North Carolina at Clemson - 2023 Matchup Preview
North Carolina logo North Carolina Tar Heels at Clemson TigersClemson logo
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Clemson -7.5 (58.0) (-305)  Open: -11.0
Clemson 31 - North Carolina: 20  (ACC)

 
Tar Heels (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mack Brown (33 - 22)
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (31 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CLEM 3rd straight Home Game
CLEM is playing their 5th straight game
UNC is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Clemson -4   (SP+ CLEM -1)

Projected Score: UNC: 28 - CLEM: 32 (59)
CLEM Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
UNC Travel: 230 miles
Tigers (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (163 - 40)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (37 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
North Carolina's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 North Carolina vs South Carolina+2.563.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 9/9 North Carolina vs App State-18.058.0W 40 - 34ON
Sat 9/16 North Carolina vs Minnesota-7.051.0W 31 - 13UY
Sat 9/23 North Carolina at Pittsburgh-7.049.5W 41 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 North Carolina vs Syracuse-9.559.0W 40 - 7UY
Sat 10/14 North Carolina vs Miami-2.557.5W 41 - 31OY
Sat 10/21 North Carolina vs Virginia-24.058.0L 27 - 31UN
Sat 10/28 North Carolina at Georgia Tech-12.065.5L 42 - 46ON
Sat 11/4 North Carolina vs Campbell-45.568.5W 59 - 7UY
Sat 11/11 North Carolina vs Duke-9.552.5W 47 - 45ON
Sat 11/18 North Carolina at Clemson+7.558.0L 20 - 31UN
Sat 11/25 North Carolina at NC State-2.055.0L 20 - 39ON
Wed 12/27 North Carolina vs West Virginia+4.562.0L 10 - 30UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Clemson's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/4 Clemson at Duke-12.554.0L 7 - 28UN
Sat 9/9 Clemson vs Charleston Southern-50.553.0W 66 - 17ON
Sat 9/16 Clemson vs Florida Atlantic-25.051.5W 48 - 14OY
Sat 9/23 Clemson vs Florida State+2.055.5L 24 - 31UN
Sat 9/30 Clemson at Syracuse-7.052.0W 31 - 14UY
Sat 10/7 Clemson vs Wake Forest-21.053.5W 17 - 12UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Clemson at Miami-3.048.5L 20 - 28UN
Sat 10/28 Clemson at NC State-9.544.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 11/4 Clemson vs Notre Dame+3.044.5W 31 - 23OY
Sat 11/11 Clemson vs Georgia Tech-17.555.5W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/18 Clemson vs North Carolina-7.558.0W 31 - 20UY
Sat 11/25 Clemson at South Carolina-7.548.0W 16 - 7UY
Fri 12/29 Clemson vs Kentucky-3.544.5W 38 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Clemson's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC#17 (.3)47% (19)34.550% (16)3.41 (11)19344% (44)2994.13 (45)#86 (.21)42% (70)27.343% (68)42% (76)3.41 (35)66.31.31.7
CLEM#87 (.16)45% (38)29.847% (25)3.22 (47)17443% (56)2293.62 (90)#9 (.07)33% (2)21.135% (10)32% (2)4.04 (91)42.21.72
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)47% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)44% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2
CLEM#21 (.27)47% (24)50% (12)3.28 (29)17445% (36)2794.33 (29)#52 (.14)40% (48)43% (68)38% (36)3.64 (48)47.60.71.9



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Offense1334.530.846.8%4.131.3254921932995.146%53%50%44%13%.3
CLEM Defense1321.119.733%4.042 - - - - - 46%54%35%32%22%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Defense1327.33542.2%3.411.7 - - - - - 50%49%43%42%15%.21
CLEM Offense1329.83745%3.621.7234031742294.349%51%47%43%16%.16

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Carolina1328:3424.549%45%7.266.31.31.75.42.1131.3
Clemson1333:0423.140%52%4.942.21.726.52.3432.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Offense1346% (97)50% (16)38.2193.25.128 (25).28 (9)3.41 (11)75% (52)8% (31)1.03 (48)
CLEM Defense1346% (19)35% (10) - - - - .13 (62)2.9 (33)83% (117)13% (10)1.22 (128)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Defense1350% (70)43% (68) - - - - .2 (100)3.33 (112)73% (68)10% (85)1.02 (81)
CLEM Offense1349% (77)47% (25)40.2174.34.324 (41).17 (55)3.22 (47)79% (25)9% (55)0.91 (106)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Offense1353% (36)44% (44)22.535.4298.58.413.326 (31)11 (68).34 (47)1.6 (73)30% (33)32% (56).38 (55)5% (24)2.2 (21)
CLEM Defense1354% (116)32% (2) - - - - - - 15 (15).05 (3)1.6 (51)40% (1)23% (2).13 (4)9% (1)1.9 (17)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Defense1349% (63)42% (76) - - - - - - 12 (37).29 (82)1.6 (64)34% (43)34% (117).38 (100)6% (92)1.9 (22)
CLEM Offense1351% (53)43% (56)23.236.5228.66.39.820 (70)9 (40).16 (104)1.3 (133)29% (20)29% (85).18 (109)6% (85)1.9 (117)

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 9.47 #25
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 22.89 #20
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 10.64 #81
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 44% #18
North Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
North Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 9.47   Clemson: 13.945

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 10.2   Clemson: 10.9




Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 13.945 #15
Clemson's Offense Rating: 14.49 #88
Clemson's Defense Rating: 0.46 #8
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #5
Clemson's 2023 Expected Record: 9.00 - 4.00
Clemson's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.9 #23
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 34.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

North Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Clemson 32
North Carolina 28


Total Points: 59

Clemson Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 37
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Clemson's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/18Clemson31North Carolina20ClemsonClemson -7.5Clemson58.0Under
202212/03North Carolina10Clemson39ClemsonClemson -7.5Clemson64.0Under
201909/28North Carolina20Clemson21ClemsonClemson -27.5North Carolina61.0Under
201512/05Clemson45North Carolina37ClemsonClemson -6.5Clemson67.5Over
201409/27Clemson50North Carolina35ClemsonClemson -10Clemson0
201110/22Clemson59North Carolina38Clemson
201010/09North Carolina21Clemson16North Carolina
200609/23Clemson52North Carolina7Clemson
200310/25Clemson36North Carolina28Clemson
200211/09North Carolina12Clemson42Clemson
200110/20Clemson3North Carolina38North Carolina
200010/20North Carolina24Clemson38Clemson
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Clemson1041 Overs
North Carolina213 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 54 - 13 - 01 - 1
Road Teams5 - 71 - 41 - 10 - 3

(#25) North Carolina Info
Power Rating: 9.47 #25
Offense Rating: 22.89 #20
Defense Rating: 10.64 #81
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 44% #18
Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80


North Carolina has won 2 straight
North Carolina has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 3 (1 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

North Carolina Highlights
North Carolina has Really Good Running Game (#93)
North Carolina offense is efficent (#105)
North Carolina has a top Offensive Line (#94)
North Carolina offense is good on 3rd downs
North Carolina does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#83)


North Carolina Deficiencies
North Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#25)
North Carolina Does Not Stuff Runs (#15)
North Carolina has a bad defensive line (#4)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatCLEMUNC
OverallOver#25#29
OffenseOff#81#31
DefenseDef#2#39
Special TeamsST#25#96
PassingPass#71#7
RushingRush#48#18
Run BlockRBLK#70#76
Pass BlockPBLK#64#37
Route RunningWR Rt#74#48
TacklingTkl#28#47
Run DefenseR Def#2#51
Pass Rush DefPRush#18#35
Coverage DefCov#4#31

Rematch from Week 12
Clemson -7.5 (58.0)
Clemson won vs North Carolina this year (31-20)

Previous Matchups
Clemson beat North Carolina in 2023 (31-20)
Clemson beat North Carolina in 2022 (39-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNC | CLEM
Depth Chart: UNC | CLEM
Rosters: UNC | CLEM
(#15) Clemson Info
Power Rating: 13.945 #15
Offense Rating: 14.49 #88
Defense Rating: 0.46 #8
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.9 #23
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #5
Expected Record: 9.00 - 4.00


Clemson has won 2 straight
Clemson has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Clemson Highlights
Clemson does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#81)

Clemson has a really good defense (#78)
Clemson has a good run defense (#80)
Clemson has a good pass defense (#78)
Clemson Front 7 is disruptive (#85)
Clemson Secondary is very good (#76)
Clemson commits very few Penalties (#16)
Clemson defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Clemson Deficiencies
Clemson has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Clemson Fumbles a Lot (#89)
Clemson offense is not Explosive (#101)
Clemson gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#65)


  
North Carolina's OC Chip Lindsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drake Maye26942563%36082498.5
Conner Harrell223367%270228.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Omarion Hampton2531504155.968
Drake Maye11244994.056
British Brooks7437525.153
Conner Harrell227513.461
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
J.J. Jones46711315.557
Devontez Walker (Tr)41699717.056
Bryson Nesbit41585514.362
Nate Mccollum (Tr)44469110.748

View North Carolina's Full Roster
North Carolina's DC Gene Chizik
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cedric Gray12111574
Power Echols1026041
Don Chapman645121
Antavious Lane (Tr)623001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaimon Rucker61159121
Cedric Gray12111574
Beau Atkinson195430
Desmond Evans335375
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcus Allen491008
Alijah Huzzie (Tr)421016
Desmond Evans335375

Clemson's OC Garrett Riley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cade Klubnik29045464%28441996.3
Hunter Helms91275%83006.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Phil Mafah179965135.449
Will Shipley16782755.033
Cade Klubnik12518241.522
Domonique Thomas1811616.419
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyler Brown52531410.247
Beaux Collins38510313.469
Jake Briningstool50498510.050
Troy Stellato3933718.618

View Clemson's Full Roster
Clemson's DC Wes Goodwin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Trotter Jr.7913685
Barrett Carter568345
R.J. Mickens394003
Khalil Barnes385116
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Trotter Jr.7913685
T.J. Parker3213651
Ruke Orhorhoro238531
Wade Woodaz266420
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shelton Lewis100007
Khalil Barnes385116
Andrew Mukuba352006