Eastern Michigan at Texas State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Eastern Michigan logo Eastern Michigan Eagles at Texas State BobcatsTexas State logo
Saturday, August 30th 2025 (8:00 PM EDT)
Texas State -14 (58.5) (-600)  Open: -14.0 | 58.5
Texas State 52 - Eastern Michigan: 27

 
Eagles (4 - 8) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Chris Creighton (57 - 75)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (25 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
Our Line: Texas State -15.5  (SP+ TXST -15)
Projected Score: EMU: 22 - TXST: 38 (60)
TXST Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
EMU Travel: 1165 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bobcats (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (15 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 29 (38 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.9 - 6.1 (#70)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 8)
 
Eastern Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Eastern Michigan at Texas State+14.058.5L 27 - 52ON
Sat 9/6 Eastern Michigan vs Long Island University-22.554.5L 23 - 28UN
Sat 9/13 Eastern Michigan at Kentucky+26.549.5L 23 - 48OY
Sat 9/20 Eastern Michigan vs Louisiana+2.551.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 9/27 Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan+3.055.5L 13 - 24UN
Sat 10/4 Eastern Michigan at Buffalo+9.553.5L 30 - 31OY
Sat 10/11 Eastern Michigan vs Northern Illinois+1.548.5W 16 - 10UY
Sat 10/18 Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH)+12.547.5L 30 - 44ON
Sat 10/25 Eastern Michigan vs Ohio+11.560.5L 21 - 28UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Eastern Michigan vs Bowling Green-3.049.5W 27 - 21UY
Sat 11/15 Eastern Michigan at Ball State-2.548.5W 24 - 9UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/25 Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan+10.049.0L 21 - 31OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Eastern Michigan's Schedule
Texas State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas State vs Eastern Michigan-14.058.5W 52 - 27OY
Sat 9/6 Texas State at UTSA+4.564.5W 43 - 36OY
Sat 9/13 Texas State at Arizona State+18.561.5L 15 - 34UN
Sat 9/20 Texas State vs Nicholls-32.557.0W 35 - 3UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas State at Arkansas State-14.063.5L 30 - 31UN
Sat 10/11 Texas State vs Troy-7.553.5L 41 - 48ON
Sat 10/18 Texas State at Marshall-3.065.5L 37 - 40ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28 Texas State vs James Madison+7.555.5L 20 - 52ON
Sat 11/8 Texas State at Louisiana-3.562.5L 39 - 42ON
Sat 11/15 Texas State at Southern Miss+3.065.5W 41 - 14UY
Sat 11/22 Texas State vs UL Monroe-20.559.5W 31 - 14UN
Sat 11/29 Texas State vs South Alabama-9.562.5W 49 - 26OY
Fri 1/2 Texas State vs Rice-19.555.5W 41 - 10UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
EMU#53 (.19)42% (68)24.145% (50)3.09 (43)14340% (84)2353.95 (45)#118 (.24)44% (95)29.844% (88)44% (103)3.88 (91)48.81.20.8
TXST#8 (.33)47% (24)36.546% (42)3.1 (40)20447% (19)2364.59 (14)#100 (.21)43% (85)2943% (70)44% (98)4.1 (109)52.81.20.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
EMU#117 (.09)42% (74)43% (87)2.98 (82)14242% (66)2353.47 (105)#83 (.19)45% (105)45% (84)46% (116)3.49 (38)62.41.41.3
TXST#25 (.25)48% (17)49% (14)3.41 (11)19448% (10)2453.89 (72)#50 (.14)39% (31)38% (21)39% (54)3.47 (33)56.51.61.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
EMU Offense1224.124.542.3%3.951.2203781432354.448%51%45%40%13%.19
TXST Defense132928.342.9%4.10.7 - - - - - 51%47%43%44%15%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
EMU Defense1229.834.743.7%3.880.8 - - - - - 60%39%44%44%11%.24
TXST Offense1336.53846.7%4.591.2214402042365.157%42%46%47%12%.33

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Eastern Michigan1228:0320.341%61%5.748.81.20.84.11.1024.5
Texas State1326:5421.148%59%6.252.81.20.76.21.7226.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
EMU Offense1248% (82)45% (50)32.4142.84.416 (78).14 (58)3.09 (43)64% (114)7% (10)0.95 (73)
TXST Defense1351% (91)43% (70) - - - - .12 (85)2.85 (60)71% (68)10% (61)1.05 (109)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
EMU Defense1260% (135)44% (88) - - - - .19 (116)3.14 (108)72% (73)7% (133)1.06 (112)
TXST Offense1357% (21)46% (42)39.8204.25.134 (4).27 (8)3.1 (40)66% (103)8% (34)1.14 (11)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
EMU Offense1251% (52)40% (84)20.633.7234.8711.418 (50)11 (88).28 (55)1.5 (71)31% (60)32% (46).4 (33)6% (78)2.1 (60)
TXST Defense1347% (54)44% (98) - - - - - - 8 (123).31 (95)1.6 (90)32% (58)35% (125).36 (102)5% (110)1.9 (31)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
EMU Defense1239% (3)44% (103) - - - - - - 7 (100).35 (114)1.6 (97)31% (79)34% (119).32 (81)4% (131)1.6 (2)
TXST Offense1342% (115)47% (19)18.125.8235.89.21318 (86)7 (7).43 (16)1.6 (33)29% (32)39% (9).56 (8)4% (12)2 (70)

Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -4.67  #87
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: 9.72  #64
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: 14.39  #107
2025 Talent Rating: 630.00  #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Eastern Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Eastern Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1  #122
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.7  #114
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8  #116

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -4.67   Texas State: 5.71

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -15.1   Texas State: 0.3




Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: 5.71  #53
Texas State's Offense Rating: 17.24  #26
Texas State's Defense Rating: 11.12  #85
2025 Talent Rating: 620.00  #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #65
Texas State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.9 - 6.1
Texas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3  #72
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.4  #18
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1  #123

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.5
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.7

Eastern Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Texas State 38
Eastern Michigan 22


Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Texas State 40
Eastern Michigan 22

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
Texas State 35
Eastern Michigan 27

Total Points: 62
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.3

Texas State's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/30Texas State52Eastern Michigan27Texas State -14Texas State58.5Over
202109/25Eastern Michigan59Texas State21Eastern Michigan -7.5Eastern Michigan62.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas State112 Overs
Eastern Michigan110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#87) EMU at (#53) TXST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatEMUTXST
Power RatePwr #87 #53
SP+SP+ #122 #72
Perf GradeGrade #123 #48
OffenseOff #88 #44
DefenseDef #131 #68
Spec TeamsST #127 #57
TalentTal #86 #89
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #65
Eastern Michigan Notes
(10/31) QB Kim really good, OL & RB McMillian good too
(10/31) Def 2nd worst in MAC, bottom 5 in all CFB
(10/31) DC Ben Needham must go, Def killing season
(9/20) Huge W vs ULL, 400+ yds Off, QB Kim better
(9/8) Run Off is bottom 10, QB Kim entire offense
(9/4) QB Kim good, Def awful esp vs Run vs Tex st
(7/27) WR Lockett back, need to find depth & TEs
(3/26) QB Kim (Coastal) or Edge (MD) portal adds
(3/26) RB rebuild. Some options, 2 portal adds
(3/26) OL bad LY, 3/5 back, only 1 portal
(3/26) Def bad LY, returns some. 7 portals
(3/26) HC Creighton sliding, lost last 5 to miss bowl
Eastern Michigan Injury Report
Texas State Notes
(12/19) Hiring DC Will Windham (S Al's DC, Def was awful)
(10/29) 4 straight L's, Def embarrassing. DC McCoil fail
(10/29) Must finish 3-1 to bowl. Awful regress for GJ Kinne
(10/27) RB Pare lost in losing streak, underrated RB
(10/19) 3 straight L's, allowing 40 PPG, Pass Def is awful
(10/19) Off has been good, Pass game great, but Def costing
(10/11) Blew 28-7 vs Troy, pass Def torched for 415, 5 TDs
(10/11) Troy QB Kilcrease doubled season yds pass vs Def
(10/5) Hard L @ Ark St, Def is really bad and costing W's
(9/4) rFr QB Brad Jackson looks like the real deal
(9/4) Run Off mauled EMU, OL looked outstanding
(8/1) Over Bet Watch, Kinne Off trust, Def struggles
Texas State Injury Report
Eastern Michigan on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
EMU OffTXST Def
Perf GradePerf #88 #68
SuccessSuc #68 #85
ExplosiveExp #73 #104
PPAPPA #53 #100
PowerPwr #64 #85
SP+SP+ #114 #123
Pts POPPO #45 #109
HavocHav #27 #94
Eastern Michigan Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
EMU OffTXST Def
Run GameRun #101 #50
Run SuccessRSuc #50 #70
Run ExplRExp #73 #109
PPAExp #58 #85
Run BlockR Blk #72 -
OL YdsOLY #43 #60
Stuff RateStuff #57 #15
TackleTak -  #121
Eastern Michigan Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
EMU OffTXST Def
Pass GamePass #57 #92
Pass SuccessPSuc #84 #98
Pass ExplPExl #71 #90
PPAExp #55 #95
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #91 #25
F7 HavocF7 #10 #61
DB HavocDB #78 #110
Texas State on Offense
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatTXST OffEMU Def
Perf GradePerf #44 #131
SuccessSuc #24 #95
ExplosiveExp #17 #97
PPAPPA #8 #118
PowerPwr #26 #107
SP+SP+ #18 #116
Pts POPPO #14 #91
HavocHav #15 #134
Texas State Run Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
TXST OffEMU Def
Run GameRun #41 #131
Run SuccessRSuc #42 #88
Run ExplRExp #11 #112
PPAExp #8 #116
Run BlockR Blk #46 -
OL YdsOLY #40 #108
Stuff RateStuff #40 #97
TackleTak -  #136
Texas State Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatTXST OffEMU Def
Pass GamePass #50 #129
Pass SuccessPSuc #19 #103
Pass ExplPExl #33 #97
PPAExp #16 #114
Pass Block/RushP Blk #36 #129
F7 HavocF7 #34 #133
DB HavocDB #12 #131
Program Comparison
TXST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

EMU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 88° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Texas State -14.0 (58.5)
Texas State won vs Eastern Michigan this year (52-27)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
EMU's OC Mike Piatkowski (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Noah Kim (Tr)24740261%281718117.0
Terry Lockett010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dontae McMillan177101445.754
Tavierre Dunlap (Tr)10642854.036
Noah Kim (Tr)7918662.420
Joey Mattord64818.024
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Devereaux34510715.045
Dontae McMillan33375311.450
Joshua Long3735739.627
Harold Mack20333216.751

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster

EMU's DC Ben Needham (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Llewellyn1035024
Barry Manning756222
Andrew Marshall614130
Donovan Green573220
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quincy Byas226350
Barry Manning756222
Donovan Green573220
Ronn Hardin113210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Llewellyn1035024
Caleb Coley100014
Joshua Scott290004

TXST's OC Landon Keopple (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brad Jackson23432871%30491879.3
Keldric Luster (Tr)1333%14004.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lincoln Pare2001023115.162
Brad Jackson160692164.363
Greg Burrell (Tr)9159036.561
Jaylen Jenkins2816726.058
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Beau Sparks801113913.973
Chris Dawn Jr.54931217.282
Lincoln Pare3630528.532
Kylen Evans15211114.145

View Texas State's Full Roster

TXST's DC Dexter McCoil (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Treylin Payne967222
Ryan Nolan682022
Bobby Crosby593203
Ayden Jones (Tr)461020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kalil Alexander4411440
Kenard Snyder (Tr)306320
Donterry Russell (Tr)175301
Treylin Payne967222
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Rios (Tr)234104
Amarion Atwood271023
Bobby Crosby593203