North Carolina at Virginia Tech - 2021 Matchup Preview

North Carolina Tar Heels at Virginia Tech Hokies

Friday, September 3rd 2021 (6:00 PM EDT)
North Carolina -5.5 (63.5)
Virginia Tech 17 - North Carolina: 10 (ACC)

Tar Heels (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mack Brown (17 - 11)
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (18 - 23 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -0.5 (SP+ UNC -4)
Projected Score: UNC: 25 - VT: 24 (49)
UNC Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
UNC Travel: 118 miles

Hokies (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Justin Fuente (40 - 27)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (26 - 32 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNC Players
VT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

North Carolina's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	North Carolina at Virginia Tech	-5.5	63.5	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/11	North Carolina vs Georgia State	-26.0	65.0	W 59 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/18	North Carolina vs Virginia	-7.5	67.0	W 59 - 39	O	Y
Sat 9/25	North Carolina vs Georgia Tech	-14.5	66.0	L 22 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/2	North Carolina vs Duke	-19.5	74.0	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/9	North Carolina vs Florida State	-17.5	64.5	L 25 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/16	North Carolina vs Miami	-7.5	63.5	W 45 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	North Carolina at Notre Dame	+3.5	63.0	L 34 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/6	North Carolina vs Wake Forest	-2.5	78.0	W 58 - 55	O	Y
Thu 11/11	North Carolina at Pittsburgh	+6.5	72.0	L 23 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/20	North Carolina vs Wofford	-37.0	62.0	W 34 - 14	U	N
Fri 11/26	North Carolina at NC State	+6.5	62.0	L 30 - 34	O	Y
Thu 12/30	North Carolina vs South Carolina	-12.5	57.5	L 21 - 38	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule

Virginia Tech's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Virginia Tech vs North Carolina	+5.5	63.5	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Virginia Tech vs Middle Tennessee	-20.0	55.0	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Virginia Tech at West Virginia	+2.0	49.5	L 21 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/25	Virginia Tech vs Richmond	-29.0	50.0	W 21 - 10	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9	Virginia Tech vs Notre Dame	-1.0	46.5	L 29 - 32	O	N
Sat 10/16	Virginia Tech vs Pittsburgh	+6.0	55.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/23	Virginia Tech vs Syracuse	-3.5	45.5	L 36 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/30	Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech	+3.0	55.0	W 26 - 17	U	Y
Fri 11/5	Virginia Tech at Boston College	-1.0	51.0	L 3 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/13	Virginia Tech vs Duke	-13.5	50.5	W 48 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Virginia Tech at Miami	+7.0	55.5	L 26 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/27	Virginia Tech at Virginia	+7.0	63.5	W 29 - 24	U	Y
Wed 12/29	Virginia Tech vs Maryland	+4.0	55.0	L 10 - 54	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNC	.41	51%	19.3	52%	3.27	236	49%	301	4.75	.22	42%	24.5	47%	37%	3.82	67.3	1.1	0.9
VT	.26	48%	21.4	51%	3.17	241	45%	201	3.68	.26	47%	30.2	51%	43%	4.21	46.7	1.3	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
VT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNC Offense	12	19.3	17.5	50.6%	4.75	1.1	26	537	236	301	5.8	51%	49%	52%	49%	15%	.41
VT Defense	11	30.2	31.6	46.8%	4.21	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	51%	43%	17%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNC Defense	12	24.5	23	42.1%	3.82	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	47%	37%	15%	.22
VT Offense	11	21.4	26	48.3%	3.68	1.3	22	442	241	201	5.6	62%	38%	51%	45%	15%	.26

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
North Carolina	12	30:47	26.3	45%	58%	6.9	67.3	1.1	0.9	5.8	3	0	29.1
Virginia Tech	11	30:08	22.4	38%	58%	5.3	46.7	1.3	1.5	6.8	3.3	0	30.2

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNC Offense	12	51%	52%	41	235.8	5.8	35	.33	3.27	77%	10%	1.19
VT Defense	11	47%	51%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.35	77%	11%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNC Defense	12	50%	47%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.14	80%	9%	0.99
VT Offense	11	62%	51%	42.9	240.7	5.6	27	.22	3.17	68%	11%	1.03

