Syracuse at North Carolina - 2023 Matchup Preview

Syracuse Orange at North Carolina Tar Heels

Saturday, October 7th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
North Carolina -9.5 (59.0) (0) Open: 0.0
North Carolina 40 - Syracuse: 7 (ACC)

Orange (6 - 7) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Dino Babers (39 - 49)
Avg Score : 20 - 35 (17 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#59)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNC coming off BYE
SYR is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: North Carolina -13 (SP+ UNC -11)
Projected Score: SYR: 21 - UNC: 34 (55)
UNC Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
SYR Travel: 516 miles

Tar Heels (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mack Brown (33 - 22)
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (21 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SYR Players
UNC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Syracuse's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Syracuse vs Colgate	-40.0	49.5	W 65 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Syracuse vs Western Michigan	-24.5	56.5	W 48 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Syracuse at Purdue	-1.0	56.5	W 35 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Syracuse vs Army	-13.0	50.5	W 29 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/30	Syracuse vs Clemson	+7.0	52.0	L 14 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/7	Syracuse at North Carolina	+9.5	59.0	L 7 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/14	Syracuse at Florida State	+18.5	53.5	L 3 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/26	Syracuse at Virginia Tech	+2.5	47.5	L 10 - 38	O	N
Fri 11/3	Syracuse vs Boston College	-3.0	51.0	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/11	Syracuse vs Pittsburgh	+4.5	37.5	W 28 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Syracuse at Georgia Tech	+6.5	51.5	L 22 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/25	Syracuse vs Wake Forest	-3.0	43.5	W 35 - 31	O	Y
Thu 12/21	Syracuse vs South Florida	-3.0	56.0	L 0 - 45	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule

North Carolina's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	North Carolina vs South Carolina	+2.5	63.5	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/9	North Carolina vs App State	-18.0	58.0	W 40 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/16	North Carolina vs Minnesota	-7.0	51.0	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/23	North Carolina at Pittsburgh	-7.0	49.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	North Carolina vs Syracuse	-9.5	59.0	W 40 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/14	North Carolina vs Miami	-2.5	57.5	W 41 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/21	North Carolina vs Virginia	-24.0	58.0	L 27 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/28	North Carolina at Georgia Tech	-12.0	65.5	L 42 - 46	O	N
Sat 11/4	North Carolina vs Campbell	-45.5	68.5	W 59 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/11	North Carolina vs Duke	-9.5	52.5	W 47 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/18	North Carolina at Clemson	+7.5	58.0	L 20 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/25	North Carolina at NC State	-2.0	55.0	L 20 - 39	O	N
Wed 12/27	North Carolina vs West Virginia	+4.5	62.0	L 10 - 30	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SYR	.19	45%	20.2	48%	3.17	143	43%	232	3.83	.13	47%	34.9	49%	44%	3.42	63.3	1	1.7
UNC	.3	46%	19.3	45%	3.18	153	47%	309	4.47	.29	48%	24.5	49%	48%	4.51	55.3	1	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SYR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SYR Offense	13	20.2	17	45%	3.83	1	20	375	143	232	4.2	46%	53%	48%	43%	19%	.19
UNC Defense	14	24.5	26	48.3%	4.51	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	49%	48%	12%	.29

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SYR Defense	13	34.9	40.2	46.5%	3.42	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	57%	43%	49%	44%	16%	.13
UNC Offense	14	19.3	21	46.2%	4.47	1	25	463	153	309	4.2	45%	55%	45%	47%	14%	.3

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Syracuse	13	28:14	20.2	37%	42%	8.6	63.3	1	1.7	5.8	2.5	2	30.1
North Carolina	14	29:55	24.6	46%	71%	6.1	55.3	1	1.1	3.4	1.2	1	29.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SYR Offense	13	46%	48%	34.1	143.1	4.2	21	.22	3.17	70%	12%	0.98
UNC Defense	14	51%	49%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.25	79%	6%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SYR Defense	13	57%	49%	-	-	-	-	.12	3.27	67%	12%	0.8
UNC Offense	14	45%	45%	36.4	153.4	4.2	24	.18	3.18	72%	10%	1

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SYR Offense	13	53%	43%	17.5	28.5	231.6	8.1	13.2	19	9	.16	1.5	33%	32%	.35	6%	2
UNC Defense	14	49%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.41	1.6	28%	31%	.4	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SYR Defense	13	43%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.18	1.3	25%	29%	.21	5%	1.7
UNC Offense	14	55%	47%	24.6	37.5	309.3	8.3	12.6	38	7	.41	1.6	32%	40%	.5	4%	1.9

Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: -0.31 #65
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 14.09 #89
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 8.31 #49
2023 Talent Rating: 610.75 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Syracuse's 2023 Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90
Syracuse's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #68
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #82
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #50

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: -0.31 North Carolina: 12.335

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: -1.0 North Carolina: 10.2

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 12.335 #25
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 22.89 #20
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 10.64 #81
2023 Talent Rating: 805.63 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 44 #18
North Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
North Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 20.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 34.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.2

Syracuse's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
North Carolina 34
Syracuse 21

Projected Total Points: 55

North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

North Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/31	Syracuse	10	North Carolina	27	Syracuse -1.5	North Carolina	45.5	Under
2023	10/07	North Carolina	40	Syracuse	7	North Carolina -9.5	North Carolina	59.0	Under
2020	09/12	North Carolina	31	Syracuse	6	North Carolina -24.5	North Carolina	67.0	Under
2018	10/20	Syracuse	40	North Carolina	37	Syracuse -9.5	North Carolina	67.0	Over
2003	09/06	North Carolina	47	Syracuse	49
2002	09/07	Syracuse	22	North Carolina	30

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
North Carolina	4	4	1 Overs
Syracuse	2	0	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 3	2 - 2	2 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	3 - 3	2 - 2	0 - 0	2 - 2

(#65) SYR at (#25) UNC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SYR	UNC
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#65	#25
SP+SP+	#68	#27
Perf GradeGrade	#92	#35
OffenseOff	#115	#34
DefenseDef	#39	#47
Spec TeamsST	#88	#119
TalentTal	#69	#17
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#18

Syracuse Injury Report

North Carolina Injury Report

Syracuse on Offense


CategoryCat	SYR Off	UNC Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#115	#47
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#89	#81
SP+SP+	#82	#71
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Syracuse Run Game


CategoryCat	SYR Off	UNC Def
Run GameRun	#84	#57
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#108	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#54

Syracuse Pass Game


CategoryCat	SYR Off	UNC Def
Pass GamePass	#126	#37
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#66	#41
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

North Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	UNC Off	SYR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#34	#39
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#20	#49
SP+SP+	#13	#50
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	SYR Def
Run GameRun	#26	#37
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#102	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#20

North Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	SYR Def
Pass GamePass	#8	#32
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#42	#101
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'23 Profile: Remains Average P4

SYR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'23 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
North Carolina -9.5 (59.0)
North Carolina won vs Syracuse this year (40-7)

Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Syracuse last year (27-10)
North Carolina beat Syracuse in 2023 (40-7)

SYR's OC Jason Beck (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Garrett Shrader	134	214	63%	1691	13	6	7.9
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson	26	51	51%	282	3	6	5.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lequint Allen	244	1063	9	4.4	56
Garrett Shrader	114	460	8	4.0	39
Dan Villari	55	326	2	5.9	38
Juwuan Price	48	166	0	3.5	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Damien Alford	33	610	3	18.5	47
Umari Hatcher	32	482	3	15.1	48
Donovan Brown	27	321	1	11.9	86
Lequint Allen	38	210	1	5.5	26

View Syracuse's Full Roster

SYR's DC Rocky Long (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marlowe Wax	105	12	4	4	2
Justin Barron	89	5	1	1	8
Alijah Clark	62	4	0	2	3
Derek Mcdonald	61	4	3	4	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kevon Darton	43	8	5	3	0
Caleb Okechukwu	36	8	5	2	1
Marlowe Wax	105	12	4	4	2
Leon Lowery	45	8	4	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Justin Barron	89	5	1	1	8
Isaiah Johnson	58	1	0	0	5
Jason Simmons Jr.	45	0	0	1	5

UNC's OC Chip Lindsey (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Drake Maye	269	425	63%	3608	24	9	8.5
Conner Harrell	22	33	67%	270	2	2	8.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omarion Hampton	253	1504	15	5.9	68
Drake Maye	112	449	9	4.0	56
British Brooks	74	375	2	5.1	53
Conner Harrell	22	75	1	3.4	61

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
J.J. Jones	46	711	3	15.5	57
Devontez Walker (Tr)	41	699	7	17.0	56
Bryson Nesbit	41	585	5	14.3	62
Nate Mccollum (Tr)	44	469	1	10.7	48

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC Gene Chizik (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cedric Gray	121	11	5	7	4
Power Echols	102	6	0	4	1
Don Chapman	64	5	1	2	1
Antavious Lane (Tr)	62	3	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kaimon Rucker	61	15	9	12	1
Cedric Gray	121	11	5	7	4
Beau Atkinson	19	5	4	3	0
Desmond Evans	33	5	3	7	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marcus Allen	49	1	0	0	8
Alijah Huzzie (Tr)	42	1	0	1	6
Desmond Evans	33	5	3	7	5