Syracuse at North Carolina - 2023 Matchup Preview

Syracuse Orange at North Carolina Tar Heels

Saturday, October 7th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
North Carolina -9.5 (59.0) (0) Open: 0.0
North Carolina 40 - Syracuse: 7 (ACC)

Orange (6 - 7) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Dino Babers (39 - 49)
Avg Score : 34 - 29 (29 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNC coming off BYE
SYR is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: North Carolina -13 (SP+ UNC -11)
Projected Score: SYR: 24 - UNC: 37 (61)
UNC Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
SYR Travel: 516 miles

Tar Heels (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mack Brown (33 - 22)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (36 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SYR Players
UNC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Syracuse's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Syracuse vs Colgate	-40.0	49.5	W 65 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Syracuse vs Western Michigan	-24.5	56.5	W 48 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Syracuse at Purdue	-1.0	56.5	W 35 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Syracuse vs Army	-13.0	50.5	W 29 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/30	Syracuse vs Clemson	+7.0	52.0	L 14 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/7	Syracuse at North Carolina	+9.5	59.0	L 7 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/14	Syracuse at Florida State	+18.5	53.5	L 3 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/26	Syracuse at Virginia Tech	+2.5	47.5	L 10 - 38	O	N
Fri 11/3	Syracuse vs Boston College	-3.0	51.0	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/11	Syracuse vs Pittsburgh	+4.5	37.5	W 28 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Syracuse at Georgia Tech	+6.5	51.5	L 22 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/25	Syracuse vs Wake Forest	-3.0	43.5	W 35 - 31	O	Y
Thu 12/21	Syracuse vs South Florida	-3.0	56.0	L 0 - 45	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule

North Carolina's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	North Carolina vs South Carolina	+2.5	63.5	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/9	North Carolina vs App State	-18.0	58.0	W 40 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/16	North Carolina vs Minnesota	-7.0	51.0	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/23	North Carolina at Pittsburgh	-7.0	49.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	North Carolina vs Syracuse	-9.5	59.0	W 40 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/14	North Carolina vs Miami	-2.5	57.5	W 41 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/21	North Carolina vs Virginia	-24.0	58.0	L 27 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/28	North Carolina at Georgia Tech	-12.0	65.5	L 42 - 46	O	N
Sat 11/4	North Carolina vs Campbell	-45.5	68.5	W 59 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/11	North Carolina vs Duke	-9.5	52.5	W 47 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/18	North Carolina at Clemson	+7.5	58.0	L 20 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/25	North Carolina at NC State	-2.0	55.0	L 20 - 39	O	N
Wed 12/27	North Carolina vs West Virginia	+4.5	62.0	L 10 - 30	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SYR	.19	45%	34.1	48%	3.17	143	43%	232	3.83	.13	47%	29.2	49%	44%	3.42	63.3	1	1.7
UNC	.3	46%	30.9	45%	3.18	153	47%	309	4.47	.29	48%	28.1	49%	48%	4.51	55.3	1	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SYR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SYR Offense	13	34.1	29	45%	3.83	1	20	375	143	232	4.2	46%	53%	48%	43%	19%	.19
UNC Defense	14	28.1	33.4	48.3%	4.51	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	49%	48%	12%	.29

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SYR Defense	13	29.2	32.2	46.5%	3.42	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	57%	43%	49%	44%	16%	.13
UNC Offense	14	30.9	36	46.2%	4.47	1	25	463	153	309	4.2	45%	55%	45%	47%	14%	.3

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Syracuse	13	28:14	20.2	37%	42%	8.6	63.3	1	1.7	5.8	2.5	2	30.1
North Carolina	14	29:55	24.6	46%	71%	6.1	55.3	1	1.1	3.4	1.2	1	29.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SYR Offense	13	46%	48%	34.1	143.1	4.2	21	.22	3.17	70%	12%	0.98
UNC Defense	14	51%	49%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.25	79%	6%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SYR Defense	13	57%	49%	-	-	-	-	.12	3.27	67%	12%	0.8
UNC Offense	14	45%	45%	36.4	153.4	4.2	24	.18	3.18	72%	10%	1

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SYR Offense	13	53%	43%	17.5	28.5	231.6	8.1	13.2	19	9	.16	1.5	33%	32%	.35	6%	2
UNC Defense	14	49%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.41	1.6	28%	31%	.4	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SYR Defense	13	43%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.18	1.3	25%	29%	.21	5%	1.7
UNC Offense	14	55%	47%	24.6	37.5	309.3	8.3	12.6	38	7	.41	1.6	32%	40%	.5	4%	1.9

Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: -0.31 #65
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 14.09 #89
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 8.31 #49
2023 Talent Rating: 646.00 #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Syracuse's 2023 Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90
Syracuse's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #68
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #82
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #50

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: -0.31 North Carolina: 12.335

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: -1.0 North Carolina: 10.2

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 12.335 #25
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 22.89 #20
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 10.64 #81
2023 Talent Rating: 948.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 44 #18
North Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
North Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

Syracuse's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
North Carolina 37
Syracuse 24

Projected Total Points: 61

North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4

North Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/07	North Carolina	40	Syracuse	7	North Carolina	North Carolina -9.5	North Carolina	59.0	Under
2020	09/12	North Carolina	31	Syracuse	6	North Carolina	North Carolina -24.5	North Carolina	67.0	Under
2018	10/20	Syracuse	40	North Carolina	37	Syracuse	Syracuse -9.5	North Carolina	67.0	Over
2003	09/06	North Carolina	47	Syracuse	49	Syracuse
2002	09/07	Syracuse	22	North Carolina	30	North Carolina

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
North Carolina	3	3	1 Overs
Syracuse	2	0	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 2	2 - 1	2 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 3	1 - 2	0 - 0	1 - 2

(#65) Syracuse Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.31 #65
Offense Rating: 14.09 #89
Defense Rating: 8.31 #49
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #68
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #82
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #50
Talent Rating: 646.00 #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90

Team Profile

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Syracuse Ratings Matchup North Carolina

Power #65

#25

Off #89

#20

Def #49

#81

Talent #64

#16

SP+ #68

#27

SP+ Off #82

#13

SP+ Def #50

#71

Rematch from Week 6
North Carolina -9.5 (59.0)
North Carolina won vs Syracuse this year (40-7)

Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Syracuse in 2023 (40-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 70° - Wind: 8 mph

Team Information
Injuries: SYR | UNC
Depth Chart: SYR | UNC
Rosters: SYR | UNC

(#25) North Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 12.335 #25
Offense Rating: 22.89 #20
Defense Rating: 10.64 #81
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71
Talent Rating: 948.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 44 #18
Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80

Team Profile

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Syracuse's OC Jason Beck

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Damien Alford	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lequint Allen	228	1021	16	4.5	30
Juwuan Price	14	64	0	4.6	18
Deston Hawkins	6	32	0	5.3	22
Oronde Gadsden II	1	12	0	12.0	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Oronde Gadsden II	72	922	7	12.8	39
Lequint Allen	64	529	4	8.3	33
Deston Hawkins	7	33	0	4.7	9
Juwuan Price	2	14	0	7.0	12

View Syracuse's Full Roster

Syracuse's DC Rocky Long

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Justin Barron	85	10	2	4	3
Alijah Clark	59	4	0	1	4
Marlowe Wax	42	7	5	1	0
Leon Lowery	29	1	1	4	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marlowe Wax	42	7	5	1	0
Justin Barron	85	10	2	4	3
Leon Lowery	29	1	1	4	0
Mekhi Mason	28	4	1	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alijah Clark	59	4	0	1	4
Jeremiah Wilson	24	4	0	0	4
Justin Barron	85	10	2	4	3

North Carolina's OC Chip Lindsey

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tad Hudson	17	26	65%	173	2	0	6.7
Jefferson Boaz	2	5	40%	24	0	0	4.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omarion Hampton	281	1660	15	5.9	75
George Pettaway	163	976	5	6.0	31
Elijah Green	29	201	5	6.9	51
D.J. Jones	57	162	0	2.8	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
J.J. Jones	36	582	6	16.2	53
John Copenhaver	40	414	4	10.4	35
Omarion Hampton	38	373	2	9.8	49
Kamari Morales	28	325	6	11.6	54

View North Carolina's Full Roster

North Carolina's DC Gene Chizik

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Antavious Lane (Tr)	74	4	1	0	2
Power Echols	73	2	1	2	6
Jahvaree Ritzie	38	5	5	5	1
Kevin Hester Jr.	37	4	4	3	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kaimon Rucker	30	8	6	3	1
Desmond Evans	34	10	5	9	1
Jahvaree Ritzie	38	5	5	5	1
Kevin Hester Jr.	37	4	4	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alijah Huzzie (Tr)	36	4	2	1	8
Power Echols	73	2	1	2	6
Tayon Holloway	16	2	1	0	5