North Carolina Tar Heels at California Golden Bears
Friday, October 17th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
California Memorial Stadium - Berkeley, CA (ACC)
Tar Heels (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Bill Belichick (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 19 (20 - 3 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 6.5 (#89)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
Coach Bill Belichick (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 19 (20 - 3 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 6.5 (#89)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
UNC coming off BYE
CAL coming off BYE
Our Line: California -9 (SP+ CAL -7)
Projected Score: UNC: 15 - CAL: 24 (38)
CAL Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
UNC Travel: 2370 miles, 3 hrs ahead
CAL coming off BYE
Our Line: California -9 (SP+ CAL -7)
Projected Score: UNC: 15 - CAL: 24 (38)
CAL Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
UNC Travel: 2370 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Golden Bears (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (42 - 49)
Avg Score : 32 - 11 (31 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 3.5 (#35)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Coach Justin Wilcox (42 - 49)
Avg Score : 32 - 11 (31 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 3.5 (#35)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
| North Carolina's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Mon 9/1 | North Carolina vs TCU | +3.0 | 59.5 | L 14 - 48 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | North Carolina at Charlotte | -16.5 | 49.5 | W 20 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | North Carolina vs Richmond | -24.5 | 47.5 | W 41 - 6 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | North Carolina at UCF | +6.5 | 48.5 | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | North Carolina vs Clemson | +11.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/17 | North Carolina at California | +9 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | North Carolina vs Virginia | +4.5 | |||||
| Fri 10/31 | North Carolina at Syracuse | +7 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | North Carolina vs Stanford | -6 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | North Carolina at Wake Forest | +3 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | North Carolina vs Duke | +1 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | North Carolina at NC State | +9.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| California's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | California at Oregon State | +3.0 | 51.5 | W 34 - 15 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | California vs Texas Southern | -44.5 | 54.5 | W 35 - 3 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | California vs Minnesota | +3.0 | 41.5 | W 27 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | California at San Diego State | -12.5 | 48.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | California at Boston College | +1.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | California vs Duke | -5.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/17 | California vs North Carolina | -9 | |||||
| Fri 10/24 | California at Virginia Tech | -11 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | California vs Virginia | -2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | California at Louisville | +10.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/22 | California at Stanford | -7.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | California vs SMU | +0.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for California's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC | #98 (.11) | 38% (105) | 25 | 36% (116) | 2.73 (94) | 130 | 41% (86) | 149 | 4.15 (62) | #43 (.05) | 38% (63) | 19 | 32% (20) | 44% (98) | 1.73 (10) | 43.3 | 1.3 | 2 |
| CAL | #85 (.16) | 42% (80) | 32 | 40% (93) | 3.05 (63) | 122 | 44% (68) | 266 | 3.58 (90) | #22 (-.02) | 35% (32) | 10.7 | 37% (54) | 34% (38) | 2.71 (41) | 59.7 | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC | #65 (.2) | 42% (80) | 47% (34) | 3.32 (22) | 175 | 37% (114) | 216 | 4.08 (52) | #70 (.17) | 41% (53) | 44% (82) | 37% (26) | 4.01 (90) | 59.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | ||
| CAL | #79 (.17) | 42% (88) | 40% (104) | 2.68 (120) | 122 | 43% (57) | 259 | 3.07 (125) | #48 (.14) | 40% (52) | 41% (53) | 40% (67) | 3.23 (20) | 59.7 | 0.8 | 1.7 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Offense | 3 | 25 | 20 | 38.2% | 4.15 | 1.3 | 14 | 279 | 130 | 149 | 4.3 | 57% | 43% | 36% | 41% | 17% | .11 |
| CAL Defense | 3 | 10.7 | 8.5 | 34.8% | 2.71 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 42% | 57% | 37% | 34% | 19% | -.02 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Defense | 3 | 19 | 3 | 38.2% | 1.73 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 53% | 32% | 44% | 14% | .05 |
| CAL Offense | 3 | 32 | 31 | 42.2% | 3.58 | 0.7 | 19 | 388 | 122 | 266 | 4.1 | 42% | 57% | 40% | 44% | 13% | .16 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | 3 | 26:30 | 13.7 | 33% | 67% | 4 | 43.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 4 | 1.3 | 0 | 34.1 |
| California | 3 | 29:09 | 18.7 | 37% | 50% | 7 | 59.7 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 0 | 33.2 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Offense | 3 | 57% (29) | 36% (116) | 30.7 | 130.3 | 4.3 | 4 (79) | .1 (84) | 2.73 (94) | 67% (86) | 13% (127) | 1.13 (38) |
| CAL Defense | 3 | 42% (18) | 37% (54) | - | - | - | - | -.08 (25) | 2.56 (48) | 67% (53) | 10% (61) | 0.76 (27) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Defense | 3 | 47% (52) | 32% (20) | - | - | - | - | -.13 (17) | 1.54 (4) | 86% (112) | 7% (106) | 0.82 (41) |
| CAL Offense | 3 | 42% (117) | 40% (93) | 29.7 | 122 | 4.1 | 4 (79) | .13 (73) | 3.05 (63) | 58% (109) | 8% (58) | 1.14 (36) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Offense | 3 | 43% (104) | 41% (86) | 13.3 | 21.7 | 148.7 | 6.9 | 11.2 | 4 (72) | 2 (60) | .13 (106) | 1.6 (46) | 28% (49) | 30% (84) | .38 (58) | 4% (39) | 2.2 (42) |
| CAL Defense | 3 | 57% (117) | 34% (38) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .04 (25) | 1.3 (27) | 37% (31) | 16% (15) | -.09 (12) | 9% (17) | 2 (67) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Defense | 3 | 53% (88) | 44% (98) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (12) | .21 (67) | 1.4 (44) | 33% (73) | 30% (75) | .27 (67) | 6% (56) | 2 (74) |
| CAL Offense | 3 | 57% (22) | 44% (68) | 24 | 36 | 266.3 | 7.4 | 11.1 | 7 (23) | 1 (23) | .18 (96) | 1.4 (97) | 28% (41) | 27% (99) | .24 (91) | 5% (71) | 2.2 (39) |
North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 3.75 #70
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 9.15 #84
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 5.40 #58
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 17% #29
North Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 5.5 - 6.5
North Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1 #72
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #69
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #73
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
North Carolina's Power Rating: 3.75 #70
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 9.15 #84
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 5.40 #58
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 17% #29
North Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 5.5 - 6.5
North Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1 #72
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #69
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #73
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 3.75 California: 11.02
SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 0.1 California: 6.8
North Carolina: 3.75 California: 11.02
SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 0.1 California: 6.8
California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 11.02 #53
California's Offense Rating: 10.28 #81
California's Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
2025 Talent Rating: 794.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
California's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
California's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #64
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
California's Power Rating: 11.02 #53
California's Offense Rating: 10.28 #81
California's Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
2025 Talent Rating: 794.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
California's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
California's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #64
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense on Road: 3
North Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense on Road: 3
North Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
California 24
North Carolina 15
Total Points: 38
California 24
North Carolina 15
Total Points: 38
California Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 10.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5
California's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 10.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5
California's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 09/01 | California | 24 | North Carolina | 17 | California | California -7 | Push | 57.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 09/02 | North Carolina | 30 | California | 35 | California | North Carolina -12.5 | California | 57.5 | Over |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| California | 2 | 1 | 1 Overs |
| North Carolina | 0 | 0 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 1 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 1 - 1 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 0 |
(#70) North Carolina Info
Power Rating: 3.75 #70
Offense Rating: 9.15 #84
Defense Rating: 5.40 #58
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1 #72
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #69
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #73
Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 17% #29
Expected Record: 5.5 - 6.5
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 38%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Awful Run Success 36%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 1.73 PPO
Great Run Def Success 32%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
North Carolina has lost 2 straight
North Carolina has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
North Carolina Notes
(8/27) QB1 - Gio Lopez has won starting job in fall
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 52% from portals
(4/17) QB Lopez (S Al) added post spring.
(4/17) NFL style not open to fans/media. We'll see
(4/17) Is Lopez QB1? Have Johnson (Inj)/Browne (PU)
(3/21) RB rebuild. Some options, SO Gause has exp
(3/21) WR/TE rebuild. Have some talented options
(3/21) OL rebuild 1/5 back. 5 portal adds.
(3/21) Def - Run Def awful LY. Have some DE's
(3/21) Nearly 1/2 roster new TY. New staff
North Carolina Highlights
North Carolina defense is really good in red zone (#10)
North Carolina has a good run defense (#20)
North Carolina Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#15)
North Carolina Defensive Line is very good (#4)
North Carolina commits very few Penalties (#25)
North Carolina defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
North Carolina Deficiencies
North Carolina offense is really bad (#105)
North Carolina run game is really bad (#116)
North Carolina offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Power Rating: 3.75 #70
Offense Rating: 9.15 #84
Defense Rating: 5.40 #58
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1 #72
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #69
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #73
Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 17% #29
Expected Record: 5.5 - 6.5
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 38%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Awful Run Success 36%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 1.73 PPO
Great Run Def Success 32%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
North Carolina has lost 2 straight
North Carolina has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
North Carolina Notes
(8/27) QB1 - Gio Lopez has won starting job in fall
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 52% from portals
(4/17) QB Lopez (S Al) added post spring.
(4/17) NFL style not open to fans/media. We'll see
(4/17) Is Lopez QB1? Have Johnson (Inj)/Browne (PU)
(3/21) RB rebuild. Some options, SO Gause has exp
(3/21) WR/TE rebuild. Have some talented options
(3/21) OL rebuild 1/5 back. 5 portal adds.
(3/21) Def - Run Def awful LY. Have some DE's
(3/21) Nearly 1/2 roster new TY. New staff
North Carolina Highlights
North Carolina defense is really good in red zone (#10)
North Carolina has a good run defense (#20)
North Carolina Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#15)
North Carolina Defensive Line is very good (#4)
North Carolina commits very few Penalties (#25)
North Carolina defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
North Carolina Deficiencies
North Carolina offense is really bad (#105)
North Carolina run game is really bad (#116)
North Carolina offense is bad on 3rd Downs
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | CAL | UNC |
| OverallOver | #33 | #42 |
| OffenseOff | #51 | #71 |
| DefenseDef | #22 | #30 |
| Special TeamsST | #36 | #72 |
| PassingPass | #11 | #62 |
| RushingRush | #84 | #100 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #55 | #46 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #39 | #10 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #72 | #71 |
| TacklingTkl | #88 | #27 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #82 | #37 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #39 | #35 |
| Coverage DefCov | #4 | #39 |
(#53) California Info
Power Rating: 11.02 #53
Offense Rating: 10.28 #81
Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #64
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35
Talent Rating: 794.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Good in Scoring Position 2.71 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
California has lost 3 straight
California has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
California Notes
(8/31) QB Sagapolutele real deal, great in opener
(8/31) Def much improved? Great Run Def vs Oreg St
(8/18) QB1 Fr. Sagapolutele beat out Brown (OSU)
(6/4) RBs High (UTSA), Johnson (SMU), Raphel (NC St)
(6/4) OL bad LY. 2/5 back + 6 exp'd portal adds
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 64% from portals
(4/18) Losses 4/5 QB, 11/19 WR, 10/13 RB, 4/5 OL
(4/17) RB room decimated. 5 entered portal post spring
(4/17) TE Endries gone via portal post spring, big loss
(4/17) New OC Harsin a bad start, lead to portal mess
California Highlights
California in Undefeated
California is Undefeated at Home
California is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
California defense does not give up big plays (#23)
California Secondary is very good (#17)
California has a great TO Margin (#28)
California defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
California Deficiencies
California Can Not Run the Ball (#102)
Power Rating: 11.02 #53
Offense Rating: 10.28 #81
Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #64
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35
Talent Rating: 794.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Good in Scoring Position 2.71 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
California has lost 3 straight
California has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
California Notes
(8/31) QB Sagapolutele real deal, great in opener
(8/31) Def much improved? Great Run Def vs Oreg St
(8/18) QB1 Fr. Sagapolutele beat out Brown (OSU)
(6/4) RBs High (UTSA), Johnson (SMU), Raphel (NC St)
(6/4) OL bad LY. 2/5 back + 6 exp'd portal adds
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 64% from portals
(4/18) Losses 4/5 QB, 11/19 WR, 10/13 RB, 4/5 OL
(4/17) RB room decimated. 5 entered portal post spring
(4/17) TE Endries gone via portal post spring, big loss
(4/17) New OC Harsin a bad start, lead to portal mess
California Highlights
California in Undefeated
California is Undefeated at Home
California is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
California defense does not give up big plays (#23)
California Secondary is very good (#17)
California has a great TO Margin (#28)
California defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
California Deficiencies
California Can Not Run the Ball (#102)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giovanni Lopez | 31 | 53 | 59% | 343 | 3 | 1 | 6.5 |
| Max Johnson | 9 | 11 | 82% | 103 | 1 | 0 | 9.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demon June | 23 | 200 | 1 | 8.7 | 50 |
| Giovanni Lopez | 27 | 74 | 1 | 2.7 | 12 |
| Caleb Hood | 15 | 46 | 1 | 3.1 | 9 |
| Davion Gause | 15 | 43 | 1 | 2.9 | 12 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Shipp | 10 | 149 | 2 | 14.9 | 39 |
| Chris Culliver | 4 | 89 | 1 | 22.3 | 51 |
| Javarius Green | 6 | 88 | 0 | 14.7 | 39 |
| Jake Johnson | 4 | 32 | 1 | 8.0 | 11 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Simpson (Tr) | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Khmori House (Tr) | 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Mikai Gbayor (Tr) | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kaleb Cost | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melkart Abou-Jaoude (Tr) | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Andrew Simpson (Tr) | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mikai Gbayor (Tr) | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Joseph Mupoyi (Tr) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thaddeus Dixon (Tr) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Marcus Allen | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jaiden Patterson | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (Tr) | 70 | 105 | 67% | 772 | 6 | 1 | 7.4 |
| Devin Brown (Tr) | 2 | 2 | 100% | 27 | 1 | 0 | 13.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick Raphael (Tr) | 40 | 210 | 1 | 5.3 | 33 |
| Brandon High | 18 | 80 | 1 | 4.4 | 22 |
| LJ Johnson Jr. (Tr) | 11 | 38 | 1 | 3.5 | 12 |
| Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (Tr) | 12 | 22 | 1 | 1.8 | 25 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trond Grizzell | 11 | 175 | 1 | 15.9 | 35 |
| Jacob De Jesus (Tr) | 16 | 141 | 1 | 8.8 | 27 |
| Mark Hamper (Tr) | 9 | 139 | 0 | 15.4 | 35 |
| Mason Mini (Tr) | 13 | 99 | 2 | 7.6 | 19 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ferrelli | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cade Uluave | 24 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Isaiah Crosby | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Hezekiah Masses (Tr) | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Bush (Tr) | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Ryan McCulloch | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Aaron Hampton | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayden Wayne (Tr) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hezekiah Masses (Tr) | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Brent Austin (Tr) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Isaiah Crosby | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |