North Carolina Tar Heels at NC State Wolfpack
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (7:30 PM EST)
NC State -7 (48.5) (-278) Open: -7.5
NC State 42 - North Carolina: 19 (ACC)
Tar Heels (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Bill Belichick (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (18 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Coach Bill Belichick (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (18 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
NCST 2nd straight Home Game
UNC is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: NC State -12.5 (SP+ NCST -11)
Projected Score: UNC: 18 - NCST: 31 (49)
NCST Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
UNC Travel: 20 miles
UNC is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: NC State -12.5 (SP+ NCST -11)
Projected Score: UNC: 18 - NCST: 31 (49)
NCST Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
UNC Travel: 20 miles
Wolfpack (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (87 - 64)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (35 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#64)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Dave Doeren (87 - 64)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (35 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#64)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
| North Carolina's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Mon 9/1 | North Carolina vs TCU | +3.0 | 59.5 | L 14 - 48 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | North Carolina at Charlotte | -16.5 | 49.5 | W 20 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | North Carolina vs Richmond | -24.5 | 47.5 | W 41 - 6 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | North Carolina at UCF | +7.0 | 46.5 | L 9 - 34 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | North Carolina vs Clemson | +15.5 | 47.5 | L 10 - 38 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/17 | North Carolina at California | +7.5 | 45.5 | L 18 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/25 | North Carolina vs Virginia | +12.5 | 51.5 | L 16 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Fri 10/31 | North Carolina at Syracuse | +1.5 | 45.5 | W 27 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/8 | North Carolina vs Stanford | -8.5 | 41.5 | W 20 - 15 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/15 | North Carolina at Wake Forest | +3.5 | 37.5 | L 12 - 28 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/22 | North Carolina vs Duke | +6.5 | 50.5 | L 25 - 32 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/29 | North Carolina at NC State | +7.0 | 48.5 | L 19 - 42 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
| NC State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | NC State vs East Carolina | -12.5 | 58.5 | W 24 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | NC State vs Virginia | -3.0 | 53.0 | W 35 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Thu 9/11 | NC State at Wake Forest | -7.5 | 52.5 | W 34 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | NC State at Duke | +3.0 | 57.5 | L 33 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/27 | NC State vs Virginia Tech | -10.0 | 57.5 | L 21 - 23 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/4 | NC State vs Campbell | -42.5 | 61.5 | W 56 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/11 | NC State at Notre Dame | +23.5 | 59.5 | L 7 - 36 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/25 | NC State at Pittsburgh | +5.5 | 52.5 | L 34 - 53 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/1 | NC State vs Georgia Tech | +4.5 | 58.5 | W 48 - 36 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | NC State at Miami | +16.5 | 54.5 | L 7 - 41 | U | N | |
| Fri 11/21 | NC State vs Florida State | +7.0 | 58.5 | W 21 - 11 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/29 | NC State vs North Carolina | -7.0 | 48.5 | W 42 - 19 | O | Y | |
| Fri 12/19 | NC State vs Memphis | -6.0 | 56.5 | W 31 - 7 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
Overall Stats 2025
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC | #120 (.07) | 38% (115) | 19.3 | 38% (121) | 2.72 (111) | 105 | 39% (97) | 184 | 3.33 (108) | #79 (.18) | 41% (58) | 24.5 | 42% (63) | 40% (50) | 3.58 (62) | 62.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| NCST | #20 (.28) | 44% (52) | 30.2 | 44% (64) | 2.94 (68) | 147 | 44% (43) | 246 | 4.69 (10) | #102 (.21) | 39% (41) | 27.2 | 38% (22) | 40% (55) | 3.7 (73) | 53.8 | 1 | 1.2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC | #65 (.2) | 42% (80) | 47% (34) | 3.32 (22) | 175 | 37% (114) | 216 | 4.08 (52) | #70 (.17) | 41% (53) | 44% (82) | 37% (26) | 4.01 (90) | 59.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | ||
| NCST | #26 (.25) | 45% (36) | 44% (68) | 3.24 (36) | 130 | 47% (20) | 215 | 3.97 (61) | #86 (.19) | 41% (59) | 39% (31) | 43% (87) | 3.78 (67) | 45 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Offense | 12 | 19.3 | 17.5 | 38.2% | 3.33 | 1.3 | 17 | 289 | 105 | 184 | 3.7 | 48% | 50% | 38% | 39% | 17% | .07 |
| NCST Defense | 13 | 27.2 | 21 | 39.3% | 3.7 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 43% | 56% | 38% | 40% | 15% | .21 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Defense | 12 | 24.5 | 23 | 40.9% | 3.58 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 51% | 42% | 40% | 15% | .18 |
| NCST Offense | 13 | 30.2 | 35.3 | 43.8% | 4.69 | 1 | 20 | 393 | 147 | 246 | 4.5 | 47% | 51% | 44% | 44% | 16% | .28 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | 12 | 28:24 | 16.6 | 37% | 73% | 6.6 | 62.6 | 1.3 | 1 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 0 | 29.3 |
| NC State | 13 | 29:47 | 20.4 | 41% | 50% | 5.5 | 53.8 | 1 | 1.2 | 5.1 | 1.5 | 1 | 27.9 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Offense | 12 | 48% (84) | 38% (121) | 28.8 | 105.2 | 3.7 | 11 (107) | -.03 (130) | 2.72 (111) | 64% (117) | 11% (112) | 0.8 (126) |
| NCST Defense | 13 | 43% (4) | 38% (22) | - | - | - | - | .12 (78) | 2.87 (64) | 65% (26) | 8% (108) | 1.09 (122) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Defense | 12 | 47% (37) | 42% (63) | - | - | - | - | .14 (90) | 2.72 (35) | 89% (134) | 10% (68) | 0.99 (90) |
| NCST Offense | 13 | 47% (86) | 44% (64) | 32.5 | 147.1 | 4.5 | 27 (40) | .19 (32) | 2.94 (68) | 73% (63) | 10% (98) | 1.1 (19) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Offense | 12 | 50% (57) | 39% (97) | 18.9 | 29.6 | 183.9 | 6.2 | 9.7 | 13 (121) | 6 (34) | .21 (92) | 1.5 (102) | 31% (57) | 28% (90) | .26 (86) | 6% (59) | 1.8 (130) |
| NCST Defense | 13 | 56% (132) | 40% (55) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (75) | .3 (91) | 1.7 (118) | 35% (21) | 31% (90) | .38 (112) | 7% (46) | 2.1 (83) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Defense | 12 | 51% (103) | 40% (50) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6 (75) | .2 (51) | 1.4 (17) | 31% (76) | 29% (59) | .32 (78) | 5% (90) | 2 (54) |
| NCST Offense | 13 | 51% (49) | 44% (43) | 21.5 | 31.8 | 245.7 | 7.7 | 11.4 | 26 (33) | 10 (119) | .39 (25) | 1.6 (31) | 31% (67) | 32% (48) | .4 (34) | 6% (54) | 2.1 (53) |
North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: -2.61 #79
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 4.36 #96
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 6.97 #61
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 17% #29
North Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
North Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #97
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.3 #125
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
North Carolina's Power Rating: -2.61 #79
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 4.36 #96
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 6.97 #61
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 17% #29
North Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
North Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #97
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.3 #125
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: -2.61 NC State: 7.39
SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: -8.1 NC State: 2.9
North Carolina: -2.61 NC State: 7.39
SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: -8.1 NC State: 2.9
NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 7.39 #51
NC State's Offense Rating: 16.98 #28
NC State's Defense Rating: 10.10 #80
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #39
NC State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 5.6
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.9 #61
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #47
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #73
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
NC State's Power Rating: 7.39 #51
NC State's Offense Rating: 16.98 #28
NC State's Defense Rating: 10.10 #80
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #39
NC State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 5.6
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.9 #61
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #47
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #73
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 23
North Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 23
North Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
NC State 31
North Carolina 18
Total Points: 49
Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 26
North Carolina 25
Total Points: 50
Based on Entire Season
NC State 28
North Carolina 21
Total Points: 49
NC State 31
North Carolina 18
Total Points: 49
Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 26
North Carolina 25
Total Points: 50
Based on Entire Season
NC State 28
North Carolina 21
Total Points: 49
NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21
NC State's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21
NC State's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11/29 | NC State | 42 | North Carolina | 19 | NC State -7 | NC State | 48.5 | Over |
| 2024 | 11/30 | North Carolina | 30 | NC State | 35 | North Carolina -2.5 | NC State | 54.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/25 | NC State | 39 | North Carolina | 20 | North Carolina -2 | NC State | 55.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 11/25 | North Carolina | 27 | NC State | 30 | North Carolina -6.5 | NC State | 56.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 11/26 | NC State | 34 | North Carolina | 30 | NC State -6.5 | North Carolina | 62.0 | Over |
| 2020 | 10/24 | North Carolina | 48 | NC State | 21 | North Carolina -15.0 | North Carolina | 62.0 | Over |
| 2019 | 11/30 | NC State | 10 | North Carolina | 41 | North Carolina -11 | North Carolina | 57.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/24 | North Carolina | 28 | NC State | 34 | NC State -7.5 | North Carolina | 61.5 | Over |
| 2017 | 11/25 | NC State | 33 | North Carolina | 21 | NC State -14.5 | North Carolina | 57.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/25 | North Carolina | 21 | NC State | 28 | North Carolina -10 | NC State | 63.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/28 | NC State | 34 | North Carolina | 45 | North Carolina -6 | North Carolina | 65.0 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/29 | North Carolina | 7 | NC State | 35 | North Carolina -6 | NC State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/02 | NC State | 19 | North Carolina | 27 | North Carolina -3 | North Carolina | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/27 | North Carolina | 43 | NC State | 35 | ||||
| 2011 | 11/05 | NC State | 13 | North Carolina | 0 | ||||
| 2010 | 11/20 | North Carolina | 25 | NC State | 29 | ||||
| 2009 | 11/28 | NC State | 28 | North Carolina | 27 | ||||
| 2008 | 11/22 | North Carolina | 10 | NC State | 41 | ||||
| 2007 | 11/10 | NC State | 31 | North Carolina | 27 | ||||
| 2006 | 11/18 | North Carolina | 23 | NC State | 9 | ||||
| 2005 | 09/24 | NC State | 24 | North Carolina | 31 | ||||
| 2004 | 10/09 | North Carolina | 30 | NC State | 24 | ||||
| 2003 | 09/27 | NC State | 47 | North Carolina | 34 | ||||
| 2002 | 10/12 | North Carolina | 17 | NC State | 34 | ||||
| 2001 | 09/29 | NC State | 9 | North Carolina | 17 | ||||
| 2000 | 10/13 | North Carolina | 20 | NC State | 38 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| NC State | 17 | 6 | 8 Overs |
| North Carolina | 9 | 7 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 12 - 14 | 4 - 9 | 2 - 6 | 2 - 3 |
| Road Teams | 14 - 12 | 9 - 4 | 3 - 2 | 6 - 2 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UNC | NCST |
| Power RatePwr | #79 | #51 |
| SP+SP+ | #97 | #61 |
| Perf GradeGrade | #81 | #73 |
| OffenseOff | #108 | #51 |
| DefenseDef | #36 | #90 |
| Spec TeamsST | #71 | #78 |
| TalentTal | #17 | #43 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | #29 | #39 |
(10/25) Playing much better & still finding ways to lose
(10/21) OT W Boone no longer w/ team, started 1st 3 games
(10/8) Sounds like this Belichick experiment is ending fast
(9/20) Team is a complete joke, fitting for Carolina
(9/1) Worse than even I thought, Def bad G5 level
(8/27) QB1 - Gio Lopez has won starting job in fall
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 52% from portals
(4/17) QB Lopez (S Al) added post spring.
(4/17) NFL style not open to fans/media. We'll see
(4/17) Is Lopez QB1? Have Johnson (Inj)/Browne (PU)
(3/21) RB rebuild. Some options, SO Gause has exp
(11/5) RB Jayden Scott (Fr) huge vs GT. Name to watch
(10/12) Def really beat up & can't compete. Off regressing
(10/9) DB injury issues, nickel down to 5th option (ND wk)
(9/30) Run Def mauled by VT? Run Off awful, horrific loss
(9/30) Things could go south in a hurry for this program
(9/20) Def horrible, torched by Duke. Bailey TOs killed
(9/11) Run Off good vs Wake, Def bad but rallied
(9/11) CJ Bailey is a weapon, holds ball long at times
(9/11) Tackling is an issue, Def very inconsistent
(8/29) Run Def great vs ECU, run off a big concern
(7/28) Off only 5 portals, 3 OL & 2 TE, good sign?
| Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UNC Off | NCST Def | |
| Perf GradePerf | #108 | #90 |
| SuccessSuc | #115 | #41 |
| ExplosiveExp | #118 | #134 |
| PPAPPA | #120 | #102 |
| PowerPwr | #96 | #80 |
| SP+SP+ | #125 | #73 |
| Pts POPPO | #108 | #73 |
| HavocHav | #95 | #84 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UNC Off | NCST Def | |
| Run GameRun | #122 | #61 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #121 | #22 |
| Run ExplRExp | #126 | #122 |
| PPAExp | #130 | #78 | Run BlockR Blk | #84 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #111 | #64 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #66 | #65 |
| TackleTak | - | #56 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UNC Off | NCST Def | |
| Pass GamePass | #102 | #97 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #97 | #55 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #102 | #118 |
| PPAExp | #92 | #91 |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | #53 | #68 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #112 | #108 |
| DB HavocDB | #59 | #46 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NCST Off | UNC Def |
| Perf GradePerf | #51 | #36 |
| SuccessSuc | #52 | #58 |
| ExplosiveExp | #12 | #61 |
| PPAPPA | #20 | #79 |
| PowerPwr | #28 | #61 |
| SP+SP+ | #47 | #62 |
| Pts POPPO | #10 | #62 |
| HavocHav | #73 | #89 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47% | ||
|---|---|---|
| NCST Off | UNC Def | |
| Run GameRun | #57 | #34 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #64 | #63 |
| Run ExplRExp | #19 | #90 |
| PPAExp | #32 | #90 | Run BlockR Blk | #67 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #68 | #35 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #112 | #98 |
| TackleTak | - | #54 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NCST Off | UNC Def |
| Pass GamePass | #79 | #69 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #43 | #50 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #31 | #17 |
| PPAExp | #25 | #51 |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | #56 | #36 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #98 | #68 |
| DB HavocDB | #54 | #90 |
Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5
UNC 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5
NCST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5
UNC 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5
Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 38°
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 38°
NC State -7.0 (48.5)
NC State won vs North Carolina this year (42-19)
Previous Matchups
NC State beat North Carolina last year (35-30)
NC State beat North Carolina in 2023 (39-20)
NC State beat North Carolina in 2022 (30-27)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giovanni Lopez | 170 | 261 | 65% | 1747 | 10 | 5 | 6.7 |
| Max Johnson | 54 | 87 | 62% | 437 | 2 | 0 | 5.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demon June | 84 | 464 | 2 | 5.5 | 50 |
| Benjamin Hall (Tr) | 71 | 274 | 2 | 3.9 | 18 |
| Davion Gause | 61 | 258 | 3 | 4.2 | 25 |
| Giovanni Lopez | 86 | 133 | 3 | 1.5 | 17 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Shipp | 60 | 671 | 6 | 11.2 | 55 |
| Kobe Paysour | 35 | 438 | 1 | 12.5 | 44 |
| Demon June | 17 | 159 | 1 | 9.4 | 72 |
| Javarius Green | 13 | 150 | 0 | 11.5 | 39 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khmori House (Tr) | 73 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| Andrew Simpson (Tr) | 59 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 1 |
| Will Hardy | 51 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Melkart Abou-Jaoude (Tr) | 47 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melkart Abou-Jaoude (Tr) | 47 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| Tyler Thompson | 26 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| Andrew Simpson (Tr) | 59 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 1 |
| C.J. Mims (Tr) | 41 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Allen | 35 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| Thaddeus Dixon (Tr) | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Jaiden Patterson | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Bailey | 273 | 397 | 69% | 3105 | 25 | 9 | 7.8 |
| Lex Thomas | 2 | 7 | 29% | 18 | 0 | 0 | 2.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daylan Smothers | 160 | 939 | 6 | 5.9 | 65 |
| Jayden Scott | 106 | 595 | 4 | 5.6 | 69 |
| CJ Bailey | 89 | 215 | 6 | 2.4 | 30 |
| Will Wilson | 43 | 146 | 10 | 3.4 | 16 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrell Anderson | 39 | 629 | 5 | 16.1 | 75 |
| Justin Joly | 49 | 489 | 7 | 10.0 | 59 |
| Wesley Grimes | 31 | 458 | 3 | 14.8 | 48 |
| Noah Rogers | 31 | 413 | 2 | 13.3 | 48 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Fordham | 143 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Kenny Soares Jr. (Tr) | 80 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 2 |
| Asaad Brown Jr. | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Cian Slone (Tr) | 62 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tra Thomas (Tr) | 24 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Caden Fordham | 143 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Travali Price | 22 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| Sabastian Harsh (Tr) | 41 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 3 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Marshall | 50 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 |
| Jackson Vick | 45 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Brian Nelson II (Tr) | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |