North Carolina at Clemson - 2023 Matchup Preview
North Carolina logo   North Carolina Tar Heels at Clemson Tigers  Clemson logo
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Clemson -7.5 (58.0) (-305)  Open: -11.0
Clemson 31 - North Carolina: 20  (ACC)

 
Tar Heels (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mack Brown (33 - 22)
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (18 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CLEM 3rd straight Home Game
CLEM is playing their 5th straight game
UNC is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Clemson -4  (SP+ CLEM -1)
Projected Score: UNC: 24 - CLEM: 28 (52)
CLEM Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
UNC Travel: 230 miles
Tigers (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (163 - 40)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (28 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
North Carolina's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 North Carolina vs South Carolina+2.563.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 9/9 North Carolina vs App State-18.058.0W 40 - 34ON
Sat 9/16 North Carolina vs Minnesota-7.051.0W 31 - 13UY
Sat 9/23 North Carolina at Pittsburgh-7.049.5W 41 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 North Carolina vs Syracuse-9.559.0W 40 - 7UY
Sat 10/14 North Carolina vs Miami-2.557.5W 41 - 31OY
Sat 10/21 North Carolina vs Virginia-24.058.0L 27 - 31UN
Sat 10/28 North Carolina at Georgia Tech-12.065.5L 42 - 46ON
Sat 11/4 North Carolina vs Campbell-45.568.5W 59 - 7UY
Sat 11/11 North Carolina vs Duke-9.552.5W 47 - 45ON
Sat 11/18 North Carolina at Clemson+7.558.0L 20 - 31UN
Sat 11/25 North Carolina at NC State-2.055.0L 20 - 39ON
Wed 12/27 North Carolina vs West Virginia+4.562.0L 10 - 30UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Clemson's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/4 Clemson at Duke-12.554.0L 7 - 28UN
Sat 9/9 Clemson vs Charleston Southern-50.553.0W 66 - 17ON
Sat 9/16 Clemson vs Florida Atlantic-25.051.5W 48 - 14OY
Sat 9/23 Clemson vs Florida State+2.055.5L 24 - 31UN
Sat 9/30 Clemson at Syracuse-7.052.0W 31 - 14UY
Sat 10/7 Clemson vs Wake Forest-21.053.5W 17 - 12UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Clemson at Miami-3.048.5L 20 - 28UN
Sat 10/28 Clemson at NC State-9.544.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 11/4 Clemson vs Notre Dame+3.044.5W 31 - 23OY
Sat 11/11 Clemson vs Georgia Tech-17.555.5W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/18 Clemson vs North Carolina-7.558.0W 31 - 20UY
Sat 11/25 Clemson at South Carolina-7.548.0W 16 - 7UY
Fri 12/29 Clemson vs Kentucky-3.544.5W 38 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Clemson's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC.346%19.345%3.1815347%3094.47.2948%24.549%48%4.5155.311.1
CLEM.1945%27.249%3.2917841%2324.14.0838%20.539%37%3.2248.21.61.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CLEM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Offense1419.317.546.2%4.471254631533094.245%55%45%47%14%.3
CLEM Defense1420.52437.7%3.221.7 - - - - - 42%58%39%37%21%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Defense1424.52348.3%4.511.1 - - - - - 51%49%49%48%12%.29
CLEM Offense1427.22844.9%4.141.6234101782324.652%48%49%41%14%.19

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Carolina1429:5524.646%71%6.155.311.13.41.2129.7
Clemson1431:1222.847%50%5.448.21.61.77.63.1228.8
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Offense1445%45%36.4153.44.224.183.1872%10%1
CLEM Defense1442%39% - - - - .062.6964%13%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Defense1451%49% - - - - .183.2579%6%0.87
CLEM Offense1452%49%39.1178.44.631.23.2978%9%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Offense1455%47%24.637.5309.38.312.6387.411.632%40%.54%1.9
CLEM Defense1458%37% - - - - - - 13.11.634%25%.28%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Defense1449%48% - - - - - - 9.411.628%31%.46%2.2
CLEM Offense1448%41%21.234.1231.96.810.92410.21.530%30%.215%1.9

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 9.47  #25
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 22.89  #20
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 10.64  #81
2023 Talent Rating: 805.63  #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 44%  #18
North Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
North Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2  #27
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8  #13
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4  #71

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 9.47   Clemson: 13.945

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 10.2   Clemson: 10.9




Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 13.945  #15
Clemson's Offense Rating: 14.49  #88
Clemson's Defense Rating: 0.46  #8
2023 Talent Rating: 917.88  #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 71  #5
Clemson's 2023 Expected Record: 9.00 - 4.00
Clemson's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.9  #23
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7  #50
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.5  #12

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

North Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Clemson 28
North Carolina 24

Projected Total Points: 52
Clemson Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 28
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 24

Clemson's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04North Carolina10Clemson38Clemson -15.5Clemson47.5Over
202311/18Clemson31North Carolina20Clemson -7.5Clemson58.0Under
202212/03North Carolina10Clemson39Clemson -7.5Clemson64.0Under
201909/28North Carolina20Clemson21Clemson -27.5North Carolina61.0Under
201512/05Clemson45North Carolina37Clemson -6.5Clemson67.5Over
201409/27Clemson50North Carolina35Clemson -10Clemson0
201110/22Clemson59North Carolina38
201010/09North Carolina21Clemson16
200609/23Clemson52North Carolina7
200310/25Clemson36North Carolina28
200211/09North Carolina12Clemson42
200110/20Clemson3North Carolina38
200010/20North Carolina24Clemson38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Clemson1152 Overs
North Carolina213 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 64 - 23 - 01 - 2
Road Teams6 - 72 - 42 - 10 - 3

(#25) UNC at (#15) CLEM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNCCLEM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #25 #15
SP+SP+ #27 #23
Perf GradeGrade #35 #31
OffenseOff #34 #94
DefenseDef #47 #2
Spec TeamsST #119 #25
TalentTal #17 #5
Blue ChipsBC% #18 #5
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
UNC OffCLEM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #34 #2
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #20 #8
SP+SP+ #13 #12
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffCLEM Def
Run GameRun #26 #2
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #102 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #30
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffCLEM Def
Pass GamePass #8 #5
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #42 #20
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Clemson on Offense
CategoryCatCLEM OffUNC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #94 #47
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #88 #81
SP+SP+ #50 #71
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Clemson Run Game
CategoryCat
CLEM OffUNC Def
Run GameRun #68 #57
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #93 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #54
Clemson Pass Game
CategoryCatCLEM OffUNC Def
Pass GamePass #85 #37
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #74 #41
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CLEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'23 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'23 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Clemson -7.5 (58.0)
Clemson won vs North Carolina this year (31-20)

Previous Matchups
Clemson beat North Carolina last year (38-10)
Clemson beat North Carolina in 2023 (31-20)

  
UNC's OC Chip Lindsey (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drake Maye26942563%36082498.5
Conner Harrell223367%270228.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Omarion Hampton2531504155.968
Drake Maye11244994.056
British Brooks7437525.153
Conner Harrell227513.461
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
J.J. Jones46711315.557
Devontez Walker (Tr)41699717.056
Bryson Nesbit41585514.362
Nate Mccollum (Tr)44469110.748

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC Gene Chizik (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cedric Gray12111574
Power Echols1026041
Don Chapman645121
Antavious Lane (Tr)623001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaimon Rucker61159121
Cedric Gray12111574
Beau Atkinson195430
Desmond Evans335375
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcus Allen491008
Alijah Huzzie (Tr)421016
Desmond Evans335375

CLEM's OC Garrett Riley (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cade Klubnik29045464%28441996.3
Hunter Helms91275%83006.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Phil Mafah179965135.449
Will Shipley16782755.033
Cade Klubnik12518241.522
Domonique Thomas1811616.419
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyler Brown52531410.247
Beaux Collins38510313.469
Jake Briningstool50498510.050
Troy Stellato3933718.618

View Clemson's Full Roster

CLEM's DC Mickey Conn (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Trotter Jr.7913685
Barrett Carter568345
R.J. Mickens394003
Khalil Barnes385116
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Trotter Jr.7913685
T.J. Parker3213651
Ruke Orhorhoro238531
Wade Woodaz266420
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shelton Lewis100007
Khalil Barnes385116
Andrew Mukuba352006