Wake Forest Demon Deacons at North Carolina Tar Heels
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (8:00 PM EST)
North Carolina -10.5 (64.5) (-410) Open: -10.0
North Carolina 31 - Wake Forest: 24 (ACC)
Demon Deacons (4 - 8) (4 - 6 - 1)
Coach Dave Clawson (63 - 61)
Avg Score : 26 - 33 (24 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Coach Dave Clawson (63 - 61)
Avg Score : 26 - 33 (24 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
UNC coming off BYE
Our Line: North Carolina -12.5 (SP+ UNC -11)
Projected Score: WAKE: 25 - UNC: 37 (62)
UNC Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
WAKE Travel: 69 miles
Our Line: North Carolina -12.5 (SP+ UNC -11)
Projected Score: WAKE: 25 - UNC: 37 (62)
UNC Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
WAKE Travel: 69 miles
Tar Heels (6 - 7) (2 - 10 - 1)
Coach Mack Brown (38 - 27)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (36 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Coach Mack Brown (38 - 27)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (36 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
| Wake Forest's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | Wake Forest vs North Carolina A&T | -20.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Wake Forest vs Virginia | +1.5 | 55.5 | L 30 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Wake Forest vs Ole Miss | +20.5 | 65.5 | L 6 - 40 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/28 | Wake Forest vs Louisiana | -3.0 | 59.5 | L 38 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Wake Forest at NC State | +4.0 | 52.5 | W 34 - 30 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Wake Forest vs Clemson | +21.0 | 63.0 | L 14 - 49 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Wake Forest at UConn | -2.5 | 55.5 | W 23 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Wake Forest at Stanford | -3.0 | 53.0 | W 27 - 24 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 11/8 | Wake Forest vs California | +7.5 | 54.5 | L 36 - 46 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Wake Forest at North Carolina | +10.5 | 64.5 | L 24 - 31 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Wake Forest at Miami | +23.5 | 67.0 | L 14 - 42 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Wake Forest vs Duke | +3.5 | 53.5 | L 17 - 23 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| North Carolina's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | North Carolina at Minnesota | -2.0 | 52.5 | W 19 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | North Carolina vs Charlotte | -21.5 | 47.5 | W 38 - 20 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | North Carolina vs North Carolina Central | -37.5 | 57.5 | W 45 - 10 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | North Carolina vs James Madison | -10.0 | 48.0 | L 50 - 70 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | North Carolina at Duke | -1.0 | 55.5 | L 20 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | North Carolina vs Pittsburgh | +2.5 | 63.0 | L 24 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | North Carolina vs Georgia Tech | +3.5 | 60.5 | L 34 - 41 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/26 | North Carolina at Virginia | +3.5 | 58.5 | W 41 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | North Carolina at Florida State | -2.5 | 50.5 | W 35 - 11 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | North Carolina vs Wake Forest | -10.5 | 64.5 | W 31 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | North Carolina at Boston College | -2.0 | 50.5 | L 21 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | North Carolina vs NC State | -2.5 | 54.5 | L 30 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 12/28 | North Carolina vs UConn | -2.0 | 53.5 | L 14 - 27 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 7, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 4, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 4, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAKE | #104 (.13) | 42% (81) | 25.7 | 43% (79) | 3 (79) | 131 | 41% (75) | 240 | 3.2 (121) | #118 (.27) | 51% (134) | 32.5 | 48% (110) | 53% (133) | 4.12 (99) | 45.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| UNC | #65 (.2) | 42% (80) | 30.9 | 47% (34) | 3.32 (22) | 175 | 37% (114) | 216 | 4.08 (52) | #70 (.17) | 41% (53) | 28.1 | 44% (82) | 37% (26) | 4.01 (90) | 59.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAKE | #104 (.13) | 42% (81) | 43% (79) | 3 (79) | 131 | 41% (75) | 240 | 3.2 (121) | #118 (.27) | 51% (134) | 48% (110) | 53% (133) | 4.12 (99) | 45.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 | ||
| UNC | #65 (.2) | 42% (80) | 47% (34) | 3.32 (22) | 175 | 37% (114) | 216 | 4.08 (52) | #70 (.17) | 41% (53) | 44% (82) | 37% (26) | 4.01 (90) | 59.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAKE Offense | 12 | 25.7 | 24.4 | 41.9% | 3.2 | 1.8 | 22 | 372 | 131 | 240 | 3.6 | 48% | 52% | 43% | 41% | 16% | .13 |
| UNC Defense | 13 | 28.1 | 33.4 | 40.5% | 4.01 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 53% | 46% | 44% | 37% | 15% | .17 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAKE Defense | 12 | 32.5 | 29.4 | 50.7% | 4.12 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 44% | 56% | 48% | 53% | 12% | .27 |
| UNC Offense | 13 | 30.9 | 36 | 42% | 4.08 | 1.2 | 20 | 391 | 175 | 216 | 4.9 | 52% | 47% | 47% | 37% | 15% | .2 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest | 12 | 28:51 | 21.8 | 39% | 64% | 5.1 | 45.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 29 |
| North Carolina | 13 | 27:42 | 20.2 | 40% | 50% | 6.8 | 59.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5.2 | 2.8 | 6 | 29.1 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAKE Offense | 12 | 48% (86) | 43% (79) | 36.4 | 131.4 | 3.6 | 18 (78) | .05 (106) | 3 (79) | 81% (18) | 10% (70) | 0.92 (88) |
| UNC Defense | 13 | 53% (92) | 44% (82) | - | - | - | - | .16 (88) | 3.39 (121) | 86% (130) | 9% (83) | 0.89 (29) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAKE Defense | 12 | 44% (6) | 48% (110) | - | - | - | - | .18 (101) | 3.13 (88) | 80% (112) | 8% (110) | 0.96 (58) |
| UNC Offense | 13 | 52% (53) | 47% (34) | 35.9 | 175.2 | 4.9 | 26 (36) | .26 (14) | 3.32 (22) | 70% (89) | 9% (54) | 1.06 (36) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAKE Offense | 12 | 52% (50) | 41% (75) | 20.7 | 33.6 | 240.1 | 7.2 | 11.6 | 17 (79) | 13 (103) | .23 (83) | 1.5 (115) | 31% (63) | 28% (102) | .15 (125) | 7% (93) | 1.9 (103) |
| UNC Defense | 13 | 46% (38) | 37% (26) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (76) | .22 (64) | 1.8 (125) | 32% (66) | 26% (12) | .23 (35) | 5% (103) | 2.2 (99) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAKE Defense | 12 | 56% (129) | 53% (133) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 (52) | .36 (116) | 1.3 (2) | 26% (130) | 40% (132) | .41 (106) | 4% (131) | 1.8 (18) |
| UNC Offense | 13 | 47% (82) | 37% (114) | 16.8 | 29 | 215.9 | 7.5 | 12.8 | 17 (79) | 8 (40) | .17 (101) | 1.7 (29) | 32% (74) | 29% (94) | .32 (78) | 6% (60) | 2.1 (33) |
Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: -10.36 #102
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 16.79 #98
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Wake Forest's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Wake Forest's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #77
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #103
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Wake Forest's Power Rating: -10.36 #102
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 16.79 #98
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Wake Forest's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Wake Forest's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #77
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #103
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: -10.36 North Carolina: 4.235
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: -5.7 North Carolina: 5.0
Wake Forest: -10.36 North Carolina: 4.235
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: -5.7 North Carolina: 5.0
North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 4.235 #68
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 17.90 #86
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 10.65 #77
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 26 #22
North Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
North Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
North Carolina's Power Rating: 4.235 #68
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 17.90 #86
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 10.65 #77
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 26 #22
North Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
North Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 25.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.4
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.4
Wake Forest's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Offense: 25.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.4
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.4
Wake Forest's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 37
Wake Forest 25
Total Points: 62
North Carolina 37
Wake Forest 25
Total Points: 62
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4
North Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 7 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 8 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4
North Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 7 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 8 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/16 | North Carolina | 31 | Wake Forest | 24 | North Carolina | North Carolina -10.5 | Wake Forest | 64.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/12 | Wake Forest | 34 | North Carolina | 36 | North Carolina | Wake Forest -4.5 | North Carolina | 79.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/06 | North Carolina | 58 | Wake Forest | 55 | North Carolina | North Carolina -2.5 | North Carolina | 78.0 | Over |
| 2020 | 11/14 | North Carolina | 59 | Wake Forest | 53 | North Carolina | North Carolina -13 | Wake Forest | 70.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 09/13 | Wake Forest | 24 | North Carolina | 18 | Wake Forest | Wake Forest -3 | Wake Forest | 65.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 10/17 | North Carolina | 50 | Wake Forest | 14 | North Carolina | North Carolina -14 | North Carolina | 53.5 | Over |
| 2012 | 09/08 | Wake Forest | 28 | North Carolina | 27 | Wake Forest | ||||
| 2011 | 10/29 | North Carolina | 49 | Wake Forest | 24 | North Carolina | ||||
| 2007 | 10/27 | Wake Forest | 37 | North Carolina | 10 | Wake Forest | ||||
| 2006 | 10/28 | North Carolina | 17 | Wake Forest | 24 | Wake Forest | ||||
| 2004 | 11/13 | Wake Forest | 24 | North Carolina | 31 | North Carolina | ||||
