North Carolina at Clemson Game Matchup
North Carolina logo North Carolina Tar Heels at Clemson TigersClemson logo
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Clemson -7.5 (58.0) (-305)  Open: -11.0
Clemson 31 - North Carolina: 20  (ACC)

 
Tar Heels (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mack Brown (33 - 22)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (27 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CLEM 3rd straight Home Game
CLEM is playing their 5th straight game
UNC is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Clemson -4   (SP+ CLEM -1)

Projected Score: UNC: 27 - CLEM: 31 (58)
CLEM Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
UNC Travel: 230 miles
Tigers (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (163 - 40)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (43 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
North Carolina's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 North Carolina vs South Carolina+2.563.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 9/9 North Carolina vs App State-18.058.0W 40 - 34ON
Sat 9/16 North Carolina vs Minnesota-7.051.0W 31 - 13UY
Sat 9/23 North Carolina at Pittsburgh-7.049.5W 41 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 North Carolina vs Syracuse-9.559.0W 40 - 7UY
Sat 10/14 North Carolina vs Miami-2.557.5W 41 - 31OY
Sat 10/21 North Carolina vs Virginia-24.058.0L 27 - 31UN
Sat 10/28 North Carolina at Georgia Tech-12.065.5L 42 - 46ON
Sat 11/4 North Carolina vs Campbell-45.568.5W 59 - 7UY
Sat 11/11 North Carolina vs Duke-9.552.5W 47 - 45ON
Sat 11/18 North Carolina at Clemson+7.558.0L 20 - 31UN
Sat 11/25 North Carolina at NC State-2.055.0L 20 - 39ON
Wed 12/27 North Carolina vs West Virginia+4.562.0L 10 - 30UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Clemson's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/4 Clemson at Duke-12.554.0L 7 - 28UN
Sat 9/9 Clemson vs Charleston Southern-50.553.0W 66 - 17ON
Sat 9/16 Clemson vs Florida Atlantic-25.051.5W 48 - 14OY
Sat 9/23 Clemson vs Florida State+2.055.5L 24 - 31UN
Sat 9/30 Clemson at Syracuse-7.052.0W 31 - 14UY
Sat 10/7 Clemson vs Wake Forest-21.053.5W 17 - 12UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Clemson at Miami-3.048.5L 20 - 28UN
Sat 10/28 Clemson at NC State-9.544.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 11/4 Clemson vs Notre Dame+3.044.5W 31 - 23OY
Sat 11/11 Clemson vs Georgia Tech-17.555.5W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/18 Clemson vs North Carolina-7.558.0W 31 - 20UY
Sat 11/25 Clemson at South Carolina-7.548.0W 16 - 7UY
Fri 12/29 Clemson vs Kentucky-3.544.5W 38 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Clemson's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC.346%30.945%3.1815347%3094.47.2948%28.149%48%4.5155.311.1
CLEM.1945%34.749%3.2917841%2324.14.0838%23.439%37%3.2248.21.61.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CLEM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Offense1430.927.246.2%4.471254631533094.245%55%45%47%14%.3
CLEM Defense1423.423.437.7%3.221.7 - - - - - 42%58%39%37%21%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Defense1428.120.848.3%4.511.1 - - - - - 51%49%49%48%12%.29
CLEM Offense1434.742.744.9%4.141.6234101782324.652%48%49%41%14%.19

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Carolina1429:5524.646%71%6.155.311.13.41.2129.7
Clemson1431:1222.847%50%5.448.21.61.77.63.1228.8
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Offense1445%45%36.4153.44.224.183.1872%10%1
CLEM Defense1442%39% - - - - .062.6964%13%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Defense1451%49% - - - - .183.2579%6%0.87
CLEM Offense1452%49%39.1178.44.631.23.2978%9%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Offense1455%47%24.637.5309.38.312.6387.411.632%40%.54%1.9
CLEM Defense1458%37% - - - - - - 13.11.634%25%.28%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Defense1449%48% - - - - - - 9.411.628%31%.46%2.2
CLEM Offense1448%41%21.234.1231.96.810.92410.21.530%30%.215%1.9

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 9.47 #25
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 22.89 #20
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 10.64 #81
2023 Talent Rating: 948.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 44% #18
North Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
North Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 9.47   Clemson: 13.945

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 10.2   Clemson: 10.9




Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 13.945 #15
Clemson's Offense Rating: 14.49 #88
Clemson's Defense Rating: 0.46 #8
2023 Talent Rating: 1148.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #5
Clemson's 2023 Expected Record: 9.00 - 4.00
Clemson's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.9 #23
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

North Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Clemson 31
North Carolina 27


Projected Total Points: 58
Clemson Scoring
Offense: 34.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.7
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.4

Clemson's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/18Clemson31North Carolina20ClemsonClemson -7.5Clemson58.0Under
202212/03North Carolina10Clemson39ClemsonClemson -7.5Clemson64.0Under
201909/28North Carolina20Clemson21ClemsonClemson -27.5North Carolina61.0Under
201512/05Clemson45North Carolina37ClemsonClemson -6.5Clemson67.5Over
201409/27Clemson50North Carolina35ClemsonClemson -10Clemson0
201110/22Clemson59North Carolina38Clemson
201010/09North Carolina21Clemson16North Carolina
200609/23Clemson52North Carolina7Clemson
200310/25Clemson36North Carolina28Clemson
200211/09North Carolina12Clemson42Clemson
200110/20Clemson3North Carolina38North Carolina
200010/20North Carolina24Clemson38Clemson
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Clemson1041 Overs
North Carolina213 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 54 - 13 - 01 - 1
Road Teams5 - 71 - 41 - 10 - 3

(#25) North Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.47 #25
Offense Rating: 22.89 #20
Defense Rating: 10.64 #81
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71
Talent Rating: 948.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 44% #18
Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80

Team Profile






,
,







North Carolina     Ratings Matchup     Clemson
Power #25
#15
Off #20
#88
Def #81
#8
Talent #16
#5
SP+ #27
#23
SP+ Off #13
#50
SP+ Def #71
#12

Rematch from Week 12
Clemson -7.5 (58.0)
Clemson won vs North Carolina this year (31-20)

Previous Matchups
Clemson beat North Carolina in 2023 (31-20)
Clemson beat North Carolina in 2022 (39-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 72°

Team Information
Injuries: UNC | CLEM
Depth Chart: UNC | CLEM
Rosters: UNC | CLEM
(#15) Clemson Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.945 #15
Offense Rating: 14.49 #88
Defense Rating: 0.46 #8
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.9 #23
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12
Talent Rating: 1148.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #5
Expected Record: 9.00 - 4.00

Team Profile






,
,









  
North Carolina's OC Chip Lindsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tad Hudson172665%173206.7
Jefferson Boaz2540%24004.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Omarion Hampton2811660155.975
George Pettaway16397656.031
Elijah Green2920156.951
D.J. Jones5716202.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
J.J. Jones36582616.253
John Copenhaver40414410.435
Omarion Hampton3837329.849
Kamari Morales28325611.654

View North Carolina's Full Roster
North Carolina's DC Gene Chizik
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antavious Lane (Tr)744102
Power Echols732126
Jahvaree Ritzie385551
Kevin Hester Jr.374430
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaimon Rucker308631
Desmond Evans3410591
Jahvaree Ritzie385551
Kevin Hester Jr.374430
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alijah Huzzie (Tr)364218
Power Echols732126
Tayon Holloway162105

Clemson's OC Garrett Riley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Phil Mafah216111585.283
Domonique Thomas4219714.722
Wise Segars Jr.21407.012
Barrett Carter1414.04
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jake Briningstool49530710.841
Beaux Collins41490312.053
Phil Mafah2110304.922
Sage Ennis1202.02

View Clemson's Full Roster
Clemson's DC Wes Goodwin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Barrett Carter7410476
Andrew Mukuba694016
R.J. Mickens686027
Payton Page303101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Barrett Carter7410476
Payton Page303101
Andrew Mukuba694016
R.J. Mickens686027
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
R.J. Mickens686027
Barrett Carter7410476
Andrew Mukuba694016