North Carolina Central at North Carolina - 2024 Matchup Preview
North Carolina Central logo   North Carolina Central Eagles at North Carolina Tar Heels  North Carolina logo
Saturday, September 14th 2024 (6:00 PM EDT)
North Carolina -37.5 (57.5) (0)  Open: -37.5 | 55.5
North Carolina 45 - North Carolina Central: 10

 
Eagles (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 6 - 54 (6 - 54 on Road)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNC 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: North Carolina -4  (SP+ UNC -5)
UNC Win prob: 100% | Cover: 35%
Tar Heels (6 - 7) (2 - 10 - 1)
Coach Mack Brown (38 - 27)
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (21 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
North Carolina Central's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 North Carolina Central at North Carolina+37.557.5L 10 - 45UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina Central's Schedule
North Carolina's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 North Carolina at Minnesota-2.052.5W 19 - 17UN
Sat 9/7 North Carolina vs Charlotte-21.547.5W 38 - 20ON
Sat 9/14 North Carolina vs North Carolina Central-37.557.5W 45 - 10UN
Sat 9/21 North Carolina vs James Madison-10.048.0L 50 - 70ON
Sat 9/28 North Carolina at Duke-1.055.5L 20 - 21UN
Sat 10/5 North Carolina vs Pittsburgh+2.563.0L 24 - 34UN
Sat 10/12 North Carolina vs Georgia Tech+3.560.5L 34 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 North Carolina at Virginia+3.558.5W 41 - 14UY
Sat 11/2 North Carolina at Florida State-2.550.5W 35 - 11UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 North Carolina vs Wake Forest-10.564.5W 31 - 24UN
Sat 11/23 North Carolina at Boston College-2.050.5L 21 - 41ON
Sat 11/30 North Carolina vs NC State-2.554.5L 30 - 35ON
Sat 12/28 North Carolina vs UConn-2.053.5L 14 - 27UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCCU0%60%000%000%540%0%0000
UNC#17 (.3)47% (19)19.350% (16)3.41 (11)19344% (44)2994.13 (45)#86 (.21)42% (70)24.543% (68)42% (76)3.41 (35)66.31.31.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCCU Offense1660%00000000%0%0%0%0%
UNC Defense1324.52642.2%3.411.7 - - - - - 50%49%43%42%15%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCCU Defense154540%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
UNC Offense1319.32146.8%4.131.3254921932995.146%53%50%44%13%.3

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Carolina Central10:000NAN%0%0000000100
North Carolina1328:3424.549%45%7.266.31.31.75.42.1131.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCCU Offense10%0%000000%0%0
UNC Defense1350% (70)43% (68) - - - - .2 (100)3.33 (112)73% (68)10% (85)1.02 (81)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCCU Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
UNC Offense1346% (97)50% (16)38.2193.25.128 (25).28 (9)3.41 (11)75% (52)8% (31)1.03 (48)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCCU Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
UNC Defense1349% (63)42% (76) - - - - - - 12 (37).29 (82)1.6 (64)34% (43)34% (117).38 (100)6% (92)1.9 (22)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCCU Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
UNC Offense1353% (36)44% (44)22.535.4298.58.413.326 (31)11 (68).34 (47)1.6 (73)30% (33)32% (56).38 (55)5% (24)2.2 (21)

North Carolina Central's Power Ratings
North Carolina Central's Power Rating: NR
North Carolina Central's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina Central's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Carolina Central's 2024 Expected Record: -
North Carolina Central's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina Central's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina Central's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average MEAC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina Central:    North Carolina: 4.235

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina Central:    North Carolina: 5.0




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 4.235  #68
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 17.90  #86
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 10.65  #77
2024 Talent Rating: 460.00  #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 26  #22
North Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
North Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0  #49
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5  #38
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3  #64

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


North Carolina Central Scoring
Offense: 6 PPG
Offense on Road: 6
Defense: 54 PPG
Defense on Road: 54

North Carolina Central's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 30
North Carolina Central 26

Projected Total Points: 55
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

North Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 7 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 8 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/14North Carolina45North Carolina Central10North Carolina -37.5North Carolina Central57.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina100 Overs
North Carolina Central011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) NCCU at (#68) UNC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNCCUUNC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #68
SP+SP+NR #49
Perf GradeGradeNR #74
OffenseOffNR #67
DefenseDefNR #97
Spec TeamsSTNR #9
TalentTalNR #21
Blue ChipsBC%NR #22
North Carolina Notes
(12/11) Hired HC Bill Belichick (Pats/NFL)
(11/26) Mack Brown fired at the end of 2024 season
(11/25) Rgame sucks, Criswell 3 INTs, Run Def awful vs BC
(11/18) 3 str W's vs bad teams. Rgame/Hampton great
(10/13) Run Def mauled by GT (371, 7.7 ypc). Gag again
(9/28) Blew 20-0 lead vs Duke. Even game, 10 flags hurt
(9/22) Def all. 600+ yds & 70 pts in JMU loss at home
(9/18) QB Jacolby Criswell looks like starter now
(9/1) RB Hampton great, played B1G ball @ Minn, QB real ?
(8/29) QB Johnson looks out for season (Minn game)
(8/5) Teams are crootin NC commits, Brown done TY?
(7/30) New QB Max Johnson (A&M), WR look mid
North Carolina Injury Report
North Carolina Central on Offense
CategoryCat
NCCU OffUNC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #97
SuccessSucNR #70
ExplosiveExpNR #71
PPAPPANR #86
PowerPwrNR #77
SP+SP+NR #64
Pts POPPONR #35
HavocHavNR #92
North Carolina Central Run Game
CategoryCat
NCCU OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNR #82
Run SuccessRSucNR #68
Run ExplRExpNR #81
PPAExpNR #100
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #112
Stuff RateStuffNR #124
TackleTak -  #40
North Carolina Central Pass Game
CategoryCat
NCCU OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNR #103
Pass SuccessPSucNR #76
Pass ExplPExlNR #64
PPAExpNR #82
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #64
F7 HavocF7NR #85
DB HavocDBNR #92
North Carolina on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatUNC OffNCCU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #67NR
SuccessSuc #19NR
ExplosiveExp #59NR
PPAPPA #17NR
PowerPwr #86NR
SP+SP+ #38NR
Pts POPPO #45NR
HavocHav #17NR
North Carolina Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
UNC OffNCCU Def
Run GameRun #15NR
Run SuccessRSuc #16NR
Run ExplRExp #48NR
PPAExp #9NR
Run BlockR Blk #35 -
OL YdsOLY #11NR
Stuff RateStuff #16NR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatUNC OffNCCU Def
Pass GamePass #102NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #44NR
Pass ExplPExl #73NR
PPAExp #47NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #47NR
F7 HavocF7 #31NR
DB HavocDB #24NR
Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

NCCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
North Carolina -37.5 (57.5)
North Carolina won vs North Carolina Central this year (45-10)

Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat North Carolina Central in 2024 (45-10)

  
NCCU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View North Carolina Central's Full Roster

NCCU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malcolm Reed90001
Jelani Vassell80021
Jaki Brevard81000
Kole Jones80000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malcolm Reed90001
Ryan Wynn20010
Marvin Reed10000
Matthew Leavelle10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malcolm Reed90001
Jelani Vassell80021
Isaiah Norris (Tr)10001

UNC's OC Chip Lindsey (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jacolby Criswell (Tr)18632058%24591567.7
Conner Harrell213757%282217.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Omarion Hampton2811660155.975
Davion Gause6732644.921
Jacolby Criswell (Tr)7110331.520
Charleston French108418.445
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
J.J. Jones36582616.253
John Copenhaver40414410.435
Omarion Hampton3837329.849
Kobe Paysour21365017.436

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC Geoff Collins (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antavious Lane744102
Power Echols732126
Amare Campbell699632
Jakeen Harris (Tr)671004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beau Atkinson3512840
Kaimon Rucker308631
Amare Campbell699632
Desmond Evans3410591
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alijah Huzzie364218
Power Echols732126
Jakeen Harris (Tr)671004