North Carolina Tar Heels at Charlotte 49ers
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
North Carolina -16.5 (49.5) (-800) Open: -16.5 | 47.5
North Carolina 20 - Charlotte: 3
Tar Heels (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Bill Belichick (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 19 (20 - 3 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 6.5 (#89)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
Coach Bill Belichick (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 19 (20 - 3 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 6.5 (#89)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
CHAR 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: North Carolina -16 (SP+ UNC -17.5)
Projected Score: UNC: 31 - CHAR: 15 (45)
UNC Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
UNC Travel: 104 miles
Our Line: North Carolina -16 (SP+ UNC -17.5)
Projected Score: UNC: 31 - CHAR: 15 (45)
UNC Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
UNC Travel: 104 miles
49ers (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 30 (23 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.3 - 9.7 (#133)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
Coach Tim Albin (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 30 (23 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.3 - 9.7 (#133)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
| North Carolina's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Mon 9/1 | North Carolina vs TCU | +3.0 | 59.5 | L 14 - 48 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | North Carolina at Charlotte | -16.5 | 49.5 | W 20 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | North Carolina vs Richmond | -24.5 | 47.5 | W 41 - 6 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | North Carolina at UCF | +6.5 | 48.5 | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | North Carolina vs Clemson | +11.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/17 | North Carolina at California | +9 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | North Carolina vs Virginia | +4.5 | |||||
| Fri 10/31 | North Carolina at Syracuse | +7 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | North Carolina vs Stanford | -6 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | North Carolina at Wake Forest | +3 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | North Carolina vs Duke | +1 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | North Carolina at NC State | +9.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Charlotte's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/29 | Charlotte vs App State | +8.5 | 53.5 | L 11 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Charlotte vs North Carolina | +16.5 | 49.5 | L 3 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Charlotte vs Monmouth | -3.0 | 66.5 | W 42 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Thu 9/18 | Charlotte vs Rice | +2.5 | 42.5 | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/3 | Charlotte at South Florida | +23 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Charlotte at Army | +13 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Charlotte vs Temple | +13 | |||||
| Fri 10/24 | Charlotte vs North Texas | +19 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/8 | Charlotte at East Carolina | +21 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Charlotte vs UTSA | +14.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Charlotte at Georgia | +46 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Charlotte at Tulane | +24 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC | #98 (.11) | 38% (105) | 25 | 36% (116) | 2.73 (94) | 130 | 41% (86) | 149 | 4.15 (62) | #43 (.05) | 38% (63) | 19 | 32% (20) | 44% (98) | 1.73 (10) | 43.3 | 1.3 | 2 |
| CHAR | #89 (.14) | 44% (65) | 18.7 | 41% (91) | 1.92 (132) | 94 | 47% (42) | 258 | 3.24 (108) | #110 (.24) | 50% (127) | 29.7 | 52% (126) | 49% (119) | 4.32 (99) | 66.7 | 2.3 | 0.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC | #65 (.2) | 42% (80) | 47% (34) | 3.32 (22) | 175 | 37% (114) | 216 | 4.08 (52) | #70 (.17) | 41% (53) | 44% (82) | 37% (26) | 4.01 (90) | 59.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | ||
| CHAR | #116 (.1) | 37% (122) | 39% (110) | 2.75 (113) | 119 | 35% (120) | 224 | 3.9 (70) | #113 (.25) | 45% (107) | 48% (111) | 42% (83) | 3.87 (81) | 65.3 | 1.8 | 1 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Offense | 3 | 25 | 20 | 38.2% | 4.15 | 1.3 | 14 | 279 | 130 | 149 | 4.3 | 57% | 43% | 36% | 41% | 17% | .11 |
| CHAR Defense | 3 | 29.7 | 27.5 | 50.2% | 4.32 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 40% | 60% | 52% | 49% | 10% | .24 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Defense | 3 | 19 | 3 | 38.2% | 1.73 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 53% | 32% | 44% | 14% | .05 |
| CHAR Offense | 3 | 18.7 | 22.5 | 43.9% | 3.24 | 2.3 | 22 | 352 | 94 | 258 | 2.9 | 49% | 50% | 41% | 47% | 16% | .14 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | 3 | 26:30 | 13.7 | 33% | 67% | 4 | 43.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 4 | 1.3 | 0 | 34.1 |
| Charlotte | 3 | 29:50 | 21.7 | 45% | 60% | 7.7 | 66.7 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 5 | 1.7 | 0 | 27.8 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Offense | 3 | 57% (29) | 36% (116) | 30.7 | 130.3 | 4.3 | 4 (79) | .1 (84) | 2.73 (94) | 67% (86) | 13% (127) | 1.13 (38) |
| CHAR Defense | 3 | 40% (13) | 52% (126) | - | - | - | - | .11 (93) | 3.08 (102) | 73% (77) | 7% (106) | 0.71 (19) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Defense | 3 | 47% (52) | 32% (20) | - | - | - | - | -.13 (17) | 1.54 (4) | 86% (112) | 7% (106) | 0.82 (41) |
| CHAR Offense | 3 | 49% (78) | 41% (91) | 32.7 | 93.7 | 2.9 | 3 (95) | -.06 (121) | 1.92 (132) | 77% (45) | 9% (73) | 0.77 (118) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Offense | 3 | 43% (104) | 41% (86) | 13.3 | 21.7 | 148.7 | 6.9 | 11.2 | 4 (72) | 2 (60) | .13 (106) | 1.6 (46) | 28% (49) | 30% (84) | .38 (58) | 4% (39) | 2.2 (42) |
| CHAR Defense | 3 | 60% (128) | 49% (119) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0 | .32 (105) | 1.4 (47) | 31% (89) | 33% (95) | .25 (65) | 3% (125) | 1.8 (48) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Defense | 3 | 53% (88) | 44% (98) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (12) | .21 (67) | 1.4 (44) | 33% (73) | 30% (75) | .27 (67) | 6% (56) | 2 (74) |
| CHAR Offense | 3 | 50% (61) | 47% (42) | 21.3 | 32 | 258 | 8.1 | 12.1 | 4 (72) | 4 (121) | .36 (56) | 1.6 (40) | 32% (83) | 35% (49) | .33 (71) | 8% (118) | 1.7 (109) |
North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 3.75 #70
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 9.15 #84
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 5.40 #58
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 17% #29
North Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 5.5 - 6.5
North Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1 #72
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #69
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #73
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
North Carolina's Power Rating: 3.75 #70
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 9.15 #84
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 5.40 #58
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 17% #29
North Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 5.5 - 6.5
North Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1 #72
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #69
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #73
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 3.75 Charlotte: -14.295
SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 0.1 Charlotte: -17.3
North Carolina: 3.75 Charlotte: -14.295
SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 0.1 Charlotte: -17.3
Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -14.295 #120
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 3.08 #113
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 19.37 #116
2025 Talent Rating: 588.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Charlotte's 2025 Expected Record: 2.3 - 9.7
Charlotte's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.3 #124
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #118
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #123
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Charlotte's Power Rating: -14.295 #120
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 3.08 #113
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 19.37 #116
2025 Talent Rating: 588.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Charlotte's 2025 Expected Record: 2.3 - 9.7
Charlotte's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.3 #124
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #118
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #123
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense on Road: 3
North Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense on Road: 3
North Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 31
Charlotte 15
Total Points: 45
North Carolina 31
Charlotte 15
Total Points: 45
Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 18.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.5
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.5
Charlotte's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 18.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.5
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.5
Charlotte's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 09/06 | Charlotte | 3 | North Carolina | 20 | North Carolina | North Carolina -16.5 | North Carolina | 49.5 | Under |
| 2024 | 09/07 | North Carolina | 38 | Charlotte | 20 | North Carolina | North Carolina -21.5 | Charlotte | 47.5 | Over |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte | 0 | 1 | 1 Overs |
| North Carolina | 2 | 1 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 1 - 1 | 0 - 2 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 1 - 1 | 2 - 0 | 1 - 0 | 1 - 0 |
(#70) North Carolina Info
Power Rating: 3.75 #70
Offense Rating: 9.15 #84
Defense Rating: 5.40 #58
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1 #72
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #69
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #73
Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 17% #29
Expected Record: 5.5 - 6.5
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 38%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Awful Run Success 36%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 1.73 PPO
Great Run Def Success 32%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
North Carolina has lost 1 straight
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
North Carolina Notes
(8/27) QB1 - Gio Lopez has won starting job in fall
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 52% from portals
(4/17) QB Lopez (S Al) added post spring.
(4/17) NFL style not open to fans/media. We'll see
(4/17) Is Lopez QB1? Have Johnson (Inj)/Browne (PU)
(3/21) RB rebuild. Some options, SO Gause has exp
(3/21) WR/TE rebuild. Have some talented options
(3/21) OL rebuild 1/5 back. 5 portal adds.
(3/21) Def - Run Def awful LY. Have some DE's
(3/21) Nearly 1/2 roster new TY. New staff
North Carolina Highlights
North Carolina defense is really good in red zone (#10)
North Carolina has a good run defense (#20)
North Carolina Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#15)
North Carolina Defensive Line is very good (#4)
North Carolina commits very few Penalties (#25)
North Carolina defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
North Carolina Deficiencies
North Carolina offense is really bad (#105)
North Carolina run game is really bad (#116)
North Carolina offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Power Rating: 3.75 #70
Offense Rating: 9.15 #84
Defense Rating: 5.40 #58
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1 #72
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #69
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #73
Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 17% #29
Expected Record: 5.5 - 6.5
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 38%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Awful Run Success 36%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 1.73 PPO
Great Run Def Success 32%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
North Carolina has lost 1 straight
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
North Carolina Notes
(8/27) QB1 - Gio Lopez has won starting job in fall
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 52% from portals
(4/17) QB Lopez (S Al) added post spring.
(4/17) NFL style not open to fans/media. We'll see
(4/17) Is Lopez QB1? Have Johnson (Inj)/Browne (PU)
(3/21) RB rebuild. Some options, SO Gause has exp
(3/21) WR/TE rebuild. Have some talented options
(3/21) OL rebuild 1/5 back. 5 portal adds.
(3/21) Def - Run Def awful LY. Have some DE's
(3/21) Nearly 1/2 roster new TY. New staff
North Carolina Highlights
North Carolina defense is really good in red zone (#10)
North Carolina has a good run defense (#20)
North Carolina Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#15)
North Carolina Defensive Line is very good (#4)
North Carolina commits very few Penalties (#25)
North Carolina defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
North Carolina Deficiencies
North Carolina offense is really bad (#105)
North Carolina run game is really bad (#116)
North Carolina offense is bad on 3rd Downs
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | CHAR | UNC |
| OverallOver | #92 | #42 |
| OffenseOff | #74 | #71 |
| DefenseDef | #104 | #30 |
| Special TeamsST | #63 | #72 |
| PassingPass | #37 | #62 |
| RushingRush | #94 | #100 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #87 | #46 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #107 | #10 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #28 | #71 |
| TacklingTkl | #49 | #27 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #100 | #37 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #92 | #35 |
| Coverage DefCov | #100 | #39 |
Rematch from Week 2
North Carolina 16.5 (49.5)
North Carolina won at Charlotte this year (20-3)
Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Charlotte last year (38-20)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Jerry Richardson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: UNC | CHAR
Depth Chart: UNC | CHAR
Rosters: UNC | CHAR
(#120) Charlotte Info
Power Rating: -14.295 #120
Offense Rating: 3.08 #113
Defense Rating: 19.37 #116
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.3 #124
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #118
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #123
Talent Rating: 588.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 2.3 - 9.7
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.24 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Good Pass Success 47%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.32 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 52%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Charlotte has lost 1 straight
Charlotte has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Charlotte Notes
(8/30) QB Harrell bad, Run game putrid vs App St
(8/30) Def torched for 580+ vs App St, Pass D worse?
(3/24) QB Connor Harrell (NC) or G Loftis (Duke)
(3/24) RB rebuild. Chaney (Lou) added, depth?
(3/24) WR complete rebuild. 5 portals.
(3/24) OL rebuild 1/5 back. Only 1 portal add?
Charlotte Highlights
Charlotte offense is good on 3rd downs
Charlotte defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)
Charlotte Deficiencies
Charlotte has a really bad Offense
Charlotte has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Charlotte Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Charlotte Can Not Run the Ball (#124)
Charlotte Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Charlotte throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Charlotte Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#104)
Charlotte offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#108)
Charlotte has a bad defense (#127)
Charlotte Does Not Stuff Runs (#118)
Charlotte has a bad defensive line (#102)
Power Rating: -14.295 #120
Offense Rating: 3.08 #113
Defense Rating: 19.37 #116
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.3 #124
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #118
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #123
Talent Rating: 588.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 2.3 - 9.7
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.24 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Good Pass Success 47%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.32 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 52%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Charlotte has lost 1 straight
Charlotte has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Charlotte Notes
(8/30) QB Harrell bad, Run game putrid vs App St
(8/30) Def torched for 580+ vs App St, Pass D worse?
(3/24) QB Connor Harrell (NC) or G Loftis (Duke)
(3/24) RB rebuild. Chaney (Lou) added, depth?
(3/24) WR complete rebuild. 5 portals.
(3/24) OL rebuild 1/5 back. Only 1 portal add?
Charlotte Highlights
Charlotte offense is good on 3rd downs
Charlotte defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)
Charlotte Deficiencies
Charlotte has a really bad Offense
Charlotte has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Charlotte Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Charlotte Can Not Run the Ball (#124)
Charlotte Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Charlotte throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Charlotte Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#104)
Charlotte offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#108)
Charlotte has a bad defense (#127)
Charlotte Does Not Stuff Runs (#118)
Charlotte has a bad defensive line (#102)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giovanni Lopez | 31 | 53 | 59% | 343 | 3 | 1 | 6.5 |
| Max Johnson | 9 | 11 | 82% | 103 | 1 | 0 | 9.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demon June | 23 | 200 | 1 | 8.7 | 50 |
| Giovanni Lopez | 27 | 74 | 1 | 2.7 | 12 |
| Caleb Hood | 15 | 46 | 1 | 3.1 | 9 |
| Davion Gause | 15 | 43 | 1 | 2.9 | 12 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Shipp | 10 | 149 | 2 | 14.9 | 39 |
| Chris Culliver | 4 | 89 | 1 | 22.3 | 51 |
| Javarius Green | 6 | 88 | 0 | 14.7 | 39 |
| Jake Johnson | 4 | 32 | 1 | 8.0 | 11 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Simpson (Tr) | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Khmori House (Tr) | 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Mikai Gbayor (Tr) | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kaleb Cost | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melkart Abou-Jaoude (Tr) | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Andrew Simpson (Tr) | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mikai Gbayor (Tr) | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Joseph Mupoyi (Tr) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thaddeus Dixon (Tr) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Marcus Allen | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jaiden Patterson | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conner Harrell (Tr) | 56 | 83 | 68% | 664 | 4 | 2 | 8.0 |
| Grayson Loftis (Tr) | 8 | 13 | 62% | 110 | 0 | 2 | 8.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Stokes | 32 | 96 | 0 | 3.0 | 16 |
| Rod Gainey Jr. | 23 | 94 | 1 | 4.1 | 11 |
| Conner Harrell (Tr) | 25 | 45 | 2 | 1.8 | 17 |
| Cameren Smith (Tr) | 14 | 29 | 0 | 2.1 | 9 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Jai Mason | 16 | 284 | 3 | 17.8 | 62 |
| Javen Nicholas (Tr) | 17 | 177 | 0 | 10.4 | 28 |
| Miles Burris | 6 | 72 | 0 | 12.0 | 17 |
| Justin Olson | 2 | 56 | 0 | 28.0 | 47 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Qurious Conley | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shay Taylor (Tr) | 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jamarrion Solomon (Tr) | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Collin Gill (Tr) | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Williford | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Curtis Simpson (Tr) | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Macyo Williams (Tr) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Shay Taylor (Tr) | 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Bootle II (Tr) | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Braden Mullen (Tr) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Gavin Willis (Tr) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |