Charlotte at North Carolina - 2024 Matchup Preview
Charlotte logo Charlotte 49ers at North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina logo
Saturday, September 7th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
North Carolina -21.5 (47.5) (-2000)  Open: -22.5 | 46.5
North Carolina 38 - Charlotte: 20

 
49ers (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tim Brewster (Int) (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 24 - 35 (23 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: North Carolina -18.5   (SP+ UNC -20)
Projected Score: CHAR: 18 - UNC: 37 (55)
UNC Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
CHAR Travel: 104 miles
Tar Heels (6 - 7) (2 - 10 - 1)
Coach Mack Brown (38 - 27)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (36 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Charlotte's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Charlotte vs James Madison+6.547.5L 7 - 30UN
Sat 9/7 Charlotte at North Carolina+21.547.5L 20 - 38OY
Sat 9/14 Charlotte vs Gardner-Webb-14.046.5W 27 - 26ON
Sat 9/21 Charlotte at Indiana+28.550.0L 14 - 52ON
Sat 9/28 Charlotte at Rice+4.048.0W 21 - 20UY
Sat 10/5 Charlotte vs East Carolina+9.547.5W 55 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Charlotte at Navy+16.557.5L 17 - 51ON
Sat 10/26 Charlotte at Memphis+17.056.5L 28 - 33OY
Thu 10/31 Charlotte vs Tulane+14.555.5L 3 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Charlotte vs South Florida-1.553.5L 24 - 59ON
Sat 11/23 Charlotte at Florida Atlantic-3.049.5W 39 - 27OY
Sat 11/30 Charlotte vs UAB-1.559.5W 29 - 27UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule
North Carolina's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 North Carolina at Minnesota-2.052.5W 19 - 17UN
Sat 9/7 North Carolina vs Charlotte-21.547.5W 38 - 20ON
Sat 9/14 North Carolina vs North Carolina Central-37.557.5W 45 - 10UN
Sat 9/21 North Carolina vs James Madison-10.048.0L 50 - 70ON
Sat 9/28 North Carolina at Duke-1.055.5L 20 - 21UN
Sat 10/5 North Carolina vs Pittsburgh+2.563.0L 24 - 34UN
Sat 10/12 North Carolina vs Georgia Tech+3.560.5L 34 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 North Carolina at Virginia+3.558.5W 41 - 14UY
Sat 11/2 North Carolina at Florida State-2.550.5W 35 - 11UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 North Carolina vs Wake Forest-10.564.5W 31 - 24UN
Sat 11/23 North Carolina at Boston College-2.050.5L 21 - 41ON
Sat 11/30 North Carolina vs NC State-2.554.5L 30 - 35ON
Sat 12/28 North Carolina vs UConn-2.053.5L 14 - 27UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CHAR#116 (.1)37% (122)23.739% (110)2.75 (113)11935% (120)2243.9 (70)#113 (.25)45% (107)35.148% (111)42% (83)3.87 (81)65.31.81
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)30.947% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)28.144% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CHAR#116 (.1)37% (122)39% (110)2.75 (113)11935% (120)2243.9 (70)#113 (.25)45% (107)48% (111)42% (83)3.87 (81)65.31.81
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)47% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)44% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CHAR Offense1223.723.237.1%3.91.8173431192243.747%52%39%35%17%.1
UNC Defense1328.133.440.5%4.011.2 - - - - - 53%46%44%37%15%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CHAR Defense1235.136.845.3%3.871 - - - - - 56%44%48%42%15%.25
UNC Offense1330.93642%4.081.2203911752164.952%47%47%37%15%.2

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Charlotte1228:3717.330%42%7.865.31.814.91.2126.1
North Carolina1327:4220.240%50%6.859.81.21.25.22.8629.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CHAR Offense1247% (88)39% (110)32.3118.73.716 (90).09 (93)2.75 (113)68% (105)11% (106)1.1 (24)
UNC Defense1353% (92)44% (82) - - - - .16 (88)3.39 (121)86% (130)9% (83)0.89 (29)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CHAR Defense1256% (118)48% (111) - - - - .19 (104)3.27 (106)68% (35)8% (114)0.96 (57)
UNC Offense1352% (53)47% (34)35.9175.24.926 (36).26 (14)3.32 (22)70% (89)9% (54)1.06 (36)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CHAR Offense1252% (46)35% (120)14.829.4224.17.615.216 (87)14 (115).12 (120)1.9 (6)35% (123)29% (96).23 (103)6% (57)2.3 (3)
UNC Defense1346% (38)37% (26) - - - - - - 9 (76).22 (64)1.8 (125)32% (66)26% (12).23 (35)5% (103)2.2 (99)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CHAR Defense1244% (18)42% (83) - - - - - - 10 (66).34 (112)1.8 (122)31% (92)33% (107).57 (132)6% (51)2.4 (133)
UNC Offense1347% (82)37% (114)16.829215.97.512.817 (79)8 (40).17 (101)1.7 (29)32% (74)29% (94).32 (78)6% (60)2.1 (33)

Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -13.07 #108
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 16.64 #99
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 15.25 #110
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Charlotte's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Charlotte's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.3 #118
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #102
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #124

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -13.07   North Carolina: 4.235

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -15.3   North Carolina: 5.0




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 4.235 #68
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 17.90 #86
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 10.65 #77
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 26 #22
North Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
North Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 35.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.8

Charlotte's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 37
Charlotte 18


Total Points: 55

North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4

North Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 7 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 8 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Charlotte3North Carolina20North CarolinaNorth Carolina -16.5North Carolina49.5Under
202409/07North Carolina38Charlotte20North CarolinaNorth Carolina -21.5Charlotte47.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina211 Overs
Charlotte011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams1 - 12 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#108) Charlotte Info
Power Rating: -13.07 #108
Offense Rating: 16.64 #99
Defense Rating: 15.25 #110
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.3 #118
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #102
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #124
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.9 PPO
Poor Run Success 39%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Charlotte has lost 1 straight
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Charlotte Notes
(11/18) 4 straight L's, R Def all 425 yds, 8.9 ypc in USF L
(11/18) Poggi fired after 4 str L's (USF)
(11/3) 3 straight L's vs tough sched, need 3-0 to bowl
(11/3) QBs near worst in CFB, Rgame bottom 30
(11/1) Off is terrible. Run game sucks, Pass worse
(10/20) 5 TOs, 8 flags in L while Outrushed Navy
(10/18) Top 10 in CFB in rushing explosiveness
(10/16) Two ML upsets into Bye. Navy/Mem/Tulane up
(10/8) Huge W (ECU), 311 rush yds (6 ypc). Improving?
(10/8) Significantly better with QB Purdie than others

Charlotte Highlights
Charlotte offense is explosive (#74)

Charlotte Deficiencies
Charlotte has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Charlotte Can Not Run the Ball (#124)
Charlotte Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Charlotte throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Charlotte offense is really bad (#65)
Charlotte Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#104)
Charlotte run game is really bad (#91)
Charlotte pass game is really bad (#42)
Charlotte offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Charlotte Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Charlotte does not Sack the QB (#80)
Charlotte has a bad defense (#127)
Charlotte Does Not Stuff Runs (#118)
Charlotte has a bad defensive line (#102)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUNCCHAR
OverallOver#51#86
OffenseOff#56#82
DefenseDef#77#104
Special TeamsST#9#111
PassingPass#82#110
RushingRush#13#54
Run BlockRBLK#29#63
Pass BlockPBLK#47#32
Route RunningWR Rt#67#36
TacklingTkl#36#50
Run DefenseR Def#65#106
Pass Rush DefPRush#56#98
Coverage DefCov#83#79

Rematch from Week 2
North Carolina -21.5 (47.5)
North Carolina won vs Charlotte this year (38-20)

Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Charlotte last year (38-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CHAR | UNC
Depth Chart: CHAR | UNC
Rosters: CHAR | UNC
(#68) North Carolina Info
Power Rating: 4.235 #68
Offense Rating: 17.90 #86
Defense Rating: 10.65 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 26 #22
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.08 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.01 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

North Carolina has won 1 straight
Record at home: 3 - 4 (0 - 7 - 0 vs Spread)

North Carolina Notes
(11/26) Mack Brown fired at the end of 2024 season
(11/25) Rgame sucks, Criswell 3 INTs, Run Def awful vs BC
(11/18) 3 str W's vs bad teams. Rgame/Hampton great
(10/13) Run Def mauled by GT (371, 7.7 ypc). Gag again
(9/28) Blew 20-0 lead vs Duke. Even game, 10 flags hurt
(9/22) Def all. 600+ yds & 70 pts in JMU loss at home
(9/18) QB Jacolby Criswell looks like starter now
(9/1) RB Hampton great, played B1G ball @ Minn, QB real ?
(8/29) QB Johnson looks out for season (Minn game)
(8/5) Teams are crootin NC commits, Brown done TY?

North Carolina Highlights
North Carolina has a top Offensive Line (#94)
North Carolina does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#83)

North Carolina Defense Sacks the QB a lot

North Carolina has a good pass defense (#98)

North Carolina Deficiencies
North Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#25)
North Carolina pass game is really bad (#86)
North Carolina Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
North Carolina Does Not Stuff Runs (#15)
North Carolina has a bad defensive line (#4)


  
Charlotte's OC Mike Miller
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Deshawn Purdie10020050%18021069.0
Max Brown (Tr)439346%561366.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Hahsaun Wilson9155976.165
Cartevious Norton (Tr)12952574.162
Terron Kellman4824205.041
Max Brown (Tr)338502.620
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
O'Mega Blake (Tr)32795924.875
Sean Brown35470113.442
Jairus Mack19418022.059
Isaiah Myers13237318.237

View Charlotte's Full Roster
Charlotte's DC Ryan Osborn
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Reid Williford746222
Cam Burden573002
Dontae Balfour483009
Al-Ma'Hi Ali451037
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chantz Williams (Tr)187414
Reid Williford746222
Demon Clowney235210
Mordecai McDaniel422113
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dontae Balfour483009
Al-Ma'Hi Ali451037
Chantz Williams (Tr)187414

North Carolina's OC Chip Lindsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jacolby Criswell (Tr)18632058%24591567.7
Conner Harrell213757%282217.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Omarion Hampton2811660155.975
Davion Gause6732644.921
Jacolby Criswell (Tr)7110331.520
Charleston French108418.445
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
J.J. Jones36582616.253
John Copenhaver40414410.435
Omarion Hampton3837329.849
Kobe Paysour21365017.436

View North Carolina's Full Roster
North Carolina's DC Geoff Collins
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antavious Lane744102
Power Echols732126
Amare Campbell699632
Jakeen Harris (Tr)671004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beau Atkinson3512840
Kaimon Rucker308631
Amare Campbell699632
Desmond Evans3410591
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alijah Huzzie364218
Power Echols732126
Jakeen Harris (Tr)671004