(#16)Virginia Cavaliers at North Carolina Tar Heels
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Virginia -12.5 (51.5) (-425) Open: -9.5 | 51.5
Virginia 17 - North Carolina: 16 (ACC)
Cavaliers (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (29 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 3.5 (#16)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (29 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 3.5 (#16)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Our Line: Virginia -17.5 (SP+ UVA -20)
Projected Score: UVA: 34 - UNC: 17 (51)
UVA Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
UVA Travel: 150 miles
Projected Score: UVA: 34 - UNC: 17 (51)
UVA Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
UVA Travel: 150 miles
Tar Heels (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Bill Belichick (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (21 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
Coach Bill Belichick (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (21 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
| Virginia's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Virginia vs Coastal Carolina | -12.5 | 57.5 | W 48 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Virginia at NC State | +3.0 | 53.0 | L 31 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Virginia vs William & Mary | -30.5 | 54.5 | W 55 - 16 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Virginia vs Stanford | -16.5 | 48.5 | W 48 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Fri 9/26 | Virginia vs Florida State | +7.0 | 59.5 | W 46 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/4 | Virginia at Louisville | +6.5 | 59.5 | W 30 - 27 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Virginia vs Washington State | -16.5 | 56.5 | W 22 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/25 | Virginia at North Carolina | -12.5 | 51.5 | W 17 - 16 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/1 | Virginia at California | -6.5 | 52.5 | W 31 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/8 | Virginia vs Wake Forest | -7.0 | 48.5 | L 9 - 16 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/15 | Virginia at Duke | +5.5 | 59.5 | W 34 - 17 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/29 | Virginia vs Virginia Tech | -9.5 | 53.5 | W 27 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 12/6 | Virginia vs Duke | -3.5 | 58.5 | L 20 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 12/27 | Virginia vs Missouri | +4.0 | 43.5 | W 13 - 7 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| North Carolina's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Mon 9/1 | North Carolina vs TCU | +3.0 | 59.5 | L 14 - 48 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | North Carolina at Charlotte | -16.5 | 49.5 | W 20 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | North Carolina vs Richmond | -24.5 | 47.5 | W 41 - 6 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | North Carolina at UCF | +7.0 | 46.5 | L 9 - 34 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | North Carolina vs Clemson | +15.5 | 47.5 | L 10 - 38 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/17 | North Carolina at California | +7.5 | 45.5 | L 18 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/25 | North Carolina vs Virginia | +12.5 | 51.5 | L 16 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Fri 10/31 | North Carolina at Syracuse | +1.5 | 45.5 | W 27 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/8 | North Carolina vs Stanford | -8.5 | 41.5 | W 20 - 15 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/15 | North Carolina at Wake Forest | +3.5 | 37.5 | L 12 - 28 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/22 | North Carolina vs Duke | +6.5 | 50.5 | L 25 - 32 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/29 | North Carolina at NC State | +7.0 | 48.5 | L 19 - 42 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
Overall Stats 2025
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA | #64 (.18) | 42% (82) | 30.8 | 44% (66) | 3.04 (51) | 172 | 41% (79) | 225 | 3.49 (91) | #18 (.06) | 37% (21) | 19.6 | 39% (30) | 37% (25) | 3.01 (19) | 42 | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| UNC | #120 (.07) | 38% (115) | 19.3 | 38% (121) | 2.72 (111) | 105 | 39% (97) | 184 | 3.33 (108) | #79 (.18) | 41% (58) | 24.5 | 42% (63) | 40% (50) | 3.58 (62) | 62.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA | #102 (.13) | 40% (103) | 43% (77) | 3.29 (25) | 133 | 37% (113) | 229 | 3.47 (106) | #116 (.27) | 43% (80) | 44% (77) | 42% (77) | 4.04 (94) | 45.3 | 1.6 | 1.3 | ||
| UNC | #65 (.2) | 42% (80) | 47% (34) | 3.32 (22) | 175 | 37% (114) | 216 | 4.08 (52) | #70 (.17) | 41% (53) | 44% (82) | 37% (26) | 4.01 (90) | 59.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 14 | 30.8 | 28.6 | 41.6% | 3.49 | 0.9 | 20 | 397 | 172 | 225 | 4.8 | 50% | 49% | 44% | 41% | 14% | .18 |
| UNC Defense | 12 | 24.5 | 26 | 40.9% | 3.58 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 51% | 42% | 40% | 15% | .18 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 14 | 19.6 | 23.2 | 37.4% | 3.01 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 47% | 39% | 37% | 18% | .06 |
| UNC Offense | 12 | 19.3 | 21 | 38.2% | 3.33 | 1.3 | 17 | 289 | 105 | 184 | 3.7 | 48% | 50% | 38% | 39% | 17% | .07 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia | 14 | 29:31 | 20.3 | 49% | 46% | 5 | 42 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 3 | 30.7 |
| North Carolina | 12 | 28:24 | 16.6 | 37% | 73% | 6.6 | 62.6 | 1.3 | 1 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 0 | 29.3 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 14 | 50% (65) | 44% (66) | 36 | 172.1 | 4.8 | 28 (11) | .19 (34) | 3.04 (51) | 81% (13) | 8% (25) | 1.06 (33) |
| UNC Defense | 12 | 47% (37) | 42% (63) | - | - | - | - | .14 (90) | 2.72 (35) | 89% (134) | 10% (68) | 0.99 (90) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 14 | 51% (78) | 39% (30) | - | - | - | - | .04 (31) | 2.75 (43) | 71% (69) | 9% (75) | 0.92 (47) |
| UNC Offense | 12 | 48% (84) | 38% (121) | 28.8 | 105.2 | 3.7 | 11 (107) | -.03 (130) | 2.72 (111) | 64% (117) | 11% (112) | 0.8 (126) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 14 | 49% (73) | 41% (79) | 20.7 | 32.4 | 225 | 6.9 | 10.9 | 18 (50) | 10 (60) | .24 (74) | 1.5 (74) | 32% (84) | 33% (34) | .36 (47) | 6% (68) | 1.9 (111) |
| UNC Defense | 12 | 51% (103) | 40% (50) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6 (75) | .2 (51) | 1.4 (17) | 31% (76) | 29% (59) | .32 (78) | 5% (90) | 2 (54) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 14 | 47% (50) | 37% (25) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 (38) | .15 (29) | 1.5 (44) | 32% (60) | 23% (3) | .11 (8) | 9% (6) | 1.9 (25) |
| UNC Offense | 12 | 50% (57) | 39% (97) | 18.9 | 29.6 | 183.9 | 6.2 | 9.7 | 13 (121) | 6 (34) | .21 (92) | 1.5 (102) | 31% (57) | 28% (90) | .26 (86) | 6% (59) | 1.8 (130) |
Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 17.51 #25
Virginia's Offense Rating: 16.28 #32
Virginia's Defense Rating: -1.23 #27
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 3.5
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #28
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #49
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #23
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Virginia's Power Rating: 17.51 #25
Virginia's Offense Rating: 16.28 #32
Virginia's Defense Rating: -1.23 #27
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 3.5
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #28
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #49
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #23
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 17.51 North Carolina: -2.855
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 12.1 North Carolina: -8.1
Virginia: 17.51 North Carolina: -2.855
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 12.1 North Carolina: -8.1
North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: -2.855 #79
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 4.36 #96
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 6.97 #61
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 17 #29
North Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
North Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #97
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.3 #125
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
North Carolina's Power Rating: -2.855 #79
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 4.36 #96
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 6.97 #61
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 17 #29
North Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
North Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #97
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.3 #125
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2
Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2
Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 34
North Carolina 17
Total Points: 51
Based on Last 4 Games
Virginia 28
North Carolina 25
Total Points: 53
Based on Entire Season
Virginia 28
North Carolina 21
Total Points: 49
Virginia 34
North Carolina 17
Total Points: 51
Based on Last 4 Games
Virginia 28
North Carolina 25
Total Points: 53
Based on Entire Season
Virginia 28
North Carolina 21
Total Points: 49
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 26
North Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 26
North Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10/25 | North Carolina | 16 | Virginia | 17 | Virginia -12.5 | North Carolina | 51.5 | Under |
| 2024 | 10/26 | Virginia | 14 | North Carolina | 41 | Virginia -3.5 | North Carolina | 58.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 10/21 | North Carolina | 27 | Virginia | 31 | North Carolina -24 | Virginia | 58.0 | Push |
| 2022 | 11/05 | Virginia | 28 | North Carolina | 31 | North Carolina -7 | Virginia | 61.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 09/18 | North Carolina | 59 | Virginia | 39 | North Carolina -7.5 | North Carolina | 67.0 | Over |
| 2020 | 10/31 | Virginia | 44 | North Carolina | 41 | North Carolina -7.0 | Virginia | 0 | |
| 2019 | 11/02 | North Carolina | 31 | Virginia | 38 | Virginia -1 | Virginia | 48.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 10/27 | Virginia | 31 | North Carolina | 21 | Virginia -7.5 | Virginia | 51.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 10/14 | North Carolina | 14 | Virginia | 20 | Virginia -3 | Virginia | 54.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/22 | Virginia | 14 | North Carolina | 35 | North Carolina -9 | North Carolina | 68.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 10/24 | North Carolina | 26 | Virginia | 13 | North Carolina -12 | North Carolina | 58.0 | Under |
| 2014 | 10/25 | Virginia | 27 | North Carolina | 28 | Virginia -7.5 | North Carolina | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/09 | North Carolina | 45 | Virginia | 14 | North Carolina -14 | North Carolina | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/15 | Virginia | 13 | North Carolina | 37 | ||||
| 2011 | 09/17 | North Carolina | 28 | Virginia | 17 | ||||
| 2010 | 10/16 | Virginia | 10 | North Carolina | 44 | ||||
| 2009 | 10/03 | North Carolina | 3 | Virginia | 16 | ||||
| 2008 | 10/18 | Virginia | 16 | North Carolina | 13 | ||||
| 2007 | 09/15 | North Carolina | 20 | Virginia | 22 | ||||
| 2006 | 10/19 | Virginia | 23 | North Carolina | 0 | ||||
| 2005 | 10/22 | North Carolina | 7 | Virginia | 5 | ||||
| 2004 | 09/11 | Virginia | 56 | North Carolina | 24 | ||||
| 2003 | 10/04 | North Carolina | 13 | Virginia | 38 | ||||
| 2002 | 10/19 | Virginia | 37 | North Carolina | 27 | ||||
| 2001 | 10/13 | North Carolina | 30 | Virginia | 24 | ||||
| 2000 | 10/27 | Virginia | 17 | North Carolina | 6 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | 12 | 7 | 3 Overs |
| Virginia | 14 | 6 | 6 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 13 - 13 | 7 - 6 | 4 - 3 | 3 - 3 |
| Road Teams | 13 - 13 | 6 - 7 | 3 - 3 | 3 - 4 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UVA | UNC |
| Power RatePwr | #25 | #79 |
| SP+SP+ | #28 | #97 |
| Perf GradeGrade | #16 | #81 |
| OffenseOff | #46 | #108 |
| DefenseDef | #15 | #36 |
| Spec TeamsST | #33 | #71 |
| TalentTal | #21 | #17 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | #65 | #29 |
(11/16) Killed Duke, Hoos incredible story. ACC threat
(10/28) 3 wins so far w/ negative Success Rate
(10/25) Box score L vs NC. Great story, but badly overrated
(9/26) Huge W over FSU, Run Off good, Morris tough/clutch
(9/22) Off 3rd in CFB in rush yds after contact (wk 5)
(9/21) Off on a tear, QB Morris playing great. Good start
(9/21) Off #'s are incredible during 3-1 start, eyes on
(8/26) 20 of 23 listed on two deep are Sr or Gr.
(6/14) Same HC, OC, DC, S&C coaches for 4 years
(6/2) QB C. Morris (4th school) can sling it & run it
(5/29) QB Morris (N Tex) was #4 pass yds LY, Kaelin #2
(10/25) Playing much better & still finding ways to lose
(10/21) OT W Boone no longer w/ team, started 1st 3 games
(10/8) Sounds like this Belichick experiment is ending fast
(9/20) Team is a complete joke, fitting for Carolina
(9/1) Worse than even I thought, Def bad G5 level
(8/27) QB1 - Gio Lopez has won starting job in fall
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 52% from portals
(4/17) QB Lopez (S Al) added post spring.
(4/17) NFL style not open to fans/media. We'll see
(4/17) Is Lopez QB1? Have Johnson (Inj)/Browne (PU)
(3/21) RB rebuild. Some options, SO Gause has exp
| Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UVA Off | UNC Def | |
| Perf GradePerf | #46 | #36 |
| SuccessSuc | #82 | #58 |
| ExplosiveExp | #45 | #61 |
| PPAPPA | #64 | #79 |
| PowerPwr | #32 | #61 |
| SP+SP+ | #49 | #62 |
| Pts POPPO | #91 | #62 |
| HavocHav | #38 | #89 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UVA Off | UNC Def | |
| Run GameRun | #58 | #34 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #66 | #63 |
| Run ExplRExp | #33 | #90 |
| PPAExp | #34 | #90 | Run BlockR Blk | #44 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #51 | #35 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #35 | #98 |
| TackleTak | - | #54 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UVA Off | UNC Def | |
| Pass GamePass | #42 | #69 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #79 | #50 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #74 | #17 |
| PPAExp | #74 | #51 |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | #78 | #36 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #25 | #68 |
| DB HavocDB | #68 | #90 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UNC Off | UVA Def |
| Perf GradePerf | #108 | #15 |
| SuccessSuc | #115 | #21 |
| ExplosiveExp | #118 | #35 |
| PPAPPA | #120 | #18 |
| PowerPwr | #96 | #27 |
| SP+SP+ | #125 | #23 |
| Pts POPPO | #108 | #19 |
| HavocHav | #95 | #23 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UNC Off | UVA Def | |
| Run GameRun | #122 | #39 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #121 | #30 |
| Run ExplRExp | #126 | #47 |
| PPAExp | #130 | #31 | Run BlockR Blk | #84 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #111 | #43 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #66 | #70 |
| TackleTak | - | #39 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UNC Off | UVA Def |
| Pass GamePass | #102 | #18 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #97 | #25 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #102 | #44 |
| PPAExp | #92 | #29 |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | #53 | #32 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #112 | #75 |
| DB HavocDB | #59 | #6 |
Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5
UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4
UNC 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5
UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4
Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 61°
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 61°
Virginia 12.5 (51.5)
Virginia won at North Carolina this year (17-16)
Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Virginia last year (41-14)
Virginia beat North Carolina in 2023 (31-27)
North Carolina beat Virginia in 2022 (31-28)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Morris (Tr) | 282 | 436 | 65% | 3000 | 16 | 9 | 6.9 |
| Daniel Kaelin (Tr) | 30 | 52 | 58% | 339 | 1 | 1 | 6.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J'mari Taylor (Tr) | 222 | 1062 | 14 | 4.8 | 78 |
| Harrison Waylee (Tr) | 118 | 556 | 6 | 4.7 | 97 |
| Chandler Morris (Tr) | 64 | 245 | 5 | 3.8 | 42 |
| Xavier Brown | 51 | 241 | 1 | 4.7 | 20 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trell Harris | 59 | 847 | 5 | 14.4 | 75 |
| Jahmal Edrine (Tr) | 46 | 564 | 1 | 12.3 | 37 |
| Cameron Ross | 53 | 543 | 2 | 10.2 | 46 |
| J'mari Taylor (Tr) | 43 | 253 | 1 | 5.9 | 25 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Neal (Tr) | 88 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| James Jackson | 66 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| Kamren Robinson | 64 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Maddox Marcellus (Tr) | 49 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Rickert (Tr) | 36 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 1 |
| Mitchell Melton (Tr) | 45 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| Fisher Camac (Tr) | 44 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| Jacob Holmes (Tr) | 33 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Karnley (Tr) | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Devin Neal (Tr) | 88 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| Christian Charles (Tr) | 43 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giovanni Lopez | 170 | 261 | 65% | 1747 | 10 | 5 | 6.7 |
| Max Johnson | 54 | 87 | 62% | 437 | 2 | 0 | 5.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demon June | 84 | 464 | 2 | 5.5 | 50 |
| Benjamin Hall (Tr) | 71 | 274 | 2 | 3.9 | 18 |
| Davion Gause | 61 | 258 | 3 | 4.2 | 25 |
| Giovanni Lopez | 86 | 133 | 3 | 1.5 | 17 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Shipp | 60 | 671 | 6 | 11.2 | 55 |
| Kobe Paysour | 35 | 438 | 1 | 12.5 | 44 |
| Demon June | 17 | 159 | 1 | 9.4 | 72 |
| Javarius Green | 13 | 150 | 0 | 11.5 | 39 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khmori House (Tr) | 73 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| Andrew Simpson (Tr) | 59 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 1 |
| Will Hardy | 51 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Melkart Abou-Jaoude (Tr) | 47 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melkart Abou-Jaoude (Tr) | 47 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| Tyler Thompson | 26 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| Andrew Simpson (Tr) | 59 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 1 |
| C.J. Mims (Tr) | 41 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Allen | 35 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| Thaddeus Dixon (Tr) | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Jaiden Patterson | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |