North Carolina at Georgia Tech - 2023 Matchup Preview
North Carolina logo North Carolina Tar Heels at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets(#18)Georgia Tech logo
Saturday, October 28th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
North Carolina -12 (65.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Georgia Tech 46 - North Carolina: 42  (ACC)

 
Tar Heels (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mack Brown (33 - 22)
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (31 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
GT 2nd straight Home Game
UNC is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: North Carolina -7   (SP+ UNC -11.5)

Projected Score: UNC: 36 - GT: 29 (64)
UNC Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
UNC Travel: 337 miles
Yellow Jackets (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Key (5 - 6)
Avg Score : 31 - 30 (33 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 6.9 (#73)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
North Carolina's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 North Carolina vs South Carolina+2.563.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 9/9 North Carolina vs App State-18.058.0W 40 - 34ON
Sat 9/16 North Carolina vs Minnesota-7.051.0W 31 - 13UY
Sat 9/23 North Carolina at Pittsburgh-7.049.5W 41 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 North Carolina vs Syracuse-9.559.0W 40 - 7UY
Sat 10/14 North Carolina vs Miami-2.557.5W 41 - 31OY
Sat 10/21 North Carolina vs Virginia-24.058.0L 27 - 31UN
Sat 10/28 North Carolina at Georgia Tech-12.065.5L 42 - 46ON
Sat 11/4 North Carolina vs Campbell-45.568.5W 59 - 7UY
Sat 11/11 North Carolina vs Duke-9.552.5W 47 - 45ON
Sat 11/18 North Carolina at Clemson+7.558.0L 20 - 31UN
Sat 11/25 North Carolina at NC State-2.055.0L 20 - 39ON
Wed 12/27 North Carolina vs West Virginia+4.562.0L 10 - 30UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Georgia Tech's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Georgia Tech vs Louisville+7.049.5L 34 - 39OY
Sat 9/9 Georgia Tech vs South Carolina State-44.053.5W 48 - 13ON
Sat 9/16 Georgia Tech at Ole Miss+17.061.5L 23 - 48ON
Sat 9/23 Georgia Tech at Wake Forest+3.558.5W 30 - 16UY
Sat 9/30 Georgia Tech vs Bowling Green-21.049.5L 27 - 38ON
Sat 10/7 Georgia Tech at Miami+19.057.0W 23 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Georgia Tech vs Boston College-5.557.0L 23 - 38ON
Sat 10/28 Georgia Tech vs North Carolina+12.065.5W 46 - 42OY
Sat 11/4 Georgia Tech at Virginia+2.057.5W 45 - 17OY
Sat 11/11 Georgia Tech at Clemson+17.555.5L 21 - 42ON
Sat 11/18 Georgia Tech vs Syracuse-6.551.5W 31 - 22OY
Sat 11/25 Georgia Tech vs Georgia+23.059.5L 23 - 31UY
Fri 12/22 Georgia Tech vs UCF+6.066.5W 30 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC#17 (.3)47% (19)34.550% (16)3.41 (11)19344% (44)2994.13 (45)#86 (.21)42% (70)27.343% (68)42% (76)3.41 (35)66.31.31.7
GT#32 (.28)45% (36)31.149% (19)3.53 (6)20442% (62)2214.27 (31)#100 (.23)46% (119)29.548% (120)44% (100)3.83 (72)44.81.61.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)47% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)44% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2
GT#36 (.24)46% (29)45% (47)2.85 (100)17246% (25)2224.25 (35)#65 (.16)42% (77)41% (50)44% (99)3.97 (85)35.60.60.8



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Offense1334.530.846.8%4.131.3254921932995.146%53%50%44%13%.3
GT Defense1329.530.745.7%3.831.9 - - - - - 57%42%48%44%18%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Defense1327.33542.2%3.411.7 - - - - - 50%49%43%42%15%.21
GT Offense1331.13345.1%4.271.6224252042215.455%43%49%42%17%.28

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Carolina1328:3424.549%45%7.266.31.31.75.42.1131.3
Georgia Tech1328:3922.243%52%5.244.81.61.94.41.7031.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Offense1346% (97)50% (16)38.2193.25.128 (25).28 (9)3.41 (11)75% (52)8% (31)1.03 (48)
GT Defense1357% (128)48% (120) - - - - .24 (116)3.49 (128)87% (129)10% (81)0.97 (52)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Defense1350% (70)43% (68) - - - - .2 (100)3.33 (112)73% (68)10% (85)1.02 (81)
GT Offense1355% (30)49% (19)37.8203.85.424 (41).27 (12)3.53 (6)75% (52)11% (78)1.03 (49)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Offense1353% (36)44% (44)22.535.4298.58.413.326 (31)11 (68).34 (47)1.6 (73)30% (33)32% (56).38 (55)5% (24)2.2 (21)
GT Defense1342% (5)44% (100) - - - - - - 15 (15).29 (86)1.5 (41)29% (124)31% (88).32 (73)8% (8)2 (65)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Defense1349% (63)42% (76) - - - - - - 12 (37).29 (82)1.6 (64)34% (43)34% (117).38 (100)6% (92)1.9 (22)
GT Offense1343% (107)42% (62)17.829.2220.87.612.427 (25)17 (127).37 (31)1.8 (10)30% (40)32% (58).43 (36)7% (102)2.3 (8)

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 9.47 #25
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 22.89 #20
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 10.64 #81
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 44% #18
North Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
North Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 9.47   Georgia Tech: 2.815

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 10.2   Georgia Tech: -1.3




Georgia Tech's Power Ratings
Georgia Tech's Power Rating: 2.815 #50
Georgia Tech's Offense Rating: 20.16 #35
Georgia Tech's Defense Rating: 12.77 #100
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #41
Georgia Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 6.10 - 6.90
Georgia Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Georgia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #45
Georgia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.3 #93

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 34.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

North Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 36
Georgia Tech 29


Total Points: 64

Georgia Tech Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 33
Defense: 29.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.7

Georgia Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12North Carolina34Georgia Tech41Georgia TechGeorgia Tech -3.5Georgia Tech60.5Over
202310/28Georgia Tech46North Carolina42Georgia TechNorth Carolina -12Georgia Tech65.5Over
202211/19North Carolina17Georgia Tech21Georgia TechNorth Carolina -21.5Georgia Tech63.5Under
202109/25Georgia Tech45North Carolina22Georgia TechNorth Carolina -14.5Georgia Tech66.0Over
201910/05Georgia Tech22North Carolina38North CarolinaNorth Carolina -9.5North Carolina47.0Over
201811/03North Carolina28Georgia Tech38Georgia TechGeorgia Tech -4Georgia Tech66.0Push
201709/30Georgia Tech33North Carolina7Georgia TechGeorgia Tech -10Georgia Tech58.5Under
201611/05North Carolina48Georgia Tech20North CarolinaNorth Carolina -9.5North Carolina63.5Over
201510/03Georgia Tech31North Carolina38North CarolinaGeorgia Tech -10.5North Carolina61.5Over
201410/18North Carolina48Georgia Tech43North CarolinaNorth Carolina -2.5North Carolina68.0Over
201309/21Georgia Tech28North Carolina20Georgia TechGeorgia Tech -3.5Georgia Tech0
201211/10North Carolina50Georgia Tech68Georgia Tech
201109/24Georgia Tech35North Carolina28Georgia Tech
201009/18North Carolina24Georgia Tech30Georgia Tech
200909/26Georgia Tech24North Carolina7Georgia Tech
200811/08North Carolina28Georgia Tech7North Carolina
200711/17Georgia Tech27North Carolina25Georgia Tech
200611/11North Carolina0Georgia Tech7Georgia Tech
200509/10Georgia Tech27North Carolina21Georgia Tech
200409/18North Carolina34Georgia Tech13North Carolina
200311/15Georgia Tech41North Carolina24Georgia Tech
200209/28North Carolina13Georgia Tech21Georgia Tech
200111/01Georgia Tech28North Carolina21Georgia Tech
200009/29North Carolina28Georgia Tech42Georgia Tech
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia Tech1877 Overs
North Carolina642 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 106 - 54 - 22 - 3
Road Teams10 - 145 - 63 - 22 - 4

(#25) North Carolina Info
Power Rating: 9.47 #25
Offense Rating: 22.89 #20
Defense Rating: 10.64 #81
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 44% #18
Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80


North Carolina has lost 1 straight
North Carolina has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 3 (1 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

North Carolina Highlights
North Carolina has Really Good Running Game (#93)
North Carolina offense is efficent (#105)
North Carolina has a top Offensive Line (#94)
North Carolina offense is good on 3rd downs
North Carolina does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#83)


North Carolina Deficiencies
North Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#25)
North Carolina Does Not Stuff Runs (#15)
North Carolina has a bad defensive line (#4)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatGTUNC
OverallOver#55#29
OffenseOff#48#31
DefenseDef#72#39
Special TeamsST#52#96
PassingPass#44#7
RushingRush#15#18
Run BlockRBLK#52#76
Pass BlockPBLK#61#37
Route RunningWR Rt#58#48
TacklingTkl#41#47
Run DefenseR Def#97#51
Pass Rush DefPRush#63#35
Coverage DefCov#32#31

Rematch from Week 9
North Carolina 12.0 (65.5)
Georgia Tech won vs North Carolina this year (46-42)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Tech beat North Carolina last year (41-34)
Georgia Tech beat North Carolina in 2023 (46-42)
Georgia Tech beat North Carolina in 2022 (21-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stadium at Historic Grant Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNC | GT
Depth Chart: UNC | GT
Rosters: UNC | GT
(#50) Georgia Tech Info
Power Rating: 2.815 #50
Offense Rating: 20.16 #35
Defense Rating: 12.77 #100
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.3 #93
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #41
Expected Record: 6.10 - 6.90


Georgia Tech has lost 1 straight
Georgia Tech has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Georgia Tech Highlights
Georgia Tech is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

Georgia Tech has Really Good Running Game (#17)
Georgia Tech offense is explosive (#106)
Georgia Tech has a top Offensive Line (#26)
Georgia Tech does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#23)

Georgia Tech defense does not give up big plays (#39)
Georgia Tech Secondary is very good (#120)
Georgia Tech defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)

Georgia Tech Deficiencies
Georgia Tech throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)
Georgia Tech has a bad defense (#73)
Georgia Tech Does Not Stuff Runs (#112)
Georgia Tech has a bad defensive line (#92)


  
North Carolina's OC Chip Lindsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drake Maye26942563%36082498.5
Conner Harrell223367%270228.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Omarion Hampton2531504155.968
Drake Maye11244994.056
British Brooks7437525.153
Conner Harrell227513.461
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
J.J. Jones46711315.557
Devontez Walker (Tr)41699717.056
Bryson Nesbit41585514.362
Nate Mccollum (Tr)44469110.748

View North Carolina's Full Roster
North Carolina's DC Gene Chizik
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cedric Gray12111574
Power Echols1026041
Don Chapman645121
Antavious Lane (Tr)623001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaimon Rucker61159121
Cedric Gray12111574
Beau Atkinson195430
Desmond Evans335375
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcus Allen491008
Alijah Huzzie (Tr)421016
Desmond Evans335375

Georgia Tech's OC Buster Faulkner
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Haynes King (Tr)22636762%284227167.7
Zach Pyron4850%21012.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamal Haynes174105976.167
Haynes King (Tr)120737106.171
Dontae Smith10050445.070
Trevion Cooley (Tr)6427434.323
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric Singleton Jr.44664515.158
Malik Rutherford46502410.955
Dominick Blaylock (Tr)21337216.053
Christian Leary (Tr)25309212.444

View Georgia Tech's Full Roster
Georgia Tech's DC Kevin Sherrer
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Efford761120
Miles Brooks651006
Clayton Powell-Lee621002
Jaylon King590009
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Kennard4911610
Paul Moala5710342
Andre White213300
D'Quan Douse323200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylon King590009
KJ Wallace392117
Miles Brooks651006