Pittsburgh Panthers at North Carolina Tar Heels
Saturday, October 5th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Pittsburgh -2.5 (63.0) (-135) Open: 0.0
Pittsburgh 34 - North Carolina: 24 (ACC)
Panthers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (65 - 50)
Avg Score : 33 - 28 (24 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (65 - 50)
Avg Score : 33 - 28 (24 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
PITT coming off BYE
UNC is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: North Carolina -1 (SP+ UNC -0)
Projected Score: PITT: 31 - UNC: 32 (61)
PITT Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
PITT Travel: 318 miles
UNC is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: North Carolina -1 (SP+ UNC -0)
Projected Score: PITT: 31 - UNC: 32 (61)
PITT Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
PITT Travel: 318 miles
Tar Heels (6 - 7) (2 - 10 - 1)
Coach Mack Brown (38 - 27)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (36 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
Coach Mack Brown (38 - 27)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (36 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
| Pittsburgh's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Pittsburgh vs Kent State | -23.5 | 55.5 | W 55 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Pittsburgh at Cincinnati | -2.5 | 62.5 | W 28 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Pittsburgh vs West Virginia | +2.5 | 60.5 | W 38 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Pittsburgh vs Youngstown State | -29.5 | 59.5 | W 73 - 17 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Pittsburgh at North Carolina | -2.5 | 63.0 | W 34 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Pittsburgh vs California | -3.5 | 57.5 | W 17 - 15 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 10/24 | Pittsburgh vs Syracuse | -5.0 | 62.5 | W 41 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Pittsburgh at SMU | +7.0 | 55.5 | L 25 - 48 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Pittsburgh vs Virginia | -7.5 | 56.5 | L 19 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Pittsburgh vs Clemson | +12.0 | 52.0 | L 20 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Pittsburgh at Louisville | +7.0 | 57.0 | L 9 - 37 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Pittsburgh at Boston College | +3.5 | 50.5 | L 23 - 34 | O | N | |
| Thu 12/26 | Pittsburgh vs Toledo | -6.5 | 48.5 | L 46 - 48 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| North Carolina's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | North Carolina at Minnesota | -2.0 | 52.5 | W 19 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | North Carolina vs Charlotte | -21.5 | 47.5 | W 38 - 20 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | North Carolina vs North Carolina Central | -37.5 | 57.5 | W 45 - 10 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | North Carolina vs James Madison | -10.0 | 48.0 | L 50 - 70 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | North Carolina at Duke | -1.0 | 55.5 | L 20 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | North Carolina vs Pittsburgh | +2.5 | 63.0 | L 24 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | North Carolina vs Georgia Tech | +3.5 | 60.5 | L 34 - 41 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/26 | North Carolina at Virginia | +3.5 | 58.5 | W 41 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | North Carolina at Florida State | -2.5 | 50.5 | W 35 - 11 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | North Carolina vs Wake Forest | -10.5 | 64.5 | W 31 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | North Carolina at Boston College | -2.0 | 50.5 | L 21 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | North Carolina vs NC State | -2.5 | 54.5 | L 30 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 12/28 | North Carolina vs UConn | -2.0 | 53.5 | L 14 - 27 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT | #119 (.09) | 38% (113) | 32.9 | 41% (90) | 2.86 (109) | 102 | 35% (117) | 216 | 3.46 (98) | #23 (.11) | 39% (39) | 28.4 | 39% (32) | 41% (67) | 3.41 (33) | 64.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| UNC | #17 (.3) | 47% (19) | 30.9 | 50% (16) | 3.41 (11) | 193 | 44% (44) | 299 | 4.13 (45) | #86 (.21) | 42% (70) | 28.1 | 43% (68) | 42% (76) | 3.41 (35) | 66.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| UNC | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT Offense | 12 | 32.9 | 23.8 | 37.7% | 3.46 | 1.8 | 16 | 318 | 102 | 216 | 3.4 | 45% | 54% | 41% | 35% | 19% | .09 |
| UNC Defense | 13 | 28.1 | 33.4 | 42.2% | 3.41 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 49% | 43% | 42% | 15% | .21 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT Defense | 12 | 28.4 | 34 | 39.4% | 3.41 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 58% | 41% | 39% | 41% | 18% | .11 |
| UNC Offense | 13 | 30.9 | 36 | 46.8% | 4.13 | 1.3 | 25 | 492 | 193 | 299 | 5.1 | 46% | 53% | 50% | 44% | 13% | .3 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh | 12 | 27:36 | 16.3 | 31% | 50% | 7.8 | 64.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 6.9 | 2.5 | 2 | 26.7 |
| North Carolina | 13 | 28:34 | 24.5 | 49% | 45% | 7.2 | 66.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 5.4 | 2.1 | 1 | 31.3 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT Offense | 12 | 45% (100) | 41% (90) | 29.7 | 101.9 | 3.4 | 10 (124) | .06 (118) | 2.86 (109) | 75% (52) | 11% (94) | 0.89 (117) |
| UNC Defense | 13 | 50% (70) | 43% (68) | - | - | - | - | .2 (100) | 3.33 (112) | 73% (68) | 10% (85) | 1.02 (81) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT Defense | 12 | 58% (131) | 39% (32) | - | - | - | - | .03 (17) | 2.91 (37) | 62% (16) | 12% (18) | 0.98 (57) |
| UNC Offense | 13 | 46% (97) | 50% (16) | 38.2 | 193.2 | 5.1 | 28 (25) | .28 (9) | 3.41 (11) | 75% (52) | 8% (31) | 1.03 (48) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT Offense | 12 | 54% (34) | 35% (117) | 16 | 30 | 216 | 7.2 | 13.5 | 17 (85) | 12 (85) | .16 (109) | 1.7 (36) | 34% (103) | 24% (122) | .17 (114) | 8% (123) | 2.2 (26) |
| UNC Defense | 13 | 49% (63) | 42% (76) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (37) | .29 (82) | 1.6 (64) | 34% (43) | 34% (117) | .38 (100) | 6% (92) | 1.9 (22) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT Defense | 12 | 41% (3) | 41% (67) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (67) | .27 (67) | 1.7 (103) | 32% (58) | 30% (75) | .29 (58) | 6% (85) | 2.2 (111) |
| UNC Offense | 13 | 53% (36) | 44% (44) | 22.5 | 35.4 | 298.5 | 8.4 | 13.3 | 26 (31) | 11 (68) | .34 (47) | 1.6 (73) | 30% (33) | 32% (56) | .38 (55) | 5% (24) | 2.2 (21) |
Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 1.93 #56
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 18.73 #78
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 7.13 #45
2024 Talent Rating: 768.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Pittsburgh's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Pittsburgh's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #54
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 1.93 #56
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 18.73 #78
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 7.13 #45
2024 Talent Rating: 768.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Pittsburgh's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Pittsburgh's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #54
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 1.93 North Carolina: 4.235
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 4.9 North Carolina: 5.0
Pittsburgh: 1.93 North Carolina: 4.235
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 4.9 North Carolina: 5.0
North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 4.235 #68
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 17.90 #86
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 10.65 #77
2024 Talent Rating: 858.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 26 #22
North Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
North Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
North Carolina's Power Rating: 4.235 #68
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 17.90 #86
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 10.65 #77
2024 Talent Rating: 858.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 26 #22
North Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
North Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 34
Pittsburgh's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 34
Pittsburgh's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 32
Pittsburgh 31
Projected Total Points: 61
North Carolina 32
Pittsburgh 31
Projected Total Points: 61
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4
North Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 7 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4
North Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 7 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/05 | North Carolina | 24 | Pittsburgh | 34 | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh -2.5 | Pittsburgh | 63.0 | Under |
| 2023 | 09/23 | Pittsburgh | 24 | North Carolina | 41 | North Carolina | North Carolina -7 | North Carolina | 49.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/29 | North Carolina | 42 | Pittsburgh | 24 | North Carolina | North Carolina -2.5 | North Carolina | 65.5 | Over |
| 2021 | 11/11 | Pittsburgh | 30 | North Carolina | 23 | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh -6.5 | Pittsburgh | 72.0 | Under |
| 2019 | 11/14 | Pittsburgh | 34 | North Carolina | 27 | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh -4 | Pittsburgh | 49.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 09/22 | North Carolina | 38 | Pittsburgh | 35 | North Carolina | Pittsburgh -3 | North Carolina | 48.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 11/09 | Pittsburgh | 31 | North Carolina | 34 | North Carolina | Pittsburgh -10 | North Carolina | 50.5 | Over |
| 2016 | 09/24 | North Carolina | 37 | Pittsburgh | 36 | North Carolina | North Carolina -7 | Pittsburgh | 67.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 10/29 | Pittsburgh | 19 | North Carolina | 26 | North Carolina | North Carolina -2.5 | North Carolina | 59.0 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/15 | North Carolina | 40 | Pittsburgh | 35 | North Carolina | North Carolina -1.5 | North Carolina | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/16 | Pittsburgh | 27 | North Carolina | 34 | North Carolina | North Carolina -1 | North Carolina | 53.0 | Over |
| 2009 | 12/26 | North Carolina | 17 | Pittsburgh | 19 | Pittsburgh | ||||
| 2000 | 11/03 | Pittsburgh | 17 | North Carolina | 20 | North Carolina |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | 9 | 7 | 7 Overs |
| Pittsburgh | 4 | 4 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 6 - 7 | 5 - 6 | 4 - 2 | 1 - 4 |
| Road Teams | 7 - 6 | 6 - 5 | 4 - 1 | 2 - 4 |
(#56) Pittsburgh Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.93 #56
Offense Rating: 18.73 #78
Defense Rating: 7.13 #45
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #54
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 768.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Poor OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Pittsburgh Notes
(11/13) 2 bad L's, QB's awful (14-35, 2 Int), Rgame meh
(11/2) Fraud, Rgame awful, Holstein garbage @ SMU
(10/24) Pass rush great, forced 5 INTs, 217 yds Off/41 Pts
(10/12) Off was awful vs Cal, 1-12 3rd down, lucky to W
(10/4) Pass good, Run great. Top 10 OL yds, success
(9/12) Pitt is top 5 plays per minute through 2 games
(9/8) Holstein great vs Cin in comeback. Rgame good
(9/1) Holstein QB, Off torched Kent, balanced. Def big ?
(8/19) Off was near worst in P4 & OL worst in P4 LY
(8/19) Bowl poss only if Off improves vs. light sched
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.93 #56
Offense Rating: 18.73 #78
Defense Rating: 7.13 #45
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #54
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 768.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Poor OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Pittsburgh Notes
(11/13) 2 bad L's, QB's awful (14-35, 2 Int), Rgame meh
(11/2) Fraud, Rgame awful, Holstein garbage @ SMU
(10/24) Pass rush great, forced 5 INTs, 217 yds Off/41 Pts
(10/12) Off was awful vs Cal, 1-12 3rd down, lucky to W
(10/4) Pass good, Run great. Top 10 OL yds, success
(9/12) Pitt is top 5 plays per minute through 2 games
(9/8) Holstein great vs Cin in comeback. Rgame good
(9/1) Holstein QB, Off torched Kent, balanced. Def big ?
(8/19) Off was near worst in P4 & OL worst in P4 LY
(8/19) Bowl poss only if Off improves vs. light sched
Power #56
#68Off #78
#86Def #45
#77Talent #37
#18SP+ #50
#49SP+ Off #54
#38SP+ Def #64
#64Rematch from Week 6
Pittsburgh 2.5 (63.0)
Pittsburgh won at North Carolina this year (34-24)
Previous Matchups
Pittsburgh beat North Carolina last year (34-24)
North Carolina beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (41-24)
North Carolina beat Pittsburgh in 2022 (42-24)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 82° - Wind: 10 mph
Team Information
Injuries: PITT | UNC
Depth Chart: PITT | UNC
Rosters: PITT | UNC
(#68) North Carolina Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.235 #68
Offense Rating: 17.90 #86
Defense Rating: 10.65 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 858.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 26 #22
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.08 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.01 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
North Carolina Notes
(11/26) Mack Brown fired at the end of 2024 season
(11/25) Rgame sucks, Criswell 3 INTs, Run Def awful vs BC
(11/18) 3 str W's vs bad teams. Rgame/Hampton great
(10/13) Run Def mauled by GT (371, 7.7 ypc). Gag again
(9/28) Blew 20-0 lead vs Duke. Even game, 10 flags hurt
(9/22) Def all. 600+ yds & 70 pts in JMU loss at home
(9/18) QB Jacolby Criswell looks like starter now
(9/1) RB Hampton great, played B1G ball @ Minn, QB real ?
(8/29) QB Johnson looks out for season (Minn game)
(8/5) Teams are crootin NC commits, Brown done TY?
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.235 #68
Offense Rating: 17.90 #86
Defense Rating: 10.65 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 858.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 26 #22
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.08 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.01 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
North Carolina Notes
(11/26) Mack Brown fired at the end of 2024 season
(11/25) Rgame sucks, Criswell 3 INTs, Run Def awful vs BC
(11/18) 3 str W's vs bad teams. Rgame/Hampton great
(10/13) Run Def mauled by GT (371, 7.7 ypc). Gag again
(9/28) Blew 20-0 lead vs Duke. Even game, 10 flags hurt
(9/22) Def all. 600+ yds & 70 pts in JMU loss at home
(9/18) QB Jacolby Criswell looks like starter now
(9/1) RB Hampton great, played B1G ball @ Minn, QB real ?
(8/29) QB Johnson looks out for season (Minn game)
(8/5) Teams are crootin NC commits, Brown done TY?
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Holstein (Tr) | 179 | 290 | 62% | 2225 | 17 | 7 | 7.7 |
| Nate Yarnell | 98 | 167 | 59% | 1056 | 10 | 5 | 6.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Reid (Tr) | 184 | 966 | 5 | 5.3 | 72 |
| Eli Holstein (Tr) | 81 | 328 | 3 | 4.0 | 49 |
| Julian Dugger | 21 | 88 | 1 | 4.2 | 20 |
| Che Nwabuko | 6 | 76 | 1 | 12.7 | 57 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Reid (Tr) | 52 | 579 | 4 | 11.1 | 72 |
| Kenny Johnson | 46 | 537 | 3 | 11.7 | 46 |
| Raphael Williams | 36 | 419 | 6 | 11.6 | 35 |
| Censere Lee | 19 | 254 | 3 | 13.4 | 82 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Louis | 100 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 3 |
| Rasheem Biles | 80 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| Braylan Lovelace | 53 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Javon Mcintyre | 51 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Louis | 100 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 3 |
| Jimmy Scott | 30 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 2 |
| Nate Matlack (Tr) | 23 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| Braylan Lovelace | 53 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheem Biles | 80 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| Tamon Lynum (Tr) | 37 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Kyle Louis | 100 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacolby Criswell (Tr) | 186 | 320 | 58% | 2459 | 15 | 6 | 7.7 |
| Conner Harrell | 21 | 37 | 57% | 282 | 2 | 1 | 7.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Gause | 67 | 326 | 4 | 4.9 | 21 |
| Jacolby Criswell (Tr) | 71 | 103 | 3 | 1.5 | 20 |
| Charleston French | 10 | 84 | 1 | 8.4 | 45 |
| Caleb Hood | 18 | 81 | 0 | 4.5 | 16 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Paysour | 21 | 365 | 0 | 17.4 | 36 |
| Christian Hamilton | 7 | 159 | 1 | 22.7 | 58 |
| Chris Culliver | 6 | 135 | 1 | 22.5 | 50 |
| Jordan Shipp | 9 | 114 | 1 | 12.7 | 22 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amare Campbell | 69 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| Jakeen Harris (Tr) | 67 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Kaleb Cost | 61 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Beau Atkinson | 35 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beau Atkinson | 35 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| Amare Campbell | 69 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| Joshua Harris (Tr) | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Cade Law | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaleb Cost | 61 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Jakeen Harris (Tr) | 67 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Marcus Allen | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |