North Carolina Tar Heels at Florida State Seminoles(#7)
Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
North Carolina -2.5 (50.5) (-142) Open: -2.5
North Carolina 35 - Florida State: 11 (ACC)
Tar Heels (6 - 7) (2 - 10 - 1)
Coach Mack Brown (38 - 27)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (27 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
Coach Mack Brown (38 - 27)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (27 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
UNC 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: North Carolina -3.5 (SP+ UNC -8)
Projected Score: UNC: 26 - FSU: 23 (49)
UNC Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UNC Travel: 485 miles
Our Line: North Carolina -3.5 (SP+ UNC -8)
Projected Score: UNC: 26 - FSU: 23 (49)
UNC Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UNC Travel: 485 miles
Seminoles (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (31 - 17)
Avg Score : 15 - 28 (16 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Coach Mike Norvell (31 - 17)
Avg Score : 15 - 28 (16 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
| North Carolina's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | North Carolina at Minnesota | -2.0 | 52.5 | W 19 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | North Carolina vs Charlotte | -21.5 | 47.5 | W 38 - 20 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | North Carolina vs North Carolina Central | -37.5 | 57.5 | W 45 - 10 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | North Carolina vs James Madison | -10.0 | 48.0 | L 50 - 70 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | North Carolina at Duke | -1.0 | 55.5 | L 20 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | North Carolina vs Pittsburgh | +2.5 | 63.0 | L 24 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | North Carolina vs Georgia Tech | +3.5 | 60.5 | L 34 - 41 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/26 | North Carolina at Virginia | +3.5 | 58.5 | W 41 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | North Carolina at Florida State | -2.5 | 50.5 | W 35 - 11 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | North Carolina vs Wake Forest | -10.5 | 64.5 | W 31 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | North Carolina at Boston College | -2.0 | 50.5 | L 21 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | North Carolina vs NC State | -2.5 | 54.5 | L 30 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 12/28 | North Carolina vs UConn | -2.0 | 53.5 | L 14 - 27 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 7, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Florida State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/24 | Florida State vs Georgia Tech | -10.0 | 54.5 | L 21 - 24 | U | N | |
| Mon 9/2 | Florida State vs Boston College | -16.5 | 50.0 | L 13 - 28 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/14 | Florida State vs Memphis | -7.0 | 52.0 | L 12 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Florida State vs California | -3.0 | 44.0 | W 14 - 9 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Florida State at SMU | +6.0 | 46.0 | L 16 - 42 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Florida State vs Clemson | +16.5 | 47.0 | L 13 - 29 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/18 | Florida State at Duke | +2.5 | 43.0 | L 16 - 23 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Florida State at Miami | +22.5 | 55.0 | L 14 - 36 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Florida State vs North Carolina | +2.5 | 50.5 | L 11 - 35 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Florida State at Notre Dame | +25.5 | 44.5 | L 3 - 52 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Florida State vs Charleston Southern | -33.0 | 44.5 | W 41 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Florida State vs Florida | +17.5 | 45.5 | L 11 - 31 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC | #65 (.2) | 42% (80) | 30.9 | 47% (34) | 3.32 (22) | 175 | 37% (114) | 216 | 4.08 (52) | #70 (.17) | 41% (53) | 28.1 | 44% (82) | 37% (26) | 4.01 (90) | 59.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| FSU | #125 (.06) | 35% (128) | 15.4 | 40% (103) | 2.9 (92) | 91 | 31% (130) | 180 | 2.88 (131) | #112 (.25) | 41% (56) | 28 | 42% (62) | 39% (52) | 3.62 (46) | 47.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC | #65 (.2) | 42% (80) | 47% (34) | 3.32 (22) | 175 | 37% (114) | 216 | 4.08 (52) | #70 (.17) | 41% (53) | 44% (82) | 37% (26) | 4.01 (90) | 59.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | ||
| FSU | #125 (.06) | 35% (128) | 40% (103) | 2.9 (92) | 91 | 31% (130) | 180 | 2.88 (131) | #112 (.25) | 41% (56) | 42% (62) | 39% (52) | 3.62 (46) | 47.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Offense | 13 | 30.9 | 27.2 | 42% | 4.08 | 1.2 | 20 | 391 | 175 | 216 | 4.9 | 52% | 47% | 47% | 37% | 15% | .2 |
| FSU Defense | 12 | 28 | 22.7 | 40.8% | 3.62 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 56% | 44% | 42% | 39% | 14% | .25 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Defense | 13 | 28.1 | 20.8 | 40.5% | 4.01 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 53% | 46% | 44% | 37% | 15% | .17 |
| FSU Offense | 12 | 15.4 | 16.4 | 35.4% | 2.88 | 1.8 | 15 | 271 | 91 | 180 | 2.9 | 46% | 54% | 40% | 31% | 21% | .06 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | 13 | 27:42 | 20.2 | 40% | 50% | 6.8 | 59.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5.2 | 2.8 | 6 | 29.1 |
| Florida State | 12 | 27:11 | 15.2 | 29% | 63% | 5.6 | 47.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 5.8 | 2 | 1 | 26.3 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Offense | 13 | 52% (53) | 47% (34) | 35.9 | 175.2 | 4.9 | 26 (36) | .26 (14) | 3.32 (22) | 70% (89) | 9% (54) | 1.06 (36) |
| FSU Defense | 12 | 56% (119) | 42% (62) | - | - | - | - | .2 (109) | 3.06 (81) | 80% (111) | 10% (77) | 1.1 (114) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Defense | 13 | 53% (92) | 44% (82) | - | - | - | - | .16 (88) | 3.39 (121) | 86% (130) | 9% (83) | 0.89 (29) |
| FSU Offense | 12 | 46% (101) | 40% (103) | 31.4 | 90.8 | 2.9 | 8 (130) | .07 (101) | 2.9 (92) | 68% (103) | 15% (130) | 0.87 (118) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Offense | 13 | 47% (82) | 37% (114) | 16.8 | 29 | 215.9 | 7.5 | 12.8 | 17 (79) | 8 (40) | .17 (101) | 1.7 (29) | 32% (74) | 29% (94) | .32 (78) | 6% (60) | 2.1 (33) |
| FSU Defense | 12 | 44% (15) | 39% (52) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (125) | .34 (110) | 1.8 (120) | 33% (45) | 34% (110) | .52 (127) | 5% (116) | 2.3 (121) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Defense | 13 | 46% (38) | 37% (26) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (76) | .22 (64) | 1.8 (125) | 32% (66) | 26% (12) | .23 (35) | 5% (103) | 2.2 (99) |
| FSU Offense | 12 | 54% (35) | 31% (130) | 14.9 | 29.6 | 180.3 | 6.1 | 12.1 | 11 (122) | 13 (103) | .04 (130) | 1.8 (20) | 39% (133) | 26% (113) | .24 (102) | 6% (62) | 2.1 (28) |
North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: -1.53 #68
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 17.90 #86
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 10.65 #77
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 26% #22
North Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
North Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
North Carolina's Power Rating: -1.53 #68
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 17.90 #86
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 10.65 #77
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 26% #22
North Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
North Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: -1.53 Florida State: -1.545
SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 5.0 Florida State: -3.2
North Carolina: -1.53 Florida State: -1.545
SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 5.0 Florida State: -3.2
Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: -1.545 #83
Florida State's Offense Rating: 11.77 #120
Florida State's Defense Rating: 12.02 #87
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 43 #13
Florida State's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Florida State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2 #83
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #114
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #58
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Florida State's Power Rating: -1.545 #83
Florida State's Offense Rating: 11.77 #120
Florida State's Defense Rating: 12.02 #87
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 43 #13
Florida State's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Florida State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2 #83
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #114
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #58
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8
North Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 8 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8
North Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 8 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 26
Florida State 23
Total Points: 49
North Carolina 26
Florida State 23
Total Points: 49
Florida State Scoring
Offense: 15.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 16.4
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7
Florida State's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Offense: 15.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 16.4
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7
Florida State's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/02 | Florida State | 11 | North Carolina | 35 | North Carolina | North Carolina -2.5 | North Carolina | 50.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 10/09 | North Carolina | 25 | Florida State | 35 | Florida State | North Carolina -17.5 | Florida State | 64.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 10/17 | Florida State | 31 | North Carolina | 28 | Florida State | North Carolina -13.5 | Florida State | 65.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/01 | Florida State | 35 | North Carolina | 37 | North Carolina | Florida State -12 | North Carolina | 72.5 | Under |
| 2010 | 11/06 | Florida State | 35 | North Carolina | 37 | North Carolina | ||||
| 2009 | 10/22 | North Carolina | 27 | Florida State | 30 | Florida State | ||||
| 2004 | 10/02 | Florida State | 38 | North Carolina | 16 | Florida State | ||||
| 2003 | 08/30 | North Carolina | 0 | Florida State | 37 | Florida State | ||||
| 2001 | 09/22 | North Carolina | 41 | Florida State | 9 | North Carolina | ||||
| 2000 | 09/15 | Florida State | 63 | North Carolina | 14 | Florida State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State | 6 | 2 | 0 Overs |
| North Carolina | 4 | 2 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 4 - 6 | 1 - 3 | 0 - 2 | 1 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 6 - 4 | 3 - 1 | 1 - 1 | 2 - 0 |
(#68) North Carolina Info
Power Rating: -1.53 #68
Offense Rating: 17.90 #86
Defense Rating: 10.65 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 26% #22
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.08 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.01 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
North Carolina has won 1 straight
North Carolina has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 2 (2 - 2 - 1 vs Spread )
North Carolina Notes
(11/26) Mack Brown fired at the end of 2024 season
(11/25) Rgame sucks, Criswell 3 INTs, Run Def awful vs BC
(11/18) 3 str W's vs bad teams. Rgame/Hampton great
(10/13) Run Def mauled by GT (371, 7.7 ypc). Gag again
(9/28) Blew 20-0 lead vs Duke. Even game, 10 flags hurt
(9/22) Def all. 600+ yds & 70 pts in JMU loss at home
(9/18) QB Jacolby Criswell looks like starter now
(9/1) RB Hampton great, played B1G ball @ Minn, QB real ?
(8/29) QB Johnson looks out for season (Minn game)
(8/5) Teams are crootin NC commits, Brown done TY?
North Carolina Highlights
North Carolina has a top Offensive Line (#94)
North Carolina does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#83)
North Carolina Defense Sacks the QB a lot
North Carolina has a good pass defense (#98)
North Carolina Deficiencies
North Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#25)
North Carolina pass game is really bad (#86)
North Carolina Does Not Stuff Runs (#15)
North Carolina has a bad defensive line (#4)
Power Rating: -1.53 #68
Offense Rating: 17.90 #86
Defense Rating: 10.65 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 26% #22
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.08 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.01 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
North Carolina has won 1 straight
North Carolina has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 2 (2 - 2 - 1 vs Spread )
North Carolina Notes
(11/26) Mack Brown fired at the end of 2024 season
(11/25) Rgame sucks, Criswell 3 INTs, Run Def awful vs BC
(11/18) 3 str W's vs bad teams. Rgame/Hampton great
(10/13) Run Def mauled by GT (371, 7.7 ypc). Gag again
(9/28) Blew 20-0 lead vs Duke. Even game, 10 flags hurt
(9/22) Def all. 600+ yds & 70 pts in JMU loss at home
(9/18) QB Jacolby Criswell looks like starter now
(9/1) RB Hampton great, played B1G ball @ Minn, QB real ?
(8/29) QB Johnson looks out for season (Minn game)
(8/5) Teams are crootin NC commits, Brown done TY?
North Carolina Highlights
North Carolina has a top Offensive Line (#94)
North Carolina does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#83)
North Carolina Defense Sacks the QB a lot
North Carolina has a good pass defense (#98)
North Carolina Deficiencies
North Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#25)
North Carolina pass game is really bad (#86)
North Carolina Does Not Stuff Runs (#15)
North Carolina has a bad defensive line (#4)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | FSU | UNC |
| OverallOver | #87 | #51 |
| OffenseOff | #100 | #56 |
| DefenseDef | #91 | #77 |
| Special TeamsST | #17 | #9 |
| PassingPass | #88 | #82 |
| RushingRush | #92 | #13 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #93 | #29 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #67 | #47 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #97 | #67 |
| TacklingTkl | #42 | #36 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #83 | #65 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #79 | #56 |
| Coverage DefCov | #87 | #83 |
Rematch from Week 10
North Carolina 2.5 (50.5)
North Carolina won at Florida State this year (35-11)
Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Florida State last year (35-11)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: UNC | FSU
Depth Chart: UNC | FSU
Rosters: UNC | FSU
(#83) Florida State Info
Power Rating: -1.545 #83
Offense Rating: 11.77 #120
Defense Rating: 12.02 #87
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2 #83
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #114
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #58
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 43 #13
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.88 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Awful Pass Success 31%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.62 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Florida State has lost 4 straight
Florida State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 5 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
Florida State Notes
(12/2) Hired HC Gus Malzahn as OC for '25 season
(12/2) Hired DC White (Neb DC, + Cuse/ASU/SDSU)
(11/18) Have not scored 17+ pts since opener (21)
(11/10) Fired OC/OLC Atkins & DC Fuller after ND loss
(11/10) Scored 60 pts in last 5 games. Fired OC/OLC
(11/2) Fmr WR K.C. told croots not to play for Dugans
(10/28) Now 5 losing season in past 7 years
(10/18) QB Glenn is a noodle armed turnover machine
(10/18) Off is worse out of Bye. WR/OL worst in P4
(10/18) Def/team still fighting, but Off is laughably bad
Florida State Highlights
Florida State Deficiencies
Florida State has a really bad Offense
Florida State has a really bad Offense at Home
Florida State has a bad TO Margin (#28)
Florida State Fumbles a Lot (#89)
Florida State Can Not Run the Ball (#35)
Florida State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
Florida State offense is really bad (#76)
Florida State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#13)
Florida State run game is really bad (#63)
Florida State pass game is really bad (#109)
Florida State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Florida State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#79)
Power Rating: -1.545 #83
Offense Rating: 11.77 #120
Defense Rating: 12.02 #87
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2 #83
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #114
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #58
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 43 #13
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.88 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Awful Pass Success 31%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.62 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Florida State has lost 4 straight
Florida State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 5 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
Florida State Notes
(12/2) Hired HC Gus Malzahn as OC for '25 season
(12/2) Hired DC White (Neb DC, + Cuse/ASU/SDSU)
(11/18) Have not scored 17+ pts since opener (21)
(11/10) Fired OC/OLC Atkins & DC Fuller after ND loss
(11/10) Scored 60 pts in last 5 games. Fired OC/OLC
(11/2) Fmr WR K.C. told croots not to play for Dugans
(10/28) Now 5 losing season in past 7 years
(10/18) QB Glenn is a noodle armed turnover machine
(10/18) Off is worse out of Bye. WR/OL worst in P4
(10/18) Def/team still fighting, but Off is laughably bad
Florida State Highlights
Florida State Deficiencies
Florida State has a really bad Offense
Florida State has a really bad Offense at Home
Florida State has a bad TO Margin (#28)
Florida State Fumbles a Lot (#89)
Florida State Can Not Run the Ball (#35)
Florida State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
Florida State offense is really bad (#76)
Florida State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#13)
Florida State run game is really bad (#63)
Florida State pass game is really bad (#109)
Florida State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Florida State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#79)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacolby Criswell (Tr) | 186 | 320 | 58% | 2459 | 15 | 6 | 7.7 |
| Conner Harrell | 21 | 37 | 57% | 282 | 2 | 1 | 7.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omarion Hampton | 281 | 1660 | 15 | 5.9 | 75 |
| Davion Gause | 67 | 326 | 4 | 4.9 | 21 |
| Jacolby Criswell (Tr) | 71 | 103 | 3 | 1.5 | 20 |
| Charleston French | 10 | 84 | 1 | 8.4 | 45 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Jones | 36 | 582 | 6 | 16.2 | 53 |
| John Copenhaver | 40 | 414 | 4 | 10.4 | 35 |
| Omarion Hampton | 38 | 373 | 2 | 9.8 | 49 |
| Kobe Paysour | 21 | 365 | 0 | 17.4 | 36 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antavious Lane | 74 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Power Echols | 73 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| Amare Campbell | 69 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| Jakeen Harris (Tr) | 67 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beau Atkinson | 35 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| Kaimon Rucker | 30 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| Amare Campbell | 69 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| Desmond Evans | 34 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alijah Huzzie | 36 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| Power Echols | 73 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| Jakeen Harris (Tr) | 67 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Uiagalelei (Tr) | 84 | 156 | 54% | 1065 | 4 | 6 | 6.8 |
| Brock Glenn | 51 | 114 | 45% | 597 | 4 | 5 | 5.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lawrance Toafili | 109 | 456 | 3 | 4.2 | 28 |
| Kam Davis | 52 | 173 | 0 | 3.3 | 16 |
| Luke Kromenhoek | 63 | 113 | 0 | 1.8 | 42 |
| Brock Glenn | 35 | 97 | 0 | 2.8 | 17 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Khi Douglas | 32 | 519 | 4 | 16.2 | 71 |
| Malik Benson (Tr) | 25 | 311 | 1 | 12.4 | 67 |
| Lawrance Toafili | 25 | 215 | 0 | 8.6 | 32 |
| Hykeem Williams | 16 | 187 | 1 | 11.7 | 33 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shyheim Brown | 62 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Azareye'h Thomas | 51 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| K.J. Kirkland | 45 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Blake Nichelson | 45 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Payton | 32 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Joshua Farmer | 28 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| Marvin Jones Jr. (Tr) | 25 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Darrell Jackson | 28 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fentrell Cypress II | 24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Azareye'h Thomas | 51 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Kevin Knowles II | 31 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |