North Carolina at Georgia Tech - 2021 Matchup Preview

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Saturday, September 25th 2021 (7:30 PM EDT)
North Carolina -14.5 (66.0)
Georgia Tech 45 - North Carolina: 22 (ACC)

Tar Heels (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mack Brown (17 - 11)
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (18 - 23 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

GT is playing their 4th straight game
UNC is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -6.5 (SP+ UNC -13)
Projected Score: UNC: 21 - GT: 29 (50)
UNC Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
UNC Travel: 338 miles

Yellow Jackets (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Geoff Collins (7 - 18)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (39 - 23 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNC Players
GT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

North Carolina's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	North Carolina at Virginia Tech	-5.5	63.5	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/11	North Carolina vs Georgia State	-26.0	65.0	W 59 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/18	North Carolina vs Virginia	-7.5	67.0	W 59 - 39	O	Y
Sat 9/25	North Carolina vs Georgia Tech	-14.5	66.0	L 22 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/2	North Carolina vs Duke	-19.5	74.0	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/9	North Carolina vs Florida State	-17.5	64.5	L 25 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/16	North Carolina vs Miami	-7.5	63.5	W 45 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	North Carolina at Notre Dame	+3.5	63.0	L 34 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/6	North Carolina vs Wake Forest	-2.5	78.0	W 58 - 55	O	Y
Thu 11/11	North Carolina at Pittsburgh	+6.5	72.0	L 23 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/20	North Carolina vs Wofford	-37.0	62.0	W 34 - 14	U	N
Fri 11/26	North Carolina at NC State	+6.5	62.0	L 30 - 34	O	Y
Thu 12/30	North Carolina vs South Carolina	-12.5	57.5	L 21 - 38	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule

Georgia Tech's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Georgia Tech vs Northern Illinois	-19.0	57.0	L 21 - 22	U	N
Sat 9/11	Georgia Tech vs Kennesaw State	-20.0	53.0	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Georgia Tech at Clemson	+27.5	52.5	L 8 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Georgia Tech vs North Carolina	+14.5	66.0	W 45 - 22	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Georgia Tech vs Pittsburgh	+3.0	57.5	L 21 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/9	Georgia Tech at Duke	-4.5	60.5	W 31 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Georgia Tech at Virginia	+6.5	66.0	L 40 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/30	Georgia Tech vs Virginia Tech	-3.0	55.0	L 17 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/6	Georgia Tech at Miami	+10.0	63.0	L 30 - 33	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Georgia Tech vs Boston College	+2.0	55.0	L 30 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/20	Georgia Tech at Notre Dame	+18.0	57.5	L 0 - 55	U	N
Sat 11/27	Georgia Tech vs Georgia	+35.5	54.5	L 0 - 45	U	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNC	.41	51%	19.3	52%	3.27	236	49%	301	4.75	.22	42%	24.5	47%	37%	3.82	67.3	1.1	0.9
GT	.16	43%	32.2	47%	2.96	190	38%	199	3.42	.2	44%	25	45%	43%	3.46	74.9	2.5	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
GT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNC Offense	12	19.3	17.5	50.6%	4.75	1.1	26	537	236	301	5.8	51%	49%	52%	49%	15%	.41
GT Defense	10	25	22.5	43.9%	3.46	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	45%	43%	15%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNC Defense	12	24.5	23	42.1%	3.82	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	47%	37%	15%	.22
GT Offense	10	32.2	38.7	42.8%	3.42	2.5	20	390	190	199	4.7	55%	45%	47%	38%	20%	.16

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
North Carolina	12	30:47	26.3	45%	58%	6.9	67.3	1.1	0.9	5.8	3	0	29.1
Georgia Tech	10	27:02	19.9	41%	36%	8.9	74.9	2.5	1.8	6.2	2.1	0	28.8

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNC Offense	12	51%	52%	41	235.8	5.8	35	.33	3.27	77%	10%	1.19
GT Defense	10	53%	45%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.99	80%	10%	0.88

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNC Defense	12	50%	47%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.14	80%	9%	0.99
GT Offense	10	55%	47%	40.7	190.4	4.7	18	.2	2.96	72%	14%	1.12

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNC Offense	12	49%	49%	20.3	29.8	301.4	10.1	14.8	31	8	.5	1.8	27%	39%	.61	5%	2.3
GT Defense	10	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.34	1.7	31%	36%	.44	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNC Defense	12	50%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.25	1.8	30%	32%	.38	6%	2.1
GT Offense	10	45%	38%	15.2	28.3	199.1	7	13.1	14	13	.11	1.7	34%	29%	.23	6%	2.2

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Carolina's 2021 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.4 #59
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #11
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7 #101

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: Georgia Tech: -3.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 6.4 Georgia Tech: -6.7

Georgia Tech's Power Ratings
Georgia Tech's Power Rating: -3.35 NR
Georgia Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Georgia Tech's 2021 Expected Record: -
Georgia Tech's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7 #97
Georgia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #84
Georgia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #103

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

North Carolina's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia Tech 29
North Carolina 21

Projected Total Points: 50

Georgia Tech Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

Georgia Tech's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	North Carolina	34	Georgia Tech	41	Georgia Tech -3.5	Georgia Tech	60.5	Over
2023	10/28	Georgia Tech	46	North Carolina	42	North Carolina -12	Georgia Tech	65.5	Over
2022	11/19	North Carolina	17	Georgia Tech	21	North Carolina -21.5	Georgia Tech	63.5	Under
2021	09/25	Georgia Tech	45	North Carolina	22	North Carolina -14.5	Georgia Tech	66.0	Over
2019	10/05	Georgia Tech	22	North Carolina	38	North Carolina -9.5	North Carolina	47.0	Over
2018	11/03	North Carolina	28	Georgia Tech	38	Georgia Tech -4	Georgia Tech	66.0	Push
2017	09/30	Georgia Tech	33	North Carolina	7	Georgia Tech -10	Georgia Tech	58.5	Under
2016	11/05	North Carolina	48	Georgia Tech	20	North Carolina -9.5	North Carolina	63.5	Over
2015	10/03	Georgia Tech	31	North Carolina	38	Georgia Tech -10.5	North Carolina	61.5	Over
2014	10/18	North Carolina	48	Georgia Tech	43	North Carolina -2.5	North Carolina	68.0	Over
2013	09/21	Georgia Tech	28	North Carolina	20	Georgia Tech -3.5	Georgia Tech	0
2012	11/10	North Carolina	50	Georgia Tech	68
2011	09/24	Georgia Tech	35	North Carolina	28
2010	09/18	North Carolina	24	Georgia Tech	30
2009	09/26	Georgia Tech	24	North Carolina	7
2008	11/08	North Carolina	28	Georgia Tech	7
2007	11/17	Georgia Tech	27	North Carolina	25
2006	11/11	North Carolina	0	Georgia Tech	7
2005	09/10	Georgia Tech	27	North Carolina	21
2004	09/18	North Carolina	34	Georgia Tech	13
2003	11/15	Georgia Tech	41	North Carolina	24
2002	09/28	North Carolina	13	Georgia Tech	21
2001	11/01	Georgia Tech	28	North Carolina	21
2000	09/29	North Carolina	28	Georgia Tech	42

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia Tech	18	7	7 Overs
North Carolina	6	4	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 10	6 - 5	4 - 2	2 - 3
Road Teams	10 - 14	5 - 6	3 - 2	2 - 4

(#) UNC at (#) GT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNC	GT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#59	#97
Perf GradeGrade	#64	#116
OffenseOff	#30	#89
DefenseDef	#106	#123
Spec TeamsST	#36	#127
TalentTal	#17	#32
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

North Carolina Injury Report

Georgia Tech Injury Report

North Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	UNC Off	GT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#30	#123
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#11	#103
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	GT Def
Run GameRun	#2	#104
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#63	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#89

North Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	GT Def
Pass GamePass	#24	#128
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#24	#91
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Georgia Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	GT Off	UNC Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#89	#106
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#84	#101
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	GT Off	UNC Def
Run GameRun	#21	#85
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#118	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#63

Georgia Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	GT Off	UNC Def
Pass GamePass	#121	#102
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#63	#110
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
GT 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

UNC 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
North Carolina 14.5 (66.0)
Georgia Tech won vs North Carolina this year (45-22)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Tech beat North Carolina in 2024 (41-34)
Georgia Tech beat North Carolina in 2023 (46-42)

UNC's OC Phil Longo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC Jay Bateman (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

GT's OC Dave Patenaude (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia Tech's Full Roster

GT's DC Nathan Burton (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD