Georgia Tech at North Carolina - 2024 Matchup Preview

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at North Carolina Tar Heels

Saturday, October 12th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Georgia Tech -3.5 (60.5) (-170) Open: -4.0
Georgia Tech 41 - North Carolina: 34 (ACC)

Yellow Jackets (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Brent Key (11 - 10)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (31 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNC 2nd straight Home Game
UNC is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Georgia Tech -0 (SP+ UNC -3)
Projected Score: GT: 28 - UNC: 28 (56)
GT Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
GT Travel: 337 miles

Tar Heels (6 - 7) (2 - 10 - 1)
Coach Mack Brown (38 - 27)
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (21 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GT Players
UNC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia Tech's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/24	Georgia Tech vs Florida State	+10.0	54.5	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Sat 8/31	Georgia Tech vs Georgia State	-20.5	57.0	W 35 - 12	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Georgia Tech at Syracuse	-2.5	60.5	L 28 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/14	Georgia Tech vs VMI	-42.5	53.5	W 59 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Georgia Tech at Louisville	+9.5	56.0	L 19 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Georgia Tech vs Duke	-10.0	52.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/12	Georgia Tech at North Carolina	-3.5	60.5	W 41 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Georgia Tech vs Notre Dame	+14.0	49.5	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/26	Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech	+11.0	52.0	L 6 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Georgia Tech vs Miami	+9.5	64.5	W 28 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/21	Georgia Tech vs NC State	-7.5	51.5	W 30 - 29	O	N
Fri 11/29	Georgia Tech at Georgia	+17.5	48.5	L 42 - 44	O	Y
Fri 12/27	Georgia Tech vs Vanderbilt	-3.0	49.0	L 27 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia Tech's Schedule

North Carolina's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	North Carolina at Minnesota	-2.0	52.5	W 19 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/7	North Carolina vs Charlotte	-21.5	47.5	W 38 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/14	North Carolina vs North Carolina Central	-37.5	57.5	W 45 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/21	North Carolina vs James Madison	-10.0	48.0	L 50 - 70	O	N
Sat 9/28	North Carolina at Duke	-1.0	55.5	L 20 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/5	North Carolina vs Pittsburgh	+2.5	63.0	L 24 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/12	North Carolina vs Georgia Tech	+3.5	60.5	L 34 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	North Carolina at Virginia	+3.5	58.5	W 41 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/2	North Carolina at Florida State	-2.5	50.5	W 35 - 11	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	North Carolina vs Wake Forest	-10.5	64.5	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/23	North Carolina at Boston College	-2.0	50.5	L 21 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/30	North Carolina vs NC State	-2.5	54.5	L 30 - 35	O	N
Sat 12/28	North Carolina vs UConn	-2.0	53.5	L 14 - 27	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GT	#32 (.28)	45% (36)	32.2	49% (19)	3.53 (6)	204	42% (62)	221	4.27 (31)	#100 (.23)	46% (119)	25	48% (120)	44% (100)	3.83 (72)	44.8	1.6	1.9
UNC	#17 (.3)	47% (19)	19.3	50% (16)	3.41 (11)	193	44% (44)	299	4.13 (45)	#86 (.21)	42% (70)	24.5	43% (68)	42% (76)	3.41 (35)	66.3	1.3	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GT Offense	13	32.2	31.2	45.1%	4.27	1.6	22	425	204	221	5.4	55%	43%	49%	42%	17%	.28
UNC Defense	13	24.5	26	42.2%	3.41	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	43%	42%	15%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GT Defense	13	25	29.8	45.7%	3.83	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	48%	44%	18%	.23
UNC Offense	13	19.3	21	46.8%	4.13	1.3	25	492	193	299	5.1	46%	53%	50%	44%	13%	.3

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia Tech	13	28:39	22.2	43%	52%	5.2	44.8	1.6	1.9	4.4	1.7	0	31.2
North Carolina	13	28:34	24.5	49%	45%	7.2	66.3	1.3	1.7	5.4	2.1	1	31.3

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GT Offense	13	55% (30)	49% (19)	37.8	203.8	5.4	24 (41)	.27 (12)	3.53 (6)	75% (52)	11% (78)	1.03 (49)
UNC Defense	13	50% (70)	43% (68)	-	-	-	-	.2 (100)	3.33 (112)	73% (68)	10% (85)	1.02 (81)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GT Defense	13	57% (128)	48% (120)	-	-	-	-	.24 (116)	3.49 (128)	87% (129)	10% (81)	0.97 (52)
UNC Offense	13	46% (97)	50% (16)	38.2	193.2	5.1	28 (25)	.28 (9)	3.41 (11)	75% (52)	8% (31)	1.03 (48)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GT Offense	13	43% (107)	42% (62)	17.8	29.2	220.8	7.6	12.4	27 (25)	17 (127)	.37 (31)	1.8 (10)	30% (40)	32% (58)	.43 (36)	7% (102)	2.3 (8)
UNC Defense	13	49% (63)	42% (76)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.29 (82)	1.6 (64)	34% (43)	34% (117)	.38 (100)	6% (92)	1.9 (22)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GT Defense	13	42% (5)	44% (100)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (15)	.29 (86)	1.5 (41)	29% (124)	31% (88)	.32 (73)	8% (8)	2 (65)
UNC Offense	13	53% (36)	44% (44)	22.5	35.4	298.5	8.4	13.3	26 (31)	11 (68)	.34 (47)	1.6 (73)	30% (33)	32% (56)	.38 (55)	5% (24)	2.2 (21)

Georgia Tech's Power Ratings
Georgia Tech's Power Rating: 6.96 #38
Georgia Tech's Offense Rating: 26.04 #14
Georgia Tech's Defense Rating: 11.07 #79
2024 Talent Rating: 367.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Georgia Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Georgia Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.9 #66
Georgia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Georgia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #79

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Tech: 6.96 North Carolina: 4.235

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Tech: 1.9 North Carolina: 5.0

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 4.235 #68
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 17.90 #86
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 10.65 #77
2024 Talent Rating: 460.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 26 #22
North Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
North Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Georgia Tech Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.2
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Georgia Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia Tech 28
North Carolina 28

Projected Total Points: 56

North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

North Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 7 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	North Carolina	34	Georgia Tech	41	Georgia Tech -3.5	Georgia Tech	60.5	Over
2023	10/28	Georgia Tech	46	North Carolina	42	North Carolina -12	Georgia Tech	65.5	Over
2022	11/19	North Carolina	17	Georgia Tech	21	North Carolina -21.5	Georgia Tech	63.5	Under
2021	09/25	Georgia Tech	45	North Carolina	22	North Carolina -14.5	Georgia Tech	66.0	Over
2019	10/05	Georgia Tech	22	North Carolina	38	North Carolina -9.5	North Carolina	47.0	Over
2018	11/03	North Carolina	28	Georgia Tech	38	Georgia Tech -4	Georgia Tech	66.0	Push
2017	09/30	Georgia Tech	33	North Carolina	7	Georgia Tech -10	Georgia Tech	58.5	Under
2016	11/05	North Carolina	48	Georgia Tech	20	North Carolina -9.5	North Carolina	63.5	Over
2015	10/03	Georgia Tech	31	North Carolina	38	Georgia Tech -10.5	North Carolina	61.5	Over
2014	10/18	North Carolina	48	Georgia Tech	43	North Carolina -2.5	North Carolina	68.0	Over
2013	09/21	Georgia Tech	28	North Carolina	20	Georgia Tech -3.5	Georgia Tech	0
2012	11/10	North Carolina	50	Georgia Tech	68
2011	09/24	Georgia Tech	35	North Carolina	28
2010	09/18	North Carolina	24	Georgia Tech	30
2009	09/26	Georgia Tech	24	North Carolina	7
2008	11/08	North Carolina	28	Georgia Tech	7
2007	11/17	Georgia Tech	27	North Carolina	25
2006	11/11	North Carolina	0	Georgia Tech	7
2005	09/10	Georgia Tech	27	North Carolina	21
2004	09/18	North Carolina	34	Georgia Tech	13
2003	11/15	Georgia Tech	41	North Carolina	24
2002	09/28	North Carolina	13	Georgia Tech	21
2001	11/01	Georgia Tech	28	North Carolina	21
2000	09/29	North Carolina	28	Georgia Tech	42

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
North Carolina	6	4	7 Overs
Georgia Tech	18	7	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 10	6 - 5	4 - 2	2 - 3
Road Teams	10 - 14	5 - 6	3 - 2	2 - 4

(#38) GT at (#68) UNC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GT	UNC
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#38	#68
SP+SP+	#66	#49
Perf GradeGrade	#61	#74
OffenseOff	#48	#67
DefenseDef	#93	#97
Spec TeamsST	#7	#9
TalentTal	#52	#21
Blue ChipsBC%	#65	#22

Georgia Tech Notes(11/30) 563 yds @ UGA. King was heroic, DB's hurt/bad
(11/25) Survived NC St, Rgame bad, Fr QB Philo good
(11/13) Rgame torched Miami, King ran hard, RDef great
(10/19) No Rgame w/o Haynes, 64 yds, 2.2 ypc vs ND
(10/18) QB King out vs Notre Dame. SO Pyron start
(10/13) Run Def torched by NC. Rgame 371 yds (7.7 ypc)
(9/21) Run Def great vs L'ville. Rgame had awful night
(9/8) Def torched by Cuse, 520 yds, 381 passing
(8/24) DL much better than expected vs FSU
(8/19) Huge gap between Off & Def, new DC TY
(8/19) Over bet watch. Faulkner's Off good, Def bad
(8/19) 4/5 OL return, RB Haynes great, Run game v good
Georgia Tech Injury Report

North Carolina Notes(12/11) Hired HC Bill Belichick (Pats/NFL)
(11/26) Mack Brown fired at the end of 2024 season
(11/25) Rgame sucks, Criswell 3 INTs, Run Def awful vs BC
(11/18) 3 str W's vs bad teams. Rgame/Hampton great
(10/13) Run Def mauled by GT (371, 7.7 ypc). Gag again
(9/28) Blew 20-0 lead vs Duke. Even game, 10 flags hurt
(9/22) Def all. 600+ yds & 70 pts in JMU loss at home
(9/18) QB Jacolby Criswell looks like starter now
(9/1) RB Hampton great, played B1G ball @ Minn, QB real ?
(8/29) QB Johnson looks out for season (Minn game)
(8/5) Teams are crootin NC commits, Brown done TY?
(7/30) New QB Max Johnson (A&M), WR look mid
North Carolina Injury Report

Georgia Tech on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	GT Off	UNC Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#48	#97
SuccessSuc	#36	#70
ExplosiveExp	#29	#71
PPAPPA	#32	#86
PowerPwr	#14	#77
SP+SP+	#42	#64
Pts POPPO	#31	#35
HavocHav	#92	#92

Georgia Tech Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	GT Off	UNC Def
Run GameRun	#84	#82
Run SuccessRSuc	#19	#68
Run ExplRExp	#49	#81
PPAExp	#12	#100
Run BlockR Blk	#82	-
OL YdsOLY	#6	#112
Stuff RateStuff	#20	#124
TackleTak	-	#40

Georgia Tech Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	GT Off	UNC Def
Pass GamePass	#15	#103
Pass SuccessPSuc	#62	#76
Pass ExplPExl	#10	#64
PPAExp	#31	#82
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#25	#64
F7 HavocF7	#78	#85
DB HavocDB	#102	#92

North Carolina on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	UNC Off	GT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#67	#93
SuccessSuc	#19	#119
ExplosiveExp	#59	#18
PPAPPA	#17	#100
PowerPwr	#86	#79
SP+SP+	#38	#79
Pts POPPO	#45	#72
HavocHav	#17	#34

North Carolina Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	UNC Off	GT Def
Run GameRun	#15	#67
Run SuccessRSuc	#16	#120
Run ExplRExp	#48	#52
PPAExp	#9	#116
Run BlockR Blk	#35	-
OL YdsOLY	#11	#128
Stuff RateStuff	#16	#106
TackleTak	-	#124

North Carolina Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	UNC Off	GT Def
Pass GamePass	#102	#100
Pass SuccessPSuc	#44	#100
Pass ExplPExl	#73	#41
PPAExp	#47	#86
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#47	#115
F7 HavocF7	#31	#81
DB HavocDB	#24	#8

Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

GT 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'24 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
Georgia Tech 3.5 (60.5)
Georgia Tech won at North Carolina this year (41-34)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Tech beat North Carolina in 2024 (41-34)
Georgia Tech beat North Carolina in 2023 (46-42)

GT's OC Buster Faulkner (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Haynes King	196	269	73%	2114	14	2	7.9
Aaron Philo	38	74	51%	565	1	2	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jamal Haynes	168	944	9	5.6	68
Haynes King	126	577	11	4.6	30
Chad Alexander	58	280	1	4.8	28
Eric Singleton Jr.	21	131	1	6.2	35

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eric Singleton Jr.	56	754	3	13.5	57
Malik Rutherford	62	702	3	11.3	52
Avery Boyd	25	316	2	12.6	33
Chase Lane	24	283	3	11.8	32

View Georgia Tech's Full Roster

GT's DC Tyler Santucci (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Efford	64	6	3	1	1
Ahmari Harvey	62	3	0	0	2
Trenilyas Tatum	55	6	2	0	2
Clayton Powell-Lee	53	2	1	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Efford	64	6	3	1	1
Sylvain Yondjouen	24	6	3	7	5
Romello Height (Tr)	34	7	3	4	0
Trenilyas Tatum	55	6	2	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sylvain Yondjouen	24	6	3	7	5
Warren Burrell (Tr)	27	0	0	0	4
Rodney Shelley	19	5	0	1	4

UNC's OC Chip Lindsey (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jacolby Criswell (Tr)	186	320	58%	2459	15	6	7.7
Conner Harrell	21	37	57%	282	2	1	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omarion Hampton	281	1660	15	5.9	75
Davion Gause	67	326	4	4.9	21
Jacolby Criswell (Tr)	71	103	3	1.5	20
Charleston French	10	84	1	8.4	45

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
J.J. Jones	36	582	6	16.2	53
John Copenhaver	40	414	4	10.4	35
Omarion Hampton	38	373	2	9.8	49
Kobe Paysour	21	365	0	17.4	36

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC Geoff Collins (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Antavious Lane	74	4	1	0	2
Power Echols	73	2	1	2	6
Amare Campbell	69	9	6	3	2
Jakeen Harris (Tr)	67	1	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Beau Atkinson	35	12	8	4	0
Kaimon Rucker	30	8	6	3	1
Amare Campbell	69	9	6	3	2
Desmond Evans	34	10	5	9	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alijah Huzzie	36	4	2	1	8
Power Echols	73	2	1	2	6
Jakeen Harris (Tr)	67	1	0	0	4