North Carolina Tar Heels at Duke Blue Devils
Saturday, September 28th 2024 (4:00 PM EDT)
North Carolina -1 (55.5) (-115) Open: -3.0
Duke 21 - North Carolina: 20 (ACC)
Tar Heels (6 - 7) (2 - 10 - 1)
Coach Mack Brown (38 - 27)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (27 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Mack Brown (38 - 27)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (27 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
DUKE is playing their 5th straight game
UNC is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Duke -5 (SP+ DUKE -1)
Projected Score: UNC: 23 - DUKE: 28 (51)
UNC Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
UNC Travel: 9 miles
UNC is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Duke -5 (SP+ DUKE -1)
Projected Score: UNC: 23 - DUKE: 28 (51)
UNC Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
UNC Travel: 9 miles
Blue Devils (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Manny Diaz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (26 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (26 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| North Carolina's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | North Carolina at Minnesota | -2.0 | 52.5 | W 19 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | North Carolina vs Charlotte | -21.5 | 47.5 | W 38 - 20 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | North Carolina vs North Carolina Central | -37.5 | 57.5 | W 45 - 10 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | North Carolina vs James Madison | -10.0 | 48.0 | L 50 - 70 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | North Carolina at Duke | -1.0 | 55.5 | L 20 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | North Carolina vs Pittsburgh | +2.5 | 63.0 | L 24 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | North Carolina vs Georgia Tech | +3.5 | 60.5 | L 34 - 41 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/26 | North Carolina at Virginia | +3.5 | 58.5 | W 41 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | North Carolina at Florida State | -2.5 | 50.5 | W 35 - 11 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | North Carolina vs Wake Forest | -10.5 | 64.5 | W 31 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | North Carolina at Boston College | -2.0 | 50.5 | L 21 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | North Carolina vs NC State | -2.5 | 54.5 | L 30 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 12/28 | North Carolina vs UConn | -2.0 | 53.5 | L 14 - 27 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| Duke's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/30 | Duke vs Elon | -24.5 | 47.5 | W 26 - 3 | U | N | |
| Fri 9/6 | Duke vs Northwestern | +2.5 | 37.5 | W 26 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Duke vs UConn | -17.5 | 46.5 | W 26 - 21 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Duke at Middle Tennessee | -14.5 | 51.0 | W 45 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Duke vs North Carolina | +1.0 | 55.5 | W 21 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Duke at Georgia Tech | +10.0 | 52.5 | L 14 - 24 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/18 | Duke vs Florida State | -2.5 | 43.0 | W 23 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Duke vs SMU | +11.5 | 49.5 | L 27 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Duke at Miami | +21.0 | 55.5 | L 31 - 53 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Duke at NC State | +3.5 | 51.5 | W 29 - 19 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Duke vs Virginia Tech | +2.5 | 45.5 | W 31 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Duke at Wake Forest | -3.5 | 53.5 | W 23 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Thu 1/2 | Duke vs Ole Miss | +17.5 | 50.5 | L 20 - 52 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2024)
Overall Stats 2024
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC | #65 (.2) | 42% (80) | 30.9 | 47% (34) | 3.32 (22) | 175 | 37% (114) | 216 | 4.08 (52) | #70 (.17) | 41% (53) | 28.1 | 44% (82) | 37% (26) | 4.01 (90) | 59.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| DUKE | #109 (.12) | 39% (116) | 26.3 | 35% (129) | 2.47 (131) | 89 | 42% (69) | 226 | 3.7 (90) | #10 (.06) | 38% (16) | 24.5 | 41% (51) | 34% (5) | 3.19 (17) | 48.9 | 1.4 | 2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC | #65 (.2) | 42% (80) | 47% (34) | 3.32 (22) | 175 | 37% (114) | 216 | 4.08 (52) | #70 (.17) | 41% (53) | 44% (82) | 37% (26) | 4.01 (90) | 59.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | ||
| DUKE | #109 (.12) | 39% (116) | 35% (129) | 2.47 (131) | 89 | 42% (69) | 226 | 3.7 (90) | #10 (.06) | 38% (16) | 41% (51) | 34% (5) | 3.19 (17) | 48.9 | 1.4 | 2 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Offense | 13 | 30.9 | 27.2 | 42% | 4.08 | 1.2 | 20 | 391 | 175 | 216 | 4.9 | 52% | 47% | 47% | 37% | 15% | .2 |
| DUKE Defense | 13 | 24.5 | 19.3 | 37.6% | 3.19 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 48% | 41% | 34% | 23% | .06 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Defense | 13 | 28.1 | 20.8 | 40.5% | 4.01 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 53% | 46% | 44% | 37% | 15% | .17 |
| DUKE Offense | 13 | 26.3 | 25.7 | 38.6% | 3.7 | 1.4 | 16 | 315 | 89 | 226 | 3.3 | 44% | 56% | 35% | 42% | 19% | .12 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | 13 | 27:42 | 20.2 | 40% | 50% | 6.8 | 59.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5.2 | 2.8 | 6 | 29.1 |
| Duke | 13 | 25:05 | 16.3 | 29% | 38% | 5.1 | 48.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 8.5 | 3.2 | 1 | 31.2 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Offense | 13 | 52% (53) | 47% (34) | 35.9 | 175.2 | 4.9 | 26 (36) | .26 (14) | 3.32 (22) | 70% (89) | 9% (54) | 1.06 (36) |
| DUKE Defense | 13 | 52% (81) | 41% (51) | - | - | - | - | .06 (35) | 2.74 (28) | 59% (6) | 15% (2) | 0.91 (38) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Defense | 13 | 53% (92) | 44% (82) | - | - | - | - | .16 (88) | 3.39 (121) | 86% (130) | 9% (83) | 0.89 (29) |
| DUKE Offense | 13 | 44% (110) | 35% (129) | 27.5 | 89.2 | 3.3 | 13 (105) | -.07 (133) | 2.47 (131) | 78% (32) | 10% (78) | 0.74 (131) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Offense | 13 | 47% (82) | 37% (114) | 16.8 | 29 | 215.9 | 7.5 | 12.8 | 17 (79) | 8 (40) | .17 (101) | 1.7 (29) | 32% (74) | 29% (94) | .32 (78) | 6% (60) | 2.1 (33) |
| DUKE Defense | 13 | 48% (53) | 34% (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (39) | .06 (7) | 1.5 (39) | 34% (35) | 29% (41) | .27 (53) | 7% (28) | 2.1 (69) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Defense | 13 | 46% (38) | 37% (26) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (76) | .22 (64) | 1.8 (125) | 32% (66) | 26% (12) | .23 (35) | 5% (103) | 2.2 (99) |
| DUKE Offense | 13 | 56% (24) | 42% (69) | 19.6 | 32.5 | 226.1 | 7 | 11.5 | 26 (26) | 12 (85) | .28 (55) | 1.6 (56) | 32% (73) | 29% (98) | .3 (82) | 9% (129) | 2 (78) |
North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: -1.53 #68
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 17.90 #86
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 10.65 #77
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 26% #22
North Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
North Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482
North Carolina's Power Rating: -1.53 #68
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 17.90 #86
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 10.65 #77
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 26% #22
North Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
North Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482
Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: -1.53 Duke: 6.64
SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 5.0 Duke: 5.6
North Carolina: -1.53 Duke: 6.64
SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 5.0 Duke: 5.6
Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 6.64 #50
Duke's Offense Rating: 14.10 #113
Duke's Defense Rating: 3.83 #17
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Duke's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Duke's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #44
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #71
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #31
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482
Duke's Power Rating: 6.64 #50
Duke's Offense Rating: 14.10 #113
Duke's Defense Rating: 3.83 #17
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Duke's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Duke's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #44
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #71
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #31
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8
North Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 8 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8
North Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 8 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 28
North Carolina 23
Total Points: 51
Based on Last 4 Games
Duke 22
North Carolina 21
Total Points: 43
Based on Entire Season
North Carolina 26
Duke 25
Total Points: 51
Duke 28
North Carolina 23
Total Points: 51
Based on Last 4 Games
Duke 22
North Carolina 21
Total Points: 43
Based on Entire Season
North Carolina 26
Duke 25
Total Points: 51
Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.3
Duke's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.3
Duke's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11/22 | North Carolina | 25 | Duke | 32 | Duke -6.5 | Duke | 50.5 | Over |
| 2024 | 09/28 | Duke | 21 | North Carolina | 20 | North Carolina -1 | Duke | 55.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/11 | North Carolina | 47 | Duke | 45 | North Carolina -9.5 | Duke | 52.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/15 | Duke | 35 | North Carolina | 38 | North Carolina -7 | Duke | 70.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/02 | North Carolina | 38 | Duke | 7 | North Carolina -19.5 | North Carolina | 74.0 | Under |
| 2020 | 11/07 | Duke | 24 | North Carolina | 56 | North Carolina -11.5 | North Carolina | 63.0 | Over |
| 2019 | 10/26 | North Carolina | 20 | Duke | 17 | North Carolina -2.5 | North Carolina | 52.5 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/10 | Duke | 42 | North Carolina | 35 | Duke -7.5 | North Carolina | 58.5 | Over |
| 2017 | 09/23 | North Carolina | 17 | Duke | 27 | North Carolina -1.5 | Duke | 61.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/10 | Duke | 28 | North Carolina | 27 | North Carolina -10.5 | Duke | 66.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/07 | North Carolina | 66 | Duke | 31 | North Carolina -8 | North Carolina | 59.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/20 | Duke | 20 | North Carolina | 45 | Duke -6 | North Carolina | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/30 | North Carolina | 25 | Duke | 27 | North Carolina -5.5 | Duke | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/20 | Duke | 33 | North Carolina | 30 | ||||
| 2011 | 11/26 | North Carolina | 37 | Duke | 21 | ||||
| 2010 | 11/27 | Duke | 19 | North Carolina | 24 | ||||
| 2009 | 11/07 | North Carolina | 19 | Duke | 6 | ||||
| 2008 | 11/29 | Duke | 20 | North Carolina | 28 | ||||
| 2007 | 11/24 | North Carolina | 20 | Duke | 14 | ||||
| 2006 | 11/25 | Duke | 44 | North Carolina | 45 | ||||
| 2005 | 11/19 | North Carolina | 24 | Duke | 21 | ||||
| 2004 | 11/20 | Duke | 17 | North Carolina | 40 | ||||
| 2003 | 11/22 | North Carolina | 22 | Duke | 30 | ||||
| 2001 | 11/17 | North Carolina | 52 | Duke | 17 | ||||
| 2000 | 11/17 | Duke | 21 | North Carolina | 59 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | 8 | 7 | 6 Overs |
| North Carolina | 17 | 6 | 5 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 13 - 12 | 6 - 7 | 3 - 5 | 3 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 12 - 13 | 7 - 6 | 2 - 3 | 5 - 3 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UNC | DUKE |
| Power RatePwr | #68 | #50 |
| SP+SP+ | #49 | #44 |
| Perf GradeGrade | #74 | #59 |
| OffenseOff | #67 | #90 |
| DefenseDef | #97 | #25 |
| Spec TeamsST | #9 | #68 |
| TalentTal | #1 | #1 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | #22 | #65 |
(11/26) Mack Brown fired at the end of 2024 season
(11/25) Rgame sucks, Criswell 3 INTs, Run Def awful vs BC
(11/18) 3 str W's vs bad teams. Rgame/Hampton great
(10/13) Run Def mauled by GT (371, 7.7 ypc). Gag again
(9/28) Blew 20-0 lead vs Duke. Even game, 10 flags hurt
(9/22) Def all. 600+ yds & 70 pts in JMU loss at home
(9/18) QB Jacolby Criswell looks like starter now
(9/1) RB Hampton great, played B1G ball @ Minn, QB real ?
(8/29) QB Johnson looks out for season (Minn game)
(8/5) Teams are crootin NC commits, Brown done TY?
(7/30) New QB Max Johnson (A&M), WR look mid
(11/25) 2 str W's, Murphy 332 yds, 3 TD/3 Int in VT W
(11/13) Stopped bleeding w/ NC St W, Murphy good
(11/2) Def torched but QB Murphy great @ Miami
(10/27) Pumpkin time, 6-0 TOs vs SMU and still L
(10/22) Def stop rate 75% (#11) into SMU game
(10/18) Beat FSU w/ < 4 ypp. Awful Off, Def v good
(10/18) Bowl eligible. Incredible job by Diaz in 1st yr
(9/28) Big comeback vs UNC. Rgame solid, Murphy meh
(9/23) Gutty W vs N'W/UConn. Def great so far
(9/23) Murphy eff but statue. Great 4-0 start, we'll see
(8/19) New QB Maalik Murphy (Tex), WR Moore good
| Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UNC Off | DUKE Def | |
| Perf GradePerf | #67 | #25 |
| SuccessSuc | #80 | #16 |
| ExplosiveExp | #39 | #22 |
| PPAPPA | #65 | #10 |
| PowerPwr | #86 | #17 |
| SP+SP+ | #38 | #31 |
| Pts POPPO | #52 | #17 |
| HavocHav | #49 | #2 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UNC Off | DUKE Def | |
| Run GameRun | #15 | #63 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #34 | #51 |
| Run ExplRExp | #36 | #38 |
| PPAExp | #14 | #35 | Run BlockR Blk | #35 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #22 | #28 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #19 | #16 |
| TackleTak | - | #73 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UNC Off | DUKE Def | |
| Pass GamePass | #102 | #8 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #114 | #5 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #29 | #39 |
| PPAExp | #101 | #7 |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | #47 | #37 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #54 | #2 |
| DB HavocDB | #60 | #28 |
| Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | DUKE Off | UNC Def |
| Perf GradePerf | #90 | #97 |
| SuccessSuc | #116 | #53 |
| ExplosiveExp | #84 | #66 |
| PPAPPA | #109 | #70 |
| PowerPwr | #113 | #77 |
| SP+SP+ | #71 | #64 |
| Pts POPPO | #90 | #90 |
| HavocHav | #115 | #90 |
| Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44% | ||
|---|---|---|
| DUKE Off | UNC Def | |
| Run GameRun | #122 | #82 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #129 | #82 |
| Run ExplRExp | #131 | #29 |
| PPAExp | #133 | #88 | Run BlockR Blk | #86 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #131 | #121 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #130 | #126 |
| TackleTak | - | #40 |
| Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | DUKE Off | UNC Def |
| Pass GamePass | #59 | #103 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #69 | #26 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #56 | #125 |
| PPAExp | #55 | #64 |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | #68 | #64 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #78 | #83 |
| DB HavocDB | #129 | #103 |
Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4
Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 85° - Wind: 9 mph
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 85° - Wind: 9 mph
North Carolina 1.0 (55.5)
Duke won vs North Carolina this year (21-20)
Previous Matchups
Duke beat North Carolina last year (21-20)
North Carolina beat Duke in 2023 (47-45)
North Carolina beat Duke in 2022 (38-35)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacolby Criswell (Tr) | 186 | 320 | 58% | 2459 | 15 | 6 | 7.7 |
| Conner Harrell | 21 | 37 | 57% | 282 | 2 | 1 | 7.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omarion Hampton | 281 | 1660 | 15 | 5.9 | 75 |
| Davion Gause | 67 | 326 | 4 | 4.9 | 21 |
| Jacolby Criswell (Tr) | 71 | 103 | 3 | 1.5 | 20 |
| Charleston French | 10 | 84 | 1 | 8.4 | 45 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Jones | 36 | 582 | 6 | 16.2 | 53 |
| John Copenhaver | 40 | 414 | 4 | 10.4 | 35 |
| Omarion Hampton | 38 | 373 | 2 | 9.8 | 49 |
| Kobe Paysour | 21 | 365 | 0 | 17.4 | 36 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antavious Lane | 74 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Power Echols | 73 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| Amare Campbell | 69 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| Jakeen Harris (Tr) | 67 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beau Atkinson | 35 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| Kaimon Rucker | 30 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| Amare Campbell | 69 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| Desmond Evans | 34 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alijah Huzzie | 36 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| Power Echols | 73 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| Jakeen Harris (Tr) | 67 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maalik Murphy (Tr) | 254 | 421 | 60% | 2932 | 26 | 12 | 7.0 |
| Henry Belin IV | 26 | 45 | 58% | 243 | 2 | 1 | 5.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Star Thomas (Tr) | 213 | 871 | 7 | 4.1 | 44 |
| Peyton Jones | 82 | 317 | 3 | 3.9 | 27 |
| Jaquez Moore | 32 | 86 | 1 | 2.7 | 18 |
| Henry Belin IV | 11 | 39 | 0 | 3.5 | 11 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Moore | 55 | 861 | 8 | 15.7 | 58 |
| Eli Pancol | 60 | 798 | 9 | 13.3 | 86 |
| Que'Sean Brown | 41 | 445 | 2 | 10.9 | 43 |
| Sahmir Hagans | 47 | 413 | 3 | 8.8 | 65 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ozzie Nicholas (Tr) | 100 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Alex Howard (Tr) | 89 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 1 |
| Cameron Bergeron | 84 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
| Terry Moore | 71 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Williams | 47 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 2 |
| Alex Howard (Tr) | 89 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 1 |
| Cameron Bergeron | 84 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
| Vincent Anthony | 25 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 3 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Stinson | 67 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| Chandler Rivers | 54 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 8 |
| Joshua Pickett | 38 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 |