Stanford at North Carolina - 2016 Matchup Preview

Stanford Cardinal vs North Carolina Tar Heels

Friday, December 30th 2016 (2:00 PM EST)
Stanford -2.5 (55.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Stanford 25 - North Carolina: 23

Cardinal (10 - 3) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 29 (13 - 32 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -0 (SP+ STAN -0.5)
Projected Score: STAN: 21 - UNC: 25 (46)
STAN Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
STAN Travel: 971 miles, 1 hrs behind

Tar Heels (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (21 - 26 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
STAN Players
UNC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Stanford's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Stanford vs Kansas State	-16.5	49.0	W 26 - 13	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17	Stanford vs USC	-6.5	48.5	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Stanford at UCLA	-2.5	47.0	W 22 - 13	U	Y
Fri 9/30	Stanford at Washington	+3.5	46.5	L 6 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/8	Stanford vs Washington State	-12.5	56.5	L 16 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/15	Stanford at Notre Dame	+3.5	53.0	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Stanford vs Colorado	-3.5	50.0	L 5 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/29	Stanford at Arizona	+3.0	49.5	W 34 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Stanford vs Oregon State	-16.5	42.5	W 26 - 15	U	N
Sat 11/12	Stanford at Oregon	-1.0	57.5	W 52 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Stanford at California	-11.0	60.5	W 45 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Stanford vs Rice	-33.0	50.5	W 41 - 17	O	N
Fri 12/30	Stanford vs North Carolina	-2.5	55.0	W 25 - 23	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule

North Carolina's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	North Carolina vs Georgia	+3.5	60.0	L 24 - 33	U	N
Sat 9/10	North Carolina at Illinois	-7.0	59.5	W 48 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/17	North Carolina vs James Madison	-24.5
Sat 9/24	North Carolina vs Pittsburgh	-7.0	67.0	W 37 - 36	O	N
Sat 10/1	North Carolina at Florida State	+12.0	72.5	W 37 - 35	U	Y
Sat 10/8	North Carolina vs Virginia Tech	-5.5	49.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/15	North Carolina at Miami	+7.0	67.0	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/22	North Carolina at Virginia	-9.0	68.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	North Carolina vs Georgia Tech	-9.5	63.5	W 48 - 20	O	Y
Thu 11/10	North Carolina at Duke	-10.5	66.5	L 27 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/19	North Carolina vs The Citadel	-24.0
Fri 11/25	North Carolina vs NC State	-10.0	63.0	L 21 - 28	U	N
Fri 12/30	North Carolina vs Stanford	+2.5	55.0	L 23 - 25	U	Y

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
STAN	.32	52%	18.8	52%	3.31	224	51%	212	4.38	.17	44%	29.2	41%	43%	3.39	46.3	0.9	1
UNC	.33	50%	19.3	51%	3.54	224	46%	263	4.4	.16	47%	24.5	50%	40%	3.12	46.4	1.4	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
STAN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
STAN Offense	14	18.8	12.5	52.4%	4.38	0.9	22	436	224	212	5.1	61%	37%	52%	51%	2%	.32
UNC Defense	14	24.5	26	46.7%	3.12	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	59%	40%	50%	40%	2%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
STAN Defense	14	29.2	32.3	43.7%	3.39	1	-	-	-	-	-	46%	51%	41%	43%	3%	.17
UNC Offense	14	19.3	21	50.1%	4.4	1.4	24	487	224	263	6	51%	47%	51%	46%	1%	.33

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Stanford	14	34:48	22.1	50%	81%	5.6	46.3	0.9	1	0	0	4	32.1
North Carolina	14	25:16	23.9	48%	58%	5.7	46.4	1.4	1.9	0	0	2	31.6

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
STAN Offense	14	61%	52%	43.6	223.7	5.1	33	.23	3.31	77%	0%	0.94
UNC Defense	14	59%	50%	-	-	-	-	.22	3.48	78%	0%	0.91

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
STAN Defense	14	46%	41%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.87	69%	0%	0.97
UNC Offense	14	51%	51%	37.6	224.4	6	40	.29	3.54	71%	0%	1.07

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
STAN Offense	14	37%	51%	15.2	22.7	211.8	9.3	13.9	30	8	.5	1.7	26%	39%	.47	2%	1.8
UNC Defense	14	40%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.08	1.4	28%	32%	.24	2%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
STAN Defense	14	51%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.28	1.5	31%	37%	.33	3%	1.7
UNC Offense	14	47%	46%	18.6	29.2	262.5	9	14.1	31	10	.4	1.8	28%	42%	.44	1%	1.8

Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: NR
Stanford's Offense Rating: NR
Stanford's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Stanford's 2016 Expected Record: -
Stanford's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.4 #13
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #53
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Stanford: North Carolina: 7.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stanford: 16.4 North Carolina: 15.9

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 7.95 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2016 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 #17
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #21
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #41

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Stanford Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.5
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.3

Stanford's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
North Carolina 25
Stanford 21

Projected Total Points: 46

North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

North Carolina's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/08	North Carolina	20	Stanford	15	North Carolina -8.5	Stanford	41.5	Under
2016	12/30	North Carolina	23	Stanford	25	Stanford -2.5	North Carolina	55.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
North Carolina	1	1	0 Overs
Stanford	1	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0

Stanford Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2016	N/A	Stanford vs North Carolina	-2.5	55.0	W 25 - 23
2015	Rose Bowl	Stanford vs Iowa	-6.5		W 45 - 16
2014	Farms Bowl	Stanford vs Maryland	-14.0	44.5	W 45 - 21
2013	Rose Bowl	Stanford vs Michigan State	-6.5	41.0	L 20 - 24
2012	Rose Bowl	Stanford vs Wisconsin			W 20 - 14
2011	Fiesta Bowl	Stanford vs Oklahoma State			L 38 - 41
2010	Orange Bowl	Stanford vs Virginia Tech			W 40 - 12

North Carolina Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2016	N/A	North Carolina vs Stanford	+2.5	55.0	L 23 - 25
2015	Athletic Bowl	North Carolina vs Baylor	+3.5		L 38 - 49
2014	Lane Bowl	North Carolina vs Rutgers	-3.5	72.0	L 21 - 40
2013	Belk Bowl	North Carolina vs Cincinnati	-2.5	60.0	W 39 - 17
2011	Independence Bowl	North Carolina vs Missouri			L 24 - 41
2010	City Bowl	North Carolina vs Tennessee			W 30 - 27

(#) STAN at (#) UNC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	STAN	UNC
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#13	#17
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#17	#29
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Stanford Injury Report

North Carolina Injury Report

Stanford on Offense


CategoryCat	STAN Off	UNC Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#53	#41
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Stanford Run Game


CategoryCat	STAN Off	UNC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Stanford Pass Game


CategoryCat	STAN Off	UNC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

North Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	UNC Off	STAN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#21	#12
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	STAN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

North Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	STAN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

STAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Bowl Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 47°

Rematch from Week 1
Stanford 2.5 (55.0)
Stanford won at North Carolina this year (25-23)

Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Stanford last year (20-15)

STAN's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UNC's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD