North Carolina Tar Heels (@UNCFootball)
Bill Belichick (1st year) (2-3)
Record: 2 - 3 (0 - 1) | Proj: 4 - 8 (#114) | SOS: (#65)
Roster | Injuries | Portals | Croots | Map
Record: 2 - 3 (0 - 1) | Proj: 4 - 8 (#114) | SOS: (#65)
| North Carolina's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Mon 9/1 | North Carolina vs TCU | +3.0 | 59.5 | L 14 - 48 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | North Carolina at Charlotte | -16.5 | 49.5 | W 20 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | North Carolina vs Richmond | -24.5 | 47.5 | W 41 - 6 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | North Carolina at UCF | +7.0 | 46.5 | L 9 - 34 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | North Carolina vs Clemson | +15.5 | 47.5 | L 10 - 38 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/17 | North Carolina at California | +10.0 | 47.5 | ||||
| Sat 10/25 | North Carolina vs Virginia | +15 | |||||
| Fri 10/31 | North Carolina at Syracuse | +6 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | North Carolina vs Stanford | -3.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | North Carolina at Wake Forest | +16 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | North Carolina vs Duke | +11.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | North Carolina at NC State | +15.5 | |||||
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 #114
Schedule Rating: #65
Record: 2 - 3( ACC: 0 - 1)
Spread Record 2 - 3 - 0 | O/U 2 - 3
Future 2026 Schedule
| North Carolina's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | North Carolina at Minnesota | -2.0 | 52.5 | W 19 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | North Carolina vs Charlotte | -21.5 | 47.5 | W 38 - 20 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | North Carolina vs North Carolina Central | -37.5 | 57.5 | W 45 - 10 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | North Carolina vs James Madison | -10.0 | 48.0 | L 50 - 70 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | North Carolina at Duke | -1.0 | 55.5 | L 20 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | North Carolina vs Pittsburgh | +2.5 | 63.0 | L 24 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | North Carolina vs Georgia Tech | +3.5 | 60.5 | L 34 - 41 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/26 | North Carolina at Virginia | +3.5 | 58.5 | W 41 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | North Carolina at Florida State | -2.5 | 50.5 | W 35 - 11 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | North Carolina vs Wake Forest | -10.5 | 64.5 | W 31 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | North Carolina at Boston College | -2.0 | 50.5 | L 21 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | North Carolina vs NC State | -2.5 | 54.5 | L 30 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 12/28 | North Carolina vs UConn | -2.0 | 53.5 | L 14 - 27 | U | N | |
2024 Record: 6 - 7 (ACC: 3 - 5)
Spread Record 2 - 10 - 1 | O/U 5 - 8
Played: 0 Elite, 2 Good, 1 Avg, 0 Bad, 1 Poor
Future: 0 Elite, 1 Good, 3 Avg, 2 Bad, 1Poor
2025 class: 206 points #43
2024 class: 229 points #26
2023 class: 219 points #29
2022 class: 259 points #11
2021 class: 254 points #14
Average Class Ranking: #25
Average Recruiting Points: 233
2024 class: 229 points #26
2023 class: 219 points #29
2022 class: 259 points #11
2021 class: 254 points #14
Average Class Ranking: #25
Average Recruiting Points: 233
Four Year Crootin Profile
Declining Top 25 Contenders
4 Year Class: #30 - Best: #11 Worst: #43
CFB Crootin Averages
ACC Class: 211 #42
Power 4 Class: 225 #42
FBS Class: 179 #69
Declining Top 25 Contenders
4 Year Class: #30 - Best: #11 Worst: #43
CFB Crootin Averages
ACC Class: 211 #42
Power 4 Class: 225 #42
FBS Class: 179 #69
2020 class: 247 points #19
2019 class: 219 points #30
2018 class: 232 points #20
2017 class: 208 points #29
2016 class: 205 points #32
Average Class Ranking: #26
Average Recruiting Points: 222
2019 class: 219 points #30
2018 class: 232 points #20
2017 class: 208 points #29
2016 class: 205 points #32
Average Class Ranking: #26
Average Recruiting Points: 222
2025 Portal Class #9 - 32 players, 87 Avg
2024 Portal Class #53 - 8 players, 87 Avg
2023 Portal Class #30 - 10 players, 88 Avg
2022 Portal Class #42 - 5 players, 87 Avg
Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward
Portal Data only 2022 forward
Offensive Coordinator Freddie Kitchens (in his first season)
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Johnson | 46 | 72 | 64% | 383 | 2 | 0 | 5.3 |
| Giovanni Lopez | 42 | 67 | 63% | 430 | 3 | 3 | 6.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demon June | 38 | 266 | 1 | 7.0 | 50 |
| Giovanni Lopez | 33 | 69 | 1 | 2.1 | 12 |
| Benjamin Hall (Tr) | 20 | 68 | 1 | 3.4 | 11 |
| Davion Gause | 17 | 44 | 1 | 2.6 | 12 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Shipp | 18 | 234 | 2 | 13.0 | 39 |
| Javarius Green | 8 | 110 | 0 | 13.8 | 39 |
| Chris Culliver | 5 | 104 | 1 | 20.8 | 51 |
| Jake Johnson | 10 | 85 | 1 | 8.5 | 16 |
Defensive Coordinator Stephen Belichick (in his first season)
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Simpson (Tr) | 29 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Khmori House (Tr) | 29 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Kaleb Cost | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Gavin Gibson (Tr) | 20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Simpson (Tr) | 29 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Melkart Abou-Jaoude (Tr) | 14 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Mikai Gbayor (Tr) | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| C.J. Mims (Tr) | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Allen | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Thaddeus Dixon (Tr) | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jaiden Patterson | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 53% #78
Offense Returning Production: 52% #80
Defense Returning Production: 54% #69
Overall Returning Production: 53% #78
Offense Returning Production: 52% #80
Defense Returning Production: 54% #69
Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class #9
32 Commits, 87.2 Avg Rating
43% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 43% TY
2025 Portal Class #9
32 Commits, 87.2 Avg Rating
43% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 43% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Offense Talent #18 | Defense Talent #24
2024 #18 | 2023 #1 | 2022 #16 | 2021 #17
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Offense Talent #18 | Defense Talent #24
2024 #18 | 2023 #1 | 2022 #16 | 2021 #17
2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 2 - 3
2025 Conf Record: 0 - 1
Spread: 2 - 3 - 0 | Totals: 2 - 3
2024 Record: 6 - 7
2024 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 2 - 10 - 1 | Totals: 5 - 8
2023 Record: 8 - 5
2023 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 6 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7
2022 Record: 9 - 5
2022 Conf Record: 6 - 3
Spread: 6 - 7 - 1 | Totals: 6 - 8
Four Year Record: 25 - 20
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 16 - 27 - 2
Four Year Conference Record: 13 - 13
2025 Record: 2 - 3
2025 Conf Record: 0 - 1
Spread: 2 - 3 - 0 | Totals: 2 - 3
2024 Record: 6 - 7
2024 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 2 - 10 - 1 | Totals: 5 - 8
2023 Record: 8 - 5
2023 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 6 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7
2022 Record: 9 - 5
2022 Conf Record: 6 - 3
Spread: 6 - 7 - 1 | Totals: 6 - 8
Four Year Record: 25 - 20
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 16 - 27 - 2
Four Year Conference Record: 13 - 13
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 6 - 7
2021 Conf Record: 4 - 6
Spread: 5 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 5
2020 Record: 8 - 4
2020 Conf Record: 7 - 3
Spread: 5 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 6
2019 Record: 7 - 6
2019 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 7 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 6
2018 Record: 2 - 9
2018 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Spread: 5 - 5 - 1 | Totals: 7 - 4
Eight Year Record: 48 - 46
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 38 - 52 - 3
Eight Year Conference Record: 35 - 33
2021 Record: 6 - 7
2021 Conf Record: 4 - 6
Spread: 5 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 5
2020 Record: 8 - 4
2020 Conf Record: 7 - 3
Spread: 5 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 6
2019 Record: 7 - 6
2019 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 7 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 6
2018 Record: 2 - 9
2018 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Spread: 5 - 5 - 1 | Totals: 7 - 4
Eight Year Record: 48 - 46
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 38 - 52 - 3
Eight Year Conference Record: 35 - 33
| North Carolina Recent Bowl History | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Bowl | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result |
| 2024 | Fenway Bowl | North Carolina vs UConn | -2.0 | 53.5 | L 14 - 27 |
| 2023 | Mayo Bowl | North Carolina vs West Virginia | +4.5 | 62.0 | L 10 - 30 |
| 2022 | Holiday Bowl | North Carolina vs Oregon | +13.0 | 76.0 | L 27 - 28 |
| 2021 | Mayo Bowl | North Carolina vs South Carolina | -12.5 | 57.5 | L 21 - 38 |
| 2020 | Orange Bowl | North Carolina vs Texas A&M | +7.0 | 67.5 | L 27 - 41 |
| 2019 | Military Bowl | North Carolina vs Temple | -6.0 | 56.5 | W 55 - 13 |
| 2016 | N/A | North Carolina vs Stanford | +2.5 | 55.0 | L 23 - 25 |
| 2015 | Athletic Bowl | North Carolina vs Baylor | +3.5 | L 38 - 49 | |
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
More Stats (2025)
Overall Stats (2025)
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Offense PPA | Offense Expl | Offense Success | Offense Pts Per Opp | Avg Start FP | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Defense PPA | Defense Expl | Defense Success | Defense Pts Per Opp | Opponent FP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | .08 (117) | 1.18 (107) | 39% (116) | 3.52 (104) | 30 (47) | 32% | 63% | .23 (107) | 1.25 (73) | 42% (76) | 2.9 (17) | 29.1 (88) |
| Teams | Offense PPA | Offense Expl | Offense Success | Offense Pts Per Opp | Avg Start FP | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Defense PPA | Defense Expl | Defense Success | Defense Pts Per Opp | Opponent FP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | .2 (65) | 1.32 (39) | 42% (80) | 4.08 (52) | 29.1 (70) | 40% | 50% | .17 (70) | 1.27 (66) | 41% (53) | 4.01 (90) | 29.8 (90) |
More Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5 | 26:39 | 14.8 | 32% | 63% | 5 | 51 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13 | 27:42 | 20.2 | 40% | 50% | 6.8 | 59.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5.2 | 2.8 | 6 |
Overall Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PPG | Home | Road | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Offense | 5 | 18.8 | 21.7 | 14.5 | 38.7% (116) | 3.52 (104) | 1.2 | 15 | 265 | 102 | 163 | 3.8 | 51% (67) | 49% (67) | 40% (104) | 38% (115) | 17% (100) | .08 (117) |
| 2025 Defense | 5 | 25.8 | 30.7 | 18.5 | 42% (76) | 2.9 (17) | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 46% (30) | 54% (111) | 34% (16) | 49% (127) | 15% (94) | .23 (107) |
| Teams | Games | PPG | Home | Road | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 13 | 30.9 | 36 | 27.2 | 42% (80) | 4.08 (52) | 1.2 | 20 | 391 | 175 | 216 | 4.9 | 52% (53) | 47% (82) | 47% (34) | 37% (114) | 15% (49) | .2 (65) |
| 2024 Defense | 13 | 28.1 | 33.4 | 20.8 | 40.5% (53) | 4.01 (90) | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 53% (92) | 46% (38) | 44% (82) | 37% (26) | 15% (90) | .17 (70) |
Run Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Offense | 5 | 51% (67) | 40% (104) | 27 | 102.2 | 3.8 | 5 (115) | .09 (86) | 2.79 (90) | 76% (45) | 12% (121) | 0.94 (80) |
| 2025 Defense | 5 | 46% (30) | 34% (16) | - | - | - | - | .02 (31) | 2.12 (5) | 93% (136) | 9% (95) | 0.96 (73) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 13 | 52% (53) | 47% (34) | 35.9 | 175.2 | 4.9 | 26 (36) | .26 (14) | 3.32 (22) | 70% (89) | 9% (54) | 1.06 (36) |
| 2024 Defense | 13 | 53% (92) | 44% (82) | - | - | - | - | .16 (88) | 3.39 (121) | 86% (130) | 9% (83) | 0.89 (29) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Offense | 5 | 49% (67) | 38% (115) | 17.6 | 28 | 162.6 | 5.8 | 9.2 | 5 (116) | 4 (50) | .07 (124) | 1.4 (104) | 28% (31) | 23% (123) | .26 (90) | 5% (52) | 2.1 (49) |
| 2025 Defense | 5 | 54% (111) | 49% (127) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (62) | .41 (124) | 1.4 (35) | 30% (99) | 27% (38) | .29 (71) | 6% (69) | 1.8 (33) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 13 | 47% (82) | 37% (114) | 16.8 | 29 | 215.9 | 7.5 | 12.8 | 17 (79) | 8 (40) | .17 (101) | 1.7 (29) | 32% (74) | 29% (94) | .32 (78) | 6% (60) | 2.1 (33) |
| 2024 Defense | 13 | 46% (38) | 37% (26) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (76) | .22 (64) | 1.8 (125) | 32% (66) | 26% (12) | .23 (35) | 5% (103) | 2.2 (99) |
Team Notes
(9/20) Team is a complete joke, fitting for Carolina ❌
(9/1) Worse than even I thought, Def bad G5 level ❌
(8/27) QB1 - Gio Lopez has won starting job in fall ❌
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 52% from portals ❌
(4/17) QB Lopez (S Al) added post spring. ❌
(4/17) Is Lopez QB1? Have Johnson (Inj)/Browne (PU) ❌
(3/21) RB rebuild. Some options, SO Gause has exp ❌
(3/21) WR/TE rebuild. Have some talented options ❌
(3/21) OL rebuild 1/5 back. 5 portal adds. ❌
(3/21) Def - Run Def awful LY. Have some DE's ❌
(3/21) Nearly 1/2 roster new TY. New staff ❌
(9/20) Team is a complete joke, fitting for Carolina ❌
(9/1) Worse than even I thought, Def bad G5 level ❌
(8/27) QB1 - Gio Lopez has won starting job in fall ❌
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 52% from portals ❌
(4/17) QB Lopez (S Al) added post spring. ❌
(4/17) Is Lopez QB1? Have Johnson (Inj)/Browne (PU) ❌
(3/21) RB rebuild. Some options, SO Gause has exp ❌
(3/21) WR/TE rebuild. Have some talented options ❌
(3/21) OL rebuild 1/5 back. 5 portal adds. ❌
(3/21) Def - Run Def awful LY. Have some DE's ❌
(3/21) Nearly 1/2 roster new TY. New staff ❌
Injury Notes
Overall
Power Rating #79 | SP+ Rating #103
Performance Grade #88
Special Teams Grade #80
Record Prediction 4.1 - 7.9 #114
5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5
Power Rating #79 | SP+ Rating #103
Performance Grade #88
Special Teams Grade #80
Record Prediction 4.1 - 7.9 #114
5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5
Offense
Power #98 | SP+ #109 | Grade #119
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Off Success #116 | Explosivness #107
Rush Grade #126 | Pass Grade #117
Rush Success #104 | Explosiveness #80
Pass Success #115 | Explosiveness #104
Run Block #86 | Pass Block #46
OL YDS #90 | Stuff Rate #55
Scoring Zone Off: #104
Power #98 | SP+ #109 | Grade #119
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Off Success #116 | Explosivness #107
Rush Grade #126 | Pass Grade #117
Rush Success #104 | Explosiveness #80
Pass Success #115 | Explosiveness #104
Run Block #86 | Pass Block #46
OL YDS #90 | Stuff Rate #55
Scoring Zone Off: #104
Defense
Power #66 | SP+ #90 | Grade #59
Def Success #76 | Explosivness #73
Rush Success #16 | Explosiveness #73
Tackling #42 | Run Def #42
Pass Success #127 | Explosiveness #35
Pass Rush #55 | Coverage #83
F7 Havoc #95 | DB Havoc #69
Scoring Zone Def #17
Power #66 | SP+ #90 | Grade #59
Def Success #76 | Explosivness #73
Rush Success #16 | Explosiveness #73
Tackling #42 | Run Def #42
Pass Success #127 | Explosiveness #35
Pass Rush #55 | Coverage #83
F7 Havoc #95 | DB Havoc #69
Scoring Zone Def #17
Roster
Team Talent #17 Blue Chips: 17% #29
Offense Talent #18 Defense Talent #24
Crootin: '25 Class #43 - 4 YR Class: #30
Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
Portal Class #9 - 32 players, 87 Avg
43% of Roster from Portal, 43% TY
90 New Players, 89% of '25 Roster #132
Team Talent #17 Blue Chips: 17% #29
Offense Talent #18 Defense Talent #24
Crootin: '25 Class #43 - 4 YR Class: #30
Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
Portal Class #9 - 32 players, 87 Avg
43% of Roster from Portal, 43% TY
90 New Players, 89% of '25 Roster #132
Scoring & Records
Scoring: 18.8 - 25.8 (31 - 28) in '24
Scoring at Home: 22 - 31 | Road: 15 - 19
OC: Freddie Kitchens - in his first season
DC: Stephen Belichick - in his first season
2025 Record: 2 - 3 (2 - 3 - 0) (ACC: 0 - 1)
2024 Record: 6 - 7 (2 - 10 - 1) (ACC: 3 - 5)
2023 Record: 8 - 5 (6 - 7 - 0) (ACC: 4 - 4)
4 Yr Record: (25 - 20) | 8 Yr Record: (48 - 46)
Scoring: 18.8 - 25.8 (31 - 28) in '24
Scoring at Home: 22 - 31 | Road: 15 - 19
OC: Freddie Kitchens - in his first season
DC: Stephen Belichick - in his first season
2025 Record: 2 - 3 (2 - 3 - 0) (ACC: 0 - 1)
2024 Record: 6 - 7 (2 - 10 - 1) (ACC: 3 - 5)
2023 Record: 8 - 5 (6 - 7 - 0) (ACC: 4 - 4)
4 Yr Record: (25 - 20) | 8 Yr Record: (48 - 46)
Notes
Sounds like this Belichick experiment is ending fast
Team is a complete joke, fitting for Carolina
Worse than even I thought, Def bad G5 level
QB1 - Gio Lopez has won starting job in fall
One of the most exp'd OLs, but 52% from portals
QB Lopez (S Al) added post spring.
NFL style not open to fans/media. We'll see
Is Lopez QB1? Have Johnson (Inj)/Browne (PU)
RB rebuild. Some options, SO Gause has exp
WR/TE rebuild. Have some talented options
Sounds like this Belichick experiment is ending fast
Team is a complete joke, fitting for Carolina
Worse than even I thought, Def bad G5 level
QB1 - Gio Lopez has won starting job in fall
One of the most exp'd OLs, but 52% from portals
QB Lopez (S Al) added post spring.
NFL style not open to fans/media. We'll see
Is Lopez QB1? Have Johnson (Inj)/Browne (PU)
RB rebuild. Some options, SO Gause has exp
WR/TE rebuild. Have some talented options
'25 Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.52 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Awful Pass Success 38%
Good Offensive Turnovers
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good 1st/2nd Down Success 72%
Awful when off Schedule 23%
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.52 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Awful Pass Success 38%
Good Offensive Turnovers
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good 1st/2nd Down Success 72%
Awful when off Schedule 23%
'25 Defense
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Great in Scoring Position 2.9 PPO
Great Run Def Success 34%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg at Forcing Turnovers
Great Penalty Team, Avg Field Position
Poor 1st/2nd Down Success 70%
Good when Opp is off Schedule 27%
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Great in Scoring Position 2.9 PPO
Great Run Def Success 34%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg at Forcing Turnovers
Great Penalty Team, Avg Field Position
Poor 1st/2nd Down Success 70%
Good when Opp is off Schedule 27%
Returning Prod
UNC lost their '24 starting QB (50%) #79
Returning Production: 53% #78
Offense: 52% #80 | Defense: 54% #69
OL Prod: 80% #19, 3 clear starters
OL Snaps: 5084 #2 | From Portal: 2662 #8
Rush Prod: 35% #106 | Rec Prod: 33% #107
Def Front Seven: 34% - Secondary: 65%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 7.5 - 4.5
UNC lost their '24 starting QB (50%) #79
Returning Production: 53% #78
Offense: 52% #80 | Defense: 54% #69
OL Prod: 80% #19, 3 clear starters
OL Snaps: 5084 #2 | From Portal: 2662 #8
Rush Prod: 35% #106 | Rec Prod: 33% #107
Def Front Seven: 34% - Secondary: 65%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 7.5 - 4.5
4 Year Overall
2025 SP+ Overall: #103 - Power Rating: #79
2024 SP+ Overall: #49 - Power Rating: #68
2023 SP+ Overall: #27 - Power Rating: #25
2022 SP+ Overall: #46
2025 SP+ Overall: #103 - Power Rating: #79
2024 SP+ Overall: #49 - Power Rating: #68
2023 SP+ Overall: #27 - Power Rating: #25
2022 SP+ Overall: #46
4 Year Offense
2025 SP+ Offense: #109 - Power Rating: #98
2024 SP+ Offense: #38 - Power Rating: #86
2023 SP+ Offense: #13 - Power Rating: #20
2022 SP+ Offense: #11
2025 SP+ Offense: #109 - Power Rating: #98
2024 SP+ Offense: #38 - Power Rating: #86
2023 SP+ Offense: #13 - Power Rating: #20
2022 SP+ Offense: #11
4 Year Defense
2025 SP+ Defense: #90 - Power Rating: #66
2024 SP+ Defense: #64 - Power Rating: #77
2023 SP+ Defense: #71 - Power Rating: #81
2022 SP+ Defense: #104
2025 SP+ Defense: #90 - Power Rating: #66
2024 SP+ Defense: #64 - Power Rating: #77
2023 SP+ Defense: #71 - Power Rating: #81
2022 SP+ Defense: #104