Eastern Michigan at Texas State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Eastern Michigan logo Eastern Michigan Eagles at Texas State BobcatsTexas State logo
Saturday, August 30th 2025 (8:00 PM EDT)
Texas State -14 (58.5) (-600)  Open: -14.0 | 58.5
Texas State 52 - Eastern Michigan: 27

 
Eagles (0 - 3) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (57 - 75)
Avg Score : 24 - 43 (25 - 50 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.5 - 8.5 (#124)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
Our Line: Texas State -19   (SP+ TXST -19)
Projected Score: EMU: 23 - TXST: 42 (66)
TXST Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
EMU Travel: 1165 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bobcats (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (15 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 32 (52 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 3.3 (#29)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 8)
 
Eastern Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Eastern Michigan at Texas State+14.058.5L 27 - 52ON
Sat 9/6 Eastern Michigan vs Long Island University-22.554.5L 23 - 28UN
Sat 9/13 Eastern Michigan at Kentucky+26.549.5L 23 - 48OY
Sat 9/20 Eastern Michigan vs Louisiana+2.551.5
Sat 9/27 Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan-1
Sat 10/4 Eastern Michigan at Buffalo+16
Sat 10/11 Eastern Michigan vs Northern Illinois+9
Sat 10/18 Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH)+8.5
Sat 10/25 Eastern Michigan vs Ohio+10
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Eastern Michigan vs Bowling Green+4.5
Sat 11/15 Eastern Michigan at Ball State-1.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/25 Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan-2

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Eastern Michigan's Schedule
Texas State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas State vs Eastern Michigan-14.058.5W 52 - 27OY
Sat 9/6 Texas State at UTSA+4.564.5W 43 - 36OY
Sat 9/13 Texas State at Arizona State+18.561.5L 15 - 34UN
Sat 9/20 Texas State vs Nicholls-22
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas State at Arkansas State-11.5
Sat 10/11 Texas State vs Troy-8
Sat 10/18 Texas State at Marshall-9.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28 Texas State vs James Madison+2.5
Sat 11/8 Texas State at Louisiana-6
Sat 11/15 Texas State at Southern Miss-1
Sat 11/22 Texas State vs UL Monroe-21
Sat 11/29 Texas State vs South Alabama-6.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
EMU#62 (.22)41% (94)24.340% (96)3.1 (58)13241% (87)2563.89 (72)#132 (.43)50% (126)42.749% (114)52% (126)5.43 (132)31.70.30
TXST#27 (.36)50% (32)36.752% (30)3 (68)22946% (52)2285.05 (30)#123 (.33)44% (101)32.351% (121)37% (51)4.56 (107)35.710
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
EMU#117 (.09)42% (74)43% (87)2.98 (82)14242% (66)2353.47 (105)#83 (.19)45% (105)45% (84)46% (116)3.49 (38)62.41.41.3
TXST#25 (.25)48% (17)49% (14)3.41 (11)19448% (10)2453.89 (72)#50 (.14)39% (31)38% (21)39% (54)3.47 (33)56.51.61.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
EMU Offense324.32540.6%3.890.3203881322564.544%56%40%41%11%.22
TXST Defense332.32743.7%4.560 - - - - - 49%51%51%37%14%.33
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
EMU Defense342.75050%5.430 - - - - - 61%38%49%52%11%.43
TXST Offense336.75249.7%5.051234572292285.560%40%52%46%16%.36

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Eastern Michigan327:0420.337%43%4.331.70.3040.3024.9
Texas State329:5722.743%75%435.7106.32029.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
EMU Offense344% (100)40% (96)29.31324.54 (79).18 (51)3.1 (58)50% (124)7% (32)1.18 (33)
TXST Defense349% (57)51% (121) - - - - .41 (132)3.28 (119)75% (80)9% (80)1.45 (129)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
EMU Defense361% (126)49% (114) - - - - .25 (118)3.23 (114)62% (42)6% (121)1.04 (87)
TXST Offense360% (19)52% (30)41.7228.75.58 (26).32 (27)3 (68)70% (79)10% (93)1.11 (40)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
EMU Offense356% (32)41% (87)2235.3255.77.211.64 (72)1 (23).26 (75)1.4 (94)31% (74)25% (107).39 (56)4% (37)2.3 (29)
TXST Defense351% (82)37% (51) - - - - - - 0.25 (79)1.6 (86)35% (48)39% (123).61 (124)5% (93)2.1 (81)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
EMU Defense338% (11)52% (126) - - - - - - 0.65 (132)1.8 (117)28% (115)46% (131).54 (117)5% (94)1.5 (17)
TXST Offense340% (116)46% (52)18.327.72288.212.46 (34)1 (23).4 (44)1.6 (45)27% (36)39% (31).54 (34)6% (84)1.8 (95)

Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -14.55 #114
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: 8.41 #88
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: 22.96 #128
2025 Talent Rating: 630.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Eastern Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 3.5 - 8.5
Eastern Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.9 #131
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #119
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.6 #134

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -14.55   Texas State: 0.92

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -21.9   Texas State: -3.4




Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: 0.92 #79
Texas State's Offense Rating: 16.20 #45
Texas State's Defense Rating: 15.96 #104
2025 Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Texas State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3
Texas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #80
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #45
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #111

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 42.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 50

Eastern Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Texas State 42
Eastern Michigan 23


Total Points: 66

Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 52
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27

Texas State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/30Texas State52Eastern Michigan27Texas StateTexas State -14Texas State58.5Over
202109/25Eastern Michigan59Texas State21Eastern MichiganEastern Michigan -7.5Eastern Michigan62.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas State112 Overs
Eastern Michigan110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#114) Eastern Michigan Info
Power Rating: -14.55 #114
Offense Rating: 8.41 #88
Defense Rating: 22.96 #128
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.9 #131
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #119
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.6 #134
Talent Rating: 630.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 3.5 - 8.5

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.43 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 52%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Eastern Michigan Notes
(9/8) Run Off is bottom 10, QB Kim entire offense
(9/4) QB Kim good, Def awful esp vs Run vs Tex st
(7/27) WR Lockett back, need to find depth & TEs
(3/26) QB Kim (Coastal) or Edge (MD) portal adds
(3/26) RB rebuild. Some options, 2 portal adds
(3/26) OL bad LY, 3/5 back, only 1 portal
(3/26) Def bad LY, returns some. 7 portals
(3/26) HC Creighton sliding, lost last 5 to miss bowl

Eastern Michigan Highlights
Eastern Michigan has a great TO Margin (#11)
Eastern Michigan commits very few Penalties (#30)
Eastern Michigan defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Eastern Michigan Deficiencies
Eastern Michigan Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Eastern Michigan does not Sack the QB (#130)
Eastern Michigan has a bad defense (#126)
Eastern Michigan gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#103)
Eastern Michigan has a bad defensive line (#114)
Eastern Michigan has a bad red zone defense (#132)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTXSTEMU
OverallOver#47#100
OffenseOff#34#70
DefenseDef#78#110
Special TeamsST#15#69
PassingPass#95#38
RushingRush#4#43
Run BlockRBLK#33#77
Pass BlockPBLK#41#93
Route RunningWR Rt#53#62
TacklingTkl#109#118
Run DefenseR Def#84#102
Pass Rush DefPRush#41#109
Coverage DefCov#97#117

Rematch from Week 1
Texas State -14.0 (58.5)
Texas State won vs Eastern Michigan this year (52-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: EMU | TXST
Depth Chart: EMU | TXST
Rosters: EMU | TXST
(#79) Texas State Info
Power Rating: 0.92 #79
Offense Rating: 16.20 #45
Defense Rating: 15.96 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #111
Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.05 PPO
Good Run Success 52%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.56 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Texas State Notes
(9/4) Run Off mauled EMU, OL looked outstanding
(8/1) Over Bet Watch, Kinne Off trust, Def struggles
(8/1) OL 3/5 back, good LY. 3 portals, some depth
(8/1) Def portals 10 DL, 5 LB, 6 DBs. Will take time
(7/13) QB1? 4 guys will battle, Jackson & 3 portals
(6/11) RB Pare has 2K yds & 20 total TDs in his career
(5/23) New OC Keopple downgrade Leftwich (T Tech)
(3/24) RB Pare (#2 LY) looks good, Burrell (UNLV)
(3/24) WR rebuild. Dawn/Sparks exp'd, 3 portal adds
(3/24) Def fell apart late LY, replacing most everyone

Texas State Highlights
Texas State is Undefeated at Home
Texas State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Texas State has Really Good Running Game (#16)
Texas State offense is good in red zone (#30)
Texas State commits very few Penalties (#25)
Texas State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Texas State Deficiencies
Texas State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Texas State has a bad defense (#101)
Texas State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#123)
Texas State has a bad defensive line (#119)
Texas State has a bad red zone defense (#107)


  
Eastern Michigan's OC Mike Piatkowski
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Noah Kim (Tr)6610563%767417.3
Terry Lockett010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dontae McMillan3021917.340
Tavierre Dunlap (Tr)267412.819
Noah Kim (Tr)204312.220
Joey Mattord53817.624
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Terry Lockett16230114.464
Joshua Long9108112.025
Dontae McMillan790112.933
Ben Prosper774010.622

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster
Eastern Michigan's DC Ben Needham
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Llewellyn192001
Marco Patierno (Tr)191010
Sterling Miles142011
Barry Manning121000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Messiah Blair61100
Bryce Llewellyn192001
Jaivian Norman41001
Javon Thomas10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joshua Scott110002
Caleb Coley50002
Bryce Llewellyn192001

Texas State's OC Landon Keopple
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brad Jackson558267%684618.3
Keldric Luster (Tr)010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lincoln Pare4629926.557
Jaylen Jenkins1614028.858
Greg Burrell (Tr)129818.220
Brad Jackson359132.624
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Beau Sparks22307514.073
Chris Dawn Jr.8160020.056
Lincoln Pare86908.620
Kylen Evans64417.313

View Texas State's Full Roster
Texas State's DC Dexter McCoil
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Treylin Payne232101
Ryan Nolan211021
Kenard Snyder (Tr)132120
Ayden Jones (Tr)120010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Treylin Payne232101
Kenard Snyder (Tr)132120
Kalil Alexander123100
Donterry Russell (Tr)42100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
William Mitchell100002
Bobby Crosby120002
Treylin Payne232101