Texas State Bobcats at Arkansas State Red Wolves
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (4:00 PM EDT)
Texas State -14 (63.5) (-575) Open: -8.5
Arkansas State 31 - Texas State: 30 (Sun Belt)
Bobcats (6 - 6) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (15 - 10)
Avg Score : 36 - 31 (34 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.9 - 6.1 (#70)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
Coach G. J. Kinne (15 - 10)
Avg Score : 36 - 31 (34 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.9 - 6.1 (#70)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
TXST coming off BYE
ARST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Texas State -10.5 (SP+ TXST -10)
Projected Score: TXST: 35 - ARST: 25 (60)
TXST Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
TXST Travel: 589 miles
ARST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Texas State -10.5 (SP+ TXST -10)
Projected Score: TXST: 35 - ARST: 25 (60)
TXST Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
TXST Travel: 589 miles
Red Wolves (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Butch Jones (18 - 31)
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (29 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#75)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
Coach Butch Jones (18 - 31)
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (29 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#75)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
| Texas State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Texas State vs Eastern Michigan | -14.0 | 58.5 | W 52 - 27 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Texas State at UTSA | +4.5 | 64.5 | W 43 - 36 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Texas State at Arizona State | +18.5 | 61.5 | L 15 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Texas State vs Nicholls | -32.5 | 57.0 | W 35 - 3 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Texas State at Arkansas State | -14.0 | 63.5 | L 30 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/11 | Texas State vs Troy | -7.5 | 53.5 | L 41 - 48 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/18 | Texas State at Marshall | -3.0 | 65.5 | L 37 - 40 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/28 | Texas State vs James Madison | +7.5 | 55.5 | L 20 - 52 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/8 | Texas State at Louisiana | -3.5 | 62.5 | L 39 - 42 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/15 | Texas State at Southern Miss | +3.0 | 65.5 | W 41 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/22 | Texas State vs UL Monroe | -20.5 | 59.5 | W 31 - 14 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/29 | Texas State vs South Alabama | -9.5 | 62.5 | W 49 - 26 | O | Y | |
| Fri 1/2 | Texas State vs Rice | -16.5 | 55.5 | ||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Arkansas State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Arkansas State vs Southeast Missouri State | -15.5 | 59.5 | W 42 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Arkansas State vs Arkansas | +23.5 | 62.0 | L 14 - 56 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Arkansas State vs Iowa State | +21.0 | 55.5 | L 16 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Arkansas State at Kennesaw State | -4.5 | 57.5 | L 21 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/27 | Arkansas State at UL Monroe | +1.5 | 55.5 | L 16 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/4 | Arkansas State vs Texas State | +14.0 | 63.5 | W 31 - 30 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/14 | Arkansas State at South Alabama | +8.5 | 57.5 | W 15 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/25 | Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern | +1.5 | 59.5 | W 34 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/1 | Arkansas State at Troy | +7.5 | 52.5 | W 23 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/8 | Arkansas State vs Southern Miss | +6.5 | 54.5 | L 21 - 27 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 11/20 | Arkansas State vs Louisiana | -2.5 | 54.5 | L 30 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/29 | Arkansas State at App State | +1.0 | 54.5 | W 30 - 29 | O | Y | |
| Thu 12/18 | Arkansas State vs Missouri State | -1.5 | 55.5 | W 34 - 28 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Important Stats (2025)
Overall Stats 2025
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST | #8 (.33) | 47% (24) | 36.1 | 46% (42) | 3.1 (40) | 221 | 47% (19) | 255 | 4.59 (14) | #100 (.21) | 43% (85) | 30.6 | 43% (70) | 44% (98) | 4.1 (109) | 57.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| ARST | #112 (.09) | 42% (71) | 25.2 | 40% (102) | 2.65 (118) | 124 | 44% (47) | 260 | 3.31 (110) | #89 (.19) | 43% (90) | 27.4 | 44% (81) | 43% (93) | 3.9 (93) | 57.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST | #25 (.25) | 48% (17) | 49% (14) | 3.41 (11) | 194 | 48% (10) | 245 | 3.89 (72) | #50 (.14) | 39% (31) | 38% (21) | 39% (54) | 3.47 (33) | 56.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | ||
| ARST | #81 (.17) | 41% (91) | 43% (84) | 3.01 (77) | 148 | 39% (96) | 210 | 3.96 (63) | #126 (.31) | 48% (124) | 51% (131) | 44% (110) | 4.62 (127) | 47.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Offense | 12 | 36.1 | 34.2 | 46.7% | 4.59 | 1.3 | 23 | 477 | 221 | 255 | 5.1 | 57% | 42% | 46% | 47% | 12% | .33 |
| ARST Defense | 13 | 27.4 | 27.2 | 43.4% | 3.9 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 47% | 44% | 43% | 16% | .19 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Defense | 12 | 30.6 | 32.8 | 42.9% | 4.1 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 47% | 43% | 44% | 15% | .21 |
| ARST Offense | 13 | 25.2 | 29 | 42% | 3.31 | 1.8 | 22 | 383 | 124 | 260 | 3.6 | 42% | 56% | 40% | 44% | 18% | .09 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State | 12 | 29:08 | 22.8 | 48% | 59% | 6.8 | 57.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 6.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 26.6 |
| Arkansas State | 13 | 29:31 | 22.2 | 39% | 60% | 6.3 | 57.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 3.1 | 3 | 30.4 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Offense | 12 | 57% (21) | 46% (42) | 43.1 | 221.2 | 5.1 | 34 (4) | .27 (8) | 3.1 (40) | 66% (103) | 8% (34) | 1.14 (11) |
| ARST Defense | 13 | 52% (96) | 44% (81) | - | - | - | - | .12 (80) | 2.75 (45) | 69% (50) | 11% (39) | 1.01 (92) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Defense | 12 | 51% (91) | 43% (70) | - | - | - | - | .12 (85) | 2.85 (60) | 71% (68) | 10% (61) | 1.05 (109) |
| ARST Offense | 13 | 42% (122) | 40% (102) | 34.5 | 123.5 | 3.6 | 14 (107) | -.01 (125) | 2.65 (118) | 70% (80) | 10% (89) | 0.8 (125) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Offense | 12 | 42% (115) | 47% (19) | 19.6 | 27.9 | 255.4 | 9.2 | 13 | 18 (86) | 7 (7) | .43 (16) | 1.6 (33) | 29% (32) | 39% (9) | .56 (8) | 4% (12) | 2 (70) |
| ARST Defense | 13 | 47% (44) | 43% (93) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (75) | .31 (97) | 1.6 (89) | 31% (87) | 32% (99) | .41 (118) | 5% (109) | 2.2 (117) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST Defense | 12 | 47% (54) | 44% (98) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 (123) | .31 (95) | 1.6 (90) | 32% (58) | 35% (125) | .36 (102) | 5% (110) | 1.9 (31) |
| ARST Offense | 13 | 56% (13) | 44% (47) | 25.7 | 39.1 | 259.8 | 6.7 | 10.1 | 20 (86) | 12 (60) | .21 (86) | 1.4 (122) | 30% (47) | 28% (86) | .27 (83) | 8% (125) | 2.1 (27) |
Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: 6.12 #53
Texas State's Offense Rating: 17.24 #26
Texas State's Defense Rating: 11.12 #85
2025 Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Texas State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.9 - 6.1
Texas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3 #72
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #18
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1 #123
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Texas State's Power Rating: 6.12 #53
Texas State's Offense Rating: 17.24 #26
Texas State's Defense Rating: 11.12 #85
2025 Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Texas State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.9 - 6.1
Texas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3 #72
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #18
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1 #123
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State: 6.12 Arkansas State: -7.31
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: 0.3 Arkansas State: -9.8
Texas State: 6.12 Arkansas State: -7.31
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: 0.3 Arkansas State: -9.8
Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -7.31 #108
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 3.63 #102
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 13.45 #102
2025 Talent Rating: 702.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Arkansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 6.5
Arkansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.8 #105
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #97
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #104
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -7.31 #108
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 3.63 #102
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 13.45 #102
2025 Talent Rating: 702.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Arkansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 6.5
Arkansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.8 #105
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #97
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #104
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.2
Defense: 30.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8
Texas State's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Offense: 36.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.2
Defense: 30.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8
Texas State's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Texas State 35
Arkansas State 25
Total Points: 60
Based on Last 4 Games
Texas State 31
Arkansas State 23
Total Points: 54
Based on Entire Season
Texas State 31
Arkansas State 29
Total Points: 60
Texas State 35
Arkansas State 25
Total Points: 60
Based on Last 4 Games
Texas State 31
Arkansas State 23
Total Points: 54
Based on Entire Season
Texas State 31
Arkansas State 29
Total Points: 60
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2
Arkansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2
Arkansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10/04 | Arkansas State | 31 | Texas State | 30 | Texas State -14 | Arkansas State | 63.5 | Under |
| 2024 | 10/12 | Texas State | 41 | Arkansas State | 9 | Texas State -13.5 | Texas State | 66.0 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/18 | Arkansas State | 77 | Texas State | 31 | Texas State -3.5 | Arkansas State | 59.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 11/19 | Texas State | 16 | Arkansas State | 13 | Texas State -6 | Arkansas State | 50.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/27 | Arkansas State | 22 | Texas State | 24 | Arkansas State -2 | Texas State | 62.0 | Under |
| 2020 | 11/21 | Texas State | 47 | Arkansas State | 45 | Arkansas State -4.5 | Texas State | 69.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 10/26 | Arkansas State | 38 | Texas State | 14 | Arkansas State -11.5 | Arkansas State | 60.5 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/24 | Texas State | 7 | Arkansas State | 33 | Arkansas State -13 | Arkansas State | 48.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/18 | Arkansas State | 30 | Texas State | 12 | Arkansas State -26.5 | Texas State | 58.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 12/03 | Texas State | 14 | Arkansas State | 36 | Arkansas State -21.5 | Arkansas State | 54.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 12/05 | Arkansas State | 55 | Texas State | 17 | Arkansas State -21.5 | Arkansas State | 68.0 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/20 | Texas State | 45 | Arkansas State | 27 | Arkansas State -6.5 | Texas State | 58.0 | Over |
| 2013 | 11/16 | Arkansas State | 38 | Texas State | 21 | Arkansas State -6.5 | Arkansas State | 0 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State | 8 | 8 | 4 Overs |
| Texas State | 5 | 5 | 8 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 10 - 3 | 8 - 5 | 4 - 3 | 4 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 3 - 10 | 5 - 8 | 2 - 4 | 3 - 4 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | TXST | ARST |
| Power RatePwr | #53 | #108 |
| SP+SP+ | #72 | #105 |
| Perf GradeGrade | #48 | #93 |
| OffenseOff | #44 | #86 |
| DefenseDef | #68 | #94 |
| Spec TeamsST | #57 | #62 |
| TalentTal | #89 | #75 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | #65 | #79 |
(10/29) 4 straight L's, Def embarrassing. DC McCoil fail
(10/29) Must finish 3-1 to bowl. Awful regress for GJ Kinne
(10/27) RB Pare lost in losing streak, underrated RB
(10/19) 3 straight L's, allowing 40 PPG, Pass Def is awful
(10/19) Off has been good, Pass game great, but Def costing
(10/11) Blew 28-7 vs Troy, pass Def torched for 415, 5 TDs
(10/11) Troy QB Kilcrease doubled season yds pass vs Def
(10/5) Hard L @ Ark St, Def is really bad and costing W's
(9/4) rFr QB Brad Jackson looks like the real deal
(9/4) Run Off mauled EMU, OL looked outstanding
(8/1) Over Bet Watch, Kinne Off trust, Def struggles
(9/20) Def #'s near bottom of CFB, but vs P4 so far
(9/20) QUIT WATCH? Bad, bad loss at Kennesaw St
(9/20) Run Off 3.3 ypc vs Kennesaw? Down 21-0 early
(8/1) Def could be awful again TY, Off will be fun
(8/1) Tempo was top 20 in CFB LY, likely same TY
(8/1) OL 1/5 back. 6 OL portals & some good adds
(8/1) Def added 17 portals, fired most staff LY
(8/1) HC Jones 1+ win each year, but 5-19 on road
(7/13) QB, WR, OC & HC all back. Could jump TY
(7/12) WR Rucker great (1k LY), 5 portal adds
(5/23) Ark St was 7-1 in 1 score games LY, -4 SOW
| Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42% | ||
|---|---|---|
| TXST Off | ARST Def | |
| Perf GradePerf | #44 | #94 |
| SuccessSuc | #24 | #90 |
| ExplosiveExp | #17 | #95 |
| PPAPPA | #8 | #89 |
| PowerPwr | #26 | #102 |
| SP+SP+ | #18 | #104 |
| Pts POPPO | #14 | #93 |
| HavocHav | #15 | #70 |
| Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42% | ||
|---|---|---|
| TXST Off | ARST Def | |
| Run GameRun | #41 | #79 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #42 | #81 |
| Run ExplRExp | #11 | #92 |
| PPAExp | #8 | #80 | Run BlockR Blk | #46 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #40 | #45 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #40 | #64 |
| TackleTak | - | #48 |
| Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42% | ||
|---|---|---|
| TXST Off | ARST Def | |
| Pass GamePass | #50 | #97 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #19 | #93 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #33 | #89 |
| PPAExp | #16 | #97 |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | #36 | #82 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #34 | #39 |
| DB HavocDB | #12 | #109 |
| Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | ARST Off | TXST Def |
| Perf GradePerf | #86 | #68 |
| SuccessSuc | #71 | #85 |
| ExplosiveExp | #124 | #104 |
| PPAPPA | #112 | #100 |
| PowerPwr | #102 | #85 |
| SP+SP+ | #97 | #123 |
| Pts POPPO | #110 | #109 |
| HavocHav | #111 | #94 |
| Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43% | ||
|---|---|---|
| ARST Off | TXST Def | |
| Run GameRun | #115 | #50 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #102 | #70 |
| Run ExplRExp | #125 | #109 |
| PPAExp | #125 | #85 | Run BlockR Blk | #79 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #118 | #60 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #111 | #15 |
| TackleTak | - | #121 |
| Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | ARST Off | TXST Def |
| Pass GamePass | #78 | #92 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #47 | #98 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #122 | #90 |
| PPAExp | #86 | #95 |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | #13 | #25 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #89 | #61 |
| DB HavocDB | #125 | #110 |
Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5
TXST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5
ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5
TXST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5
Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 82° - Wind: 12 mph
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 82° - Wind: 12 mph
Texas State 14.0 (63.5)
Arkansas State won vs Texas State this year (31-30)
Previous Matchups
Texas State beat Arkansas State last year (41-9)
Arkansas State beat Texas State in 2023 (77-31)
Texas State beat Arkansas State in 2022 (16-13)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Jackson | 234 | 328 | 71% | 3049 | 18 | 7 | 9.3 |
| Keldric Luster (Tr) | 1 | 3 | 33% | 14 | 0 | 0 | 4.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln Pare | 200 | 1023 | 11 | 5.1 | 62 |
| Brad Jackson | 160 | 692 | 16 | 4.3 | 63 |
| Greg Burrell (Tr) | 91 | 590 | 3 | 6.5 | 61 |
| Jaylen Jenkins | 28 | 167 | 2 | 6.0 | 58 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beau Sparks | 80 | 1113 | 9 | 13.9 | 73 |
| Chris Dawn Jr. | 54 | 931 | 2 | 17.2 | 82 |
| Lincoln Pare | 36 | 305 | 2 | 8.5 | 32 |
| Kylen Evans | 15 | 211 | 1 | 14.1 | 45 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treylin Payne | 96 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Ryan Nolan | 68 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Bobby Crosby | 59 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Ayden Jones (Tr) | 46 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalil Alexander | 44 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Kenard Snyder (Tr) | 30 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Donterry Russell (Tr) | 17 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Treylin Payne | 96 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Rios (Tr) | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Amarion Atwood | 27 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Bobby Crosby | 59 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Raynor | 332 | 500 | 66% | 3364 | 19 | 11 | 6.7 |
| Josh Flowers | 2 | 6 | 33% | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Spencer | 108 | 559 | 3 | 5.2 | 43 |
| Kenyon Clay (Tr) | 139 | 523 | 3 | 3.8 | 30 |
| Jaylen Raynor | 154 | 428 | 7 | 2.8 | 42 |
| Josh Flowers | 9 | 60 | 0 | 6.7 | 16 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Rucker | 73 | 1029 | 4 | 14.1 | 71 |
| Chauncy Cobb | 73 | 797 | 1 | 10.9 | 51 |
| Hunter Summers | 44 | 505 | 4 | 11.5 | 43 |
| Tyler Fortenberry (Tr) | 32 | 294 | 2 | 9.2 | 28 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Alexander (Tr) | 92 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle Taylor | 84 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| AG McGhee (Tr) | 83 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Brandon Barnes | 68 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demarcus Hendricks | 53 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 1 |
| Ethan Hassler | 56 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 1 |
| Cody Sigler (Tr) | 34 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Bryan Whitehead II | 21 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Sigler (Tr) | 34 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| AG McGhee (Tr) | 83 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Avante Dickerson (Tr) | 54 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |