	+1.5	54.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/23	Eastern Michigan at Bowling Green	-4.5	49.5	W 55 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/2	Eastern Michigan at Toledo	+9.0	54.5	W 52 - 49	O	Y
Tue 11/9	Eastern Michigan vs Ohio	-6.0	61.5	L 26 - 34	U	N
Tue 11/16	Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan	+6.0	66.0	W 22 - 21	U	Y
Fri 11/26	Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan	+8.5	64.0	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 12/18	Eastern Michigan vs Liberty	+9.5	58.5	L 20 - 56	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST	.14	40%	36.5	41%	2.86	131	40%	239	3.7	.28	49%	29	49%	49%	4.38	49.3	1.5	1.3
EMU	.22	47%	24.1	44%	2.46	124	50%	276	4.95	.27	53%	29.8	57%	48%	4.04	43.8	2	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
EMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Offense	12	36.5	34.2	40.3%	3.7	1.5	21	370	131	239	4.2	44%	56%	41%	40%	20%	.14
EMU Defense	6	29.8	24.8	53%	4.04	2	-	-	-	-	-	58%	42%	57%	48%	12%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Defense	12	29	32.8	49.2%	4.38	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	49%	49%	12%	.28
EMU Offense	6	24.1	23.7	46.9%	4.95	2	22	400	124	276	3.4	50%	49%	44%	50%	18%	.22

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas State	12	25:44	20.6	33%	38%	5.2	49.3	1.5	1.3	4.5	1	3	27.4
Eastern Michigan	6	29:13	21.8	42%	79%	4.8	43.8	2	2	4.3	1.5	0	34.4

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Offense	12	44%	41%	31	131.4	4.2	15	.14	2.86	73%	13%	1.07
EMU Defense	6	58%	57%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.51	83%	8%	0.76

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Defense	12	54%	49%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.16	70%	8%	0.89
EMU Offense	6	50%	44%	36.5	124	3.4	11	.06	2.46	67%	12%	0.87

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Offense	12	56%	40%	20.6	33.7	238.7	7.1	11.6	26	14	.14	1.6	34%	29%	.19	7%	2
EMU Defense	6	42%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.34	1.4	25%	27%	.21	4%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Defense	12	46%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.41	1.5	28%	37%	.48	5%	2
EMU Offense	6	49%	50%	21	33.2	276.2	8.3	13.2	12	6	.4	1.5	29%	36%	.45	6%	2

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: NR
Texas State's Offense Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Texas State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #119
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #111
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.9 #121

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State: Eastern Michigan: -1.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -16.0 Eastern Michigan: -7.8

Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -1.4 NR
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Eastern Michigan's 2021 Expected Record: -
Eastern Michigan's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.8 #101
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #81
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #123

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.2
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Texas State's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Texas State 31
Eastern Michigan 28

Projected Total Points: 59

Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.7
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.8

Eastern Michigan's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	08/30	Texas State	52	Eastern Michigan	27	Texas State -14	Texas State	58.5	Over
2021	09/25	Eastern Michigan	59	Texas State	21	Eastern Michigan -7.5	Eastern Michigan	62.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Eastern Michigan	1	1	2 Overs
Texas State	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0	0 - 2

(#) TXST at (#) EMU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TXST	EMU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#119	#101
Perf GradeGrade	#105	#85
OffenseOff	#71	#37
DefenseDef	#117	#119
Spec TeamsST	#50	#31
TalentTal	#97	#115
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Texas State Injury Report

Eastern Michigan Injury Report

Texas State on Offense


CategoryCat	TXST Off	EMU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#71	#119
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#111	#123
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas State Run Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	EMU Def
Run GameRun	#102	#126
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#25	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#110

Texas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	EMU Def
Pass GamePass	#105	#125
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#56	#22
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Eastern Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	EMU Off	TXST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#37	#117
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#81	#121
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Eastern Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	EMU Off	TXST Def
Run GameRun	#68	#97
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#43	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#125

Eastern Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	EMU Off	TXST Def
Pass GamePass	#23	#127
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#59	#111
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
EMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

TXST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rynearson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Eastern Michigan -7.5 (62.0)
Eastern Michigan won vs Texas State this year (59-21)

Previous Matchups
Texas State beat Eastern Michigan last year (52-27)

TXST's OC Jacob Peeler (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas State's Full Roster

TXST's DC Zac Spavital (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

EMU's OC Chris Creighton (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster

EMU's DC Neal Neathery (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD