Georgia Tech at North Carolina - 2024 Matchup Preview
Georgia Tech logo Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina logo
Saturday, October 12th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Georgia Tech -3.5 (60.5) (-170)  Open: -4.0
Georgia Tech 41 - North Carolina: 34  (ACC)

 
Yellow Jackets (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Brent Key (11 - 10)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (27 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
UNC 2nd straight Home Game
UNC is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Georgia Tech -0   (SP+ UNC -3)

Projected Score: GT: 30 - UNC: 30 (57)
GT Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
GT Travel: 337 miles
Tar Heels (6 - 7) (2 - 10 - 1)
Coach Mack Brown (38 - 27)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (36 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
 
Georgia Tech's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/24 Georgia Tech vs Florida State+10.054.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 8/31 Georgia Tech vs Georgia State-20.557.0W 35 - 12UY
Sat 9/7 Georgia Tech at Syracuse-2.560.5L 28 - 31UN
Sat 9/14 Georgia Tech vs VMI-42.553.5W 59 - 7OY
Sat 9/21 Georgia Tech at Louisville+9.556.0L 19 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Georgia Tech vs Duke-10.052.5W 24 - 14UN
Sat 10/12 Georgia Tech at North Carolina-3.560.5W 41 - 34OY
Sat 10/19 Georgia Tech vs Notre Dame+14.049.5L 13 - 31UN
Sat 10/26 Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech+11.052.0L 6 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Georgia Tech vs Miami+9.564.5W 28 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/21 Georgia Tech vs NC State-7.551.5W 30 - 29ON
Fri 11/29 Georgia Tech at Georgia+17.548.5L 42 - 44OY
Fri 12/27 Georgia Tech vs Vanderbilt-3.049.0L 27 - 35ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia Tech's Schedule
North Carolina's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 North Carolina at Minnesota-2.052.5W 19 - 17UN
Sat 9/7 North Carolina vs Charlotte-21.547.5W 38 - 20ON
Sat 9/14 North Carolina vs North Carolina Central-37.557.5W 45 - 10UN
Sat 9/21 North Carolina vs James Madison-10.048.0L 50 - 70ON
Sat 9/28 North Carolina at Duke-1.055.5L 20 - 21UN
Sat 10/5 North Carolina vs Pittsburgh+2.563.0L 24 - 34UN
Sat 10/12 North Carolina vs Georgia Tech+3.560.5L 34 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 North Carolina at Virginia+3.558.5W 41 - 14UY
Sat 11/2 North Carolina at Florida State-2.550.5W 35 - 11UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 North Carolina vs Wake Forest-10.564.5W 31 - 24UN
Sat 11/23 North Carolina at Boston College-2.050.5L 21 - 41ON
Sat 11/30 North Carolina vs NC State-2.554.5L 30 - 35ON
Sat 12/28 North Carolina vs UConn-2.053.5L 14 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GT#32 (.28)45% (36)28.949% (19)3.53 (6)20442% (62)2214.27 (31)#100 (.23)46% (119)25.648% (120)44% (100)3.83 (72)44.81.61.9
UNC#17 (.3)47% (19)30.950% (16)3.41 (11)19344% (44)2994.13 (45)#86 (.21)42% (70)28.143% (68)42% (76)3.41 (35)66.31.31.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GT Offense1328.927.245.1%4.271.6224252042215.455%43%49%42%17%.28
UNC Defense1328.133.442.2%3.411.7 - - - - - 50%49%43%42%15%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GT Defense1325.632.245.7%3.831.9 - - - - - 57%42%48%44%18%.23
UNC Offense1330.93646.8%4.131.3254921932995.146%53%50%44%13%.3

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia Tech1328:3922.243%52%5.244.81.61.94.41.7031.2
North Carolina1328:3424.549%45%7.266.31.31.75.42.1131.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GT Offense1355% (30)49% (19)37.8203.85.424 (41).27 (12)3.53 (6)75% (52)11% (78)1.03 (49)
UNC Defense1350% (70)43% (68) - - - - .2 (100)3.33 (112)73% (68)10% (85)1.02 (81)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GT Defense1357% (128)48% (120) - - - - .24 (116)3.49 (128)87% (129)10% (81)0.97 (52)
UNC Offense1346% (97)50% (16)38.2193.25.128 (25).28 (9)3.41 (11)75% (52)8% (31)1.03 (48)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GT Offense1343% (107)42% (62)17.829.2220.87.612.427 (25)17 (127).37 (31)1.8 (10)30% (40)32% (58).43 (36)7% (102)2.3 (8)
UNC Defense1349% (63)42% (76) - - - - - - 12 (37).29 (82)1.6 (64)34% (43)34% (117).38 (100)6% (92)1.9 (22)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GT Defense1342% (5)44% (100) - - - - - - 15 (15).29 (86)1.5 (41)29% (124)31% (88).32 (73)8% (8)2 (65)
UNC Offense1353% (36)44% (44)22.535.4298.58.413.326 (31)11 (68).34 (47)1.6 (73)30% (33)32% (56).38 (55)5% (24)2.2 (21)

Georgia Tech's Power Ratings
Georgia Tech's Power Rating: 6.96 #38
Georgia Tech's Offense Rating: 26.04 #14
Georgia Tech's Defense Rating: 11.07 #79
2024 Talent Rating: 728.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Georgia Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Georgia Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.9 #66
Georgia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Georgia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #79

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Tech: 6.96   North Carolina: 4.235

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Tech: 1.9   North Carolina: 5.0




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 4.235 #68
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 17.90 #86
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 10.65 #77
2024 Talent Rating: 858.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 26 #22
North Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
North Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Georgia Tech Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

Georgia Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia Tech 30
North Carolina 30


Projected Total Points: 57
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4

North Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 7 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12North Carolina34Georgia Tech41Georgia TechGeorgia Tech -3.5Georgia Tech60.5Over
202310/28Georgia Tech46North Carolina42Georgia TechNorth Carolina -12Georgia Tech65.5Over
202211/19North Carolina17Georgia Tech21Georgia TechNorth Carolina -21.5Georgia Tech63.5Under
202109/25Georgia Tech45North Carolina22Georgia TechNorth Carolina -14.5Georgia Tech66.0Over
201910/05Georgia Tech22North Carolina38North CarolinaNorth Carolina -9.5North Carolina47.0Over
201811/03North Carolina28Georgia Tech38Georgia TechGeorgia Tech -4Georgia Tech66.0Push
201709/30Georgia Tech33North Carolina7Georgia TechGeorgia Tech -10Georgia Tech58.5Under
201611/05North Carolina48Georgia Tech20North CarolinaNorth Carolina -9.5North Carolina63.5Over
201510/03Georgia Tech31North Carolina38North CarolinaGeorgia Tech -10.5North Carolina61.5Over
201410/18North Carolina48Georgia Tech43North CarolinaNorth Carolina -2.5North Carolina68.0Over
201309/21Georgia Tech28North Carolina20Georgia TechGeorgia Tech -3.5Georgia Tech0
201211/10North Carolina50Georgia Tech68Georgia Tech
201109/24Georgia Tech35North Carolina28Georgia Tech
201009/18North Carolina24Georgia Tech30Georgia Tech
200909/26Georgia Tech24North Carolina7Georgia Tech
200811/08North Carolina28Georgia Tech7North Carolina
200711/17Georgia Tech27North Carolina25Georgia Tech
200611/11North Carolina0Georgia Tech7Georgia Tech
200509/10Georgia Tech27North Carolina21Georgia Tech
200409/18North Carolina34Georgia Tech13North Carolina
200311/15Georgia Tech41North Carolina24Georgia Tech
200209/28North Carolina13Georgia Tech21Georgia Tech
200111/01Georgia Tech28North Carolina21Georgia Tech
200009/29North Carolina28Georgia Tech42Georgia Tech
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina647 Overs
Georgia Tech1872 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 106 - 54 - 22 - 3
Road Teams10 - 145 - 63 - 22 - 4

(#38) Georgia Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.96 #38
Offense Rating: 26.04 #14
Defense Rating: 11.07 #79
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.9 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #79
Talent Rating: 728.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.25 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position


Georgia Tech Notes
(11/25) Survived NC St, Rgame bad, Fr QB Philo good
(11/13) Rgame torched Miami, King ran hard, RDef great
(10/19) No Rgame w/o Haynes, 64 yds, 2.2 ypc vs ND
(10/18) QB King out vs Notre Dame. SO Pyron start
(10/13) Run Def torched by NC. Rgame 371 yds (7.7 ypc)
(9/21) Run Def great vs L'ville. Rgame had awful night
(9/8) Def torched by Cuse, 520 yds, 381 passing
(8/24) DL much better than expected vs FSU
(8/19) Huge gap between Off & Def, new DC TY
(8/19) Over bet watch. Faulkner's Off good, Def bad
Georgia Tech     Ratings Matchup     North Carolina
Power #38
#68
Off #14
#86
Def #79
#77
Talent #52
#18
SP+ #66
#49
SP+ Off #42
#38
SP+ Def #79
#64

Rematch from Week 7
Georgia Tech 3.5 (60.5)
Georgia Tech won at North Carolina this year (41-34)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Tech beat North Carolina last year (41-34)
Georgia Tech beat North Carolina in 2023 (46-42)
Georgia Tech beat North Carolina in 2022 (21-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 73°

Team Information
Injuries: GT | UNC
Depth Chart: GT | UNC
Rosters: GT | UNC
(#68) North Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.235 #68
Offense Rating: 17.90 #86
Defense Rating: 10.65 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 858.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 26 #22
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.08 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.01 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


North Carolina Notes
(11/26) Mack Brown fired at the end of 2024 season
(11/25) Rgame sucks, Criswell 3 INTs, Run Def awful vs BC
(11/18) 3 str W's vs bad teams. Rgame/Hampton great
(10/13) Run Def mauled by GT (371, 7.7 ypc). Gag again
(9/28) Blew 20-0 lead vs Duke. Even game, 10 flags hurt
(9/22) Def all. 600+ yds & 70 pts in JMU loss at home
(9/18) QB Jacolby Criswell looks like starter now
(9/1) RB Hampton great, played B1G ball @ Minn, QB real ?
(8/29) QB Johnson looks out for season (Minn game)
(8/5) Teams are crootin NC commits, Brown done TY?


  
Georgia Tech's OC Buster Faulkner
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Haynes King19626973%21141427.9
Aaron Philo387451%565127.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamal Haynes16894495.668
Haynes King126577114.630
Chad Alexander5828014.828
Eric Singleton Jr.2113116.235
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric Singleton Jr.56754313.557
Malik Rutherford62702311.352
Bailey Stockton17206112.127
Jackson Hawes (Tr)16195012.233

View Georgia Tech's Full Roster
Georgia Tech's DC Tyler Santucci
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Efford646311
Ahmari Harvey623002
Clayton Powell-Lee532113
Omar Daniels513003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Efford646311
Romello Height (Tr)347340
Syeed Gibbs (Tr)224101
Jordan van den Berg (Tr)235110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Warren Burrell (Tr)270004
Rodney Shelley195014
Clayton Powell-Lee532113

North Carolina's OC Chip Lindsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jacolby Criswell (Tr)18632058%24591567.7
Conner Harrell213757%282217.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Davion Gause6732644.921
Jacolby Criswell (Tr)7110331.520
Charleston French108418.445
Caleb Hood188104.516
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kobe Paysour21365017.436
Christian Hamilton7159122.758
Chris Culliver6135122.550
Jordan Shipp9114112.722

View North Carolina's Full Roster
North Carolina's DC Geoff Collins
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Amare Campbell699632
Jakeen Harris (Tr)671004
Kaleb Cost613104
Beau Atkinson3512840
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beau Atkinson3512840
Amare Campbell699632
Joshua Harris (Tr)201100
Cade Law21100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaleb Cost613104
Jakeen Harris (Tr)671004
Marcus Allen291003