Stanford at North Carolina - 2025 Matchup Preview
Stanford logo Stanford Cardinal at North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Kenan Memorial Stadium - Chapel Hill, NC  (ACC)

 
Cardinal (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Frank Reich (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (21 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.3 - 8.7 (#130)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 3)
UNC is playing their 4th straight game
STAN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: North Carolina -10   (SP+ UNC -8)
Projected Score: STAN: 26 - UNC: 36 (58)
UNC Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
STAN Travel: 2371 miles, 3 hrs behind
Tar Heels (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bill Belichick (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (36 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#68)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 5)
 
Stanford's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Stanford at Hawai'i-2.555.5
Sat 9/6 Stanford at BYU+14.5
Sat 9/13 Stanford vs Boston College+5.5
Sat 9/20 Stanford at Virginia+7.5
Sat 9/27 Stanford vs San José State-2
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Stanford at SMU+21.5
Sat 10/18 Stanford vs Florida State+10.5
Sat 10/25 Stanford at Miami+28
Sat 11/1 Stanford vs Pittsburgh+7.5
Sat 11/8 Stanford at North Carolina+10
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Stanford vs California+1
Sat 11/29 Stanford vs Notre Dame+29

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule
North Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/1 North Carolina vs TCU+2.559.0
Sat 9/6 North Carolina at Charlotte-19.5
Sat 9/13 North Carolina vs Richmond-25.5
Sat 9/20 North Carolina at UCF-0.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 North Carolina vs Clemson+21
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 North Carolina at California-1.5
Sat 10/25 North Carolina vs Virginia-4.5
Fri 10/31 North Carolina at Syracuse+6
Sat 11/8 North Carolina vs Stanford-10
Sat 11/15 North Carolina at Wake Forest-6.5
Sat 11/22 North Carolina vs Duke+1
Sat 11/29 North Carolina at NC State+6.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STAN#114 (.1)40% (101)22.841% (95)2.72 (116)13439% (98)1913.67 (92)#120 (.27)47% (119)33.745% (92)48% (124)4.53 (124)491.81.3
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)30.947% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)28.144% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STAN Offense1222.821.240.1%3.671.8193251341913.750%50%41%39%22%.1
UNC Defense1328.133.440.5%4.011.2 - - - - - 53%46%44%37%15%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STAN Defense1233.738.346.6%4.531.3 - - - - - 43%57%45%48%14%.27
UNC Offense1330.93642%4.081.2203911752164.952%47%47%37%15%.2

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Stanford1231:4118.535%56%5.4491.81.35.32.1228.5
North Carolina1327:4220.240%50%6.859.81.21.25.22.8629.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STAN Offense1250% (71)41% (95)36.3133.83.711 (116).08 (97)2.72 (116)66% (111)15% (131)1.01 (52)
UNC Defense1353% (92)44% (82) - - - - .16 (88)3.39 (121)86% (130)9% (83)0.89 (29)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STAN Defense1243% (4)45% (92) - - - - .11 (62)2.92 (53)68% (39)10% (58)0.99 (70)
UNC Offense1352% (53)47% (34)35.9175.24.926 (36).26 (14)3.32 (22)70% (89)9% (54)1.06 (36)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STAN Offense1250% (64)39% (98)18.730.8191.36.210.318 (68)17 (127).13 (111)1.5 (120)32% (82)26% (116).22 (106)7% (102)2.1 (29)
UNC Defense1346% (38)37% (26) - - - - - - 9 (76).22 (64)1.8 (125)32% (66)26% (12).23 (35)5% (103)2.2 (99)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STAN Defense1257% (131)48% (124) - - - - - - 9 (76).4 (125)1.6 (69)30% (96)34% (113).33 (85)4% (129)2 (51)
UNC Offense1347% (82)37% (114)16.829215.97.512.817 (79)8 (40).17 (101)1.7 (29)32% (74)29% (94).32 (78)6% (60)2.1 (33)

Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -4.81 #80
Stanford's Offense Rating: 9.63 #94
Stanford's Defense Rating: 14.44 #64
2025 Talent Rating: 804.00 #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #40
Stanford's 2025 Expected Record: 3.3 - 8.7
Stanford's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.2 #88
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7 #96

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.18
Average Power Five Talent: 856.9
Average FBS Talent: 681.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -4.81   North Carolina: 4.385

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -6.2   North Carolina: 2.0




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 4.385 #59
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 15.19 #59
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 13.42 #61
2025 Talent Rating: 862.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 15 #30
North Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 5.5
North Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #54
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #39
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #74

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.18
Average Power Five Talent: 856.9
Average FBS Talent: 681.31


Stanford Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.2
Defense: 33.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.3

Stanford's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 36
Stanford 26

Projected Total Points: 58
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4

North Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201612/30North Carolina23Stanford25StanfordStanford -2.5North Carolina55.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina010 Overs
Stanford101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#80) Stanford Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.81 #80
Offense Rating: 9.63 #94
Defense Rating: 14.44 #64
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7 #96
Talent Rating: 804.00 #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #40
Expected Record: 3.3 - 8.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.67 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.53 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Stanford Notes
(6/14) WR top 3 are portals, 2 FCS. Pantelis (Yale) fun
(6/14) RBs Ford & Davis some exp, Tabb a little. Starter?
(6/14) OL has 4 with starting exp, but avg to bad grades
(6/14) QB Brown, Rizk (UCF) some exp, #1 Daniels left
(5/2) TE Roush a reliable target, 70 catches past 2 yrs
(4/1) New HC Reich a one year interim HC
(3/25) HC Taylor fired by Luck for behavior issues
(3/21) RB awful LY, Daniels was lead rusher. Not ideal
(3/21) Def returns a ton, but a disaster LY.
(3/21) Former QB Luck now GM, oversees HC/staff
Stanford     Ratings Matchup     North Carolina
Power #80
#59
Off #94
#59
Def #64
#61
Talent #45
#27
SP+ #88
#54
SP+ Off #82
#39
SP+ Def #96
#74

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: STAN | UNC
Depth Chart: STAN | UNC
Rosters: STAN | UNC
(#59) North Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.385 #59
Offense Rating: 15.19 #59
Defense Rating: 13.42 #61
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #54
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #39
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #74
Talent Rating: 862.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 15 #30
Expected Record: 6.5 - 5.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.08 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.01 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


North Carolina Notes
(4/17) QB Lopez (S Al) added post spring.
(4/17) NFL style not open to fans/media. We'll see
(4/17) Is Lopez QB1? Have Johnson (Inj)/Browne (PU)
(3/21) RB rebuild. Some options, SO Gause has exp
(3/21) WR/TE rebuild. Have some talented options
(3/21) OL rebuild 1/5 back. 5 portal adds.
(3/21) Def - Run Def awful LY. Have some DE's
(3/21) Nearly 1/2 roster new TY. New staff
(3/21) Is Belichick serious here? Staff hires say no
(3/21) Sched is easiest in P4. Just OK wins 8-9


  
Stanford's OC TBD
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dylan Rizk (Tr)7311862%915527.8
Elijah Brown284858%274235.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Micah Ford7630904.126
Chris Davis Jr.5428805.347
Cole Tabb2713004.839
Caden High (Tr)119308.523
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
David Pantelis (Tr)61901814.862
Caden High (Tr)60876614.670
Sam Roush4033428.428
CJ Williams16248215.550

View Stanford's Full Roster
Stanford's DC Bobby April
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Scotty Edwards802002
Mitch Leigber544011
Collin Wright453005
Tevarua Tafiti417430
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tevarua Tafiti417430
Zach Buckey116301
Hunter Barth (Tr)384212
Ernest Cooper223120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Collin Wright453005
Aaron Morris320004
Scotty Edwards802002

North Carolina's OC Freddie Kitchens
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Giovanni Lopez20531166%25571858.2
Max Johnson121963%71013.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Giovanni Lopez8246575.750
Davion Gause6732644.921
Charleston French108418.445
Caleb Hood188104.516
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kobe Paysour21365017.436
Aziah Johnson (Tr)16276217.352
Chris Culliver6135122.550
Jordan Shipp9114112.722

View North Carolina's Full Roster
North Carolina's DC Stephen Belichick
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaleb Cost613104
Gavin Gibson (Tr)527013
Mikai Gbayor (Tr)496133
Andrew Simpson (Tr)4511300
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pryce Yates (Tr)217451
Andrew Simpson (Tr)4511300
Isaiah Johnson (Tr)83210
C.J. Mims (Tr)214100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thaddeus Dixon (Tr)4320010
Kaleb Cost613104
Khmori House (Tr)331014