North Carolina at Wake Forest Game Matchup
North Carolina logo North Carolina Tar Heels at Wake Forest Demon DeaconsWake Forest logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
BB&T Field - Winston-Salem, NC  (ACC)

 
Tar Heels (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bill Belichick (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (27 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#67)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 5)
WAKE is playing their 4th straight game
UNC is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: North Carolina -6.5   (SP+ UNC -6.5)
Projected Score: UNC: 32 - WAKE: 25 (59)
UNC Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
UNC Travel: 69 miles
Demon Deacons (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jake Dickert (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 33 (27 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.4 - 7.6 (#112)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
 
North Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/1 North Carolina vs TCU-1.557.5
Sat 9/6 North Carolina at Charlotte-19.5
Sat 9/13 North Carolina vs Richmond-25.5
Sat 9/20 North Carolina at UCF-0.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 North Carolina vs Clemson+21
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 North Carolina at California-1.5
Sat 10/25 North Carolina vs Virginia-4.5
Fri 10/31 North Carolina at Syracuse+6
Sat 11/8 North Carolina vs Stanford-10
Sat 11/15 North Carolina at Wake Forest-6.5
Sat 11/22 North Carolina vs Duke+1.5
Sat 11/29 North Carolina at NC State+6.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Wake Forest's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Wake Forest vs Kennesaw State-17.50.0
Sat 9/6 Wake Forest vs Western Carolina-16.5
Thu 9/11 Wake Forest vs NC State+10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Wake Forest vs Georgia Tech+11.5
Sat 10/4 Wake Forest at Virginia Tech+15
Sat 10/11 Wake Forest at Oregon State+6.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Wake Forest vs SMU+18
Sat 11/1 Wake Forest at Florida State+17
Sat 11/8 Wake Forest at Virginia+9
Sat 11/15 Wake Forest vs North Carolina+6.5
Sat 11/22 Wake Forest vs Delaware-12.5
Sat 11/29 Wake Forest at Duke+15.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)30.947% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)28.144% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2
WAKE#104 (.13)42% (81)25.743% (79)3 (79)13141% (75)2403.2 (121)#118 (.27)51% (134)32.548% (110)53% (133)4.12 (99)45.91.81.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WAKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Offense1330.927.242%4.081.2203911752164.952%47%47%37%15%.2
WAKE Defense1232.534.750.7%4.121.4 - - - - - 44%56%48%53%12%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Defense1328.120.840.5%4.011.2 - - - - - 53%46%44%37%15%.17
WAKE Offense1225.726.641.9%3.21.8223721312403.648%52%43%41%16%.13

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Carolina1327:4220.240%50%6.859.81.21.25.22.8629.1
Wake Forest1228:5121.839%64%5.145.91.81.44.91.7229
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Offense1352% (53)47% (34)35.9175.24.926 (36).26 (14)3.32 (22)70% (89)9% (54)1.06 (36)
WAKE Defense1244% (6)48% (110) - - - - .18 (101)3.13 (88)80% (112)8% (110)0.96 (58)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Defense1353% (92)44% (82) - - - - .16 (88)3.39 (121)86% (130)9% (83)0.89 (29)
WAKE Offense1248% (86)43% (79)36.4131.43.618 (78).05 (106)3 (79)81% (18)10% (70)0.92 (88)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Offense1347% (82)37% (114)16.829215.97.512.817 (79)8 (40).17 (101)1.7 (29)32% (74)29% (94).32 (78)6% (60)2.1 (33)
WAKE Defense1256% (129)53% (133) - - - - - - 11 (52).36 (116)1.3 (2)26% (130)40% (132).41 (106)4% (131)1.8 (18)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Defense1346% (38)37% (26) - - - - - - 9 (76).22 (64)1.8 (125)32% (66)26% (12).23 (35)5% (103)2.2 (99)
WAKE Offense1252% (50)41% (75)20.733.6240.17.211.617 (79)13 (103).23 (83)1.5 (115)31% (63)28% (102).15 (125)7% (93)1.9 (103)

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 1.77 #62
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 15.19 #61
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 13.42 #62
2025 Talent Rating: 834.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 16% #30
North Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 5.5
North Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #54
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #39
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #74

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 826.12
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 1.77   Wake Forest: -4.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 2.0   Wake Forest: -4.6




Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: -4.4 #91
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 10.88 #88
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 20.08 #98
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00 #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #61
Wake Forest's 2025 Expected Record: 4.4 - 7.6
Wake Forest's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #81
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #78
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #87

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 826.12
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31


North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

North Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 32
Wake Forest 25

Projected Total Points: 59
Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 25.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.6
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7

Wake Forest's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16North Carolina31Wake Forest24North CarolinaNorth Carolina -10.5Wake Forest64.5Under
202211/12Wake Forest34North Carolina36North CarolinaWake Forest -4.5North Carolina79.0Under
202111/06North Carolina58Wake Forest55North CarolinaNorth Carolina -2.5North Carolina78.0Over
202011/14North Carolina59Wake Forest53North CarolinaNorth Carolina -13Wake Forest70.5Over
201909/13Wake Forest24North Carolina18Wake ForestWake Forest -3Wake Forest65.0Under
201510/17North Carolina50Wake Forest14North CarolinaNorth Carolina -14North Carolina53.5Over
201209/08Wake Forest28North Carolina27Wake Forest
201110/29North Carolina49Wake Forest24North Carolina
200710/27Wake Forest37North Carolina10Wake Forest
200610/28North Carolina17Wake Forest24Wake Forest
200411/13Wake Forest24North Carolina31North Carolina
200311/08North Carolina42Wake Forest34North Carolina
200210/26Wake Forest31North Carolina0Wake Forest
200111/10North Carolina31Wake Forest32Wake Forest
200009/08Wake Forest14North Carolina35North Carolina
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wake Forest633 Overs
North Carolina933 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 53 - 33 - 30 - 0
Road Teams5 - 103 - 30 - 03 - 3

(#62) North Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.77 #62
Offense Rating: 15.19 #61
Defense Rating: 13.42 #62
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #54
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #39
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #74
Talent Rating: 834.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 16% #30
Expected Record: 6.5 - 5.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.08 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.01 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


North Carolina Notes
(4/17) QB Lopez (S Al) added post spring.
(4/17) NFL style not open to fans/media. We'll see
(4/17) Is Lopez QB1? Have Johnson (Inj)/Browne (PU)
(3/21) RB rebuild. Some options, SO Gause has exp
(3/21) WR/TE rebuild. Have some talented options
(3/21) OL rebuild 1/5 back. 5 portal adds.
(3/21) Def - Run Def awful LY. Have some DE's
(3/21) Nearly 1/2 roster new TY. New staff
(3/21) Is Belichick serious here? Staff hires say no
(3/21) Sched is easiest in P4. Just OK wins 8-9
North Carolina     Ratings Matchup     Wake Forest
Power #62
#91
Off #61
#88
Def #62
#98
Talent #35
#59
SP+ #54
#81
SP+ Off #39
#78
SP+ Def #74
#87

Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Wake Forest last year (31-24)
North Carolina beat Wake Forest in 2022 (36-34)

Weather Forecast
Playing in BB&T Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNC | WAKE
Depth Chart: UNC | WAKE
Rosters: UNC | WAKE
(#91) Wake Forest Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.4 #91
Offense Rating: 10.88 #88
Defense Rating: 20.08 #98
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #81
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #87
Talent Rating: 750.00 #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #61
Expected Record: 4.4 - 7.6

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.2 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 51%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.12 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 53%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Wake Forest Notes
(5/15) 50% of DL exp is from G5 portals.
(5/15) Can L Webb (UTSA) be a lockdown CB?
(3/22) Added 16 players that started LY via portal
(3/22) QBs likely Ashford (SC), #2 Purdie (Char)
(3/22) Def awful LY. Lots of portals Looks rough
(3/19) RBs top 2 back, Claiborne 1K good baller
(3/19) WRs rebuild. 2 Portal adds (Wazzu) help
(3/19) OL complete rebuild. 6 portals, 4 from Wazzu
(3/19) New OC Ezell only 1 yr exp (LY @ S Al)
(3/19) New DC Hazelton was good until MSU/Tucker


  
North Carolina's OC Freddie Kitchens
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Giovanni Lopez20531166%25571858.2
Max Johnson121963%71013.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Giovanni Lopez8246575.750
Davion Gause6732644.921
Charleston French108418.445
Caleb Hood188104.516
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kobe Paysour21365017.436
Aziah Johnson (Tr)16276217.352
Chris Culliver6135122.550
Jordan Shipp9114112.722

View North Carolina's Full Roster
North Carolina's DC Stephen Belichick
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaleb Cost613104
Gavin Gibson (Tr)527013
Mikai Gbayor (Tr)496133
Andrew Simpson (Tr)4511300
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pryce Yates (Tr)217451
Andrew Simpson (Tr)4511300
Isaiah Johnson (Tr)83210
C.J. Mims (Tr)214100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thaddeus Dixon (Tr)4320010
Kaleb Cost613104
Khmori House (Tr)331014

Wake Forest's OC Rob Ezell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Deshawn Purdie (Tr)10020050%18021069.0
Robby Ashford (Tr)233272%3242010.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Demond Claiborne2281048114.660
Tate Carney8233564.118
Robby Ashford (Tr)4122725.538
Jaydn Girard1303.03
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Carlos Hernandez (Tr)31397512.842
Demond Claiborne23254211.044
Micah Mays Jr.16218213.641
Sterling Berkhalter (Tr)11191117.461

View Wake Forest's Full Roster
Wake Forest's DC Scottie Hazelton
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dylan Hazen786130
Davaughn Patterson744003
Quincy Bryant483020
Langston Hardy (Tr)447430
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Kirschke (Tr)4110682
Langston Hardy (Tr)447430
Zach Lohavichan123200
Dylan Hazen786130
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davaughn Patterson744003
Lardarius Webb Jr. (Tr)402003
Gabe Kirschke (Tr)4110682