North Carolina Tar Heels at NC State Wolfpack
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Carter-Finley Stadium - Raleigh, NC (ACC)
Tar Heels (3 - 5) (5 - 3 - 0)
Coach Bill Belichick (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 22 (19 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#99)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
Coach Bill Belichick (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 22 (19 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#99)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
NCST 2nd straight Home Game
UNC is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: NC State -11 (SP+ NCST -9)
Projected Score: UNC: 21 - NCST: 32 (53)
NCST Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
UNC Travel: 20 miles
UNC is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: NC State -11 (SP+ NCST -9)
Projected Score: UNC: 21 - NCST: 32 (53)
NCST Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
UNC Travel: 20 miles
Wolfpack (5 - 4) (4 - 5 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (87 - 64)
Avg Score : 32 - 31 (37 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.3 - 5.7 (#71)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Dave Doeren (87 - 64)
Avg Score : 32 - 31 (37 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.3 - 5.7 (#71)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
| North Carolina's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Mon 9/1 | North Carolina vs TCU | +3.0 | 59.5 | L 14 - 48 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | North Carolina at Charlotte | -16.5 | 49.5 | W 20 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | North Carolina vs Richmond | -24.5 | 47.5 | W 41 - 6 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | North Carolina at UCF | +7.0 | 46.5 | L 9 - 34 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | North Carolina vs Clemson | +15.5 | 47.5 | L 10 - 38 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/17 | North Carolina at California | +7.5 | 45.5 | L 18 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/25 | North Carolina vs Virginia | +12.5 | 51.5 | L 16 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Fri 10/31 | North Carolina at Syracuse | +1.5 | 45.5 | W 27 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/8 | North Carolina vs Stanford | -8.5 | 41.5 | ||||
| Sat 11/15 | North Carolina at Wake Forest | +8.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | North Carolina vs Duke | +7 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | North Carolina at NC State | +11 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
| NC State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | NC State vs East Carolina | -12.5 | 58.5 | W 24 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | NC State vs Virginia | -3.0 | 53.0 | W 35 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Thu 9/11 | NC State at Wake Forest | -7.5 | 52.5 | W 34 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | NC State at Duke | +3.0 | 57.5 | L 33 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/27 | NC State vs Virginia Tech | -10.0 | 57.5 | L 21 - 23 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/4 | NC State vs Campbell | -42.5 | 61.5 | W 56 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/11 | NC State at Notre Dame | +23.5 | 59.5 | L 7 - 36 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/25 | NC State at Pittsburgh | +5.5 | 52.5 | L 34 - 53 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/1 | NC State vs Georgia Tech | +4.5 | 58.5 | W 48 - 36 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | NC State at Miami | +18.5 | |||||
| Fri 11/21 | NC State vs Florida State | +4.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | NC State vs North Carolina | -11 | |||||
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
Overall Stats 2025
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC | #120 (.06) | 39% (113) | 19.4 | 41% (92) | 3.08 (37) | 123 | 37% (118) | 176 | 3.08 (119) | #52 (.12) | 39% (34) | 22.1 | 37% (25) | 40% (60) | 2.88 (13) | 50.1 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| NCST | #21 (.29) | 44% (50) | 32.4 | 43% (78) | 2.89 (60) | 162 | 46% (34) | 278 | 4.64 (18) | #98 (.19) | 38% (27) | 30.6 | 35% (10) | 41% (66) | 3.93 (92) | 58.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC | #65 (.2) | 42% (80) | 47% (34) | 3.32 (22) | 175 | 37% (114) | 216 | 4.08 (52) | #70 (.17) | 41% (53) | 44% (82) | 37% (26) | 4.01 (90) | 59.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | ||
| NCST | #26 (.25) | 45% (36) | 44% (68) | 3.24 (36) | 130 | 47% (20) | 215 | 3.97 (61) | #86 (.19) | 41% (59) | 39% (31) | 43% (87) | 3.78 (67) | 45 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Offense | 8 | 19.4 | 18.5 | 39% | 3.08 | 1.6 | 17 | 299 | 123 | 176 | 4 | 53% | 46% | 41% | 37% | 16% | .06 |
| NCST Defense | 9 | 30.6 | 23.4 | 38.3% | 3.93 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 43% | 56% | 35% | 41% | 14% | .19 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Defense | 8 | 22.1 | 17 | 38.8% | 2.88 | 1.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 46% | 54% | 37% | 40% | 16% | .12 |
| NCST Offense | 9 | 32.4 | 36.8 | 44.2% | 4.64 | 1.2 | 21 | 439 | 162 | 278 | 5.1 | 47% | 53% | 43% | 46% | 16% | .29 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | 8 | 29:03 | 16.5 | 32% | 77% | 5.1 | 50.1 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 0 | 29.6 |
| NC State | 9 | 30:18 | 21.3 | 42% | 39% | 6 | 58.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 5.3 | 1.4 | 1 | 27 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Offense | 8 | 53% (48) | 41% (92) | 30.8 | 123.1 | 4 | 9 (107) | .04 (105) | 3.08 (37) | 71% (73) | 11% (106) | 0.85 (120) |
| NCST Defense | 9 | 43% (9) | 35% (10) | - | - | - | - | .05 (46) | 1.53 (1) | 58% (13) | 8% (107) | 1.2 (131) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Defense | 8 | 46% (27) | 37% (25) | - | - | - | - | .03 (33) | 2.38 (30) | 93% (136) | 10% (60) | 0.88 (35) |
| NCST Offense | 9 | 47% (96) | 43% (78) | 31.8 | 161.6 | 5.1 | 19 (40) | .15 (53) | 2.89 (60) | 71% (74) | 11% (104) | 1.07 (28) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Offense | 8 | 46% (91) | 37% (118) | 18.1 | 28.8 | 175.5 | 6.1 | 9.7 | 8 (121) | 6 (34) | .13 (116) | 1.5 (84) | 28% (24) | 27% (102) | .22 (97) | 6% (57) | 1.6 (134) |
| NCST Defense | 9 | 56% (129) | 41% (66) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6 (75) | .32 (106) | 1.7 (113) | 35% (20) | 30% (80) | .39 (112) | 6% (78) | 2.1 (110) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Defense | 8 | 54% (111) | 40% (60) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 (75) | .21 (63) | 1.4 (31) | 32% (63) | 26% (24) | .19 (32) | 6% (84) | 1.7 (7) |
| NCST Offense | 9 | 53% (37) | 46% (34) | 23.3 | 33.4 | 277.8 | 8.3 | 11.9 | 20 (33) | 8 (119) | .43 (19) | 1.7 (27) | 32% (77) | 33% (52) | .44 (31) | 6% (66) | 2.2 (25) |
North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 1.46 #69
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 3.42 #105
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 1.96 #37
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 17% #29
North Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 4.6 - 7.4
North Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1 #89
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #118
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #55
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
North Carolina's Power Rating: 1.46 #69
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 3.42 #105
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 1.96 #37
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 17% #29
North Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 4.6 - 7.4
North Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1 #89
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #118
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #55
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 1.46 NC State: 9.3
SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: -5.1 NC State: 3.6
North Carolina: 1.46 NC State: 9.3
SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: -5.1 NC State: 3.6
NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 9.3 #46
NC State's Offense Rating: 16.93 #32
NC State's Defense Rating: 6.93 #72
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #39
NC State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.3 - 5.7
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.6 #58
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #38
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #81
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
NC State's Power Rating: 9.3 #46
NC State's Offense Rating: 16.93 #32
NC State's Defense Rating: 6.93 #72
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #39
NC State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.3 - 5.7
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.6 #58
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #38
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #81
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.5
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 17
North Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Offense: 19.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.5
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 17
North Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
NC State 32
North Carolina 21
Total Points: 53
Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 31
North Carolina 24
Total Points: 56
Based on Entire Season
NC State 27
North Carolina 23
Total Points: 50
NC State 32
North Carolina 21
Total Points: 53
Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 31
North Carolina 24
Total Points: 56
Based on Entire Season
NC State 27
North Carolina 23
Total Points: 50
NC State Scoring
Offense: 32.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 30.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.4
NC State's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Offense: 32.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 30.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.4
NC State's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/30 | North Carolina | 30 | NC State | 35 | North Carolina -2.5 | NC State | 54.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/25 | NC State | 39 | North Carolina | 20 | North Carolina -2 | NC State | 55.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 11/25 | North Carolina | 27 | NC State | 30 | North Carolina -6.5 | NC State | 56.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 11/26 | NC State | 34 | North Carolina | 30 | NC State -6.5 | North Carolina | 62.0 | Over |
| 2020 | 10/24 | North Carolina | 48 | NC State | 21 | North Carolina -15.0 | North Carolina | 62.0 | Over |
| 2019 | 11/30 | NC State | 10 | North Carolina | 41 | North Carolina -11 | North Carolina | 57.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/24 | North Carolina | 28 | NC State | 34 | NC State -7.5 | North Carolina | 61.5 | Over |
| 2017 | 11/25 | NC State | 33 | North Carolina | 21 | NC State -14.5 | North Carolina | 57.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/25 | North Carolina | 21 | NC State | 28 | North Carolina -10 | NC State | 63.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/28 | NC State | 34 | North Carolina | 45 | North Carolina -6 | North Carolina | 65.0 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/29 | North Carolina | 7 | NC State | 35 | North Carolina -6 | NC State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/02 | NC State | 19 | North Carolina | 27 | North Carolina -3 | North Carolina | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/27 | North Carolina | 43 | NC State | 35 | ||||
| 2011 | 11/05 | NC State | 13 | North Carolina | 0 | ||||
| 2010 | 11/20 | North Carolina | 25 | NC State | 29 | ||||
| 2009 | 11/28 | NC State | 28 | North Carolina | 27 | ||||
| 2008 | 11/22 | North Carolina | 10 | NC State | 41 | ||||
| 2007 | 11/10 | NC State | 31 | North Carolina | 27 | ||||
| 2006 | 11/18 | North Carolina | 23 | NC State | 9 | ||||
| 2005 | 09/24 | NC State | 24 | North Carolina | 31 | ||||
| 2004 | 10/09 | North Carolina | 30 | NC State | 24 | ||||
| 2003 | 09/27 | NC State | 47 | North Carolina | 34 | ||||
| 2002 | 10/12 | North Carolina | 17 | NC State | 34 | ||||
| 2001 | 09/29 | NC State | 9 | North Carolina | 17 | ||||
| 2000 | 10/13 | North Carolina | 20 | NC State | 38 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| NC State | 16 | 5 | 7 Overs |
| North Carolina | 9 | 7 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 11 - 14 | 3 - 9 | 1 - 6 | 2 - 3 |
| Road Teams | 14 - 11 | 9 - 3 | 3 - 2 | 6 - 1 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UNC | NCST |
| Power RatePwr | #69 | #46 |
| SP+SP+ | #89 | #58 |
| Perf GradeGrade | #80 | #56 |
| OffenseOff | #108 | #37 |
| DefenseDef | #43 | #69 |
| Spec TeamsST | #34 | #80 |
| TalentTal | #17 | #43 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | #29 | #39 |
(10/21) OT W Boone no longer w/ team, started 1st 3 games
(10/8) Sounds like this Belichick experiment is ending fast
(9/20) Team is a complete joke, fitting for Carolina
(9/1) Worse than even I thought, Def bad G5 level
(8/27) QB1 - Gio Lopez has won starting job in fall
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 52% from portals
(4/17) QB Lopez (S Al) added post spring.
(4/17) NFL style not open to fans/media. We'll see
(4/17) Is Lopez QB1? Have Johnson (Inj)/Browne (PU)
(3/21) RB rebuild. Some options, SO Gause has exp
(3/21) WR/TE rebuild. Have some talented options
(10/12) Def really beat up & can't compete. Off regressing
(10/9) DB injury issues, nickel down to 5th option (ND wk)
(9/30) Run Def mauled by VT? Run Off awful, horrific loss
(9/30) Things could go south in a hurry for this program
(9/20) Def horrible, torched by Duke. Bailey TOs killed
(9/11) Run Off good vs Wake, Def bad but rallied
(9/11) CJ Bailey is a weapon, holds ball long at times
(9/11) Tackling is an issue, Def very inconsistent
(8/29) Run Def great vs ECU, run off a big concern
(7/28) Off only 5 portals, 3 OL & 2 TE, good sign?
(5/29) Same 3-3-5 Def, added 4 DE's (G5) for rush
| Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UNC Off | NCST Def | |
| Perf GradePerf | #108 | #69 |
| SuccessSuc | #113 | #27 |
| ExplosiveExp | #125 | #131 |
| PPAPPA | #120 | #98 |
| PowerPwr | #105 | #72 |
| SP+SP+ | #118 | #81 |
| Pts POPPO | #119 | #92 |
| HavocHav | #83 | #103 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UNC Off | NCST Def | |
| Run GameRun | #110 | #39 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #92 | #10 |
| Run ExplRExp | #120 | #131 |
| PPAExp | #105 | #46 | Run BlockR Blk | #51 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #37 | #1 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #17 | #24 |
| TackleTak | - | #56 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UNC Off | NCST Def | |
| Pass GamePass | #111 | #90 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #118 | #66 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #84 | #113 |
| PPAExp | #116 | #106 |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | #51 | #63 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #106 | #107 |
| DB HavocDB | #57 | #78 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NCST Off | UNC Def |
| Perf GradePerf | #37 | #43 |
| SuccessSuc | #50 | #34 |
| ExplosiveExp | #10 | #41 |
| PPAPPA | #21 | #52 |
| PowerPwr | #32 | #37 |
| SP+SP+ | #38 | #55 |
| Pts POPPO | #18 | #13 |
| HavocHav | #85 | #74 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47% | ||
|---|---|---|
| NCST Off | UNC Def | |
| Run GameRun | #76 | #54 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #78 | #25 |
| Run ExplRExp | #28 | #35 |
| PPAExp | #53 | #33 | Run BlockR Blk | #66 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #60 | #30 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #127 | #46 |
| TackleTak | - | #43 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NCST Off | UNC Def |
| Pass GamePass | #47 | #66 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #34 | #60 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #27 | #31 |
| PPAExp | #19 | #63 |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | #28 | #34 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #104 | #60 |
| DB HavocDB | #66 | #84 |
Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4
UNC 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5
NCST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4
UNC 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5
Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
NC State beat North Carolina last year (35-30)
NC State beat North Carolina in 2023 (39-20)
NC State beat North Carolina in 2022 (30-27)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giovanni Lopez | 99 | 157 | 63% | 1021 | 6 | 5 | 6.5 |
| Max Johnson | 46 | 72 | 64% | 383 | 2 | 0 | 5.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demon June | 64 | 416 | 2 | 6.5 | 50 |
| Benjamin Hall (Tr) | 50 | 203 | 2 | 4.1 | 18 |
| Davion Gause | 41 | 162 | 2 | 4.0 | 25 |
| Giovanni Lopez | 57 | 125 | 2 | 2.2 | 15 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Shipp | 35 | 384 | 3 | 11.0 | 39 |
| Kobe Paysour | 14 | 232 | 1 | 16.6 | 44 |
| Demon June | 12 | 117 | 1 | 9.8 | 72 |
| Javarius Green | 8 | 110 | 0 | 13.8 | 39 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khmori House (Tr) | 41 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Kaleb Cost | 36 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Andrew Simpson (Tr) | 36 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Will Hardy | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melkart Abou-Jaoude (Tr) | 25 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| Tyler Thompson | 15 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Andrew Simpson (Tr) | 36 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| C.J. Mims (Tr) | 24 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Allen | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Jaiden Patterson | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Kaleb Cost | 36 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Bailey | 203 | 287 | 71% | 2411 | 19 | 7 | 8.4 |
| Lex Thomas | 2 | 6 | 33% | 18 | 0 | 0 | 3.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daylan Smothers | 120 | 825 | 6 | 6.9 | 65 |
| Jayden Scott | 71 | 431 | 4 | 6.1 | 69 |
| CJ Bailey | 60 | 137 | 4 | 2.3 | 30 |
| Will Wilson | 18 | 58 | 4 | 3.2 | 15 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrell Anderson | 28 | 527 | 4 | 18.8 | 75 |
| Justin Joly | 36 | 365 | 5 | 10.1 | 59 |
| Wesley Grimes | 22 | 337 | 1 | 15.3 | 48 |
| Noah Rogers | 25 | 333 | 2 | 13.3 | 48 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Fordham | 92 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Kenny Soares Jr. (Tr) | 56 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Cian Slone (Tr) | 45 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
| Sean Brown | 44 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Fordham | 92 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Sabastian Harsh (Tr) | 28 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| Travali Price | 17 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Tra Thomas (Tr) | 19 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Marshall | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Jamel Johnson (Tr) | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Jackson Vick | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |