North Carolina at Syracuse - 2025 Matchup Preview
North Carolina logo North Carolina Tar Heels at Syracuse OrangeSyracuse logo
Friday, October 31st 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Carrier Dome - Syracuse, NY  (ACC)

 
Tar Heels (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bill Belichick (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (27 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#68)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 5)
Our Line: Syracuse -6   (SP+ UNC -0.5)
Projected Score: UNC: 26 - SYR: 32 (61)
SYR Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
UNC Travel: 516 miles
Orange (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Fran Brown (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 34 - 29 (35 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 6.5 (#81)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 2)
 
North Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/1 North Carolina vs TCU+3.059.0
Sat 9/6 North Carolina at Charlotte-19.5
Sat 9/13 North Carolina vs Richmond-25.5
Sat 9/20 North Carolina at UCF-0.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 North Carolina vs Clemson+21
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 North Carolina at California-1.5
Sat 10/25 North Carolina vs Virginia-4.5
Fri 10/31 North Carolina at Syracuse+6
Sat 11/8 North Carolina vs Stanford-10
Sat 11/15 North Carolina at Wake Forest-6.5
Sat 11/22 North Carolina vs Duke+1
Sat 11/29 North Carolina at NC State+6.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Syracuse's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Syracuse vs Tennessee+13.055.5
Sat 9/6 Syracuse vs UConn-12
Fri 9/12 Syracuse vs Colgate-29
Sat 9/20 Syracuse at Clemson+22.5
Sat 9/27 Syracuse vs Duke-2.5
Sat 10/4 Syracuse at SMU+10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Syracuse vs Pittsburgh-3.5
Sat 10/25 Syracuse at Georgia Tech+4
Fri 10/31 Syracuse vs North Carolina-6
Sat 11/8 Syracuse at Miami+17
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Syracuse at Notre Dame+23
Sat 11/29 Syracuse vs Boston College-5.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)30.947% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)28.144% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2
SYR#28 (.25)48% (14)34.145% (57)2.88 (98)8750% (5)3354.23 (38)#107 (.23)43% (91)29.242% (58)45% (114)4.29 (112)55.31.21.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SYR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Offense1330.927.242%4.081.2203911752164.952%47%47%37%15%.2
SYR Defense1329.226.143.5%4.291.1 - - - - - 46%53%42%45%17%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Defense1328.120.840.5%4.011.2 - - - - - 53%46%44%37%15%.17
SYR Offense1334.135.148.1%4.231.224422873353.137%62%45%50%16%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Carolina1327:4220.240%50%6.859.81.21.25.22.8629.1
Syracuse1331:0623.850%67%6.555.31.21.152129
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Offense1352% (53)47% (34)35.9175.24.926 (36).26 (14)3.32 (22)70% (89)9% (54)1.06 (36)
SYR Defense1346% (23)42% (58) - - - - .12 (71)3.05 (77)82% (119)10% (54)1.1 (115)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Defense1353% (92)44% (82) - - - - .16 (88)3.39 (121)86% (130)9% (83)0.89 (29)
SYR Offense1337% (130)45% (57)28.387.13.120 (67).07 (98)2.88 (98)78% (30)8% (30)0.81 (128)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Offense1347% (82)37% (114)16.829215.97.512.817 (79)8 (40).17 (101)1.7 (29)32% (74)29% (94).32 (78)6% (60)2.1 (33)
SYR Defense1353% (111)45% (114) - - - - - - 9 (76).35 (113)1.5 (26)31% (87)33% (101).43 (113)7% (44)2.1 (76)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Defense1346% (38)37% (26) - - - - - - 9 (76).22 (64)1.8 (125)32% (66)26% (12).23 (35)5% (103)2.2 (99)
SYR Offense1362% (5)50% (5)28.443.4335.27.711.829 (12)12 (85).37 (18)1.5 (89)31% (58)38% (4).34 (70)8% (117)2 (83)

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 1.77 #59
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 15.19 #59
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 13.42 #61
2025 Talent Rating: 862.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 15% #30
North Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 5.5
North Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #54
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #39
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #74

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 828.59
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.68

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 1.77   Syracuse: 7.97

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 2.0   Syracuse: 1.6




Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: 7.97 #39
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 21.14 #29
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 11.80 #51
2025 Talent Rating: 852.00 #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #55
Syracuse's 2025 Expected Record: 5.5 - 6.5
Syracuse's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.6 #56
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #41
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #76

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 828.59
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.68


North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

North Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Syracuse 32
North Carolina 26

Projected Total Points: 61
Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.1
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.1

Syracuse's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/07North Carolina40Syracuse7North CarolinaNorth Carolina -9.5North Carolina59.0Under
202009/12North Carolina31Syracuse6North CarolinaNorth Carolina -24.5North Carolina67.0Under
201810/20Syracuse40North Carolina37SyracuseSyracuse -9.5North Carolina67.0Over
200309/06North Carolina47Syracuse49Syracuse
200209/07Syracuse22North Carolina30North Carolina
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Syracuse201 Overs
North Carolina332 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 22 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams2 - 31 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#59) North Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.77 #59
Offense Rating: 15.19 #59
Defense Rating: 13.42 #61
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #54
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #39
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #74
Talent Rating: 862.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 15% #30
Expected Record: 6.5 - 5.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.08 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.01 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


North Carolina Notes
(4/17) QB Lopez (S Al) added post spring.
(4/17) NFL style not open to fans/media. We'll see
(4/17) Is Lopez QB1? Have Johnson (Inj)/Browne (PU)
(3/21) RB rebuild. Some options, SO Gause has exp
(3/21) WR/TE rebuild. Have some talented options
(3/21) OL rebuild 1/5 back. 5 portal adds.
(3/21) Def - Run Def awful LY. Have some DE's
(3/21) Nearly 1/2 roster new TY. New staff
(3/21) Is Belichick serious here? Staff hires say no
(3/21) Sched is easiest in P4. Just OK wins 8-9
North Carolina     Ratings Matchup     Syracuse
Power #59
#39
Off #59
#29
Def #61
#51
Talent #27
#31
SP+ #54
#56
SP+ Off #39
#41
SP+ Def #74
#76

Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Syracuse in 2023 (40-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carrier Dome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNC | SYR
Depth Chart: UNC | SYR
Rosters: UNC | SYR
(#39) Syracuse Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.97 #39
Offense Rating: 21.14 #29
Defense Rating: 11.80 #51
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.6 #56
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #41
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #76
Talent Rating: 852.00 #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #55
Expected Record: 5.5 - 6.5

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Great Pass Success 50%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.29 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position


Syracuse Notes
(5/25) QB1? Angeli (ND) signed after spring vs Collins
(5/23) Cuse were 7-2 in 1 score games LY
(5/7) OL 2/5 back, Avg LY. 2 more have exp, Petry inj
(4/17) Fr OL Washington is 6'7, 380 lbs and can move.
(4/17) Top WR Pena in portal, big loss. Some depth
(4/8) QB Rickie Collins (So, LSU) named starter
(3/21) RB rebuild. Any ballers? On paper, not obv
(3/21) Def bad LY, returns a lot. DE/CB big needs
(3/21) HC Brown/staff great job in year 1
(3/21) Yr 2 much harder sched, less proven options


  
North Carolina's OC Freddie Kitchens
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Giovanni Lopez20531166%25571858.2
Max Johnson121963%71013.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Giovanni Lopez8246575.750
Davion Gause6732644.921
Charleston French108418.445
Caleb Hood188104.516
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kobe Paysour21365017.436
Aziah Johnson (Tr)16276217.352
Chris Culliver6135122.550
Jordan Shipp9114112.722

View North Carolina's Full Roster
North Carolina's DC Stephen Belichick
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaleb Cost613104
Gavin Gibson (Tr)527013
Mikai Gbayor (Tr)496133
Andrew Simpson (Tr)4511300
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pryce Yates (Tr)217451
Andrew Simpson (Tr)4511300
Isaiah Johnson (Tr)83210
C.J. Mims (Tr)214100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thaddeus Dixon (Tr)4320010
Kaleb Cost613104
Khmori House (Tr)331014

Syracuse's OC Jeff Nixon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Steven Angeli243667%268307.4
Rickie Collins (Tr)55100%35007.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Yasin Willis3613013.626
Will Nixon197604.012
Dan Villari122912.47
Rickie Collins (Tr)41804.511
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Darrell Gill Jr.31562218.153
Umari Hatcher17273316.167
Justus Ross-Simmons9202222.455
Chris Long11163114.858

View Syracuse's Full Roster
Syracuse's DC Elijah Robinson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darian Chestnut604115
Devin Grant518223
Derek Mcdonald501020
Chris Thomas Jr. (Tr)444242
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Reese (Tr)228512
Denis Jaquez Jr.223310
Devin Grant518223
Rashard Perry133210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darian Chestnut604115
Devin Grant518223
Chris Thomas Jr. (Tr)444242