South Carolina at North Carolina - 2023 Matchup Preview

(#13)South Carolina Gamecocks vs North Carolina Tar Heels

Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
South Carolina -2.5 (63.5) (0) Open: 0.0
North Carolina 31 - South Carolina: 17 (Duke’s Mayo Classic)

Gamecocks (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shane Beamer (16 - 13)
Avg Score : 26 - 26 (16 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#92)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: North Carolina -7.5 (SP+ UNC -7)
Projected Score: SC: 26 - UNC: 34 (60)
SC Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
SC Travel: 174 miles

Tar Heels (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mack Brown (33 - 22)
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (41 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SC Players
UNC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Carolina's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	South Carolina vs North Carolina	-2.5	63.5	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/9	South Carolina vs Furman	-18.0	52.5	W 47 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/16	South Carolina at Georgia	+27.0	54.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/23	South Carolina vs Mississippi State	-6.0	46.5	W 37 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/30	South Carolina at Tennessee	+12.0	59.0	L 20 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	South Carolina vs Florida	+1.0	50.0	L 39 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/21	South Carolina at Missouri	+7.5	57.5	L 12 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/28	South Carolina at Texas A&M	+17.0	51.5	L 17 - 30	U	Y
Sat 11/4	South Carolina vs Jacksonville State	-15.5	55.0	W 38 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/11	South Carolina vs Vanderbilt	-13.5	53.5	W 47 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/18	South Carolina vs Kentucky	-2.5	52.5	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/25	South Carolina vs Clemson	+7.5	48.0	L 7 - 16	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Carolina's Schedule

North Carolina's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	North Carolina vs South Carolina	+2.5	63.5	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/9	North Carolina vs App State	-18.0	58.0	W 40 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/16	North Carolina vs Minnesota	-7.0	51.0	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/23	North Carolina at Pittsburgh	-7.0	49.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	North Carolina vs Syracuse	-9.5	59.0	W 40 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/14	North Carolina vs Miami	-2.5	57.5	W 41 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/21	North Carolina vs Virginia	-24.0	58.0	L 27 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/28	North Carolina at Georgia Tech	-12.0	65.5	L 42 - 46	O	N
Sat 11/4	North Carolina vs Campbell	-45.5	68.5	W 59 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/11	North Carolina vs Duke	-9.5	52.5	W 47 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/18	North Carolina at Clemson	+7.5	58.0	L 20 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/25	North Carolina at NC State	-2.0	55.0	L 20 - 39	O	N
Wed 12/27	North Carolina vs West Virginia	+4.5	62.0	L 10 - 30	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SC	#67 (.2)	41% (86)	26	38% (120)	2.81 (117)	85	43% (54)	278	4.06 (51)	#80 (.2)	44% (92)	26.3	46% (97)	43% (85)	3.42 (36)	55.1	1.1	1.4
UNC	#17 (.3)	47% (19)	34.5	50% (16)	3.41 (11)	193	44% (44)	299	4.13 (45)	#86 (.21)	42% (70)	27.3	43% (68)	42% (76)	3.41 (35)	66.3	1.3	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SC	#48 (.22)	44% (58)		44% (74)	3.01 (73)	175	44% (42)	203	3.97 (62)	#15 (.08)	42% (73)		45% (93)	40% (61)	3.19 (16)	53.8	1.5	1.7
UNC	#65 (.2)	42% (80)		47% (34)	3.32 (22)	175	37% (114)	216	4.08 (52)	#70 (.17)	41% (53)		44% (82)	37% (26)	4.01 (90)	59.8	1.2	1.2

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SC Offense	12	26	15.8	40.8%	4.06	1.1	18	363	85	278	2.8	41%	58%	38%	43%	20%	.2
UNC Defense	13	27.3	24	42.2%	3.41	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	43%	42%	15%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SC Defense	12	26.3	32.3	43.8%	3.42	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	46%	43%	16%	.2
UNC Offense	13	34.5	40.7	46.8%	4.13	1.3	25	492	193	299	5.1	46%	53%	50%	44%	13%	.3

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Carolina	12	28:17	18.1	34%	38%	7.1	55.1	1.1	1.4	4.6	1.8	2	30.7
North Carolina	13	28:34	24.5	49%	45%	7.2	66.3	1.3	1.7	5.4	2.1	1	31.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SC Offense	12	41% (122)	38% (120)	30.8	85.1	2.8	17 (81)	.03 (122)	2.81 (117)	74% (73)	14% (128)	0.94 (96)
UNC Defense	13	50% (70)	43% (68)	-	-	-	-	.2 (100)	3.33 (112)	73% (68)	10% (85)	1.02 (81)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SC Defense	12	50% (72)	46% (97)	-	-	-	-	.16 (79)	3.2 (93)	77% (95)	8% (115)	0.86 (17)
UNC Offense	13	46% (97)	50% (16)	38.2	193.2	5.1	28 (25)	.28 (9)	3.41 (11)	75% (52)	8% (31)	1.03 (48)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SC Offense	12	58% (12)	43% (54)	23.6	34.3	278	8.1	11.8	21 (65)	8 (30)	.33 (50)	1.6 (70)	37% (131)	30% (72)	.29 (81)	6% (81)	1.9 (111)
UNC Defense	13	49% (63)	42% (76)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.29 (82)	1.6 (64)	34% (43)	34% (117)	.38 (100)	6% (92)	1.9 (22)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SC Defense	12	49% (58)	43% (85)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.31 (92)	1.6 (50)	30% (107)	29% (51)	.29 (53)	8% (14)	2.2 (114)
UNC Offense	13	53% (36)	44% (44)	22.5	35.4	298.5	8.4	13.3	26 (31)	11 (68)	.34 (47)	1.6 (73)	30% (33)	32% (56)	.38 (55)	5% (24)	2.2 (21)

South Carolina's Power Ratings
South Carolina's Power Rating: 1.41 #56
South Carolina's Offense Rating: 16.50 #66
South Carolina's Defense Rating: 11.58 #94
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 35% #22
South Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 5.30 - 6.70
South Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.4 #54
South Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #58
South Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #60

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
South Carolina: 1.41 North Carolina: 9.835

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Carolina: 3.4 North Carolina: 10.2

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 9.835 #25
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 22.89 #20
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 10.64 #81
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 44 #18
North Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
North Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

South Carolina Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.8
Defense: 26.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.3

South Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
North Carolina 34
South Carolina 26

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
South Carolina 29
North Carolina 27

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
North Carolina 33
South Carolina 23

Total Points: 56

North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 34.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.7
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24

North Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/02	North Carolina	31	South Carolina	17	South Carolina -2.5	North Carolina	63.5	Under
2021	12/30	South Carolina	38	North Carolina	21	North Carolina -12.5	South Carolina	57.5	Over
2019	08/31	North Carolina	24	South Carolina	20	South Carolina -11	North Carolina	61.0	Under
2015	09/03	South Carolina	17	North Carolina	13	South Carolina -3.5	South Carolina	62.0	Under
2013	08/29	South Carolina	27	North Carolina	10	South Carolina -11.5	South Carolina	0
2007	10/13	North Carolina	15	South Carolina	21

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
North Carolina	2	2	1 Overs
South Carolina	4	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 1	5 - 0	2 - 0	3 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 5	0 - 5	0 - 3	0 - 2

(#56) SC at (#25) UNC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SC	UNC
Power RatePwr	#56	#25
SP+SP+	#54	#27
Perf GradeGrade	#94	#35
OffenseOff	#97	#34
DefenseDef	#95	#47
Spec TeamsST	#93	#119
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#22	#18

South Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	SC Off	UNC Def
Perf GradePerf	#97	#47
SuccessSuc	#86	#70
ExplosiveExp	#43	#71
PPAPPA	#67	#86
PowerPwr	#66	#81
SP+SP+	#58	#71
Pts POPPO	#51	#35
HavocHav	#123	#92

South Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	SC Off	UNC Def
Run GameRun	#102	#57
Run SuccessRSuc	#120	#68
Run ExplRExp	#96	#81
PPAExp	#122	#100
Run BlockR Blk	#123	-
OL YdsOLY	#117	#112
Stuff RateStuff	#78	#124
TackleTak	-	#54

South Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	SC Off	UNC Def
Pass GamePass	#45	#37
Pass SuccessPSuc	#54	#76
Pass ExplPExl	#70	#64
PPAExp	#50	#82
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#107	#41
F7 HavocF7	#128	#85
DB HavocDB	#81	#92

North Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	UNC Off	SC Def
Perf GradePerf	#34	#95
SuccessSuc	#19	#92
ExplosiveExp	#59	#15
PPAPPA	#17	#80
PowerPwr	#20	#94
SP+SP+	#13	#60
Pts POPPO	#45	#36
HavocHav	#17	#72

North Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	SC Def
Run GameRun	#26	#87
Run SuccessRSuc	#16	#97
Run ExplRExp	#48	#17
PPAExp	#9	#79
Run BlockR Blk	#102	-
OL YdsOLY	#11	#93
Stuff RateStuff	#16	#123
TackleTak	-	#24

North Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	SC Def
Pass GamePass	#8	#109
Pass SuccessPSuc	#44	#85
Pass ExplPExl	#73	#50
PPAExp	#47	#92
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#42	#45
F7 HavocF7	#31	#115
DB HavocDB	#24	#14

Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

SC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bank of America Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 79°

Rematch from Week 1
South Carolina 2.5 (63.5)
North Carolina won vs South Carolina this year (31-17)

Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat South Carolina in 2023 (31-17)

SC's OC Dowell Loggains (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Spencer Rattler	275	399	69%	3186	19	8	8.0
Lanorris Sellers	4	4	100%	86	2	0	21.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mario Anderson	143	707	3	4.9	75
Dakereon Joyner	50	120	5	2.4	16
Spencer Rattler	98	102	4	1.0	28
Juju McDowell	26	63	2	2.4	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Xavier Legette	71	1255	7	17.7	76
Trey Knox (Tr)	37	312	2	8.4	22
Ahmarean Brown	26	265	1	10.2	44
Joshua Simon (Tr)	28	256	2	9.1	33

View South Carolina's Full Roster

SC's DC Clayton White (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Debo Williams	113	9	1	2	2
Jalon Kilgore	76	2	0	0	6
DQ Smith	73	2	1	0	2
Nick Emmanwori	71	0	0	1	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Strachan	20	8	5	2	1
T.J. Sanders	43	10	5	4	4
Tyreek Johnson	16	4	3	2	0
Bam Martin-Scott	38	4	2	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marcellas Dial	36	2	1	0	10
Nick Emmanwori	71	0	0	1	8
Tonka Hemingway	32	5	2	6	7

UNC's OC Chip Lindsey (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Drake Maye	269	425	63%	3608	24	9	8.5
Conner Harrell	22	33	67%	270	2	2	8.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omarion Hampton	253	1504	15	5.9	68
Drake Maye	112	449	9	4.0	56
British Brooks	74	375	2	5.1	53
Conner Harrell	22	75	1	3.4	61

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
J.J. Jones	46	711	3	15.5	57
Devontez Walker (Tr)	41	699	7	17.0	56
Bryson Nesbit	41	585	5	14.3	62
Nate Mccollum (Tr)	44	469	1	10.7	48

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC Gene Chizik (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cedric Gray	121	11	5	7	4
Power Echols	102	6	0	4	1
Don Chapman	64	5	1	2	1
Antavious Lane (Tr)	62	3	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kaimon Rucker	61	15	9	12	1
Cedric Gray	121	11	5	7	4
Beau Atkinson	19	5	4	3	0
Desmond Evans	33	5	3	7	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marcus Allen	49	1	0	0	8
Alijah Huzzie (Tr)	42	1	0	1	6
Desmond Evans	33	5	3	7	5