Duke Blue Devils at North Carolina Tar Heels
Saturday, November 11th 2023 (8:00 PM EST)
North Carolina -9.5 (52.5) (-455) Open: -9.5
North Carolina 47 - Duke: 45 (ACC)
Blue Devils (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (12 - 4)
Avg Score : 27 - 19 (27 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#61)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Mike Elko (12 - 4)
Avg Score : 27 - 19 (27 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#61)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNC 2nd straight Home Game
UNC is playing their 6th straight game
DUKE is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: North Carolina -5.5 (SP+ UNC -1)
Projected Score: DUKE: 25 - UNC: 30 (55)
UNC Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
DUKE Travel: 9 miles
UNC is playing their 6th straight game
DUKE is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: North Carolina -5.5 (SP+ UNC -1)
Projected Score: DUKE: 25 - UNC: 30 (55)
UNC Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
DUKE Travel: 9 miles
Tar Heels (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mack Brown (33 - 22)
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (41 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Mack Brown (33 - 22)
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (41 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| Duke's 2023 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Mon 9/4 | Duke vs Clemson | +12.5 | 54.0 | W 28 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/9 | Duke vs Lafayette | -42.5 | 49.0 | W 42 - 7 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/16 | Duke vs Northwestern | -17.0 | 48.0 | W 38 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/23 | Duke at UConn | -22.0 | 45.0 | W 41 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/30 | Duke vs Notre Dame | +5.5 | 52.5 | L 14 - 21 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/14 | Duke vs NC State | -3.5 | 44.0 | W 24 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/21 | Duke at Florida State | +14.0 | 49.0 | L 20 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/28 | Duke at Louisville | +5.0 | 47.0 | L 0 - 23 | U | N | |
| Thu 11/2 | Duke vs Wake Forest | -6.5 | 41.0 | W 24 - 21 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/11 | Duke at North Carolina | +9.5 | 52.5 | L 45 - 47 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/18 | Duke at Virginia | -4.0 | 48.5 | L 27 - 30 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/25 | Duke vs Pittsburgh | -4.5 | 40.5 | W 30 - 19 | O | Y | |
| Sat 12/23 | Duke vs Troy | +7.0 | 44.0 | W 17 - 10 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| North Carolina's 2023 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 9/2 | North Carolina vs South Carolina | +2.5 | 63.5 | W 31 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/9 | North Carolina vs App State | -18.0 | 58.0 | W 40 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/16 | North Carolina vs Minnesota | -7.0 | 51.0 | W 31 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/23 | North Carolina at Pittsburgh | -7.0 | 49.5 | W 41 - 24 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/7 | North Carolina vs Syracuse | -9.5 | 59.0 | W 40 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/14 | North Carolina vs Miami | -2.5 | 57.5 | W 41 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/21 | North Carolina vs Virginia | -24.0 | 58.0 | L 27 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/28 | North Carolina at Georgia Tech | -12.0 | 65.5 | L 42 - 46 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/4 | North Carolina vs Campbell | -45.5 | 68.5 | W 59 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/11 | North Carolina vs Duke | -9.5 | 52.5 | W 47 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/18 | North Carolina at Clemson | +7.5 | 58.0 | L 20 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/25 | North Carolina at NC State | -2.0 | 55.0 | L 20 - 39 | O | N | |
| Wed 12/27 | North Carolina vs West Virginia | +4.5 | 62.0 | L 10 - 30 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE | #64 (.2) | 42% (69) | 26.9 | 42% (77) | 3.1 (70) | 167 | 42% (66) | 181 | 4.27 (31) | #52 (.16) | 43% (86) | 19 | 43% (69) | 44% (101) | 3.47 (43) | 46 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| UNC | #17 (.3) | 47% (19) | 34.5 | 50% (16) | 3.41 (11) | 193 | 44% (44) | 299 | 4.13 (45) | #86 (.21) | 42% (70) | 27.3 | 43% (68) | 42% (76) | 3.41 (35) | 66.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE | #109 (.12) | 39% (116) | 35% (129) | 2.47 (131) | 89 | 42% (69) | 226 | 3.7 (90) | #10 (.06) | 38% (16) | 41% (51) | 34% (5) | 3.19 (17) | 48.9 | 1.4 | 2 | ||
| UNC | #65 (.2) | 42% (80) | 47% (34) | 3.32 (22) | 175 | 37% (114) | 216 | 4.08 (52) | #70 (.17) | 41% (53) | 44% (82) | 37% (26) | 4.01 (90) | 59.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Offense | 13 | 26.9 | 26.6 | 42% | 4.27 | 1.2 | 19 | 348 | 167 | 181 | 4.8 | 52% | 47% | 42% | 42% | 13% | .2 |
| UNC Defense | 13 | 27.3 | 24 | 42.2% | 3.41 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 49% | 43% | 42% | 15% | .21 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Defense | 13 | 19 | 29 | 43.3% | 3.47 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 50% | 43% | 44% | 16% | .16 |
| UNC Offense | 13 | 34.5 | 40.7 | 46.8% | 4.13 | 1.3 | 25 | 492 | 193 | 299 | 5.1 | 46% | 53% | 50% | 44% | 13% | .3 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | 13 | 28:59 | 18.7 | 36% | 60% | 5.6 | 46 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 31.2 |
| North Carolina | 13 | 28:34 | 24.5 | 49% | 45% | 7.2 | 66.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 5.4 | 2.1 | 1 | 31.3 |
Run Game Stats (2023)
Pass Game Stats (2023)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Offense | 13 | 52% (47) | 42% (77) | 34.5 | 166.8 | 4.8 | 26 (30) | .17 (56) | 3.1 (70) | 66% (114) | 8% (20) | 1.08 (30) |
| UNC Defense | 13 | 50% (70) | 43% (68) | - | - | - | - | .2 (100) | 3.33 (112) | 73% (68) | 10% (85) | 1.02 (81) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Defense | 13 | 49% (53) | 43% (69) | - | - | - | - | .11 (46) | 3.18 (90) | 68% (39) | 10% (82) | 0.96 (43) |
| UNC Offense | 13 | 46% (97) | 50% (16) | 38.2 | 193.2 | 5.1 | 28 (25) | .28 (9) | 3.41 (11) | 75% (52) | 8% (31) | 1.03 (48) |
Pass Game Stats (2023)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Offense | 13 | 47% (84) | 42% (66) | 15.4 | 27.5 | 180.8 | 6.6 | 11.8 | 14 (106) | 8 (30) | .24 (79) | 1.4 (122) | 33% (88) | 31% (65) | .4 (43) | 6% (62) | 2 (95) |
| UNC Defense | 13 | 49% (63) | 42% (76) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (37) | .29 (82) | 1.6 (64) | 34% (43) | 34% (117) | .38 (100) | 6% (92) | 1.9 (22) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Defense | 13 | 50% (83) | 44% (101) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (67) | .22 (42) | 1.4 (3) | 31% (86) | 31% (78) | .3 (64) | 6% (56) | 2 (56) |
| UNC Offense | 13 | 53% (36) | 44% (44) | 22.5 | 35.4 | 298.5 | 8.4 | 13.3 | 26 (31) | 11 (68) | .34 (47) | 1.6 (73) | 30% (33) | 32% (56) | .38 (55) | 5% (24) | 2.2 (21) |
Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 4.24 #40
Duke's Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Duke's Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Duke's 2023 Expected Record: 7.00 - 6.00
Duke's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #29
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #25
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Duke's Power Rating: 4.24 #40
Duke's Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Duke's Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Duke's 2023 Expected Record: 7.00 - 6.00
Duke's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #29
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #25
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Duke: 4.24 North Carolina: 12.335
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 9.5 North Carolina: 10.2
Duke: 4.24 North Carolina: 12.335
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 9.5 North Carolina: 10.2
North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 12.335 #25
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 22.89 #20
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 10.64 #81
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 44 #18
North Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
North Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
North Carolina's Power Rating: 12.335 #25
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 22.89 #20
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 10.64 #81
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 44 #18
North Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
North Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.6
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense on Road: 29
Duke's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Offense: 26.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.6
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense on Road: 29
Duke's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 30
Duke 25
Total Points: 55
North Carolina 30
Duke 25
Total Points: 55
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 34.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.7
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24
North Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Offense: 34.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.7
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24
North Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 09/28 | Duke | 21 | North Carolina | 20 | Duke | North Carolina -1 | Duke | 55.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/11 | North Carolina | 47 | Duke | 45 | North Carolina | North Carolina -9.5 | Duke | 52.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/15 | Duke | 35 | North Carolina | 38 | North Carolina | North Carolina -7 | Duke | 70.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/02 | North Carolina | 38 | Duke | 7 | North Carolina | North Carolina -19.5 | North Carolina | 74.0 | Under |
| 2020 | 11/07 | Duke | 24 | North Carolina | 56 | North Carolina | North Carolina -11.5 | North Carolina | 63.0 | Over |
| 2019 | 10/26 | North Carolina | 20 | Duke | 17 | North Carolina | North Carolina -2.5 | North Carolina | 52.5 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/10 | Duke | 42 | North Carolina | 35 | Duke | Duke -7.5 | North Carolina | 58.5 | Over |
| 2017 | 09/23 | North Carolina | 17 | Duke | 27 | Duke | North Carolina -1.5 | Duke | 61.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/10 | Duke | 28 | North Carolina | 27 | Duke | North Carolina -10.5 | Duke | 66.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/07 | North Carolina | 66 | Duke | 31 | North Carolina | North Carolina -8 | North Carolina | 59.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/20 | Duke | 20 | North Carolina | 45 | North Carolina | Duke -6 | North Carolina | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/30 | North Carolina | 25 | Duke | 27 | Duke | North Carolina -5.5 | Duke | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/20 | Duke | 33 | North Carolina | 30 | Duke | ||||
| 2011 | 11/26 | North Carolina | 37 | Duke | 21 | North Carolina | ||||
| 2010 | 11/27 | Duke | 19 | North Carolina | 24 | North Carolina | ||||
| 2009 | 11/07 | North Carolina | 19 | Duke | 6 | North Carolina | ||||
| 2008 | 11/29 | Duke | 20 | North Carolina | 28 | North Carolina | ||||
| 2007 | 11/24 | North Carolina | 20 | Duke | 14 | North Carolina | ||||
| 2006 | 11/25 | Duke | 44 | North Carolina | 45 | North Carolina | ||||
| 2005 | 11/19 | North Carolina | 24 | Duke | 21 | North Carolina | ||||
| 2004 | 11/20 | Duke | 17 | North Carolina | 40 | North Carolina | ||||
| 2003 | 11/22 | North Carolina | 22 | Duke | 30 | Duke | ||||
| 2001 | 11/17 | North Carolina | 52 | Duke | 17 | North Carolina | ||||
| 2000 | 11/17 | Duke | 21 | North Carolina | 59 | North Carolina |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | 17 | 6 | 5 Overs |
| Duke | 7 | 6 | 5 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 13 - 11 | 6 - 6 | 3 - 5 | 3 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 11 - 13 | 6 - 6 | 1 - 3 | 5 - 3 |
(#40) Duke Info
Power Rating: 4.24 #40
Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #29
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #25
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Expected Record: 7.00 - 6.00
Duke has won 1 straight
Duke has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Duke Highlights
Duke defense does not give up big plays (#126)
Duke Deficiencies
Power Rating: 4.24 #40
Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #29
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #25
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Expected Record: 7.00 - 6.00
Duke has won 1 straight
Duke has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Duke Highlights
Duke defense does not give up big plays (#126)
Duke Deficiencies
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UNC | DUKE |
| OverallOver | #29 | #49 |
| OffenseOff | #31 | #71 |
| DefenseDef | #39 | #35 |
| Special TeamsST | #96 | #42 |
| PassingPass | #7 | #50 |
| RushingRush | #18 | #43 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #76 | #60 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #37 | #54 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #48 | #76 |
| TacklingTkl | #47 | #77 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #51 | #62 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #35 | #43 |
| Coverage DefCov | #31 | #22 |
Rematch from Week 11
North Carolina -9.5 (52.5)
North Carolina won vs Duke this year (47-45)
Previous Matchups
Duke beat North Carolina last year (21-20)
North Carolina beat Duke in 2023 (47-45)
North Carolina beat Duke in 2022 (38-35)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: DUKE | UNC
Depth Chart: DUKE | UNC
Rosters: DUKE | UNC
(#25) North Carolina Info
Power Rating: 12.335 #25
Offense Rating: 22.89 #20
Defense Rating: 10.64 #81
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 44 #18
Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
North Carolina has won 1 straight
North Carolina has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
North Carolina Highlights
North Carolina has Really Good Running Game (#93)
North Carolina offense is efficent (#105)
North Carolina has a top Offensive Line (#94)
North Carolina offense is good on 3rd downs
North Carolina does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#83)
North Carolina Deficiencies
North Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#25)
North Carolina Does Not Stuff Runs (#15)
North Carolina has a bad defensive line (#4)
Power Rating: 12.335 #25
Offense Rating: 22.89 #20
Defense Rating: 10.64 #81
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 44 #18
Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
North Carolina has won 1 straight
North Carolina has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
North Carolina Highlights
North Carolina has Really Good Running Game (#93)
North Carolina offense is efficent (#105)
North Carolina has a top Offensive Line (#94)
North Carolina offense is good on 3rd downs
North Carolina does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#83)
North Carolina Deficiencies
North Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#25)
North Carolina Does Not Stuff Runs (#15)
North Carolina has a bad defensive line (#4)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Leonard | 95 | 165 | 58% | 1102 | 3 | 3 | 6.7 |
| Grayson Loftis | 91 | 163 | 56% | 1006 | 8 | 4 | 6.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Waters | 153 | 819 | 12 | 5.4 | 83 |
| Jaquez Moore | 116 | 674 | 6 | 5.8 | 58 |
| Riley Leonard | 58 | 352 | 4 | 6.1 | 44 |
| Jaylen Coleman | 46 | 165 | 1 | 3.6 | 15 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Moore | 62 | 835 | 8 | 13.5 | 49 |
| Jalon Calhoun | 50 | 666 | 4 | 13.3 | 69 |
| Sahmir Hagans | 30 | 260 | 0 | 8.7 | 23 |
| Nicky Dalmolin | 15 | 147 | 0 | 9.8 | 21 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Freeman | 95 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| Jaylen Stinson | 79 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Nick Morris Jr. | 57 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Dorian Mausi | 56 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aeneas Peebles | 42 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| R.J. Oben | 15 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 1 |
| Terry Moore | 42 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Brandon Johnson | 49 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Blades Jr. (Tr) | 43 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| Chandler Rivers | 47 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| Jaylen Stinson | 79 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Maye | 269 | 425 | 63% | 3608 | 24 | 9 | 8.5 |
| Conner Harrell | 22 | 33 | 67% | 270 | 2 | 2 | 8.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omarion Hampton | 253 | 1504 | 15 | 5.9 | 68 |
| Drake Maye | 112 | 449 | 9 | 4.0 | 56 |
| British Brooks | 74 | 375 | 2 | 5.1 | 53 |
| Conner Harrell | 22 | 75 | 1 | 3.4 | 61 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Jones | 46 | 711 | 3 | 15.5 | 57 |
| Devontez Walker (Tr) | 41 | 699 | 7 | 17.0 | 56 |
| Bryson Nesbit | 41 | 585 | 5 | 14.3 | 62 |
| Nate Mccollum (Tr) | 44 | 469 | 1 | 10.7 | 48 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedric Gray | 121 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| Power Echols | 102 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Don Chapman | 64 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Antavious Lane (Tr) | 62 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaimon Rucker | 61 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 1 |
| Cedric Gray | 121 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| Beau Atkinson | 19 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Desmond Evans | 33 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Allen | 49 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Alijah Huzzie (Tr) | 42 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Desmond Evans | 33 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 5 |