North Carolina at South Carolina - 2021 Matchup Preview
North Carolina logo North Carolina Tar Heels vs South Carolina GamecocksSouth Carolina logo
Thursday, December 30th 2021 (11:30 AM EST)
North Carolina -12.5 (57.5) (275)  Open: -5.0 | 58.5
South Carolina 38 - North Carolina: 21  (Duke's Mayo Bowl)

 
Tar Heels (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mack Brown (17 - 11)
Avg Score : 35 - 32 (24 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Light Rain Predicted
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -1.5  (SP+ UNC -2.5)
Projected Score: UNC: 35 - SC: 25 (60)
UNC Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
UNC Travel: 112 miles
Gamecocks (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Shane Beamer (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (23 - 16 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
North Carolina's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/3 North Carolina at Virginia Tech-5.563.5L 10 - 17UN
Sat 9/11 North Carolina vs Georgia State-26.065.0W 59 - 17OY
Sat 9/18 North Carolina vs Virginia-7.567.0W 59 - 39OY
Sat 9/25 North Carolina vs Georgia Tech-14.566.0L 22 - 45ON
Sat 10/2 North Carolina vs Duke-19.574.0W 38 - 7UY
Sat 10/9 North Carolina vs Florida State-17.564.5L 25 - 35UN
Sat 10/16 North Carolina vs Miami-7.563.5W 45 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 North Carolina at Notre Dame+3.563.0L 34 - 44ON
Sat 11/6 North Carolina vs Wake Forest-2.578.0W 58 - 55OY
Thu 11/11 North Carolina at Pittsburgh+6.572.0L 23 - 30UN
Sat 11/20 North Carolina vs Wofford-37.062.0W 34 - 14UN
Fri 11/26 North Carolina at NC State+6.562.0L 30 - 34OY
Thu 12/30 North Carolina vs South Carolina-12.557.5L 21 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
South Carolina's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 South Carolina vs Eastern Illinois-31.555.5W 46 - 0UY
Sat 9/11 South Carolina at East Carolina-3.056.5W 20 - 17UN
Sat 9/18 South Carolina at Georgia+31.547.5L 13 - 40OY
Sat 9/25 South Carolina vs Kentucky+4.549.0L 10 - 16UN
Sat 10/2 South Carolina vs Troy-6.543.0W 23 - 14UY
Sat 10/9 South Carolina at Tennessee+10.557.0L 20 - 45ON
Sat 10/16 South Carolina vs Vanderbilt-19.050.0W 21 - 20UN
Sat 10/23 South Carolina at Texas A&M+19.046.0L 14 - 44ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 South Carolina vs Florida+20.552.0W 40 - 17OY
Sat 11/13 South Carolina at Missouri+1.056.5L 28 - 31ON
Sat 11/20 South Carolina vs Auburn+7.045.5W 21 - 17UY
Sat 11/27 South Carolina vs Clemson+11.542.5L 0 - 30UN
Thu 12/30 South Carolina vs North Carolina+12.557.5W 38 - 21OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC.2846%35.251%3.4321341%2564.53.2646%32.149%43%4.2469.21.11.2
SC.1940%22.641%2.9213640%2013.24.1943%2446%40%3.3845.91.82.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)47% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)44% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2
SC#48 (.22)44% (58)44% (74)3.01 (73)17544% (42)2033.97 (62)#15 (.08)42% (73)45% (93)40% (61)3.19 (16)53.81.51.7



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Offense1335.224.346.3%4.531.1244682132565.452%48%51%41%17%.28
SC Defense132416.343.4%3.382.2 - - - - - 56%44%46%40%18%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Defense1332.131.345.9%4.241.2 - - - - - 53%46%49%43%15%.26
SC Offense1322.62340.2%3.241.8173381362013.854%46%41%40%19%.19

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Carolina1329:4123.843%58%7.369.21.11.25.52.2028.7
South Carolina1330:0117.535%50%5.845.91.82.24.82329.6
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Offense1352%51%39.5212.75.430.373.4371%12%1.21
SC Defense1356%46% - - - - .213.4791%10%0.91
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Defense1353%49% - - - - .193.2982%9%0.95
SC Offense1354%41%35.9136.43.89.062.9275%13%0.86

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Offense1348%41%18.229.4255.78.714269.221.630%38%.545%2.2
SC Defense1344%40% - - - - - - 15.191.729%32%.338%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Defense1346%43% - - - - - - 11.361.730%29%.356%2.1
SC Offense1346%40%16.227.7201.27.312.42211.361.935%29%.415%2.4

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Carolina's 2021 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.4  #59
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.8  #11
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7  #101

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina:    South Carolina: 1.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 6.4   South Carolina: 3.9




South Carolina's Power Ratings
South Carolina's Power Rating: 1.95 NR
South Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
South Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Carolina's 2021 Expected Record: -
South Carolina's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9  #66
South Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.0  #87
South Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2  #49

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 35.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.3
Defense: 32.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.3

North Carolina's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 35
South Carolina 25

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
North Carolina 45
South Carolina 23

Total Points: 68

Based on Entire Season
South Carolina 27
North Carolina 25

Total Points: 52
South Carolina Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 23
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.3

South Carolina's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/02North Carolina31South Carolina17South Carolina -2.5North Carolina63.5Under
202112/30South Carolina38North Carolina21North Carolina -12.5South Carolina57.5Over
201908/31North Carolina24South Carolina20South Carolina -11North Carolina61.0Under
201509/03South Carolina17North Carolina13South Carolina -3.5South Carolina62.0Under
201308/29South Carolina27North Carolina10South Carolina -11.5South Carolina0
200710/13North Carolina15South Carolina21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Carolina431 Overs
North Carolina223 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 15 - 02 - 03 - 0
Road Teams1 - 50 - 50 - 30 - 2

North Carolina Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2021Mayo Bowl North Carolina vs South Carolina-12.557.5L 21 - 38
2020Orange Bowl North Carolina vs Texas A&M+7.067.5L 27 - 41
2019Military Bowl North Carolina vs Temple-6.056.5W 55 - 13
2016N/A North Carolina vs Stanford+2.555.0L 23 - 25
2015Athletic Bowl North Carolina vs Baylor+3.5L 38 - 49
South Carolina Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2021Mayo Bowl South Carolina vs North Carolina+12.557.5W 38 - 21
2018N/A South Carolina vs Virginia-3.554.0L 0 - 28
2017Outback Bowl South Carolina vs Michigan+9.042.5W 26 - 19
2016N/A South Carolina vs South Florida+11.058.0L 39 - 46
  
(#) UNC at (#) SC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNCSC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #59 #66
Perf GradeGrade #64 #77
OffenseOff #30 #97
DefenseDef #106 #59
Spec TeamsST #36 #3
TalentTal #17 #22
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
UNC OffSC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #30 #59
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #11 #49
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffSC Def
Run GameRun #2 #98
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #63 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #97
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffSC Def
Pass GamePass #24 #18
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #24 #19
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
South Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatSC OffUNC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #97 #106
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #87 #101
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
SC OffUNC Def
Run GameRun #66 #85
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #82 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #63
South Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatSC OffUNC Def
Pass GamePass #99 #102
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #118 #110
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
SC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Top G5

UNC 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bank of America Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 64° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 1
North Carolina 12.5 (57.5)
South Carolina won vs North Carolina this year (38-21)

Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat South Carolina in 2023 (31-17)

  
UNC's OC Phil Longo (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC Jay Bateman (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

SC's OC Marcus Satterfield (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View South Carolina's Full Roster

SC's DC Clayton White (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD