South Alabama at Texas State Game Matchup

South Alabama Jaguars at Texas State Bobcats

Saturday, November 25th 2023 (7:00 PM EST)
South Alabama -6.5 (57.0) (-220) Open: -5.0 | 58.0
Texas State 52 - South Alabama: 44 (Sun Belt)

Jaguars (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Kane Wommack (17 - 11)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (26 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 3.7 (#21)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TXST is playing their 5th straight game
USA is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: South Alabama -4 (SP+ USA -7)
Projected Score: USA: 31 - TXST: 27 (61)
USA Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
USA Travel: 592 miles

Bobcats (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 37 - 25 (39 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 5.2 (#47)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USA Players
TXST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Alabama's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	South Alabama at Tulane	+6.0	51.0	L 17 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/9	South Alabama vs SE Louisiana	-24.0	59.5	W 35 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/16	South Alabama at Oklahoma State	+7.0	49.5	W 33 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/23	South Alabama vs Central Michigan	-16.5	46.5	L 30 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/30	South Alabama at James Madison	+1.0	48.5	L 23 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/7	South Alabama at UL Monroe	-11.0	51.5	W 55 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/17	South Alabama vs Southern Miss	-18.5	51.0	W 55 - 3	O	Y
Sat 10/28	South Alabama vs Louisiana	-11.5	55.0	L 20 - 33	U	N
Thu 11/2	South Alabama at Troy	+5.5	44.5	L 10 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/11	South Alabama vs Arkansas State	-14.5	54.5	W 21 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/18	South Alabama vs Marshall	-10.5	44.5	W 28 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/25	South Alabama at Texas State	-6.5	57.0	L 44 - 52	O	N
Sat 12/23	South Alabama at Eastern Michigan	-18.0	43.0	W 59 - 10	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule

Texas State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Texas State at Baylor	+26.5	58.5	W 42 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Texas State at UTSA	+13.5	66.5	L 13 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Texas State vs Jackson State	-17.5	61.5	W 77 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Texas State vs Nevada	-17.0	60.0	W 35 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/30	Texas State at Southern Miss	-6.5	60.0	W 50 - 36	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Texas State at Louisiana	+1.0	67.5	L 30 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/14	Texas State vs UL Monroe	-18.5	64.5	W 21 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Texas State vs Troy	+6.5	53.0	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/4	Texas State vs Georgia Southern	+2.0	69.0	W 45 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Texas State at Coastal Carolina	-2.5	55.5	L 23 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/18	Texas State at Arkansas State	-3.5	59.5	L 31 - 77	O	N
Sat 11/25	Texas State vs South Alabama	+6.5	57.0	W 52 - 44	O	Y
Tue 12/26	Texas State vs Rice	-3.5	58.5	W 45 - 21	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USA	.22	42%	34.4	40%	3.06	155	45%	269	4.14	.11	38%	25.2	40%	37%	3.16	70.4	1.2	1.8
TXST	.11	38%	36.5	47%	3.14	103	33%	221	3.69	.13	41%	24.5	40%	42%	3.63	44.3	1.4	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TXST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USA Offense	13	34.4	25.5	42%	4.14	1.2	22	424	155	269	4	51%	48%	40%	45%	13%	.22
TXST Defense	12	24.5	22.1	40.7%	3.63	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	40%	42%	20%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USA Defense	13	25.2	22.8	37.7%	3.16	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	41%	58%	40%	37%	17%	.11
TXST Offense	12	36.5	38.7	38.3%	3.69	1.4	18	324	103	221	3.2	43%	56%	47%	33%	21%	.11

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Alabama	13	32:42	22.2	43%	59%	7.7	70.4	1.2	1.8	6.2	2.2	3	29.6
Texas State	12	30:28	17.7	37%	33%	4.8	44.3	1.4	2.1	6.4	2.2	2	26.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USA Offense	13	51%	40%	38.8	155.3	4	19	.16	3.06	78%	7%	1.02
TXST Defense	12	44%	40%	-	-	-	-	.12	3.17	63%	12%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USA Defense	13	41%	40%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.98	78%	11%	0.87
TXST Offense	12	43%	47%	31.9	103	3.2	9	.13	3.14	75%	13%	0.84

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USA Offense	13	48%	45%	22.4	34.4	268.9	7.8	12	28	12	.33	1.6	31%	30%	.3	5%	2
TXST Defense	12	55%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.19	1.4	33%	30%	.25	7%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USA Defense	13	58%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.18	1.6	36%	22%	.14	6%	2
TXST Offense	12	56%	33%	22.8	36.8	220.8	6	9.7	19	10	.14	1.6	33%	27%	.38	8%	2.2

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: 3.95 #41
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 19.51 #39
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 6.19 #32
2023 Talent Rating: 362.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
South Alabama's 2023 Expected Record: 9.30 - 3.70
South Alabama's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #68

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: 3.95 Texas State: -0.53

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: 3.0 Texas State: -4.0

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: -0.53 #77
Texas State's Offense Rating: 22.88 #21
Texas State's Defense Rating: 11.42 #91
2023 Talent Rating: 140.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Texas State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.80 - 5.20
Texas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #79
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #47
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #114

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.5
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.8

South Alabama's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
South Alabama 31
Texas State 27

Projected Total Points: 61

Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.1

Texas State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/29	South Alabama	38	Texas State	45	Texas State	Texas State -2.5	Texas State	60.5	Over
2023	11/25	Texas State	52	South Alabama	44	Texas State	South Alabama -6.5	Texas State	57.0	Over
2022	11/12	South Alabama	38	Texas State	21	South Alabama	South Alabama -16	South Alabama	46.0	Over
2021	10/09	Texas State	33	South Alabama	31	Texas State	South Alabama -4	Texas State	52.5	Over
2020	10/17	South Alabama	30	Texas State	20	South Alabama	South Alabama -4.5	South Alabama	57.5	Under
2019	11/09	Texas State	30	South Alabama	28	Texas State	Texas State -7	South Alabama	41.0	Over
2018	09/15	South Alabama	41	Texas State	31	South Alabama	South Alabama -10	Push	49.0	Over
2015	10/24	Texas State	36	South Alabama	18	Texas State	Texas State -5	Texas State	63.0	Under
2014	11/15	South Alabama	24	Texas State	20	South Alabama	South Alabama -4	Push	0
2013	10/26	Texas State	33	South Alabama	31	Texas State	South Alabama -1	Texas State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas State	6	5	6 Overs
South Alabama	4	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 1	6 - 2	3 - 1	3 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 9	2 - 6	1 - 3	1 - 3

(#41) South Alabama Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.95 #41
Offense Rating: 19.51 #39
Defense Rating: 6.19 #32
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #68
Talent Rating: 362.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 9.30 - 3.70

Team Profile

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South Alabama Ratings Matchup Texas State

Power #41

#77

Off #39

#21

Def #32

#91

Talent #120

#131

SP+ #55

#79

SP+ Off #50

#47

SP+ Def #68

#114

Rematch from Week 13
South Alabama 6.5 (57.0)
Texas State won vs South Alabama this year (52-44)

Previous Matchups
Texas State beat South Alabama last year (45-38)
Texas State beat South Alabama in 2023 (52-44)
South Alabama beat Texas State in 2022 (38-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 58° - Wind: 7 mph

Team Information
Injuries: USA | TXST
Depth Chart: USA | TXST
Rosters: USA | TXST

(#77) Texas State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.53 #77
Offense Rating: 22.88 #21
Defense Rating: 11.42 #91
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #79
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #47
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #114
Talent Rating: 140.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 7.80 - 5.20

Team Profile

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South Alabama's OC Major Applewhite

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Caullin Lacy	5	21	1	4.2	9
Jeremiah Webb	1	18	0	18.0	18
Jarvis Durr	5	16	1	3.2	4
Jamaal Pritchett	1	3	0	3.0	3

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jamaal Pritchett	91	1126	9	12.4	75
Jeremiah Webb	36	649	5	18.0	52
Shamar Sandgren	19	208	1	10.9	21
Caullin Lacy	18	196	1	10.9	34

View South Alabama's Full Roster

South Alabama's DC Corey Batoon

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaden Voisin	84	4	0	3	5
Wy'Kevious Thomas	41	1	0	0	1
Maurice Strong Jr.	35	5	1	1	1
Marquise Robinson	35	0	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Khalil Jacobs	12	3	2	2	0
Maurice Strong Jr.	35	5	1	1	1
Carlos Johnson	19	3	1	3	0
Jaden Voisin	84	4	0	3	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Marquise Robinson	35	0	0	7
Jaden Voisin	84	4	3	5
Yamarus Banks	21	2	0	3

Texas State's OC Mack Leftwich

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
TJ Finley	48	75	64%	490	1	2	6.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Donerio Davenport	31	107	1	3.5	12
Malik Hornsby	5	86	1	17.2	73
TJ Finley	11	20	0	1.8	8
Joey Hobert (Tr)	3	6	0	2.0	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Joey Hobert (Tr)	70	680	8	9.7	40
Ashtyn Hawkins	45	567	5	12.6	35
Konner Fox (Tr)	14	143	1	10.2	23
Drew Donley (Tr)	1	60	1	60.0	60

View Texas State's Full Roster

Texas State's DC Jonathan Patke

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Kenny Haynes	35	2	0	0
Chris Mills	33	3	1	7
Kaleb Culp (Tr)	29	1	0	0
Jaylon Shelton (Tr)	26	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Chris Mills	33	3	1	7
Kenny Haynes	35	2	0	0
Kaleb Culp (Tr)	29	1	0	0
Jaylon Shelton (Tr)	26	0	0	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Chris Mills	33	3	1	7
Jaylon Shelton (Tr)	26	0	0	3
Ronnie Hamrick II	5	0	0	1