Syracuse at North Carolina - 2026 Matchup Preview

Syracuse Orange at North Carolina Tar Heels

Saturday, October 24th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Kenan Memorial Stadium - Chapel Hill, NC

Orange (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Fran Brown (13 - 12)
Avg Score : 20 - 35 (17 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#115)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNC is playing their 4th straight game
SYR is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: North Carolina -9 (SP+ UNC -7)
Projected Score: SYR: 21 - UNC: 30 (51)
UNC Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
SYR Travel: 516 miles

Tar Heels (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bill Belichick (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (21 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#96)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SYR Players
UNC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Syracuse's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Syracuse vs New Hampshire	-16
Sat 9/12	Syracuse vs California	+5.5
Thu 9/17	Syracuse at Pittsburgh	+18
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3	Syracuse at UConn	+5.5
Sat 10/10	Syracuse at Virginia	+18.5
Sat 10/17	Syracuse vs Louisville	+15.5
Sat 10/24	Syracuse at North Carolina	+9
Fri 10/30	Syracuse vs SMU	+16.5
Fri 11/6	Syracuse vs Clemson	+13.5
Sat 11/14	Syracuse at NC State	+17
Sat 11/21	Syracuse at Boston College	+5.5
Sat 11/28	Syracuse vs Notre Dame	+31.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule

North Carolina's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/29	North Carolina at TCU	+11.5
Sat 9/12	North Carolina vs East Tennessee State	-22.5
Sat 9/19	North Carolina at Clemson	+12
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3	North Carolina vs Notre Dame	+25
Sat 10/10	North Carolina at Pittsburgh	+11.5
Sat 10/17	North Carolina at Duke	+8
Sat 10/24	North Carolina vs Syracuse	-9
Sat 10/31	North Carolina vs Miami	+22
Sat 11/7	North Carolina at UConn	-1
Sat 11/14	North Carolina vs Louisville	+9
Sat 11/21	North Carolina at Virginia	+12
Sat 11/28	North Carolina vs NC State	+5.5

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SYR	#127 (.03)	38% (117)	20.2	41% (95)	2.61 (124)	123	35% (125)	217	2.98 (123)	#129 (.28)	45% (120)	34.9	45% (98)	46% (120)	4.15 (113)	54.9	1.9	0.8
UNC	#119 (.07)	38% (115)	19.3	38% (121)	2.72 (110)	105	39% (98)	184	3.33 (108)	#78 (.18)	41% (60)	24.5	42% (64)	40% (50)	3.58 (61)	62.6	1.3	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SYR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SYR Offense	12	20.2	17	37.7%	2.98	1.9	19	340	123	217	3.4	47%	52%	41%	35%	19%	.03
UNC Defense	12	24.5	26	40.9%	3.58	1	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	42%	40%	15%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SYR Defense	12	34.9	40.2	45.4%	4.15	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	45%	46%	13%	.28
UNC Offense	12	19.3	21	38.2%	3.33	1.3	17	289	105	184	3.7	48%	50%	38%	39%	17%	.07

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Syracuse	12	30:28	19.4	35%	47%	6.2	54.9	1.9	0.8	4.8	1.6	0	27.6
North Carolina	12	28:24	16.6	37%	73%	6.6	62.6	1.3	1	5.1	2.6	0	29.3

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SYR Offense	12	47% (89)	41% (95)	36.2	123.1	3.4	12 (88)	(122)	2.61 (124)	70% (83)	11% (105)	0.87 (115)
UNC Defense	12	47% (36)	42% (64)	-	-	-	-	.14 (91)	2.72 (37)	89% (134)	10% (70)	0.99 (88)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SYR Defense	12	47% (29)	45% (98)	-	-	-	-	.11 (78)	2.92 (77)	64% (24)	8% (112)	1.04 (107)
UNC Offense	12	48% (83)	38% (121)	28.8	105.2	3.7	11 (107)	-.03 (130)	2.72 (110)	64% (114)	11% (111)	0.8 (127)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SYR Offense	12	52% (42)	35% (125)	19.2	34	217.3	6.4	11.3	17 (30)	15 (132)	.1 (124)	1.6 (52)	33% (94)	24% (124)	.12 (128)	8% (129)	2.1 (44)
UNC Defense	12	51% (103)	40% (50)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (75)	.2 (51)	1.4 (17)	31% (76)	29% (61)	.32 (78)	5% (90)	2 (51)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SYR Defense	12	52% (114)	46% (120)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (55)	.44 (131)	1.5 (60)	29% (106)	33% (108)	.48 (132)	5% (99)	2.1 (90)
UNC Offense	12	50% (58)	39% (98)	18.9	29.6	183.9	6.2	9.7	13 (121)	6 (34)	.21 (92)	1.5 (103)	31% (56)	28% (92)	.26 (85)	6% (55)	1.8 (130)

Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: -1.90 #67
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 12.62 #56
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 19.52 #81
2026 Talent Rating: 832.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #49
Syracuse's 2026 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Syracuse's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.1 #115
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.8 #115
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #106

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: -1.90 North Carolina: 1.485

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: -13.1 North Carolina: -6.6

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 1.485 #45
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 10.85 #67
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 11.28 #32
2026 Talent Rating: 1006.00 #13
Blue Chip Ratio: 17 #29
North Carolina's 2026 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
North Carolina's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #91
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #123
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #58

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 20.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 34.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.2

Syracuse's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
North Carolina 30
Syracuse 21

Projected Total Points: 51

North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

North Carolina's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/31	Syracuse	10	North Carolina	27	Syracuse -1.5	North Carolina	45.5	Under
2023	10/07	North Carolina	40	Syracuse	7	North Carolina -9.5	North Carolina	59.0	Under
2020	09/12	North Carolina	31	Syracuse	6	North Carolina -24.5	North Carolina	67.0	Under
2018	10/20	Syracuse	40	North Carolina	37	Syracuse -9.5	North Carolina	67.0	Over
2003	09/06	North Carolina	47	Syracuse	49
2002	09/07	Syracuse	22	North Carolina	30

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
North Carolina	4	4	1 Overs
Syracuse	2	0	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 3	2 - 2	2 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	3 - 3	2 - 2	0 - 0	2 - 2

(#67) SYR at (#45) UNC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SYR	UNC
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#67	#45
SP+SP+	#115	#91
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#40	#13
Blue ChipsBC%	#49	#29

Syracuse Injury Report

North Carolina Injury Report

Syracuse on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	SYR Off	UNC Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#117	#60
ExplosiveExp	#96	#62
PPAPPA	#127	#78
PowerPwr	#56	#32
SP+SP+	#115	#58
Pts POPPO	#123	#61
HavocHav	#125	#91

Syracuse Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	SYR Off	UNC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#95	#64
Run ExplRExp	#115	#88
PPAExp	#122	#91
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#124	#37
Stuff RateStuff	#69	#99
TackleTak	-	NR

Syracuse Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	SYR Off	UNC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#125	#50
Pass ExplPExl	#52	#17
PPAExp	#124	#51
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#105	#70
DB HavocDB	#129	#90

North Carolina on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	UNC Off	SYR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#115	#120
ExplosiveExp	#121	#106
PPAPPA	#119	#129
PowerPwr	#67	#81
SP+SP+	#123	#106
Pts POPPO	#108	#113
HavocHav	#94	#114

North Carolina Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	UNC Off	SYR Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#121	#98
Run ExplRExp	#127	#107
PPAExp	#130	#78
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#110	#77
Stuff RateStuff	#67	#42
TackleTak	-	NR

North Carolina Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	UNC Off	SYR Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#98	#120
Pass ExplPExl	#103	#60
PPAExp	#92	#131
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#111	#112
DB HavocDB	#55	#99

Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'26 Profile: Down to Average G5

SYR 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'26 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Syracuse last year (27-10)
North Carolina beat Syracuse in 2023 (40-7)

SYR's OC Jeff Nixon (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Amari Odom (Tr)	189	291	65%	2594	19	8	8.9
Malachi Nelson (Tr)	104	190	55%	1163	8	9	6.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Amari Odom (Tr)	120	347	7	2.9	24
Tylik Hill	24	129	0	5.4	15
Braden Davis	88	120	1	1.4	33
Joseph Filardi	30	87	1	2.9	26

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cole Weaver (Tr)	45	642	1	14.3	36
Noah Meyers (Tr)	32	357	3	11.2	62
Darien Williams	9	112	1	12.4	35
Tyshawn Russell	8	84	0	10.5	28

View Syracuse's Full Roster

SYR's DC Vince Kehres (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris D'Appolonia (Tr)	59	4	1	2	4
Gary Bryant III	53	5	1	1	0
Tunmise Adeleye (Tr)	48	8	6	6	3
Antoine Deslauriers	48	3	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tunmise Adeleye (Tr)	48	8	6	6	3
Jamie Tremble	10	3	3	2	0
Jartavius Flounoy (Tr)	22	6	3	1	1
Braheem Long Jr.	42	2	2	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Chris Peal	39	2	0	7
Demetres Samuel Jr.	37	1	0	7
Nazir Ward (Tr)	35	3	1	6

UNC's OC Bobby Petrino (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Billy Edwards	7	16	44%	113	0	0	7.1
Miles O'Neill (Tr)	7	14	50%	120	1	2	8.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Demon June	84	464	2	5.5	50
Benjamin Hall	71	274	2	3.9	18
Trech Kekahuna (Tr)	14	129	1	9.2	61
Jaylen McGill	7	19	0	2.7	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan Shipp	60	671	6	11.2	55
Trech Kekahuna (Tr)	26	211	0	8.1	45
Demon June	17	159	1	9.4	72
Jordan Washington (Tr)	7	109	1	15.6	32

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC Stephen Belichick (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Melkart Abou-Jaoude	47	12	11	5	0
Kaleb Cost	45	2	0	0	5
Isaiah Johnson	37	3	2	1	0
Leroy Jackson	34	0	0	2	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Melkart Abou-Jaoude	47	12	11	5
Isaiah Johnson	37	3	2	1
Jaylen Harvey (Tr)	9	2	1	1
Xavier Lewis	8	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Kaleb Cost	45	2	5
Jaiden Patterson	33	2	5
Coleman Bryson	16	0	2