North Carolina at Georgia Tech - 2023 Matchup Preview

North Carolina Tar Heels at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Saturday, October 28th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
North Carolina -12 (65.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Georgia Tech 46 - North Carolina: 42 (ACC)

Tar Heels (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mack Brown (33 - 22)
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (18 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

GT 2nd straight Home Game
UNC is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: North Carolina -7 (SP+ UNC -11.5)
Projected Score: UNC: 32 - GT: 25 (58)
UNC Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
UNC Travel: 337 miles

Yellow Jackets (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Key (5 - 6)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (39 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 6.9 (#73)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNC Players
GT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

North Carolina's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	North Carolina vs South Carolina	+2.5	63.5	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/9	North Carolina vs App State	-18.0	58.0	W 40 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/16	North Carolina vs Minnesota	-7.0	51.0	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/23	North Carolina at Pittsburgh	-7.0	49.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	North Carolina vs Syracuse	-9.5	59.0	W 40 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/14	North Carolina vs Miami	-2.5	57.5	W 41 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/21	North Carolina vs Virginia	-24.0	58.0	L 27 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/28	North Carolina at Georgia Tech	-12.0	65.5	L 42 - 46	O	N
Sat 11/4	North Carolina vs Campbell	-45.5	68.5	W 59 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/11	North Carolina vs Duke	-9.5	52.5	W 47 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/18	North Carolina at Clemson	+7.5	58.0	L 20 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/25	North Carolina at NC State	-2.0	55.0	L 20 - 39	O	N
Wed 12/27	North Carolina vs West Virginia	+4.5	62.0	L 10 - 30	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule

Georgia Tech's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Georgia Tech vs Louisville	+7.0	49.5	L 34 - 39	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Georgia Tech vs South Carolina State	-44.0	53.5	W 48 - 13	O	N
Sat 9/16	Georgia Tech at Ole Miss	+17.0	61.5	L 23 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/23	Georgia Tech at Wake Forest	+3.5	58.5	W 30 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Georgia Tech vs Bowling Green	-21.0	49.5	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/7	Georgia Tech at Miami	+19.0	57.0	W 23 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Georgia Tech vs Boston College	-5.5	57.0	L 23 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/28	Georgia Tech vs North Carolina	+12.0	65.5	W 46 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Georgia Tech at Virginia	+2.0	57.5	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Georgia Tech at Clemson	+17.5	55.5	L 21 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/18	Georgia Tech vs Syracuse	-6.5	51.5	W 31 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Georgia Tech vs Georgia	+23.0	59.5	L 23 - 31	U	Y
Fri 12/22	Georgia Tech vs UCF	+6.0	66.5	W 30 - 17	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNC	.3	46%	19.3	45%	3.18	153	47%	309	4.47	.29	48%	24.5	49%	48%	4.51	55.3	1	1.1
GT	.05	36%	32.2	37%	2.96	133	36%	192	3.25	.17	43%	25	48%	39%	3.15	52.7	1.1	2.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
GT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNC Offense	14	19.3	17.5	46.2%	4.47	1	25	463	153	309	4.2	45%	55%	45%	47%	14%	.3
GT Defense	12	25	22.5	43.4%	3.15	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	48%	39%	17%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNC Defense	14	24.5	23	48.3%	4.51	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	49%	48%	12%	.29
GT Offense	12	32.2	38.7	36.3%	3.25	1.1	18	325	133	192	3.8	49%	50%	37%	36%	21%	.05

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
North Carolina	14	29:55	24.6	46%	71%	6.1	55.3	1	1.1	3.4	1.2	1	29.7
Georgia Tech	12	28:18	17.7	31%	38%	5.8	52.7	1.1	2.3	6.3	2.3	1	26.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNC Offense	14	45%	45%	36.4	153.4	4.2	24	.18	3.18	72%	10%	1
GT Defense	12	52%	48%	-	-	-	-	.22	3.39	70%	11%	0.98

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNC Defense	14	51%	49%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.25	79%	6%	0.87
GT Offense	12	49%	37%	35.5	133	3.8	13	.13	2.96	66%	14%	1.13

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNC Offense	14	55%	47%	24.6	37.5	309.3	8.3	12.6	38	7	.41	1.6	32%	40%	.5	4%	1.9
GT Defense	12	46%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.17	1.5	30%	32%	.27	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNC Defense	14	49%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.41	1.6	28%	31%	.4	6%	2.2
GT Offense	12	50%	36%	18.3	31.8	192.2	6.1	10.5	10	9	.03	1.4	38%	27%	.27	7%	2

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 9.47 #25
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 22.89 #20
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 10.64 #81
2023 Talent Rating: 805.63 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 44% #18
North Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
North Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 9.47 Georgia Tech: 2.815

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 10.2 Georgia Tech: -1.3

Georgia Tech's Power Ratings
Georgia Tech's Power Rating: 2.815 #50
Georgia Tech's Offense Rating: 20.16 #35
Georgia Tech's Defense Rating: 12.77 #100
2023 Talent Rating: 710.85 #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #41
Georgia Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 6.10 - 6.90
Georgia Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Georgia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #45
Georgia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.3 #93

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

North Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
North Carolina 32
Georgia Tech 25

Projected Total Points: 58

Georgia Tech Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

Georgia Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	North Carolina	34	Georgia Tech	41	Georgia Tech -3.5	Georgia Tech	60.5	Over
2023	10/28	Georgia Tech	46	North Carolina	42	North Carolina -12	Georgia Tech	65.5	Over
2022	11/19	North Carolina	17	Georgia Tech	21	North Carolina -21.5	Georgia Tech	63.5	Under
2021	09/25	Georgia Tech	45	North Carolina	22	North Carolina -14.5	Georgia Tech	66.0	Over
2019	10/05	Georgia Tech	22	North Carolina	38	North Carolina -9.5	North Carolina	47.0	Over
2018	11/03	North Carolina	28	Georgia Tech	38	Georgia Tech -4	Georgia Tech	66.0	Push
2017	09/30	Georgia Tech	33	North Carolina	7	Georgia Tech -10	Georgia Tech	58.5	Under
2016	11/05	North Carolina	48	Georgia Tech	20	North Carolina -9.5	North Carolina	63.5	Over
2015	10/03	Georgia Tech	31	North Carolina	38	Georgia Tech -10.5	North Carolina	61.5	Over
2014	10/18	North Carolina	48	Georgia Tech	43	North Carolina -2.5	North Carolina	68.0	Over
2013	09/21	Georgia Tech	28	North Carolina	20	Georgia Tech -3.5	Georgia Tech	0
2012	11/10	North Carolina	50	Georgia Tech	68
2011	09/24	Georgia Tech	35	North Carolina	28
2010	09/18	North Carolina	24	Georgia Tech	30
2009	09/26	Georgia Tech	24	North Carolina	7
2008	11/08	North Carolina	28	Georgia Tech	7
2007	11/17	Georgia Tech	27	North Carolina	25
2006	11/11	North Carolina	0	Georgia Tech	7
2005	09/10	Georgia Tech	27	North Carolina	21
2004	09/18	North Carolina	34	Georgia Tech	13
2003	11/15	Georgia Tech	41	North Carolina	24
2002	09/28	North Carolina	13	Georgia Tech	21
2001	11/01	Georgia Tech	28	North Carolina	21
2000	09/29	North Carolina	28	Georgia Tech	42

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia Tech	18	7	7 Overs
North Carolina	6	4	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 10	6 - 5	4 - 2	2 - 3
Road Teams	10 - 14	5 - 6	3 - 2	2 - 4

(#25) UNC at (#50) GT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNC	GT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#25	#50
SP+SP+	#27	#69
Perf GradeGrade	#35	#69
OffenseOff	#34	#51
DefenseDef	#47	#94
Spec TeamsST	#119	#64
TalentTal	#17	#36
Blue ChipsBC%	#18	#41

North Carolina Injury Report

Georgia Tech Injury Report

North Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	UNC Off	GT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#34	#94
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#20	#100
SP+SP+	#13	#93
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	GT Def
Run GameRun	#26	#114
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#102	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#46

North Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	GT Def
Pass GamePass	#8	#38
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#42	#80
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Georgia Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	GT Off	UNC Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#51	#47
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#35	#81
SP+SP+	#45	#71
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	GT Off	UNC Def
Run GameRun	#22	#57
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#67	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#54

Georgia Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	GT Off	UNC Def
Pass GamePass	#57	#37
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#71	#41
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
GT 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Top G5

UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'23 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stadium at Historic Grant Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
North Carolina 12.0 (65.5)
Georgia Tech won vs North Carolina this year (46-42)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Tech beat North Carolina in 2024 (41-34)
Georgia Tech beat North Carolina in 2023 (46-42)

UNC's OC Chip Lindsey (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Drake Maye	269	425	63%	3608	24	9	8.5
Conner Harrell	22	33	67%	270	2	2	8.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omarion Hampton	253	1504	15	5.9	68
Drake Maye	112	449	9	4.0	56
British Brooks	74	375	2	5.1	53
Conner Harrell	22	75	1	3.4	61

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
J.J. Jones	46	711	3	15.5	57
Devontez Walker (Tr)	41	699	7	17.0	56
Bryson Nesbit	41	585	5	14.3	62
Nate Mccollum (Tr)	44	469	1	10.7	48

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC Gene Chizik (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cedric Gray	121	11	5	7	4
Power Echols	102	6	0	4	1
Don Chapman	64	5	1	2	1
Antavious Lane (Tr)	62	3	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kaimon Rucker	61	15	9	12	1
Cedric Gray	121	11	5	7	4
Beau Atkinson	19	5	4	3	0
Desmond Evans	33	5	3	7	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marcus Allen	49	1	0	0	8
Alijah Huzzie (Tr)	42	1	0	1	6
Desmond Evans	33	5	3	7	5

GT's OC Buster Faulkner (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Haynes King (Tr)	226	367	62%	2842	27	16	7.7
Zach Pyron	4	8	50%	21	0	1	2.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jamal Haynes	174	1059	7	6.1	67
Haynes King (Tr)	120	737	10	6.1	71
Dontae Smith	100	504	4	5.0	70
Trevion Cooley (Tr)	64	274	3	4.3	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eric Singleton Jr.	44	664	5	15.1	58
Malik Rutherford	46	502	4	10.9	55
Dominick Blaylock (Tr)	21	337	2	16.0	53
Christian Leary (Tr)	25	309	2	12.4	44

View Georgia Tech's Full Roster

GT's DC Kevin Sherrer (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Efford	76	1	1	2	0
Miles Brooks	65	1	0	0	6
Clayton Powell-Lee	62	1	0	0	2
Jaylon King	59	0	0	0	9

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Kennard	49	11	6	1	0
Paul Moala	57	10	3	4	2
Andre White	21	3	3	0	0
D'Quan Douse	32	3	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylon King	59	0	0	0	9
KJ Wallace	39	2	1	1	7
Miles Brooks	65	1	0	0	6