Richmond at North Carolina - 2025 Matchup Preview
Richmond logo   Richmond Spiders at North Carolina Tar Heels  North Carolina logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
North Carolina -24.5 (47.5) (-5000)  Open: -21.0 | 46.5
North Carolina 41 - Richmond: 6

 
Spiders (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 6 - 41 (6 - 41 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -1.5  (SP+ UNC -7)
UNC Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
Tar Heels (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Bill Belichick (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (21 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 2)
 
Richmond's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Richmond at North Carolina+24.547.5L 6 - 41UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Richmond's Schedule
North Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/1 North Carolina vs TCU+3.059.5L 14 - 48ON
Sat 9/6 North Carolina at Charlotte-16.549.5W 20 - 3UY
Sat 9/13 North Carolina vs Richmond-24.547.5W 41 - 6UY
Sat 9/20 North Carolina at UCF+7.046.5L 9 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 North Carolina vs Clemson+15.547.5L 10 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 North Carolina at California+7.545.5L 18 - 21UY
Sat 10/25 North Carolina vs Virginia+12.551.5L 16 - 17UY
Fri 10/31 North Carolina at Syracuse+1.545.5W 27 - 10UY
Sat 11/8 North Carolina vs Stanford-8.541.5W 20 - 15UN
Sat 11/15 North Carolina at Wake Forest+3.537.5L 12 - 28ON
Sat 11/22 North Carolina vs Duke+6.550.5L 25 - 32ON
Sat 11/29 North Carolina at NC State+7.048.5L 19 - 42ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RICH0%60%000%000%410%0%0000
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)19.347% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)24.544% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RICH Offense1660%00000000%0%0%0%0%
UNC Defense1324.52640.5%4.011.2 - - - - - 53%46%44%37%15%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RICH Defense141410%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
UNC Offense1319.32142%4.081.2203911752164.952%47%47%37%15%.2

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Richmond10:000NAN%0%0000000100
North Carolina1327:4220.240%50%6.859.81.21.25.22.8629.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RICH Offense10%0%000000%0%0
UNC Defense1353% (92)44% (82) - - - - .16 (88)3.39 (121)86% (130)9% (83)0.89 (29)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RICH Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
UNC Offense1352% (53)47% (34)35.9175.24.926 (36).26 (14)3.32 (22)70% (89)9% (54)1.06 (36)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RICH Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
UNC Defense1346% (38)37% (26) - - - - - - 9 (76).22 (64)1.8 (125)32% (66)26% (12).23 (35)5% (103)2.2 (99)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RICH Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
UNC Offense1347% (82)37% (114)16.829215.97.512.817 (79)8 (40).17 (101)1.7 (29)32% (74)29% (94).32 (78)6% (60)2.1 (33)

Richmond's Power Ratings
Richmond's Power Rating: NR
Richmond's Offense Rating: NR
Richmond's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Richmond's 2025 Expected Record: -
Richmond's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Richmond's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Richmond's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average CAA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Richmond:    North Carolina: -1.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Richmond:    North Carolina: -6.6




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: -1.6  #72
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 11.32  #78
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 12.92  #62
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00  #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 17  #29
North Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
North Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6  #91
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2  #123
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #58

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Richmond Scoring
Offense: 6 PPG
Offense on Road: 6
Defense: 41 PPG
Defense on Road: 41

Richmond's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 31
Richmond 16

Projected Total Points: 47
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

North Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13North Carolina41Richmond6North Carolina -24.5North Carolina47.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina110 Overs
Richmond001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) RICH at (#72) UNC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatRICHUNC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #72
SP+SP+NR #91
Perf GradeGradeNR #83
OffenseOffNR #99
DefenseDefNR #52
Spec TeamsSTNR #70
TalentTalNR #17
Blue ChipsBC%NR #29
North Carolina Notes
(12/12) Fired OC Freddie Kitchens & STC Mike Priefer
(10/25) Playing much better & still finding ways to lose
(10/21) OT W Boone no longer w/ team, started 1st 3 games
(10/8) Sounds like this Belichick experiment is ending fast
(9/20) Team is a complete joke, fitting for Carolina
(9/1) Worse than even I thought, Def bad G5 level
(8/27) QB1 - Gio Lopez has won starting job in fall
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 52% from portals
(4/17) QB Lopez (S Al) added post spring.
(4/17) NFL style not open to fans/media. We'll see
(4/17) Is Lopez QB1? Have Johnson (Inj)/Browne (PU)
(3/21) RB rebuild. Some options, SO Gause has exp
North Carolina Injury Report
Richmond on Offense
CategoryCat
RICH OffUNC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #52
SuccessSucNR #53
ExplosiveExpNR #66
PPAPPANR #70
PowerPwrNR #62
SP+SP+NR #58
Pts POPPONR #90
HavocHavNR #90
Richmond Run Game
CategoryCat
RICH OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNR #53
Run SuccessRSucNR #82
Run ExplRExpNR #29
PPAExpNR #88
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #121
Stuff RateStuffNR #126
TackleTak -  #71
Richmond Pass Game
CategoryCat
RICH OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNR #75
Pass SuccessPSucNR #26
Pass ExplPExlNR #125
PPAExpNR #64
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #39
F7 HavocF7NR #83
DB HavocDBNR #103
North Carolina on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatUNC OffRICH Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #99NR
SuccessSuc #80NR
ExplosiveExp #39NR
PPAPPA #65NR
PowerPwr #78NR
SP+SP+ #123NR
Pts POPPO #52NR
HavocHav #49NR
North Carolina Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
UNC OffRICH Def
Run GameRun #108NR
Run SuccessRSuc #34NR
Run ExplRExp #36NR
PPAExp #14NR
Run BlockR Blk #77 -
OL YdsOLY #22NR
Stuff RateStuff #19NR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatUNC OffRICH Def
Pass GamePass #91NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #114NR
Pass ExplPExl #29NR
PPAExp #101NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #49NR
F7 HavocF7 #54NR
DB HavocDB #60NR
Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

RICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
North Carolina -24.5 (47.5)
North Carolina won vs Richmond this year (41-6)

Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Richmond last year (41-6)

  
RICH's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyle Wickersham13721265%1352946.4
Ashten Snelsire5811152%848857.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Aziz Foster-Powell12556844.527
Kyle Wickersham11543863.838
Jamaal Brown6527904.343
Ashten Snelsire5318833.515
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Vion Griffin48585512.252
Isaiah Dawson42575413.767
Andreas Hill18314317.475
Quanye Veney20260113.049

View Richmond's Full Roster

RICH's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Peyton Seelmann90010
Blake Houser70020
Matei Fitz60000
Lee Bruner IV50001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Camden Byrd31100
TJ Baldwin31100
Daniel Sellers11100
Peyton Seelmann90010
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lee Bruner IV50001
Peyton Seelmann90010
Blake Houser70020

UNC's OC Freddie Kitchens (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Giovanni Lopez17026165%17471056.7
Max Johnson548762%437205.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Demon June8446425.550
Benjamin Hall (Tr)7127423.918
Davion Gause6125834.225
Giovanni Lopez8613331.517
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Shipp60671611.255
Kobe Paysour35438112.544
Demon June1715919.472
Javarius Green13150011.539

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC Stephen Belichick (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khmori House (Tr)733161
Andrew Simpson (Tr)599561
Will Hardy512000
Melkart Abou-Jaoude (Tr)47121150
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Melkart Abou-Jaoude (Tr)47121150
Tyler Thompson268711
Andrew Simpson (Tr)599561
C.J. Mims (Tr)413200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcus Allen352108
Thaddeus Dixon (Tr)202006
Jaiden Patterson332005