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNC Offense	12	49%	49%	20.3	29.8	301.4	10.1	14.8	31	8	.5	1.8	27%	39%	.61	5%	2.3
VT Defense	11	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.28	1.6	30%	36%	.45	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNC Defense	12	50%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.25	1.8	30%	32%	.38	6%	2.1
VT Offense	11	38%	45%	14.3	23	201.1	8.7	14.1	13	6	.31	1.6	26%	29%	.19	4%	1.9

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Carolina's 2021 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.4 #59
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #11
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7 #101

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: Virginia Tech: 3.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 6.4 Virginia Tech: 2.4

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: 3.7 NR
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Virginia Tech's 2021 Expected Record: -
Virginia Tech's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.4 #70
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #86
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #54

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

North Carolina's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
North Carolina 25
Virginia Tech 24

Projected Total Points: 49

Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.6

Virginia Tech's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	10/01	North Carolina	41	Virginia Tech	10	North Carolina -9.5	North Carolina	57.0	Under
2021	09/03	Virginia Tech	17	North Carolina	10	North Carolina -5.5	Virginia Tech	63.5	Under
2020	10/10	North Carolina	56	Virginia Tech	45	North Carolina -3.5	North Carolina	59.0	Over
2019	10/19	Virginia Tech	43	North Carolina	41	North Carolina -4.5	Virginia Tech	57.5	Over
2018	10/13	North Carolina	19	Virginia Tech	22	Virginia Tech -6.5	North Carolina	57.5	Under
2017	10/21	Virginia Tech	59	North Carolina	7	Virginia Tech -20	Virginia Tech	52.5	Over
2016	10/08	North Carolina	3	Virginia Tech	34	North Carolina -5.5	Virginia Tech	49.5	Under
2015	11/21	Virginia Tech	27	North Carolina	30	North Carolina -7.5	Virginia Tech	61.0	Under
2014	10/04	North Carolina	17	Virginia Tech	34	Virginia Tech -1.5	Virginia Tech	0
2013	10/05	Virginia Tech	27	North Carolina	17	Virginia Tech -7	Virginia Tech	0
2012	10/06	North Carolina	48	Virginia Tech	34
2011	11/17	Virginia Tech	24	North Carolina	21
2010	11/13	North Carolina	10	Virginia Tech	26
2009	10/29	Virginia Tech	17	North Carolina	20
2008	09/20	North Carolina	17	Virginia Tech	20
2007	09/29	Virginia Tech	17	North Carolina	10
2006	09/09	North Carolina	10	Virginia Tech	35
2005	11/26	Virginia Tech	30	North Carolina	3
2004	11/06	North Carolina	24	Virginia Tech	27

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Virginia Tech	14	7	3 Overs
North Carolina	5	3	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 9	8 - 2	4 - 1	4 - 1
Road Teams	9 - 10	2 - 8	1 - 4	1 - 4

(#) UNC at (#) VT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNC	VT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#59	#70
Perf GradeGrade	#64	#83
OffenseOff	#30	#59
DefenseDef	#106	#106
Spec TeamsST	#36	#97
TalentTal	#17	#39
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

North Carolina Injury Report

Virginia Tech Injury Report

North Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	UNC Off	VT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#30	#106
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#11	#54
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	VT Def
Run GameRun	#2	#98
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#63	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#110

North Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	VT Def
Pass GamePass	#24	#107
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#24	#79
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Virginia Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	VT Off	UNC Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#59	#106
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#86	#101
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Virginia Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	VT Off	UNC Def
Run GameRun	#57	#85
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#38	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#63

Virginia Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	VT Off	UNC Def
Pass GamePass	#108	#102
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#12	#110
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
VT 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Top G5

UNC 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
North Carolina 5.5 (63.5)
Virginia Tech won vs North Carolina this year (17-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UNC's OC Phil Longo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC Jay Bateman (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

VT's OC Brad Cornelsen (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC Justin Hamilton (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD