Clemson at North Carolina Game Matchup
Clemson logo Clemson Tigers at North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Kenan Memorial Stadium - Chapel Hill, NC  (ACC)

 
Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (180 - 46)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (30 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 1.4 (#4)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 2)
CLEM coming off BYE
UNC coming off BYE
Our Line: Clemson -21   (SP+ CLEM -21.5)
Projected Score: CLEM: 40 - UNC: 19 (58)
CLEM Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
CLEM Travel: 230 miles
Tar Heels (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bill Belichick (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (36 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#67)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 5)
 
Clemson's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Clemson vs LSU-3.056.5
Sat 9/6 Clemson vs Troy-32.5
Sat 9/13 Clemson at Georgia Tech-15.5
Sat 9/20 Clemson vs Syracuse-22.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Clemson at North Carolina-21
Sat 10/11 Clemson at Boston College-20.5
Sat 10/18 Clemson vs SMU-14.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Clemson vs Duke-22
Sat 11/8 Clemson vs Florida State-20.5
Fri 11/14 Clemson at Louisville-11
Sat 11/22 Clemson vs Furman-49
Sat 11/29 Clemson at South Carolina-7

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Clemson's Schedule
North Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/1 North Carolina vs TCU-1.557.5
Sat 9/6 North Carolina at Charlotte-19.5
Sat 9/13 North Carolina vs Richmond-25.5
Sat 9/20 North Carolina at UCF-0.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 North Carolina vs Clemson+21
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 North Carolina at California-1.5
Sat 10/25 North Carolina vs Virginia-4.5
Fri 10/31 North Carolina at Syracuse+6
Sat 11/8 North Carolina vs Stanford-10
Sat 11/15 North Carolina at Wake Forest-6.5
Sat 11/22 North Carolina vs Duke+1.5
Sat 11/29 North Carolina at NC State+6.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CLEM#21 (.27)47% (24)34.750% (12)3.28 (29)17445% (36)2794.33 (29)#52 (.14)40% (48)23.443% (68)38% (36)3.64 (48)47.60.71.9
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)30.947% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)28.144% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CLEM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CLEM Offense1434.73046.7%4.330.7244521742795.243%56%50%45%13%.27
UNC Defense1328.133.440.5%4.011.2 - - - - - 53%46%44%37%15%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CLEM Defense1423.419.840.1%3.641.9 - - - - - 46%53%43%38%19%.14
UNC Offense1330.93642%4.081.2203911752164.952%47%47%37%15%.2

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Clemson1430:2923.944%59%4.947.60.71.96.12.5230.1
North Carolina1327:4220.240%50%6.859.81.21.25.22.8629.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CLEM Offense1443% (113)50% (12)33.6173.85.223 (52).24 (19)3.28 (29)72% (78)8% (40)0.96 (69)
UNC Defense1353% (92)44% (82) - - - - .16 (88)3.39 (121)86% (130)9% (83)0.89 (29)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CLEM Defense1446% (20)43% (68) - - - - .15 (84)2.93 (54)59% (8)11% (38)1.12 (119)
UNC Offense1352% (53)47% (34)35.9175.24.926 (36).26 (14)3.32 (22)70% (89)9% (54)1.06 (36)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CLEM Offense1456% (23)45% (36)23.637.8278.57.411.837 (2)7 (26).33 (38)1.5 (79)30% (39)38% (6).58 (4)5% (21)2.1 (39)
UNC Defense1346% (38)37% (26) - - - - - - 9 (76).22 (64)1.8 (125)32% (66)26% (12).23 (35)5% (103)2.2 (99)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CLEM Defense1453% (114)38% (36) - - - - - - 16 (10).15 (28)1.6 (60)35% (26)32% (90).3 (66)8% (20)2 (64)
UNC Offense1347% (82)37% (114)16.829215.97.512.817 (79)8 (40).17 (101)1.7 (29)32% (74)29% (94).32 (78)6% (60)2.1 (33)

Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 27.65 #8
Clemson's Offense Rating: 31.06 #1
Clemson's Defense Rating: 3.41 #14
2025 Talent Rating: 986.00 #13
Blue Chip Ratio: 43% #15
Clemson's 2025 Expected Record: 10.6 - 1.4
Clemson's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.3 #8
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.9 #6
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #12

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 826.12
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Clemson: 27.65   North Carolina: 4.385

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Clemson: 23.3   North Carolina: 2.0




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 4.385 #62
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 15.19 #61
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 13.42 #62
2025 Talent Rating: 834.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #30
North Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 5.5
North Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #54
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #39
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #74

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 826.12
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Clemson Scoring
Offense: 34.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.8

Clemson's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Clemson 40
North Carolina 19

Projected Total Points: 58
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4

North Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/18Clemson31North Carolina20ClemsonClemson -7.5Clemson58.0Under
202212/03North Carolina10Clemson39ClemsonClemson -7.5Clemson64.0Under
201909/28North Carolina20Clemson21ClemsonClemson -27.5North Carolina61.0Under
201512/05Clemson45North Carolina37ClemsonClemson -6.5Clemson67.5Over
201409/27Clemson50North Carolina35ClemsonClemson -10Clemson0
201110/22Clemson59North Carolina38Clemson
201010/09North Carolina21Clemson16North Carolina
200609/23Clemson52North Carolina7Clemson
200310/25Clemson36North Carolina28Clemson
200211/09North Carolina12Clemson42Clemson
200110/20Clemson3North Carolina38North Carolina
200010/20North Carolina24Clemson38Clemson
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina211 Overs
Clemson1043 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 54 - 13 - 01 - 1
Road Teams5 - 71 - 41 - 10 - 3

(#8) Clemson Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 27.65 #8
Offense Rating: 31.06 #1
Defense Rating: 3.41 #14
Overall SP+ Rating: 23.3 #8
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.9 #6
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #12
Talent Rating: 986.00 #13
Blue Chip Ratio: 43% #15
Expected Record: 10.6 - 1.4

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.33 PPO
Great Run Success 50%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Clemson Notes
(5/23) CB duo of Terrelll & Hampton a top unit in CFB
(5/23) OL returns 5/5, a top 5 unit in all CFB
(5/11) OL has #2 most returning exp in P4
(4/7) DL Parker, Woods PFF top 10, +Heldt (Pur) CFB best
(4/7) Clemson clear ACC #1, nat'l title contender
(4/5) RB biggest ? Sr WR Randall moved to RB TY
(4/5) HC Swinney one of the best. Portaling now
(4/4) OT Blake Miller a top OT via PFF
(4/4) CB A Terrell/LB W Woodaz both top 10 via PFF
(3/26) WRs are good/deep. One of the top units in CFB
Clemson     Ratings Matchup     North Carolina
Power #8
#62
Off #1
#61
Def #14
#62
Talent #13
#35
SP+ #8
#54
SP+ Off #6
#39
SP+ Def #12
#74

Previous Matchups
Clemson beat North Carolina in 2023 (31-20)
Clemson beat North Carolina in 2022 (39-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CLEM | UNC
Depth Chart: CLEM | UNC
Rosters: CLEM | UNC
(#62) North Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.385 #62
Offense Rating: 15.19 #61
Defense Rating: 13.42 #62
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #54
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #39
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #74
Talent Rating: 834.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #30
Expected Record: 6.5 - 5.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.08 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.01 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


North Carolina Notes
(4/17) QB Lopez (S Al) added post spring.
(4/17) NFL style not open to fans/media. We'll see
(4/17) Is Lopez QB1? Have Johnson (Inj)/Browne (PU)
(3/21) RB rebuild. Some options, SO Gause has exp
(3/21) WR/TE rebuild. Have some talented options
(3/21) OL rebuild 1/5 back. 5 portal adds.
(3/21) Def - Run Def awful LY. Have some DE's
(3/21) Nearly 1/2 roster new TY. New staff
(3/21) Is Belichick serious here? Staff hires say no
(3/21) Sched is easiest in P4. Just OK wins 8-9


  
Clemson's OC Garrett Riley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cade Klubnik30848663%36393667.5
Christopher Vizzina193456%190005.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cade Klubnik11946273.955
Jay Haynes4329536.970
Keith Adams Jr.3012214.118
Antonio Williams7101114.436
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tristan Smith (Tr)76934612.354
Antonio Williams749021112.257
Bryant Wesco Jr.41708517.376
T.J. Moore45651514.541

View Clemson's Full Roster
Clemson's DC Tom Allen
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wade Woodaz759394
Sammy Brown6612522
Khalil Barnes571034
Will Heldt (Tr)5610550
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Parker50171151
Sammy Brown6612522
Will Heldt (Tr)5610550
Wade Woodaz759394
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Avieon Terrell4951011
Jeadyn Lukus321006
Wade Woodaz759394

North Carolina's OC Freddie Kitchens
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Giovanni Lopez20531166%25571858.2
Max Johnson121963%71013.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Giovanni Lopez8246575.750
Davion Gause6732644.921
Charleston French108418.445
Caleb Hood188104.516
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kobe Paysour21365017.436
Aziah Johnson (Tr)16276217.352
Chris Culliver6135122.550
Jordan Shipp9114112.722

View North Carolina's Full Roster
North Carolina's DC Stephen Belichick
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaleb Cost613104
Gavin Gibson (Tr)527013
Mikai Gbayor (Tr)496133
Andrew Simpson (Tr)4511300
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pryce Yates (Tr)217451
Andrew Simpson (Tr)4511300
Isaiah Johnson (Tr)83210
C.J. Mims (Tr)214100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thaddeus Dixon (Tr)4320010
Kaleb Cost613104
Khmori House (Tr)331014