Eastern Michigan at Texas State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Eastern Michigan logo   Eastern Michigan Eagles at Texas State Bobcats  Texas State logo
Saturday, August 30th 2025 (8:00 PM EDT)
Texas State -14 (58.5) (-600)  Open: -14.0 | 58.5
Texas State 52 - Eastern Michigan: 27

 
Eagles (4 - 8) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Chris Creighton (57 - 75)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (25 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
Our Line: Texas State -14.5  (SP+ TXST -17)
Projected Score: EMU: 23 - TXST: 37 (60)
TXST Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
EMU Travel: 1165 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bobcats (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (15 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 29 (38 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.9 - 6.1 (#70)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Eastern Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Eastern Michigan at Texas State+14.058.5L 27 - 52ON
Sat 9/6 Eastern Michigan vs Long Island University-22.554.5L 23 - 28UN
Sat 9/13 Eastern Michigan at Kentucky+26.549.5L 23 - 48OY
Sat 9/20 Eastern Michigan vs Louisiana+2.551.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 9/27 Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan+3.055.5L 13 - 24UN
Sat 10/4 Eastern Michigan at Buffalo+9.553.5L 30 - 31OY
Sat 10/11 Eastern Michigan vs Northern Illinois+1.548.5W 16 - 10UY
Sat 10/18 Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH)+12.547.5L 30 - 44ON
Sat 10/25 Eastern Michigan vs Ohio+11.560.5L 21 - 28UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Eastern Michigan vs Bowling Green-3.049.5W 27 - 21UY
Sat 11/15 Eastern Michigan at Ball State-2.548.5W 24 - 9UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/25 Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan+10.049.0L 21 - 31OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Eastern Michigan's Schedule
Texas State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas State vs Eastern Michigan-14.058.5W 52 - 27OY
Sat 9/6 Texas State at UTSA+4.564.5W 43 - 36OY
Sat 9/13 Texas State at Arizona State+18.561.5L 15 - 34UN
Sat 9/20 Texas State vs Nicholls-32.557.0W 35 - 3UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas State at Arkansas State-14.063.5L 30 - 31UN
Sat 10/11 Texas State vs Troy-7.553.5L 41 - 48ON
Sat 10/18 Texas State at Marshall-3.065.5L 37 - 40ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28 Texas State vs James Madison+7.555.5L 20 - 52ON
Sat 11/8 Texas State at Louisiana-3.562.5L 39 - 42ON
Sat 11/15 Texas State at Southern Miss+3.065.5W 41 - 14UY
Sat 11/22 Texas State vs UL Monroe-20.559.5W 31 - 14UN
Sat 11/29 Texas State vs South Alabama-9.562.5W 49 - 26OY
Fri 1/2 Texas State vs Rice-19.555.5W 41 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
EMU#117 (.09)42% (74)24.143% (87)2.98 (82)14242% (66)2353.47 (105)#83 (.19)45% (105)29.845% (84)46% (116)3.49 (38)62.41.41.3
TXST#25 (.25)48% (17)36.549% (14)3.41 (11)19448% (10)2453.89 (72)#50 (.14)39% (31)2938% (21)39% (54)3.47 (33)56.51.61.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
EMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TXST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
EMU Offense1224.124.542.2%3.471.4213781422353.647%53%43%42%19%.09
TXST Defense132928.338.6%3.471.2 - - - - - 51%48%38%39%19%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
EMU Defense1229.834.745%3.491.3 - - - - - 53%46%45%46%19%.19
TXST Offense1336.53848%3.891.6244381942455.252%47%49%48%13%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Eastern Michigan1231:0621.341%55%6.562.41.41.35.92.1129.2
Texas State1328:1724.145%64%6.156.51.61.26.92.4231
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
EMU Offense1247% (90)43% (87)39.3142.33.617 (84).01 (119)2.98 (82)57% (131)11% (91)0.85 (122)
TXST Defense1351% (72)38% (21) - - - - .12 (67)2.97 (60)68% (34)14% (7)1.13 (123)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
EMU Defense1253% (102)45% (84) - - - - .09 (51)3.07 (82)60% (10)14% (6)0.9 (34)
TXST Offense1352% (59)49% (14)37.1193.75.225 (41).16 (49)3.41 (11)75% (53)8% (35)0.88 (110)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
EMU Offense1253% (44)42% (66)20.734.6235.36.811.417 (79)10 (63).16 (105)1.5 (116)32% (70)34% (36).36 (59)8% (124)2 (88)
TXST Defense1348% (56)39% (54) - - - - - - 7 (104).19 (45)1.6 (62)35% (23)29% (44).3 (65)5% (106)2.2 (110)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
EMU Defense1246% (31)46% (116) - - - - - - 5 (117).36 (117)1.7 (100)28% (119)34% (112).32 (77)5% (107)1.8 (23)
TXST Offense1347% (86)48% (10)20.930.2244.78.111.730 (9)13 (103).4 (13)1.5 (91)29% (31)34% (41).32 (74)5% (44)1.7 (131)

Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -9.19  #97
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: 10.71  #83
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: 19.90  #107
2025 Talent Rating: 630.00  #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Eastern Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Eastern Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.7  #119
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.4  #113
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1  #114

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -9.19   Texas State: 2.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -14.7   Texas State: 2.3




Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: 2.4  #74
Texas State's Offense Rating: 14.54  #59
Texas State's Defense Rating: 17.04  #95
2025 Talent Rating: 620.00  #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #65
Texas State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.9 - 6.1
Texas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3  #65
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6  #15
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6  #117

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 650.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.5
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.7

Eastern Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Texas State 37
Eastern Michigan 23


Projected Total Points: 60
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.3

Texas State's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/30Texas State52Eastern Michigan27Texas State -14Texas State58.5Over
202109/25Eastern Michigan59Texas State21Eastern Michigan -7.5Eastern Michigan62.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas State112 Overs
Eastern Michigan110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#97) EMU at (#74) TXST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatEMUTXST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #97 #74
SP+SP+ #119 #65
Perf GradeGrade #112 #35
OffenseOff #82 #35
DefenseDef #129 #49
Spec TeamsST #130 #73
TalentTal #86 #89
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #65
Eastern Michigan Notes
(10/31) QB Kim really good, OL & RB McMillian good too
(10/31) Def 2nd worst in MAC, bottom 5 in all CFB
(10/31) DC Ben Needham must go, Def killing season
(9/20) Huge W vs ULL, 400+ yds Off, QB Kim better
(9/8) Run Off is bottom 10, QB Kim entire offense
(9/4) QB Kim good, Def awful esp vs Run vs Tex st
(7/27) WR Lockett back, need to find depth & TEs
(3/26) QB Kim (Coastal) or Edge (MD) portal adds
(3/26) RB rebuild. Some options, 2 portal adds
(3/26) OL bad LY, 3/5 back, only 1 portal
(3/26) Def bad LY, returns some. 7 portals
(3/26) HC Creighton sliding, lost last 5 to miss bowl
Eastern Michigan Injury Report
Texas State Notes
(12/19) Hiring DC Will Windham (S Al's DC, Def was awful)
(10/29) 4 straight L's, Def embarrassing. DC McCoil fail
(10/29) Must finish 3-1 to bowl. Awful regress for GJ Kinne
(10/27) RB Pare lost in losing streak, underrated RB
(10/19) 3 straight L's, allowing 40 PPG, Pass Def is awful
(10/19) Off has been good, Pass game great, but Def costing
(10/11) Blew 28-7 vs Troy, pass Def torched for 415, 5 TDs
(10/11) Troy QB Kilcrease doubled season yds pass vs Def
(10/5) Hard L @ Ark St, Def is really bad and costing W's
(9/4) rFr QB Brad Jackson looks like the real deal
(9/4) Run Off mauled EMU, OL looked outstanding
(8/1) Over Bet Watch, Kinne Off trust, Def struggles
Texas State Injury Report
Eastern Michigan on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
EMU OffTXST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #82 #49
SuccessSuc #74 #31
ExplosiveExp #121 #107
PPAPPA #117 #50
PowerPwr #83 #95
SP+SP+ #113 #117
Pts POPPO #105 #33
HavocHav #116 #26
Eastern Michigan Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
EMU OffTXST Def
Run GameRun #105 #49
Run SuccessRSuc #87 #21
Run ExplRExp #122 #123
PPAExp #119 #67
Run BlockR Blk #61 -
OL YdsOLY #82 #60
Stuff RateStuff #69 #31
TackleTak -  #118
Eastern Michigan Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
EMU OffTXST Def
Pass GamePass #60 #83
Pass SuccessPSuc #66 #54
Pass ExplPExl #116 #62
PPAExp #105 #45
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #91 #8
F7 HavocF7 #91 #7
DB HavocDB #124 #106
Texas State on Offense
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatTXST OffEMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #35 #129
SuccessSuc #17 #105
ExplosiveExp #115 #61
PPAPPA #25 #83
PowerPwr #59 #107
SP+SP+ #15 #114
Pts POPPO #72 #38
HavocHav #29 #24
Texas State Run Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
TXST OffEMU Def
Run GameRun #17 #126
Run SuccessRSuc #14 #84
Run ExplRExp #110 #34
PPAExp #49 #51
Run BlockR Blk #34 -
OL YdsOLY #11 #82
Stuff RateStuff #23 #70
TackleTak -  #135
Texas State Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatTXST OffEMU Def
Pass GamePass #42 #121
Pass SuccessPSuc #10 #116
Pass ExplPExl #91 #100
PPAExp #13 #117
Pass Block/RushP Blk #25 #115
F7 HavocF7 #35 #6
DB HavocDB #44 #107
Program Comparison
TXST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

EMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Texas State -14.0 (58.5)
Texas State won vs Eastern Michigan this year (52-27)

Previous Matchups
Texas State beat Eastern Michigan last year (52-27)

  
EMU's OC Mike Piatkowski (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Noah Kim (Tr)24740261%281718117.0
Terry Lockett010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dontae McMillan177101445.754
Tavierre Dunlap (Tr)10642854.036
Noah Kim (Tr)7918662.420
Joey Mattord64818.024
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Devereaux34510715.045
Dontae McMillan33375311.450
Joshua Long3735739.627
Harold Mack20333216.751

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster

EMU's DC Ben Needham (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Llewellyn1035024
Barry Manning756222
Andrew Marshall614130
Donovan Green573220
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quincy Byas226350
Barry Manning756222
Ronn Hardin113210
Donovan Green573220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Llewellyn1035024
Joshua Scott290004
Caleb Coley100014

TXST's OC Landon Keopple (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brad Jackson25135271%32232179.2
Keldric Luster (Tr)1333%14004.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lincoln Pare2111129125.463
Brad Jackson174744174.363
Greg Burrell (Tr)10067136.761
Jaylen Jenkins3117025.558
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Beau Sparks8412001014.373
Chris Dawn Jr.651007415.582
Lincoln Pare3731128.432
Kylen Evans15211114.145

View Texas State's Full Roster

TXST's DC Dexter McCoil (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Treylin Payne1017232
Ryan Nolan723022
Bobby Crosby593203
Ayden Jones (Tr)521020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kalil Alexander4812550
Donterry Russell (Tr)186401
Kenard Snyder (Tr)359320
Treylin Payne1017232
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Rios (Tr)244104
Amarion Atwood292023
Bobby Crosby593203