Richmond at North Carolina - 2025 Matchup Preview
Richmond logo Richmond Spiders at North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
North Carolina -24.5 (47.5) (-5000)  Open: -21.0 | 46.5
North Carolina 41 - Richmond: 6

 
Spiders (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 6 - 41 (6 - 41 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: North Carolina -0.5  (SP+ UNC -5)
UNC Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
Tar Heels (3 - 5) (5 - 3 - 0)
Coach Bill Belichick (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 22 (20 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#99)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 2)
 
Richmond's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Richmond at North Carolina+24.547.5L 6 - 41UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Richmond's Schedule
North Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/1 North Carolina vs TCU+3.059.5L 14 - 48ON
Sat 9/6 North Carolina at Charlotte-16.549.5W 20 - 3UY
Sat 9/13 North Carolina vs Richmond-24.547.5W 41 - 6UY
Sat 9/20 North Carolina at UCF+7.046.5L 9 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 North Carolina vs Clemson+15.547.5L 10 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 North Carolina at California+7.545.5L 18 - 21UY
Sat 10/25 North Carolina vs Virginia+12.551.5L 16 - 17UY
Fri 10/31 North Carolina at Syracuse+1.545.5W 27 - 10UY
Sat 11/8 North Carolina vs Stanford-8.541.5
Sat 11/15 North Carolina at Wake Forest+8.5
Sat 11/22 North Carolina vs Duke+7
Sat 11/29 North Carolina at NC State+11

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RICH0%60%000%000%410%0%0000
UNC#120 (.06)39% (113)19.441% (92)3.08 (37)12337% (118)1763.08 (119)#52 (.12)39% (34)22.137% (25)40% (60)2.88 (13)50.11.61.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)47% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)44% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RICH Offense1660%00000000%0%0%0%0%
UNC Defense822.127.338.8%2.881.1 - - - - - 46%54%37%40%16%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RICH Defense141410%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
UNC Offense819.420.339%3.081.617299123176453%46%41%37%16%.06

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Richmond10:000NAN%0%0000000100
North Carolina829:0316.532%77%5.150.11.61.15.12.1029.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RICH Offense10%0%000000%0%0
UNC Defense846% (27)37% (25) - - - - .03 (33)2.38 (30)93% (136)10% (60)0.88 (35)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RICH Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
UNC Offense853% (48)41% (92)30.8123.149 (107).04 (105)3.08 (37)71% (73)11% (106)0.85 (120)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RICH Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
UNC Defense854% (111)40% (60) - - - - - - 5 (75).21 (63)1.4 (31)32% (63)26% (24).19 (32)6% (84)1.7 (7)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RICH Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
UNC Offense846% (91)37% (118)18.128.8175.56.19.78 (121)6 (34).13 (116)1.5 (84)28% (24)27% (102).22 (97)6% (57)1.6 (134)

Richmond's Power Ratings
Richmond's Power Rating: NR
Richmond's Offense Rating: NR
Richmond's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Richmond's 2025 Expected Record: -
Richmond's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Richmond's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Richmond's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average CAA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Richmond:    North Carolina: 0.68

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Richmond:    North Carolina: -5.1




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 0.68  #69
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 3.42  #105
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 1.96  #37
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00  #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 17  #29
North Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 4.6 - 7.4
North Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1  #89
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2  #118
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3  #55

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Richmond Scoring
Offense: 6 PPG
Offense on Road: 6
Defense: 41 PPG
Defense on Road: 41

Richmond's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 24
Richmond 24

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
North Carolina 28
Richmond 25

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
North Carolina 30
Richmond 15

Total Points: 45
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.3
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

North Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13North Carolina41Richmond6North Carolina -24.5North Carolina47.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina110 Overs
Richmond001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#NR) RICH at (#69) UNC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatRICHUNC
Power RatePwrNR #69
SP+SP+NR #89
Perf GradeGradeNR #80
OffenseOffNR #108
DefenseDefNR #43
Spec TeamsSTNR #34
TalentTalNR #17
Blue ChipsBC%NR #29
North Carolina Notes
(10/25) Playing much better & still finding ways to lose
(10/21) OT W Boone no longer w/ team, started 1st 3 games
(10/8) Sounds like this Belichick experiment is ending fast
(9/20) Team is a complete joke, fitting for Carolina
(9/1) Worse than even I thought, Def bad G5 level
(8/27) QB1 - Gio Lopez has won starting job in fall
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 52% from portals
(4/17) QB Lopez (S Al) added post spring.
(4/17) NFL style not open to fans/media. We'll see
(4/17) Is Lopez QB1? Have Johnson (Inj)/Browne (PU)
(3/21) RB rebuild. Some options, SO Gause has exp
(3/21) WR/TE rebuild. Have some talented options
North Carolina Injury Report
Richmond on Offense
CategoryCat
RICH OffUNC Def
Perf GradePerfNR #43
SuccessSucNR #34
ExplosiveExpNR #41
PPAPPANR #52
PowerPwrNR #37
SP+SP+NR #55
Pts POPPONR #13
HavocHavNR #74
Richmond Run Game
CategoryCat
RICH OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNR #54
Run SuccessRSucNR #25
Run ExplRExpNR #35
PPAExpNR #33
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #30
Stuff RateStuffNR #46
TackleTak -  #43
Richmond Pass Game
CategoryCat
RICH OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNR #66
Pass SuccessPSucNR #60
Pass ExplPExlNR #31
PPAExpNR #63
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #34
F7 HavocF7NR #60
DB HavocDBNR #84
North Carolina on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatUNC OffRICH Def
Perf GradePerf #108NR
SuccessSuc #113NR
ExplosiveExp #125NR
PPAPPA #120NR
PowerPwr #105NR
SP+SP+ #118NR
Pts POPPO #119NR
HavocHav #83NR
North Carolina Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
UNC OffRICH Def
Run GameRun #110NR
Run SuccessRSuc #92NR
Run ExplRExp #120NR
PPAExp #105NR
Run BlockR Blk #51 -
OL YdsOLY #37NR
Stuff RateStuff #17NR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatUNC OffRICH Def
Pass GamePass #111NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #118NR
Pass ExplPExl #84NR
PPAExp #116NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #51NR
F7 HavocF7 #106NR
DB HavocDB #57NR
Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

RICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 76° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 3
North Carolina -24.5 (47.5)
North Carolina won vs Richmond this year (41-6)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
RICH's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyle Wickersham10515966%990536.2
Ashten Snelsire427854%705859.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Aziz Foster-Powell10448134.627
Kyle Wickersham8732443.738
Jamaal Brown5825104.343
Andrew King2717516.583
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Dawson35472413.567
Ja'Vion Griffin29379313.152
Andreas Hill14284220.375
Andrew King1916938.925

View Richmond's Full Roster

RICH's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Peyton Seelmann90010
Blake Houser70020
Matei Fitz60000
Lee Bruner IV50001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Camden Byrd31100
TJ Baldwin31100
Daniel Sellers11100
Peyton Seelmann90010
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lee Bruner IV50001
Peyton Seelmann90010
Blake Houser70020

UNC's OC Freddie Kitchens (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Giovanni Lopez9915763%1021656.5
Max Johnson467264%383205.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Demon June6441626.550
Benjamin Hall (Tr)5020324.118
Davion Gause4116224.025
Giovanni Lopez5712522.215
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Shipp35384311.039
Kobe Paysour14232116.644
Demon June1211719.872
Javarius Green8110013.839

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC Stephen Belichick (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khmori House (Tr)412030
Kaleb Cost361004
Andrew Simpson (Tr)366211
Will Hardy272000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Melkart Abou-Jaoude (Tr)258750
Tyler Thompson155410
Andrew Simpson (Tr)366211
C.J. Mims (Tr)243200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcus Allen181005
Jaiden Patterson211004
Kaleb Cost361004