| 2003 | 11/08 | North Carolina | 42 | Wake Forest | 34 | North Carolina | ||||
| 2002 | 10/26 | Wake Forest | 31 | North Carolina | 0 | Wake Forest | ||||
| 2001 | 11/10 | North Carolina | 31 | Wake Forest | 32 | Wake Forest | ||||
| 2000 | 09/08 | Wake Forest | 14 | North Carolina | 35 | North Carolina |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | 9 | 3 | 3 Overs |
| Wake Forest | 6 | 3 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 10 - 5 | 3 - 3 | 3 - 3 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 5 - 10 | 3 - 3 | 0 - 0 | 3 - 3 |
(#102) Wake Forest Info
Power Rating: -10.36 #102
Offense Rating: 16.79 #98
Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #103
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.2 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 51%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.12 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 53%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Wake Forest has lost 1 straight
Wake Forest has won 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 2 (3 - 1 - 1 vs Spread )
Wake Forest Notes
(12/16) HC Clawson stepping down after 11 years
(11/25) Off abysmal vs Miami. Def all 40+ pts per in Nov
(11/18) Run D torched by NC. 2 QBs meh, Rgame bad
(11/13) Def (pass) torched by Cal, Rgame is awful, QB OK
(10/12) Have no answers other than pray for TOs
(10/6) Def #'s are near worst in CFB. Big W @ NC St
(9/28) Even game w/ Louisiana, Bach good, Rgame good
(9/8) Bach 403 yds but bad L (UVA), Pass D awful.
(8/19) New QB Bachmeier, WR ? w/ leader gone (Neb)
(8/19) 3 OL return off great unit LY, RB mid at best
Wake Forest Highlights
Wake Forest defense does not give up big plays (#85)
Wake Forest commits very few Penalties (#85)
Wake Forest Deficiencies
Wake Forest has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Wake Forest throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
Wake Forest offense is not Explosive (#9)
Wake Forest offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#116)
Wake Forest Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Wake Forest has a bad defense (#20)
Power Rating: -10.36 #102
Offense Rating: 16.79 #98
Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #103
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.2 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 51%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.12 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 53%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Wake Forest has lost 1 straight
Wake Forest has won 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 2 (3 - 1 - 1 vs Spread )
Wake Forest Notes
(12/16) HC Clawson stepping down after 11 years
(11/25) Off abysmal vs Miami. Def all 40+ pts per in Nov
(11/18) Run D torched by NC. 2 QBs meh, Rgame bad
(11/13) Def (pass) torched by Cal, Rgame is awful, QB OK
(10/12) Have no answers other than pray for TOs
(10/6) Def #'s are near worst in CFB. Big W @ NC St
(9/28) Even game w/ Louisiana, Bach good, Rgame good
(9/8) Bach 403 yds but bad L (UVA), Pass D awful.
(8/19) New QB Bachmeier, WR ? w/ leader gone (Neb)
(8/19) 3 OL return off great unit LY, RB mid at best
Wake Forest Highlights
Wake Forest defense does not give up big plays (#85)
Wake Forest commits very few Penalties (#85)
Wake Forest Deficiencies
Wake Forest has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Wake Forest throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
Wake Forest offense is not Explosive (#9)
Wake Forest offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#116)
Wake Forest Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Wake Forest has a bad defense (#20)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UNC | WAKE |
| OverallOver | #51 | #45 |
| OffenseOff | #56 | #56 |
| DefenseDef | #77 | #49 |
| Special TeamsST | #9 | #45 |
| PassingPass | #82 | #46 |
| RushingRush | #13 | #88 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #29 | #19 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #47 | #37 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #67 | #51 |
| TacklingTkl | #36 | #22 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #65 | #43 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #56 | #94 |
| Coverage DefCov | #83 | #44 |
Rematch from Week 12
North Carolina -10.5 (64.5)
North Carolina won vs Wake Forest this year (31-24)
Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Wake Forest last year (31-24)
North Carolina beat Wake Forest in 2022 (36-34)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: WAKE | UNC
Depth Chart: WAKE | UNC
Rosters: WAKE | UNC
(#68) North Carolina Info
Power Rating: 4.235 #68
Offense Rating: 17.90 #86
Defense Rating: 10.65 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 26 #22
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.08 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.01 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
North Carolina has won 2 straight
North Carolina has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 4 (0 - 7 - 0 vs Spread)
North Carolina Notes
(11/26) Mack Brown fired at the end of 2024 season
(11/25) Rgame sucks, Criswell 3 INTs, Run Def awful vs BC
(11/18) 3 str W's vs bad teams. Rgame/Hampton great
(10/13) Run Def mauled by GT (371, 7.7 ypc). Gag again
(9/28) Blew 20-0 lead vs Duke. Even game, 10 flags hurt
(9/22) Def all. 600+ yds & 70 pts in JMU loss at home
(9/18) QB Jacolby Criswell looks like starter now
(9/1) RB Hampton great, played B1G ball @ Minn, QB real ?
(8/29) QB Johnson looks out for season (Minn game)
(8/5) Teams are crootin NC commits, Brown done TY?
North Carolina Highlights
North Carolina has a top Offensive Line (#94)
North Carolina does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#83)
North Carolina Defense Sacks the QB a lot
North Carolina has a good pass defense (#98)
North Carolina Deficiencies
North Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#25)
North Carolina pass game is really bad (#86)
North Carolina Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
North Carolina Does Not Stuff Runs (#15)
North Carolina has a bad defensive line (#4)
Power Rating: 4.235 #68
Offense Rating: 17.90 #86
Defense Rating: 10.65 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 26 #22
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.08 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.01 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
North Carolina has won 2 straight
North Carolina has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 4 (0 - 7 - 0 vs Spread)
North Carolina Notes
(11/26) Mack Brown fired at the end of 2024 season
(11/25) Rgame sucks, Criswell 3 INTs, Run Def awful vs BC
(11/18) 3 str W's vs bad teams. Rgame/Hampton great
(10/13) Run Def mauled by GT (371, 7.7 ypc). Gag again
(9/28) Blew 20-0 lead vs Duke. Even game, 10 flags hurt
(9/22) Def all. 600+ yds & 70 pts in JMU loss at home
(9/18) QB Jacolby Criswell looks like starter now
(9/1) RB Hampton great, played B1G ball @ Minn, QB real ?
(8/29) QB Johnson looks out for season (Minn game)
(8/5) Teams are crootin NC commits, Brown done TY?
North Carolina Highlights
North Carolina has a top Offensive Line (#94)
North Carolina does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#83)
North Carolina Defense Sacks the QB a lot
North Carolina has a good pass defense (#98)
North Carolina Deficiencies
North Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#25)
North Carolina pass game is really bad (#86)
North Carolina Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
North Carolina Does Not Stuff Runs (#15)
North Carolina has a bad defensive line (#4)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Bachmeier (Tr) | 224 | 357 | 63% | 2593 | 16 | 10 | 7.3 |
| Michael Kern | 24 | 45 | 53% | 288 | 1 | 3 | 6.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demond Claiborne | 228 | 1048 | 11 | 4.6 | 60 |
| Tate Carney | 82 | 335 | 6 | 4.1 | 18 |
| Hank Bachmeier (Tr) | 96 | 141 | 1 | 1.5 | 20 |
| Ty Clark III | 13 | 57 | 0 | 4.4 | 14 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Morin | 64 | 756 | 2 | 11.8 | 51 |
| Horatio Fields | 39 | 463 | 4 | 11.9 | 42 |
| Deuce Alexander | 36 | 400 | 2 | 11.1 | 38 |
| Donavon Greene | 23 | 380 | 3 | 16.5 | 45 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Andersen | 122 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Branson Combs (Tr) | 83 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Dylan Hazen | 78 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Davaughn Patterson | 74 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasheen Davis | 31 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| Kevin Pointer | 33 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| Bryce Ganious | 26 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| Branson Combs (Tr) | 83 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C'Darius Kelley | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Jamare Glasker | 37 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Davaughn Patterson | 74 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacolby Criswell (Tr) | 186 | 320 | 58% | 2459 | 15 | 6 | 7.7 |
| Conner Harrell | 21 | 37 | 57% | 282 | 2 | 1 | 7.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omarion Hampton | 281 | 1660 | 15 | 5.9 | 75 |
| Davion Gause | 67 | 326 | 4 | 4.9 | 21 |
| Jacolby Criswell (Tr) | 71 | 103 | 3 | 1.5 | 20 |
| Charleston French | 10 | 84 | 1 | 8.4 | 45 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Jones | 36 | 582 | 6 | 16.2 | 53 |
| John Copenhaver | 40 | 414 | 4 | 10.4 | 35 |
| Omarion Hampton | 38 | 373 | 2 | 9.8 | 49 |
| Kobe Paysour | 21 | 365 | 0 | 17.4 | 36 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antavious Lane | 74 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Power Echols | 73 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| Amare Campbell | 69 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| Jakeen Harris (Tr) | 67 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beau Atkinson | 35 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| Kaimon Rucker | 30 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| Amare Campbell | 69 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| Desmond Evans | 34 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alijah Huzzie | 36 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| Power Echols | 73 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| Jakeen Harris (Tr) | 67 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |