North Carolina Tar Heels at Virginia Cavaliers
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Virginia -3.5 (58.5) (-210) Open: -5.5 | 59.5
North Carolina 41 - Virginia: 14 (ACC)
Tar Heels (6 - 7) (2 - 10 - 1)
Coach Mack Brown (38 - 27)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (27 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Coach Mack Brown (38 - 27)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (27 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
UNC coming off BYE
UVA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: North Carolina -3 (SP+ UNC -10)
Projected Score: UNC: 29 - UVA: 26 (55)
UVA Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UNC Travel: 150 miles
UVA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: North Carolina -3 (SP+ UNC -10)
Projected Score: UNC: 29 - UVA: 26 (55)
UVA Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UNC Travel: 150 miles
Cavaliers (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (6 - 16)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (19 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (6 - 16)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (19 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
| North Carolina's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | North Carolina at Minnesota | -2.0 | 52.5 | W 19 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | North Carolina vs Charlotte | -21.5 | 47.5 | W 38 - 20 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | North Carolina vs North Carolina Central | -37.5 | 57.5 | W 45 - 10 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | North Carolina vs James Madison | -10.0 | 48.0 | L 50 - 70 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | North Carolina at Duke | -1.0 | 55.5 | L 20 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | North Carolina vs Pittsburgh | +2.5 | 63.0 | L 24 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | North Carolina vs Georgia Tech | +3.5 | 60.5 | L 34 - 41 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/26 | North Carolina at Virginia | +3.5 | 58.5 | W 41 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | North Carolina at Florida State | -2.5 | 50.5 | W 35 - 11 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | North Carolina vs Wake Forest | -10.5 | 64.5 | W 31 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | North Carolina at Boston College | -2.0 | 50.5 | L 21 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | North Carolina vs NC State | -2.5 | 54.5 | L 30 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 12/28 | North Carolina vs UConn | -2.0 | 53.5 | L 14 - 27 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Virginia's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Virginia vs Richmond | -21 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Virginia at Wake Forest | -1.5 | 55.5 | W 31 - 30 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Virginia vs Maryland | -2.5 | 55.5 | L 13 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Virginia at Coastal Carolina | -3.5 | 52.0 | W 43 - 24 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Virginia vs Boston College | -2.0 | 52.5 | W 24 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Virginia vs Louisville | +7.0 | 54.0 | L 20 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Virginia at Clemson | +20.0 | 57.5 | L 31 - 48 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Virginia vs North Carolina | -3.5 | 58.5 | L 14 - 41 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | Virginia at Pittsburgh | +7.5 | 56.5 | W 24 - 19 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Virginia at Notre Dame | +20.5 | 51.0 | L 14 - 35 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Virginia vs SMU | +11.5 | 54.5 | L 7 - 33 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Virginia at Virginia Tech | +4.5 | 44.5 | L 17 - 37 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC | #17 (.3) | 47% (19) | 30.9 | 50% (16) | 3.41 (11) | 193 | 44% (44) | 299 | 4.13 (45) | #86 (.21) | 42% (70) | 28.1 | 43% (68) | 42% (76) | 3.41 (35) | 66.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| UVA | #88 (.15) | 41% (84) | 22.7 | 42% (82) | 3 (89) | 118 | 41% (76) | 251 | 3.68 (85) | #117 (.26) | 45% (113) | 28.8 | 48% (118) | 43% (90) | 4.15 (103) | 55.3 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| UVA | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Offense | 13 | 30.9 | 27.2 | 46.8% | 4.13 | 1.3 | 25 | 492 | 193 | 299 | 5.1 | 46% | 53% | 50% | 44% | 13% | .3 |
| UVA Defense | 12 | 28.8 | 25.3 | 45.2% | 4.15 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 48% | 43% | 15% | .26 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Defense | 13 | 28.1 | 20.8 | 42.2% | 3.41 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 49% | 43% | 42% | 15% | .21 |
| UVA Offense | 12 | 22.7 | 18.7 | 41% | 3.68 | 1.7 | 21 | 369 | 118 | 251 | 3.1 | 49% | 50% | 42% | 41% | 19% | .15 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | 13 | 28:34 | 24.5 | 49% | 45% | 7.2 | 66.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 5.4 | 2.1 | 1 | 31.3 |
| Virginia | 12 | 31:24 | 21 | 36% | 60% | 6.5 | 55.3 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4.8 | 0.9 | 1 | 28.1 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Offense | 13 | 46% (97) | 50% (16) | 38.2 | 193.2 | 5.1 | 28 (25) | .28 (9) | 3.41 (11) | 75% (52) | 8% (31) | 1.03 (48) |
| UVA Defense | 12 | 51% (87) | 48% (118) | - | - | - | - | .26 (124) | 3.36 (116) | 76% (92) | 9% (108) | 1.03 (84) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Defense | 13 | 50% (70) | 43% (68) | - | - | - | - | .2 (100) | 3.33 (112) | 73% (68) | 10% (85) | 1.02 (81) |
| UVA Offense | 12 | 49% (76) | 42% (82) | 37.8 | 117.9 | 3.1 | 12 (116) | .11 (91) | 3 (89) | 70% (98) | 13% (123) | 0.89 (113) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Offense | 13 | 53% (36) | 44% (44) | 22.5 | 35.4 | 298.5 | 8.4 | 13.3 | 26 (31) | 11 (68) | .34 (47) | 1.6 (73) | 30% (33) | 32% (56) | .38 (55) | 5% (24) | 2.2 (21) |
| UVA Defense | 12 | 48% (48) | 43% (90) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 (100) | .32 (97) | 1.6 (54) | 28% (127) | 30% (62) | .33 (76) | 6% (57) | 2.1 (85) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Defense | 13 | 49% (63) | 42% (76) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (37) | .29 (82) | 1.6 (64) | 34% (43) | 34% (117) | .38 (100) | 6% (92) | 1.9 (22) |
| UVA Offense | 12 | 50% (62) | 41% (76) | 20.7 | 33 | 250.8 | 7.6 | 12.1 | 19 (78) | 14 (107) | .29 (67) | 1.6 (66) | 32% (83) | 29% (79) | .21 (105) | 6% (79) | 1.8 (126) |
North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: -1.53 #68
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 17.90 #86
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 10.65 #77
2024 Talent Rating: 858.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 26% #22
North Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
North Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
North Carolina's Power Rating: -1.53 #68
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 17.90 #86
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 10.65 #77
2024 Talent Rating: 858.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 26% #22
North Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
North Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: -1.53 Virginia: -1.05
SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 5.0 Virginia: -5.1
North Carolina: -1.53 Virginia: -1.05
SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 5.0 Virginia: -5.1
Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: -1.05 #69
Virginia's Offense Rating: 18.13 #84
Virginia's Defense Rating: 12.62 #96
2024 Talent Rating: 730.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Virginia's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Virginia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1 #91
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Virginia's Power Rating: -1.05 #69
Virginia's Offense Rating: 18.13 #84
Virginia's Defense Rating: 12.62 #96
2024 Talent Rating: 730.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Virginia's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Virginia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1 #91
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8
North Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8
North Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 29
Virginia 26
Projected Total Points: 55
North Carolina 29
Virginia 26
Projected Total Points: 55
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3
Virginia's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3
Virginia's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/26 | Virginia | 14 | North Carolina | 41 | North Carolina | Virginia -3.5 | North Carolina | 58.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 10/21 | North Carolina | 27 | Virginia | 31 | Virginia | North Carolina -24 | Virginia | 58.0 | Push |
| 2022 | 11/05 | Virginia | 28 | North Carolina | 31 | North Carolina | North Carolina -7 | Virginia | 61.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 09/18 | North Carolina | 59 | Virginia | 39 | North Carolina | North Carolina -7.5 | North Carolina | 67.0 | Over |
| 2020 | 10/31 | Virginia | 44 | North Carolina | 41 | Virginia | North Carolina -7.0 | Virginia | 0 | |
| 2019 | 11/02 | North Carolina | 31 | Virginia | 38 | Virginia | Virginia -1 | Virginia | 48.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 10/27 | Virginia | 31 | North Carolina | 21 | Virginia | Virginia -7.5 | Virginia | 51.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 10/14 | North Carolina | 14 | Virginia | 20 | Virginia | Virginia -3 | Virginia | 54.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/22 | Virginia | 14 | North Carolina | 35 | North Carolina | North Carolina -9 | North Carolina | 68.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 10/24 | North Carolina | 26 | Virginia | 13 | North Carolina | North Carolina -12 | North Carolina | 58.0 | Under |
| 2014 | 10/25 | Virginia | 27 | North Carolina | 28 | North Carolina | Virginia -7.5 | North Carolina | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/09 | North Carolina | 45 | Virginia | 14 | North Carolina | North Carolina -14 | North Carolina | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/15 | Virginia | 13 | North Carolina | 37 | North Carolina | ||||
| 2011 | 09/17 | North Carolina | 28 | Virginia | 17 | North Carolina | ||||
| 2010 | 10/16 | Virginia | 10 | North Carolina | 44 | North Carolina | ||||
| 2009 | 10/03 | North Carolina | 3 | Virginia | 16 | Virginia | ||||
| 2008 | 10/18 | Virginia | 16 | North Carolina | 13 | Virginia | ||||
| 2007 | 09/15 | North Carolina | 20 | Virginia | 22 | Virginia | ||||
| 2006 | 10/19 | Virginia | 23 | North Carolina | 0 | Virginia | ||||
| 2005 | 10/22 | North Carolina | 7 | Virginia | 5 | North Carolina | ||||
| 2004 | 09/11 | Virginia | 56 | North Carolina | 24 | Virginia | ||||
| 2003 | 10/04 | North Carolina | 13 | Virginia | 38 | Virginia | ||||
| 2002 | 10/19 | Virginia | 37 | North Carolina | 27 | Virginia | ||||
| 2001 | 10/13 | North Carolina | 30 | Virginia | 24 | North Carolina | ||||
| 2000 | 10/27 | Virginia | 17 | North Carolina | 6 | Virginia |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia | 13 | 6 | 3 Overs |
| North Carolina | 12 | 6 | 5 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 13 - 12 | 6 - 6 | 4 - 3 | 2 - 3 |
| Road Teams | 12 - 13 | 6 - 6 | 3 - 2 | 3 - 4 |
(#68) North Carolina Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.53 #68
Offense Rating: 17.90 #86
Defense Rating: 10.65 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 858.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 26% #22
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.08 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.01 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
North Carolina Notes
(11/26) Mack Brown fired at the end of 2024 season
(11/25) Rgame sucks, Criswell 3 INTs, Run Def awful vs BC
(11/18) 3 str W's vs bad teams. Rgame/Hampton great
(10/13) Run Def mauled by GT (371, 7.7 ypc). Gag again
(9/28) Blew 20-0 lead vs Duke. Even game, 10 flags hurt
(9/22) Def all. 600+ yds & 70 pts in JMU loss at home
(9/18) QB Jacolby Criswell looks like starter now
(9/1) RB Hampton great, played B1G ball @ Minn, QB real ?
(8/29) QB Johnson looks out for season (Minn game)
(8/5) Teams are crootin NC commits, Brown done TY?
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.53 #68
Offense Rating: 17.90 #86
Defense Rating: 10.65 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 858.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 26% #22
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.08 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.01 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
North Carolina Notes
(11/26) Mack Brown fired at the end of 2024 season
(11/25) Rgame sucks, Criswell 3 INTs, Run Def awful vs BC
(11/18) 3 str W's vs bad teams. Rgame/Hampton great
(10/13) Run Def mauled by GT (371, 7.7 ypc). Gag again
(9/28) Blew 20-0 lead vs Duke. Even game, 10 flags hurt
(9/22) Def all. 600+ yds & 70 pts in JMU loss at home
(9/18) QB Jacolby Criswell looks like starter now
(9/1) RB Hampton great, played B1G ball @ Minn, QB real ?
(8/29) QB Johnson looks out for season (Minn game)
(8/5) Teams are crootin NC commits, Brown done TY?
Power #68
#69Off #86
#84Def #77
#96Talent #18
#50SP+ #49
#91SP+ Off #38
#95SP+ Def #64
#86Rematch from Week 9
Virginia -3.5 (58.5)
North Carolina won at Virginia this year (41-14)
Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Virginia last year (41-14)
Virginia beat North Carolina in 2023 (31-27)
North Carolina beat Virginia in 2022 (31-28)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 70° - Wind: 9 mph
Team Information
Injuries: UNC | UVA
Depth Chart: UNC | UVA
Rosters: UNC | UVA
(#69) Virginia Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.05 #69
Offense Rating: 18.13 #84
Defense Rating: 12.62 #96
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1 #91
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86
Talent Rating: 730.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.04 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Virginia Notes
(11/25) Pass D torched by SMU, Rgame awful, QB bad
(11/18) 5 TO's cost any shot @ ND, Pass Off awful
(11/13) QB Col OK, Rgame OK, Def great in Pitt upset
(10/31) QB? Colandrea or Muskett? Col goes downfield
(10/19) Rgame awful vs Clem, QBs good. Hung in a bit
(10/13) Off great, Def OK but gagged vs L'ville
(10/6) Run Def great, Off enough in big W (BC)
(9/23) 384 rush yds, 6.6 ypc in great W @ Coastal
(9/8) QB Colandrea great, entire Off. Good W @ Wake
(9/1) Good W over Richmond, QB Col. good, Rgame good
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.05 #69
Offense Rating: 18.13 #84
Defense Rating: 12.62 #96
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1 #91
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86
Talent Rating: 730.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.04 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Virginia Notes
(11/25) Pass D torched by SMU, Rgame awful, QB bad
(11/18) 5 TO's cost any shot @ ND, Pass Off awful
(11/13) QB Col OK, Rgame OK, Def great in Pitt upset
(10/31) QB? Colandrea or Muskett? Col goes downfield
(10/19) Rgame awful vs Clem, QBs good. Hung in a bit
(10/13) Off great, Def OK but gagged vs L'ville
(10/6) Run Def great, Off enough in big W (BC)
(9/23) 384 rush yds, 6.6 ypc in great W @ Coastal
(9/8) QB Colandrea great, entire Off. Good W @ Wake
(9/1) Good W over Richmond, QB Col. good, Rgame good
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacolby Criswell (Tr) | 186 | 320 | 58% | 2459 | 15 | 6 | 7.7 |
| Conner Harrell | 21 | 37 | 57% | 282 | 2 | 1 | 7.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Gause | 67 | 326 | 4 | 4.9 | 21 |
| Jacolby Criswell (Tr) | 71 | 103 | 3 | 1.5 | 20 |
| Charleston French | 10 | 84 | 1 | 8.4 | 45 |
| Caleb Hood | 18 | 81 | 0 | 4.5 | 16 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Paysour | 21 | 365 | 0 | 17.4 | 36 |
| Christian Hamilton | 7 | 159 | 1 | 22.7 | 58 |
| Chris Culliver | 6 | 135 | 1 | 22.5 | 50 |
| Jordan Shipp | 9 | 114 | 1 | 12.7 | 22 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amare Campbell | 69 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| Jakeen Harris (Tr) | 67 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Kaleb Cost | 61 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Beau Atkinson | 35 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beau Atkinson | 35 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| Amare Campbell | 69 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| Joshua Harris (Tr) | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Cade Law | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaleb Cost | 61 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Jakeen Harris (Tr) | 67 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Marcus Allen | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Colandrea | 198 | 320 | 62% | 2125 | 13 | 11 | 6.6 |
| Malachi Fields | 2 | 3 | 67% | 51 | 0 | 0 | 17.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Brown | 80 | 488 | 1 | 6.1 | 75 |
| Anthony Colandrea | 128 | 277 | 2 | 2.2 | 35 |
| Noah Vaughn | 36 | 120 | 0 | 3.3 | 13 |
| Jack Griese | 15 | 55 | 0 | 3.7 | 12 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malachi Fields | 55 | 808 | 5 | 14.7 | 45 |
| Tyler Neville (Tr) | 37 | 394 | 2 | 10.6 | 39 |
| Trell Harris (Tr) | 15 | 221 | 2 | 14.7 | 45 |
| Chris Tyree (Tr) | 24 | 136 | 0 | 5.7 | 25 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamren Robinson | 64 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Trey McDonald | 57 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Jermarian Jackson | 55 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Corey Thomas Jr. (Tr) | 47 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamren Robinson | 64 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| James Jackson | 45 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Anthony Britton | 38 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Billy Koudelka | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kempton Shine (Tr) | 37 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Jermarian Jackson | 55 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Kendren Smith (Tr) | 39 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 |