Clemson at North Carolina - 2022 Matchup Preview

Clemson Tigers vs North Carolina Tar Heels

Saturday, December 3rd 2022 (8:00 PM EST)
Clemson -7.5 (64.0)
Clemson 39 - North Carolina: 10 (Subway ACC Championship)

Tigers (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (150 - 36)
Avg Score : 33 - 21 (33 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNC 3rd straight Home Game
UNC is playing their 6th straight game
CLEM is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -5 (SP+ CLEM -10)
Projected Score: CLEM: 28 - UNC: 28 (56)
CLEM Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
CLEM Travel: 119 miles

Tar Heels (9 - 5) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Mack Brown (21 - 17)
Avg Score : 34 - 31 (36 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CLEM Players
UNC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Clemson's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/5	Clemson vs Georgia Tech	-24.5	51.0	W 41 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Clemson vs Furman	-45.5	51.5	W 35 - 12	U	N
Sat 9/17	Clemson vs Louisiana Tech	-33.5	53.5	W 48 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/24	Clemson at Wake Forest	-7.5	58.0	W 51 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/1	Clemson vs NC State	-6.5	46.0	W 30 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Clemson at Boston College	-21.0	49.0	W 31 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Clemson at Florida State	-4.5	51.0	W 34 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Clemson vs Syracuse	-14.0	50.0	W 27 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Clemson at Notre Dame	-3.5	43.5	L 14 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/12	Clemson vs Louisville	-7.0	52.0	W 31 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Clemson vs Miami	-19.0	47.5	W 40 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Clemson vs South Carolina	-14.0	53.0	L 30 - 31	O	N
Sat 12/3	Clemson vs North Carolina	-7.5	64.0	W 39 - 10	U	Y
Fri 12/30	Clemson vs Tennessee	-4.0	62.0	L 14 - 31	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Clemson's Schedule

North Carolina's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	North Carolina vs Florida A&M	-45.0	55.0	W 56 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/3	North Carolina at App State	+3.0	56.0	W 63 - 61	O	Y
Sat 9/10	North Carolina at Georgia State	-7.0	64.0	W 35 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24	North Carolina vs Notre Dame	-2.5	55.0	L 32 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/1	North Carolina vs Virginia Tech	-9.5	57.0	W 41 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/8	North Carolina at Miami	+4.0	67.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/15	North Carolina at Duke	-7.0	70.0	W 38 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	North Carolina vs Pittsburgh	-2.5	65.5	W 42 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/5	North Carolina at Virginia	-7.0	61.5	W 31 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/12	North Carolina at Wake Forest	+4.5	79.0	W 36 - 34	U	Y
Sat 11/19	North Carolina vs Georgia Tech	-21.5	63.5	L 17 - 21	U	N
Fri 11/25	North Carolina vs NC State	-6.5	56.0	L 27 - 30	O	N
Sat 12/3	North Carolina vs Clemson	+7.5	64.0	L 10 - 39	U	N
Wed 12/28	North Carolina vs Oregon	+13.0	76.0	L 27 - 28	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CLEM	.19	45%	33.2	49%	3.29	178	41%	232	4.14	.08	38%	20.9	39%	37%	3.22	48.2	1.6	1.7
UNC	.3	46%	34.4	45%	3.18	153	47%	309	4.47	.29	48%	30.8	49%	48%	4.51	55.3	1	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CLEM	#21 (.27)	47% (24)		50% (12)	3.28 (29)	174	45% (36)	279	4.33 (29)	#52 (.14)	40% (48)		43% (68)	38% (36)	3.64 (48)	47.6	0.7	1.9
UNC	#65 (.2)	42% (80)		47% (34)	3.32 (22)	175	37% (114)	216	4.08 (52)	#70 (.17)	41% (53)		44% (82)	37% (26)	4.01 (90)	59.8	1.2	1.2

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CLEM Offense	14	33.2	32.5	44.9%	4.14	1.6	23	410	178	232	4.6	52%	48%	49%	41%	14%	.19
UNC Defense	14	30.8	25.7	48.3%	4.51	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	49%	48%	12%	.29

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CLEM Defense	14	20.9	27.8	37.7%	3.22	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	42%	58%	39%	37%	21%	.08
UNC Offense	14	34.4	35.8	46.2%	4.47	1	25	463	153	309	4.2	45%	55%	45%	47%	14%	.3

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Clemson	14	31:12	22.8	47%	50%	5.4	48.2	1.6	1.7	7.6	3.1	2	28.8
North Carolina	14	29:55	24.6	46%	71%	6.1	55.3	1	1.1	3.4	1.2	1	29.7

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CLEM Offense	14	52%	49%	39.1	178.4	4.6	31	.2	3.29	78%	9%	0.93
UNC Defense	14	51%	49%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.25	79%	6%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CLEM Defense	14	42%	39%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.69	64%	13%	0.92
UNC Offense	14	45%	45%	36.4	153.4	4.2	24	.18	3.18	72%	10%	1

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CLEM Offense	14	48%	41%	21.2	34.1	231.9	6.8	10.9	24	10	.2	1.5	30%	30%	.21	5%	1.9
UNC Defense	14	49%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.41	1.6	28%	31%	.4	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CLEM Defense	14	58%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.1	1.6	34%	25%	.2	8%	2.1
UNC Offense	14	55%	47%	24.6	37.5	309.3	8.3	12.6	38	7	.41	1.6	32%	40%	.5	4%	1.9

Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: NR
Clemson's Offense Rating: NR
Clemson's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Clemson's 2022 Expected Record: -
Clemson's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.6 #13
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #33
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.5 #26

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Clemson: North Carolina: 3.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Clemson: 17.6 North Carolina: 7.8

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 3.9 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2022 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 #46
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.7 #11
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #104

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Clemson Scoring
Offense: 33.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.5
Defense: 20.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Clemson's 2022 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Clemson 28
North Carolina 28

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
North Carolina 27
Clemson 24

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Clemson 31
North Carolina 30

Total Points: 61

North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.8
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.7

North Carolina's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/04	North Carolina	10	Clemson	38	Clemson -15.5	Clemson	47.5	Over
2023	11/18	Clemson	31	North Carolina	20	Clemson -7.5	Clemson	58.0	Under
2022	12/03	North Carolina	10	Clemson	39	Clemson -7.5	Clemson	64.0	Under
2019	09/28	North Carolina	20	Clemson	21	Clemson -27.5	North Carolina	61.0	Under
2015	12/05	Clemson	45	North Carolina	37	Clemson -6.5	Clemson	67.5	Over
2014	09/27	Clemson	50	North Carolina	35	Clemson -10	Clemson	0
2011	10/22	Clemson	59	North Carolina	38
2010	10/09	North Carolina	21	Clemson	16
2006	09/23	Clemson	52	North Carolina	7
2003	10/25	Clemson	36	North Carolina	28
2002	11/09	North Carolina	12	Clemson	42
2001	10/20	Clemson	3	North Carolina	38
2000	10/20	North Carolina	24	Clemson	38

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
North Carolina	2	1	2 Overs
Clemson	11	5	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 6	4 - 2	3 - 0	1 - 2
Road Teams	6 - 7	2 - 4	2 - 1	0 - 3

(#) CLEM at (#) UNC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CLEM	UNC
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#13	#46
Perf GradeGrade	#25	#65
OffenseOff	#59	#43
DefenseDef	#15	#102
Spec TeamsST	#2	#25
TalentTal	#5	#16
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Clemson Injury Report

North Carolina Injury Report

Clemson on Offense


CategoryCat	CLEM Off	UNC Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#59	#102
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#33	#104
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Clemson Run Game


CategoryCat	CLEM Off	UNC Def
Run GameRun	#41	#98
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#54	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#20

Clemson Pass Game


CategoryCat	CLEM Off	UNC Def
Pass GamePass	#56	#102
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#58	#62
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

North Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	UNC Off	CLEM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#43	#15
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#11	#26
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	CLEM Def
Run GameRun	#62	#19
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#117	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#6

North Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	CLEM Def
Pass GamePass	#2	#39
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#78	#5
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

CLEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'22 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bank of America Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 54°

Rematch from Week 14
Clemson 7.5 (64.0)
Clemson won at North Carolina this year (39-10)

Previous Matchups
Clemson beat North Carolina in 2023 (31-20)
Clemson beat North Carolina in 2022 (39-10)

CLEM's OC Brandon Streeter (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Clemson's Full Roster

CLEM's DC Mickey Conn (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UNC's OC Phil Longo (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC Gene Chizik (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD