South Carolina at North Carolina - 2023 Matchup Preview
South Carolina logo   South Carolina Gamecocks vs North Carolina Tar Heels  North Carolina logo
Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
South Carolina -2.5 (63.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
North Carolina 31 - South Carolina: 17  (Duke’s Mayo Classic)

 
Gamecocks (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shane Beamer (16 - 13)
Avg Score : 23 - 22 (19 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#92)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: North Carolina -7.5  (SP+ UNC -7)
Projected Score: SC: 24 - UNC: 31 (55)
SC Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
SC Travel: 87 miles
Tar Heels (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mack Brown (33 - 22)
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (21 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
South Carolina's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 South Carolina vs North Carolina-2.563.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 9/9 South Carolina vs Furman-18.052.5W 47 - 21OY
Sat 9/16 South Carolina at Georgia+27.054.5L 14 - 24UY
Sat 9/23 South Carolina vs Mississippi State-6.046.5W 37 - 30OY
Sat 9/30 South Carolina at Tennessee+12.059.0L 20 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 South Carolina vs Florida+1.050.0L 39 - 41ON
Sat 10/21 South Carolina at Missouri+7.557.5L 12 - 34UN
Sat 10/28 South Carolina at Texas A&M+17.051.5L 17 - 30UY
Sat 11/4 South Carolina vs Jacksonville State-15.555.0W 38 - 28ON
Sat 11/11 South Carolina vs Vanderbilt-13.553.5W 47 - 6UY
Sat 11/18 South Carolina vs Kentucky-2.552.5W 17 - 14UY
Sat 11/25 South Carolina vs Clemson+7.548.0L 7 - 16UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Carolina's Schedule
North Carolina's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 North Carolina vs South Carolina+2.563.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 9/9 North Carolina vs App State-18.058.0W 40 - 34ON
Sat 9/16 North Carolina vs Minnesota-7.051.0W 31 - 13UY
Sat 9/23 North Carolina at Pittsburgh-7.049.5W 41 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 North Carolina vs Syracuse-9.559.0W 40 - 7UY
Sat 10/14 North Carolina vs Miami-2.557.5W 41 - 31OY
Sat 10/21 North Carolina vs Virginia-24.058.0L 27 - 31UN
Sat 10/28 North Carolina at Georgia Tech-12.065.5L 42 - 46ON
Sat 11/4 North Carolina vs Campbell-45.568.5W 59 - 7UY
Sat 11/11 North Carolina vs Duke-9.552.5W 47 - 45ON
Sat 11/18 North Carolina at Clemson+7.558.0L 20 - 31UN
Sat 11/25 North Carolina at NC State-2.055.0L 20 - 39ON
Wed 12/27 North Carolina vs West Virginia+4.562.0L 10 - 30UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SC.2342%22.743%2.912041%2604.54.1945%22.152%39%4.1262.62.12
UNC.346%19.345%3.1815347%3094.47.2948%24.549%48%4.5155.311.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SC Offense1322.718.541.6%4.542.1193801202603.846%54%43%41%19%.23
UNC Defense1424.52648.3%4.511.1 - - - - - 51%49%49%48%12%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SC Defense1322.127.545.5%4.122 - - - - - 53%46%52%39%16%.19
UNC Offense1419.32146.2%4.471254631533094.245%55%45%47%14%.3

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Carolina1328:4018.939%62%6.862.62.124.31.5530.2
North Carolina1429:5524.646%71%6.155.311.13.41.2129.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SC Offense1346%43%31.5119.63.827.152.968%14%1.02
UNC Defense1451%49% - - - - .183.2579%6%0.87
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SC Defense1353%52% - - - - .263.4885%8%0.91
UNC Offense1445%45%36.4153.44.224.183.1872%10%1

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SC Offense1354%41%21.632.2259.98.1122314.321.832%32%.485%2.4
UNC Defense1449%48% - - - - - - 9.411.628%31%.46%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SC Defense1346%39% - - - - - - 15.191.630%34%.48%2.1
UNC Offense1455%47%24.637.5309.38.312.6387.411.632%40%.54%1.9

South Carolina's Power Ratings
South Carolina's Power Rating: 1.41  #56
South Carolina's Offense Rating: 16.50  #66
South Carolina's Defense Rating: 11.58  #94
2023 Talent Rating: 763.02  #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 35%  #22
South Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 5.30 - 6.70
South Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.4  #54
South Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8  #58
South Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1  #60

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
South Carolina: 1.41   North Carolina: 9.835

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Carolina: 3.4   North Carolina: 10.2




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 9.835  #25
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 22.89  #20
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 10.64  #81
2023 Talent Rating: 805.63  #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 44  #18
North Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
North Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2  #27
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8  #13
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4  #71

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


South Carolina Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.5
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.5

South Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 31
South Carolina 24

Projected Total Points: 55
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

North Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/02North Carolina31South Carolina17South Carolina -2.5North Carolina63.5Under
202112/30South Carolina38North Carolina21North Carolina -12.5South Carolina57.5Over
201908/31North Carolina24South Carolina20South Carolina -11North Carolina61.0Under
201509/03South Carolina17North Carolina13South Carolina -3.5South Carolina62.0Under
201308/29South Carolina27North Carolina10South Carolina -11.5South Carolina0
200710/13North Carolina15South Carolina21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina221 Overs
South Carolina433 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 15 - 02 - 03 - 0
Road Teams1 - 50 - 50 - 30 - 2

(#56) SC at (#25) UNC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSCUNC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #56 #25
SP+SP+ #54 #27
Perf GradeGrade #94 #35
OffenseOff #97 #34
DefenseDef #95 #47
Spec TeamsST #93 #119
TalentTal #22 #17
Blue ChipsBC% #22 #18
South Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
SC OffUNC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #97 #47
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #66 #81
SP+SP+ #58 #71
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
SC OffUNC Def
Run GameRun #102 #57
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #123 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #54
South Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
SC OffUNC Def
Pass GamePass #45 #37
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #107 #41
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatUNC OffSC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #34 #95
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #20 #94
SP+SP+ #13 #60
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffSC Def
Run GameRun #26 #87
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #102 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #24
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatUNC OffSC Def
Pass GamePass #8 #109
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #42 #45
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'23 Profile: Remains Average P4

SC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bank of America Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
South Carolina 2.5 (63.5)
North Carolina won vs South Carolina this year (31-17)

Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat South Carolina in 2023 (31-17)

  
SC's OC Dowell Loggains (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Spencer Rattler27539969%31861988.0
Lanorris Sellers44100%862021.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Mario Anderson14370734.975
Dakereon Joyner5012052.416
Spencer Rattler9810241.028
Juju McDowell266322.417
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Legette711255717.776
Trey Knox (Tr)3731228.422
Ahmarean Brown26265110.244
Joshua Simon (Tr)2825629.133

View South Carolina's Full Roster

SC's DC Clayton White (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Debo Williams1139122
Jalon Kilgore762006
DQ Smith732102
Nick Emmanwori710018
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Strachan208521
T.J. Sanders4310544
Tyreek Johnson164320
Bam Martin-Scott384221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcellas Dial3621010
Nick Emmanwori710018
Tonka Hemingway325267

UNC's OC Chip Lindsey (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drake Maye26942563%36082498.5
Conner Harrell223367%270228.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Omarion Hampton2531504155.968
Drake Maye11244994.056
British Brooks7437525.153
Conner Harrell227513.461
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
J.J. Jones46711315.557
Devontez Walker (Tr)41699717.056
Bryson Nesbit41585514.362
Nate Mccollum (Tr)44469110.748

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC Gene Chizik (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cedric Gray12111574
Power Echols1026041
Don Chapman645121
Antavious Lane (Tr)623001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaimon Rucker61159121
Cedric Gray12111574
Beau Atkinson195430
Desmond Evans335375
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcus Allen491008
Alijah Huzzie (Tr)421016
Desmond Evans335375