Eastern Michigan at Texas State Game Matchup
Eastern Michigan logo Eastern Michigan Eagles at Texas State BobcatsTexas State logo
Friday, August 29th 2025 (4:00 PM EDT)
Texas State -14.0 (0.0) (0)  Open: -14.5
Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium - San Marcos, TX

 
Eagles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (57 - 75)
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (23 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 7.2 (#102)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 11)
Our Line: Texas State -12.5   (SP+ TXST -7)
Projected Score: EMU: 22 - TXST: 35 (57)
TXST Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
EMU Travel: 1165 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bobcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (15 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 25 (39 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 5.3 (#63)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
 
Eastern Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Eastern Michigan at Texas State+14.00.0
Sat 9/6 Eastern Michigan vs Long Island University-9
Sat 9/13 Eastern Michigan at Kentucky+22
Sat 9/20 Eastern Michigan vs Louisiana+5.5
Sat 9/27 Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan+3.5
Sat 10/4 Eastern Michigan at Buffalo+9.5
Sat 10/11 Eastern Michigan vs Northern Illinois+1.5
Sat 10/18 Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH)+5.5
Sat 10/25 Eastern Michigan vs Ohio+8
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Eastern Michigan vs Bowling Green-1.5
Sat 11/15 Eastern Michigan at Ball State-5.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/25 Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan-5.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Eastern Michigan's Schedule
Texas State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Texas State vs Eastern Michigan-14.00.0
Sat 9/6 Texas State at UTSA+8
Sat 9/13 Texas State at Arizona State+22
Sat 9/20 Texas State vs Nicholls-19
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas State at Arkansas State-4
Sat 10/11 Texas State vs Troy-2
Sat 10/18 Texas State at Marshall-10
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28 Texas State vs James Madison+4
Sat 11/8 Texas State at Louisiana+0.5
Sat 11/15 Texas State at Southern Miss-1.5
Sat 11/22 Texas State vs UL Monroe-13
Sat 11/29 Texas State vs South Alabama-0.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
EMU#117 (.09)42% (74)25.943% (87)2.98 (82)14242% (66)2353.47 (105)#83 (.19)45% (105)27.945% (84)46% (116)3.49 (38)62.41.41.3
TXST#25 (.25)48% (17)36.549% (14)3.41 (11)19448% (10)2453.89 (72)#50 (.14)39% (31)24.538% (21)39% (54)3.47 (33)56.51.61.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
EMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TXST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
EMU Offense1225.92342.2%3.471.4213781422353.647%53%43%42%19%.09
TXST Defense1324.522.138.6%3.471.2 - - - - - 51%48%38%39%19%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
EMU Defense1227.927.245%3.491.3 - - - - - 53%46%45%46%19%.19
TXST Offense1336.538.748%3.891.6244381942455.252%47%49%48%13%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Eastern Michigan1231:0621.341%55%6.562.41.41.35.92.1129.2
Texas State1328:1724.145%64%6.156.51.61.26.92.4231
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
EMU Offense1247% (90)43% (87)39.3142.33.617 (84).01 (119)2.98 (82)57% (131)11% (91)0.85 (122)
TXST Defense1351% (72)38% (21) - - - - .12 (67)2.97 (60)68% (34)14% (7)1.13 (123)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
EMU Defense1253% (102)45% (84) - - - - .09 (51)3.07 (82)60% (10)14% (6)0.9 (34)
TXST Offense1352% (59)49% (14)37.1193.75.225 (41).16 (49)3.41 (11)75% (53)8% (35)0.88 (110)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
EMU Offense1253% (44)42% (66)20.734.6235.36.811.417 (79)10 (63).16 (105)1.5 (116)32% (70)34% (36).36 (59)8% (124)2 (88)
TXST Defense1348% (56)39% (54) - - - - - - 7 (104).19 (45)1.6 (62)35% (23)29% (44).3 (65)5% (106)2.2 (110)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
EMU Defense1246% (31)46% (116) - - - - - - 5 (117).36 (117)1.7 (100)28% (119)34% (112).32 (77)5% (107)1.8 (23)
TXST Offense1347% (86)48% (10)20.930.2244.78.111.730 (9)13 (103).4 (13)1.5 (91)29% (31)34% (41).32 (74)5% (44)1.7 (131)

Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -15.01 #106
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: 5.44 #121
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: 20.45 #99
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Eastern Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Eastern Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.2 #113
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #116
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #111

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -15.01   Texas State: -2.215

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -14.2   Texas State: -7.2




Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: -2.215 #70
Texas State's Offense Rating: 13.59 #71
Texas State's Defense Rating: 15.82 #76
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #62
Texas State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3
Texas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #92
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #111

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 527
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 27.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.2

Eastern Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas State 35
Eastern Michigan 22


Projected Total Points: 57
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.1

Texas State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202109/25Eastern Michigan59Texas State21Eastern MichiganEastern Michigan -7.5Eastern Michigan62.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas State001 Overs
Eastern Michigan110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#106) Eastern Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.01 #106
Offense Rating: 5.44 #121
Defense Rating: 20.45 #99
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.2 #113
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #116
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #111
Talent Rating: 562.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Avg Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Good in Scoring Position 3.49 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Eastern Michigan Notes
(3/26) QB Kim (Coastal) or Edge (MD) portal adds
(3/26) RB rebuild. Some options, 2 portal adds
(3/26) WR Lockett back, Tucker (Ga St) via portal
(3/26) OL bad LY, 3/5 back, only 1 portal
(3/26) Def bad LY, returns some. 7 portals
(3/26) HC Creighton sliding, lost last 5 to miss bowl
Eastern Michigan     Ratings Matchup     Texas State
Power #106
#70
Off #121
#71
Def #99
#76
Talent #89
#92
SP+ #113
#92
SP+ Off #116
#65
SP+ Def #111
#111

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: EMU | TXST
Depth Chart: EMU | TXST
Rosters: EMU | TXST
(#70) Texas State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.215 #70
Offense Rating: 13.59 #71
Defense Rating: 15.82 #76
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #92
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #111
Talent Rating: 554.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #62
Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Texas State Notes
(5/23) New OC Keopple downgrade Leftwich (T Tech)
(3/24) QB McCoy (Oreg St) likely, Yarnell (Pitt) #2
(3/24) RB Pare (#2 LY) looks good, Burrell (UNLV)
(3/24) WR rebuild. Dawn/Sparks exp'd, 3 portal adds
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, good LY. 1 portal, some depth
(3/24) Def fell apart late LY, replacing most everyone
(3/24) Def portals 5 DL, 4 LB, 5 DBs. Will take time
(3/24) Kinne great HC, but has a ton to replace TY


  
Eastern Michigan's OC Mike Piatkowski
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Noah Kim (Tr)305654%333415.9
Jeremiah Salem81173%1261111.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Joey Mattord2911814.113
Dontae McMillan238703.814
James Jointer126105.121
Terry Lockett32006.711
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Terry Lockett46660514.379
Zyell Griffin6151125.289
Joey Mattord10115011.527
J.B. Mitchell337012.314

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster
Eastern Michigan's DC Ben Needham
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Barry Manning273002
Jefferson Adam267500
Zach Mowchan261010
Jaivian Norman252102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jefferson Adam267500
Carter Evans153121
Donovan Green192120
Sterling Miles112120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Barry Manning273002
Jaivian Norman252102
Dramarian McNulty231002

Texas State's OC Landon Keopple
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nate Yarnell (Tr)9816759%10561056.3
Brad Jackson81553%118107.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lincoln Pare9454785.873
Greg Burrell (Tr)6637035.642
Torrance Burgess Jr.6036726.157
Brad Jackson2317147.418
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Dawn Jr.37418611.360
Tiaquelin Mims (Tr)33393111.956
Beau Sparks25271210.824
Lincoln Pare12134011.222

View Texas State's Full Roster
Texas State's DC Dexter McCoil
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ryan Nolan521001
Kalil Alexander4011652
Jo'Laison Landry338540
DJ Jackson291001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kalil Alexander4011652
Jo'Laison Landry338540
Kenard Snyder (Tr)82200
Jermy Jackson Jr.21110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bobby Crosby181005
Trez Moore263024
Kalil Alexander4011652