Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (3:30 PM EST)
Duke -6.5 (50.5) (-260) Open: -1.5 | 51.5
Duke 32 - North Carolina: 25 (ACC)
Duke -6.5 (50.5) (-260) Open: -1.5 | 51.5
Duke 32 - North Carolina: 25 (ACC)
Blue Devils (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (37 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Coach Manny Diaz (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (37 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
UNC is playing their 6th straight game
DUKE is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Duke -9.5 (SP+ DUKE -13)
Projected Score: DUKE: 31 - UNC: 22 (53)
DUKE Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
DUKE Travel: 9 miles
DUKE is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Duke -9.5 (SP+ DUKE -13)
Projected Score: DUKE: 31 - UNC: 22 (53)
DUKE Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
DUKE Travel: 9 miles
Tar Heels (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Bill Belichick (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (21 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Coach Bill Belichick (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (21 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
| Duke's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | Duke vs Elon | -36.5 | 51.5 | W 45 - 17 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Duke vs Illinois | +2.5 | 49.0 | L 19 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Duke at Tulane | +1.5 | 52.5 | L 27 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Duke vs NC State | -3.0 | 57.5 | W 45 - 33 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/27 | Duke at Syracuse | -4.0 | 59.5 | W 38 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/4 | Duke at California | -3.5 | 54.5 | W 45 - 21 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Duke vs Georgia Tech | -3.5 | 60.5 | L 18 - 27 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Duke at Clemson | +4.5 | 55.5 | W 46 - 45 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/8 | Duke at UConn | -7.5 | 63.5 | L 34 - 37 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/15 | Duke vs Virginia | -5.5 | 59.5 | L 17 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/22 | Duke at North Carolina | -6.5 | 50.5 | W 32 - 25 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/29 | Duke vs Wake Forest | -2.5 | 54.0 | W 49 - 32 | O | Y | |
| Sat 12/6 | Duke vs Virginia | +3.5 | 58.5 | W 27 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Wed 12/31 | Duke vs Arizona State | -4.0 | 49.5 | W 42 - 39 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| North Carolina's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Mon 9/1 | North Carolina vs TCU | +3.0 | 59.5 | L 14 - 48 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | North Carolina at Charlotte | -16.5 | 49.5 | W 20 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | North Carolina vs Richmond | -24.5 | 47.5 | W 41 - 6 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | North Carolina at UCF | +7.0 | 46.5 | L 9 - 34 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | North Carolina vs Clemson | +15.5 | 47.5 | L 10 - 38 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/17 | North Carolina at California | +7.5 | 45.5 | L 18 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/25 | North Carolina vs Virginia | +12.5 | 51.5 | L 16 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Fri 10/31 | North Carolina at Syracuse | +1.5 | 45.5 | W 27 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/8 | North Carolina vs Stanford | -8.5 | 41.5 | W 20 - 15 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/15 | North Carolina at Wake Forest | +3.5 | 37.5 | L 12 - 28 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/22 | North Carolina vs Duke | +6.5 | 50.5 | L 25 - 32 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/29 | North Carolina at NC State | +7.0 | 48.5 | L 19 - 42 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
Overall Stats 2024
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE | #109 (.12) | 39% (116) | 34.6 | 35% (129) | 2.47 (131) | 89 | 42% (69) | 226 | 3.7 (90) | #10 (.06) | 38% (16) | 29.4 | 41% (51) | 34% (5) | 3.19 (17) | 48.9 | 1.4 | 2 |
| UNC | #65 (.2) | 42% (80) | 19.3 | 47% (34) | 3.32 (22) | 175 | 37% (114) | 216 | 4.08 (52) | #70 (.17) | 41% (53) | 24.5 | 44% (82) | 37% (26) | 4.01 (90) | 59.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| UNC | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Offense | 13 | 34.6 | 37 | 38.6% | 3.7 | 1.4 | 16 | 315 | 89 | 226 | 3.3 | 44% | 56% | 35% | 42% | 19% | .12 |
| UNC Defense | 13 | 24.5 | 26 | 40.5% | 4.01 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 53% | 46% | 44% | 37% | 15% | .17 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Defense | 13 | 29.4 | 27.5 | 37.6% | 3.19 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 48% | 41% | 34% | 23% | .06 |
| UNC Offense | 13 | 19.3 | 21 | 42% | 4.08 | 1.2 | 20 | 391 | 175 | 216 | 4.9 | 52% | 47% | 47% | 37% | 15% | .2 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | 13 | 25:05 | 16.3 | 29% | 38% | 5.1 | 48.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 8.5 | 3.2 | 1 | 31.2 |
| North Carolina | 13 | 27:42 | 20.2 | 40% | 50% | 6.8 | 59.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5.2 | 2.8 | 6 | 29.1 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Offense | 13 | 44% (110) | 35% (129) | 27.5 | 89.2 | 3.3 | 13 (105) | -.07 (133) | 2.47 (131) | 78% (32) | 10% (78) | 0.74 (131) |
| UNC Defense | 13 | 53% (92) | 44% (82) | - | - | - | - | .16 (88) | 3.39 (121) | 86% (130) | 9% (83) | 0.89 (29) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Defense | 13 | 52% (81) | 41% (51) | - | - | - | - | .06 (35) | 2.74 (28) | 59% (6) | 15% (2) | 0.91 (38) |
| UNC Offense | 13 | 52% (53) | 47% (34) | 35.9 | 175.2 | 4.9 | 26 (36) | .26 (14) | 3.32 (22) | 70% (89) | 9% (54) | 1.06 (36) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Offense | 13 | 56% (24) | 42% (69) | 19.6 | 32.5 | 226.1 | 7 | 11.5 | 26 (26) | 12 (85) | .28 (55) | 1.6 (56) | 32% (73) | 29% (98) | .3 (82) | 9% (129) | 2 (78) |
| UNC Defense | 13 | 46% (38) | 37% (26) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (76) | .22 (64) | 1.8 (125) | 32% (66) | 26% (12) | .23 (35) | 5% (103) | 2.2 (99) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Defense | 13 | 48% (53) | 34% (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (39) | .06 (7) | 1.5 (39) | 34% (35) | 29% (41) | .27 (53) | 7% (28) | 2.1 (69) |
| UNC Offense | 13 | 47% (82) | 37% (114) | 16.8 | 29 | 215.9 | 7.5 | 12.8 | 17 (79) | 8 (40) | .17 (101) | 1.7 (29) | 32% (74) | 29% (94) | .32 (78) | 6% (60) | 2.1 (33) |
Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 9.18 #42
Duke's Offense Rating: 21.58 #23
Duke's Defense Rating: 12.40 #58
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #54
Duke's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 5.5
Duke's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.6 #44
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #19
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #86
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Duke's Power Rating: 9.18 #42
Duke's Offense Rating: 21.58 #23
Duke's Defense Rating: 12.40 #58
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #54
Duke's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 5.5
Duke's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.6 #44
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #19
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #86
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
Duke: 9.18 North Carolina: -1.6
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 6.6 North Carolina: -6.6
Duke: 9.18 North Carolina: -1.6
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 6.6 North Carolina: -6.6
North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: -1.6 #72
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 11.32 #78
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 12.92 #62
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 17 #29
North Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
North Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #91
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #123
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #58
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
North Carolina's Power Rating: -1.6 #72
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 11.32 #78
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 12.92 #62
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 17 #29
North Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
North Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #91
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #123
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #58
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Duke Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.5
Duke's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.5
Duke's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 31
North Carolina 22
Projected Total Points: 53
Duke 31
North Carolina 22
Projected Total Points: 53
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 26
North Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 26
North Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11/22 | North Carolina | 25 | Duke | 32 | Duke -6.5 | Duke | 50.5 | Over |
| 2024 | 09/28 | Duke | 21 | North Carolina | 20 | North Carolina -1 | Duke | 55.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/11 | North Carolina | 47 | Duke | 45 | North Carolina -9.5 | Duke | 52.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/15 | Duke | 35 | North Carolina | 38 | North Carolina -7 | Duke | 70.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/02 | North Carolina | 38 | Duke | 7 | North Carolina -19.5 | North Carolina | 74.0 | Under |
| 2020 | 11/07 | Duke | 24 | North Carolina | 56 | North Carolina -11.5 | North Carolina | 63.0 | Over |
| 2019 | 10/26 | North Carolina | 20 | Duke | 17 | North Carolina -2.5 | North Carolina | 52.5 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/10 | Duke | 42 | North Carolina | 35 | Duke -7.5 | North Carolina | 58.5 | Over |
| 2017 | 09/23 | North Carolina | 17 | Duke | 27 | North Carolina -1.5 | Duke | 61.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/10 | Duke | 28 | North Carolina | 27 | North Carolina -10.5 | Duke | 66.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/07 | North Carolina | 66 | Duke | 31 | North Carolina -8 | North Carolina | 59.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/20 | Duke | 20 | North Carolina | 45 | Duke -6 | North Carolina | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/30 | North Carolina | 25 | Duke | 27 | North Carolina -5.5 | Duke | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/20 | Duke | 33 | North Carolina | 30 | ||||
| 2011 | 11/26 | North Carolina | 37 | Duke | 21 | ||||
| 2010 | 11/27 | Duke | 19 | North Carolina | 24 | ||||
| 2009 | 11/07 | North Carolina | 19 | Duke | 6 | ||||
| 2008 | 11/29 | Duke | 20 | North Carolina | 28 | ||||
| 2007 | 11/24 | North Carolina | 20 | Duke | 14 | ||||
| 2006 | 11/25 | Duke | 44 | North Carolina | 45 | ||||
| 2005 | 11/19 | North Carolina | 24 | Duke | 21 | ||||
| 2004 | 11/20 | Duke | 17 | North Carolina | 40 | ||||
| 2003 | 11/22 | North Carolina | 22 | Duke | 30 | ||||
| 2001 | 11/17 | North Carolina | 52 | Duke | 17 | ||||
| 2000 | 11/17 | Duke | 21 | North Carolina | 59 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | 17 | 6 | 6 Overs |
| Duke | 8 | 7 | 5 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 13 - 12 | 6 - 7 | 3 - 5 | 3 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 12 - 13 | 7 - 6 | 2 - 3 | 5 - 3 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | DUKE | UNC |
| Net PPPPPP | NR | NR |
| Power RatePwr | #42 | #72 |
| SP+SP+ | #44 | #91 |
| Perf GradeGrade | #37 | #83 |
| OffenseOff | #16 | #99 |
| DefenseDef | #99 | #52 |
| Spec TeamsST | #40 | #70 |
| TalentTal | #48 | #17 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | #54 | #29 |
(11/2) Wild W over Clemson, 6.1% post game win exp!
(10/18) Mistakes killing Duke, Outplayed GT but Run Off bad
(9/20) Great W vs NC St, Mensah better, Def got 4 TOs
(8/16) QB Mensah feels slept on, kid is really dynamic
(7/27) S T Moore & C Weaver the top duo in ACC
(6/6) Secondary a top ACC unit, should be strength
(5/23) Duke was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/2) CB Chandler Rivers/ S Terry Moore top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OT Brian Parker II a top OT via PFF
(3/22) QB Mensah a big portal+ from Tulane
(3/21) RB #1 left (Tenn). Some depth, Castle (App St)
(10/25) Playing much better & still finding ways to lose
(10/21) OT W Boone no longer w/ team, started 1st 3 games
(10/8) Sounds like this Belichick experiment is ending fast
(9/20) Team is a complete joke, fitting for Carolina
(9/1) Worse than even I thought, Def bad G5 level
(8/27) QB1 - Gio Lopez has won starting job in fall
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 52% from portals
(4/17) QB Lopez (S Al) added post spring.
(4/17) NFL style not open to fans/media. We'll see
(4/17) Is Lopez QB1? Have Johnson (Inj)/Browne (PU)
(3/21) RB rebuild. Some options, SO Gause has exp
| Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45% | ||
|---|---|---|
| DUKE Off | UNC Def | |
| PPPOffPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | #16 | #52 |
| SuccessSuc | #116 | #53 |
| ExplosiveExp | #84 | #66 |
| PPAPPA | #109 | #70 |
| PowerPwr | #23 | #62 |
| SP+SP+ | #19 | #58 |
| Pts POPPO | #90 | #90 |
| HavocHav | #115 | #90 |
| Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45% | ||
|---|---|---|
| DUKE Off | UNC Def | |
| Run GameRun | #36 | #53 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #129 | #82 |
| Run ExplRExp | #131 | #29 |
| PPAExp | #133 | #88 | Run BlockR Blk | #36 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #131 | #121 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #130 | #126 |
| TackleTak | - | #71 |
| Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45% | ||
|---|---|---|
| DUKE Off | UNC Def | |
| Pass GamePass | #13 | #75 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #69 | #26 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #56 | #125 |
| PPAExp | #55 | #64 |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | #24 | #39 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #78 | #83 |
| DB HavocDB | #129 | #103 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UNC Off | DUKE Def |
| PPPDefPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | #99 | #99 |
| SuccessSuc | #80 | #16 |
| ExplosiveExp | #39 | #22 |
| PPAPPA | #65 | #10 |
| PowerPwr | #78 | #58 |
| SP+SP+ | #123 | #86 |
| Pts POPPO | #52 | #17 |
| HavocHav | #49 | #2 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UNC Off | DUKE Def | |
| Run GameRun | #108 | #62 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #34 | #51 |
| Run ExplRExp | #36 | #38 |
| PPAExp | #14 | #35 | Run BlockR Blk | #77 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #22 | #28 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #19 | #16 |
| TackleTak | - | #89 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UNC Off | DUKE Def |
| Pass GamePass | #91 | #105 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #114 | #5 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #29 | #39 |
| PPAExp | #101 | #7 |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | #49 | #68 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #54 | #2 |
| DB HavocDB | #60 | #28 |
Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4
UNC 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4
Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Duke 6.5 (50.5)
Duke won at North Carolina this year (32-25)
Previous Matchups
Duke beat North Carolina last year (32-25)
Duke beat North Carolina in 2024 (21-20)
North Carolina beat Duke in 2023 (47-45)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darian Mensah (Tr) | 334 | 500 | 67% | 3973 | 34 | 6 | 7.9 |
| Henry Belin IV | 2 | 5 | 40% | 22 | 0 | 0 | 4.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Sheppard | 200 | 1132 | 11 | 5.7 | 60 |
| Anderson Castle (Tr) | 115 | 488 | 12 | 4.2 | 66 |
| Jaquez Moore | 41 | 201 | 1 | 4.9 | 32 |
| Travis Bates | 9 | 57 | 0 | 6.3 | 39 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Barkate (Tr) | 72 | 1106 | 7 | 15.4 | 77 |
| Que'Sean Brown | 63 | 842 | 5 | 13.4 | 69 |
| Sahmir Hagans | 44 | 512 | 6 | 11.6 | 35 |
| Jeremiah Hasley | 40 | 454 | 6 | 11.4 | 56 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Mergott | 91 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 3 |
| Caleb Weaver (Tr) | 89 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| DaShawn Stone | 86 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Jaiden Francois (Tr) | 73 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Anthony | 34 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| Josiah Green (Tr) | 38 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Aaron Hall | 44 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Wesley Williams | 43 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Rivers | 59 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| Luke Mergott | 91 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 3 |
| DaShawn Stone | 86 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giovanni Lopez | 170 | 261 | 65% | 1747 | 10 | 5 | 6.7 |
| Max Johnson | 54 | 87 | 62% | 437 | 2 | 0 | 5.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demon June | 84 | 464 | 2 | 5.5 | 50 |
| Benjamin Hall (Tr) | 71 | 274 | 2 | 3.9 | 18 |
| Davion Gause | 61 | 258 | 3 | 4.2 | 25 |
| Giovanni Lopez | 86 | 133 | 3 | 1.5 | 17 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Shipp | 60 | 671 | 6 | 11.2 | 55 |
| Kobe Paysour | 35 | 438 | 1 | 12.5 | 44 |
| Demon June | 17 | 159 | 1 | 9.4 | 72 |
| Javarius Green | 13 | 150 | 0 | 11.5 | 39 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khmori House (Tr) | 73 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| Andrew Simpson (Tr) | 59 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 1 |
| Will Hardy | 51 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Melkart Abou-Jaoude (Tr) | 47 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melkart Abou-Jaoude (Tr) | 47 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| Tyler Thompson | 26 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| Andrew Simpson (Tr) | 59 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 1 |
| C.J. Mims (Tr) | 41 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Allen | 35 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| Thaddeus Dixon (Tr) | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Jaiden Patterson | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |