Georgia Tech at North Carolina - 2022 Matchup Preview

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at North Carolina Tar Heels

Saturday, November 19th 2022 (5:30 PM EST)
North Carolina -21.5 (63.5)
Georgia Tech 21 - North Carolina: 17 (ACC)

Yellow Jackets (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Geoff Collins (9 - 24)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (31 - 30 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNC is playing their 4th straight game
GT is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -12.5 (SP+ UNC -20)
Projected Score: GT: 28 - UNC: 24 (52)
UNC Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
GT Travel: 337 miles

Tar Heels (9 - 5) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Mack Brown (21 - 17)
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (21 - 26 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GT Players
UNC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia Tech's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/5	Georgia Tech vs Clemson	+24.5	51.0	L 10 - 41	U	N
Sat 9/10	Georgia Tech vs Western Carolina	-24.5	65.5	W 35 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/17	Georgia Tech vs Ole Miss	+17.0	63.0	L 0 - 42	U	N
Sat 9/24	Georgia Tech at UCF	+21.0	56.5	L 10 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh	+21.5	47.0	W 26 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Georgia Tech vs Duke	+3.5	54.0	W 23 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/20	Georgia Tech vs Virginia	-3.5	48.0	L 9 - 16	U	N
Sat 10/29	Georgia Tech at Florida State	+23.5	48.0	L 16 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/5	Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech	+4.0	40.5	W 28 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Georgia Tech vs Miami	-2.0	43.5	L 14 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/19	Georgia Tech at North Carolina	+21.5	63.5	W 21 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Georgia Tech at Georgia	+36.5	49.0	L 14 - 37	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia Tech's Schedule

North Carolina's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	North Carolina vs Florida A&M	-45.0	55.0	W 56 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/3	North Carolina at App State	+3.0	56.0	W 63 - 61	O	Y
Sat 9/10	North Carolina at Georgia State	-7.0	64.0	W 35 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24	North Carolina vs Notre Dame	-2.5	55.0	L 32 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/1	North Carolina vs Virginia Tech	-9.5	57.0	W 41 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/8	North Carolina at Miami	+4.0	67.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/15	North Carolina at Duke	-7.0	70.0	W 38 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	North Carolina vs Pittsburgh	-2.5	65.5	W 42 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/5	North Carolina at Virginia	-7.0	61.5	W 31 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/12	North Carolina at Wake Forest	+4.5	79.0	W 36 - 34	U	Y
Sat 11/19	North Carolina vs Georgia Tech	-21.5	63.5	L 17 - 21	U	N
Fri 11/25	North Carolina vs NC State	-6.5	56.0	L 27 - 30	O	N
Sat 12/3	North Carolina vs Clemson	+7.5	64.0	L 10 - 39	U	N
Wed 12/28	North Carolina vs Oregon	+13.0	76.0	L 27 - 28	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GT	.16	41%	32.2	42%	3.11	169	40%	198	3.24	.31	48%	25	46%	51%	4.23	50.8	1.3	1.2
UNC	.28	46%	19.3	51%	3.43	213	41%	256	4.53	.26	46%	24.5	49%	43%	4.24	69.2	1.1	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GT Offense	12	32.2	31.2	40.7%	3.24	1.3	19	367	169	198	4.6	51%	48%	42%	40%	19%	.16
UNC Defense	13	24.5	26	45.9%	4.24	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	49%	43%	15%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GT Defense	12	25	29.8	48.2%	4.23	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	46%	51%	14%	.31
UNC Offense	13	19.3	21	46.3%	4.53	1.1	24	468	213	256	5.4	52%	48%	51%	41%	17%	.28

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia Tech	12	29:12	18.8	36%	43%	6	50.8	1.3	1.2	5.1	1.7	1	29.3
North Carolina	13	29:41	23.8	43%	58%	7.3	69.2	1.1	1.2	5.5	2.2	0	28.7

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GT Offense	12	51%	42%	37	169	4.6	15	.14	3.11	80%	13%	1.05
UNC Defense	13	53%	49%	-	-	-	-	.19	3.29	82%	9%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GT Defense	12	54%	46%	-	-	-	-	.09	3.3	63%	10%	0.86
UNC Offense	13	52%	51%	39.5	212.7	5.4	30	.37	3.43	71%	12%	1.21

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GT Offense	12	48%	40%	17.1	28.5	197.9	6.9	11.6	18	10	.19	1.5	33%	26%	.24	6%	2.1
UNC Defense	13	46%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.36	1.7	30%	29%	.35	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GT Defense	12	46%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.6	1.8	26%	39%	.63	4%	2.2
UNC Offense	13	48%	41%	18.2	29.4	255.7	8.7	14	26	9	.22	1.6	30%	38%	.54	5%	2.2

Georgia Tech's Power Ratings
Georgia Tech's Power Rating: NR
Georgia Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Georgia Tech's 2022 Expected Record: -
Georgia Tech's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.8 #103
Georgia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.8 #103
Georgia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #79

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Tech: North Carolina: 6.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Tech: -11.8 North Carolina: 7.8

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 6.4 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2022 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 #46
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.7 #11
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #104

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Georgia Tech Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.2
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Georgia Tech's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia Tech 28
North Carolina 24

Projected Total Points: 52

North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

North Carolina's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	North Carolina	34	Georgia Tech	41	Georgia Tech -3.5	Georgia Tech	60.5	Over
2023	10/28	Georgia Tech	46	North Carolina	42	North Carolina -12	Georgia Tech	65.5	Over
2022	11/19	North Carolina	17	Georgia Tech	21	North Carolina -21.5	Georgia Tech	63.5	Under
2021	09/25	Georgia Tech	45	North Carolina	22	North Carolina -14.5	Georgia Tech	66.0	Over
2019	10/05	Georgia Tech	22	North Carolina	38	North Carolina -9.5	North Carolina	47.0	Over
2018	11/03	North Carolina	28	Georgia Tech	38	Georgia Tech -4	Georgia Tech	66.0	Push
2017	09/30	Georgia Tech	33	North Carolina	7	Georgia Tech -10	Georgia Tech	58.5	Under
2016	11/05	North Carolina	48	Georgia Tech	20	North Carolina -9.5	North Carolina	63.5	Over
2015	10/03	Georgia Tech	31	North Carolina	38	Georgia Tech -10.5	North Carolina	61.5	Over
2014	10/18	North Carolina	48	Georgia Tech	43	North Carolina -2.5	North Carolina	68.0	Over
2013	09/21	Georgia Tech	28	North Carolina	20	Georgia Tech -3.5	Georgia Tech	0
2012	11/10	North Carolina	50	Georgia Tech	68
2011	09/24	Georgia Tech	35	North Carolina	28
2010	09/18	North Carolina	24	Georgia Tech	30
2009	09/26	Georgia Tech	24	North Carolina	7
2008	11/08	North Carolina	28	Georgia Tech	7
2007	11/17	Georgia Tech	27	North Carolina	25
2006	11/11	North Carolina	0	Georgia Tech	7
2005	09/10	Georgia Tech	27	North Carolina	21
2004	09/18	North Carolina	34	Georgia Tech	13
2003	11/15	Georgia Tech	41	North Carolina	24
2002	09/28	North Carolina	13	Georgia Tech	21
2001	11/01	Georgia Tech	28	North Carolina	21
2000	09/29	North Carolina	28	Georgia Tech	42

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
North Carolina	6	4	7 Overs
Georgia Tech	18	7	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 10	6 - 5	4 - 2	2 - 3
Road Teams	10 - 14	5 - 6	3 - 2	2 - 4

(#) GT at (#) UNC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GT	UNC
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#103	#46
Perf GradeGrade	#128	#65
OffenseOff	#127	#43
DefenseDef	#102	#102
Spec TeamsST	#83	#25
TalentTal	#30	#16
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Georgia Tech Injury Report

North Carolina Injury Report

Georgia Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	GT Off	UNC Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#127	#102
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#103	#104
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	GT Off	UNC Def
Run GameRun	#110	#98
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#116	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#20

Georgia Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	GT Off	UNC Def
Pass GamePass	#124	#102
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#122	#62
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

North Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	UNC Off	GT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#43	#102
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#11	#79
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	GT Def
Run GameRun	#62	#105
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#117	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#97

North Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	GT Def
Pass GamePass	#2	#86
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#78	#98
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

GT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 12
North Carolina -21.5 (63.5)
Georgia Tech won at North Carolina this year (21-17)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Tech beat North Carolina in 2024 (41-34)
Georgia Tech beat North Carolina in 2023 (46-42)

GT's OC Chip Long (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia Tech's Full Roster

GT's DC Andrew Thacker (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UNC's OC Phil Longo (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC Gene Chizik (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD