Virginia Tech at North Carolina - 2022 Matchup Preview

Virginia Tech Hokies at North Carolina Tar Heels

Saturday, October 1st 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
North Carolina -9.5 (57.0)
North Carolina 41 - Virginia Tech: 10 (ACC)

Hokies (3 - 8) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (16 - 29 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNC 2nd straight Home Game
VT is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -11 (SP+ UNC -17)
Projected Score: VT: 22 - UNC: 25 (47)
UNC Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
VT Travel: 118 miles

Tar Heels (9 - 5) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Mack Brown (21 - 17)
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (21 - 26 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
VT Players
UNC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Virginia Tech's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Virginia Tech at Old Dominion	-6.0	48.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/10	Virginia Tech vs Boston College	-2.5	45.0	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Virginia Tech vs Wofford	-39.0	45.0	W 27 - 7	U	N
Thu 9/22	Virginia Tech vs West Virginia	+2.0	49.5	L 10 - 33	U	N
Sat 10/1	Virginia Tech at North Carolina	+9.5	57.0	L 10 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/8	Virginia Tech at Pittsburgh	+14.5	42.0	L 29 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/15	Virginia Tech vs Miami	+9.0	48.5	L 14 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/27	Virginia Tech at NC State	+13.0	39.0	L 21 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Virginia Tech vs Georgia Tech	-4.0	40.5	L 27 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/12	Virginia Tech at Duke	+10.0	50.0	L 7 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/19	Virginia Tech at Liberty	+10.5	46.0	W 23 - 22	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Virginia Tech vs Virginia	-1.5	40.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule

North Carolina's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	North Carolina vs Florida A&M	-45.0	55.0	W 56 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/3	North Carolina at App State	+3.0	56.0	W 63 - 61	O	Y
Sat 9/10	North Carolina at Georgia State	-7.0	64.0	W 35 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24	North Carolina vs Notre Dame	-2.5	55.0	L 32 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/1	North Carolina vs Virginia Tech	-9.5	57.0	W 41 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/8	North Carolina at Miami	+4.0	67.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/15	North Carolina at Duke	-7.0	70.0	W 38 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	North Carolina vs Pittsburgh	-2.5	65.5	W 42 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/5	North Carolina at Virginia	-7.0	61.5	W 31 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/12	North Carolina at Wake Forest	+4.5	79.0	W 36 - 34	U	Y
Sat 11/19	North Carolina vs Georgia Tech	-21.5	63.5	L 17 - 21	U	N
Fri 11/25	North Carolina vs NC State	-6.5	56.0	L 27 - 30	O	N
Sat 12/3	North Carolina vs Clemson	+7.5	64.0	L 10 - 39	U	N
Wed 12/28	North Carolina vs Oregon	+13.0	76.0	L 27 - 28	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VT	.18	41%	21.4	44%	3.21	186	36%	176	3.27	.23	42%	30.2	46%	38%	3.89	45.9	0.9	1.2
UNC	.28	46%	19.3	51%	3.43	213	41%	256	4.53	.26	46%	24.5	49%	43%	4.24	69.2	1.1	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VT Offense	13	21.4	16	41%	3.27	0.9	19	362	186	176	4.5	59%	41%	44%	36%	16%	.18
UNC Defense	13	24.5	26	45.9%	4.24	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	49%	43%	15%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VT Defense	13	30.2	29.3	42%	3.89	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	46%	38%	17%	.23
UNC Offense	13	19.3	21	46.3%	4.53	1.1	24	468	213	256	5.4	52%	48%	51%	41%	17%	.28

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Virginia Tech	13	29:57	18.8	41%	50%	5.4	45.9	0.9	1.2	5.2	1.9	2	28.3
North Carolina	13	29:41	23.8	43%	58%	7.3	69.2	1.1	1.2	5.5	2.2	0	28.7

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VT Offense	13	59%	44%	40.8	185.5	4.5	16	.12	3.21	73%	12%	0.91
UNC Defense	13	53%	49%	-	-	-	-	.19	3.29	82%	9%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VT Defense	13	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.28	67%	10%	1.06
UNC Offense	13	52%	51%	39.5	212.7	5.4	30	.37	3.43	71%	12%	1.21

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VT Offense	13	41%	36%	13.3	24.3	176.4	7.3	13.3	17	5	.27	1.9	34%	31%	.36	5%	2.1
UNC Defense	13	46%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.36	1.7	30%	29%	.35	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VT Defense	13	48%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.25	1.7	33%	29%	.34	7%	2.1
UNC Offense	13	48%	41%	18.2	29.4	255.7	8.7	14	26	9	.22	1.6	30%	38%	.54	5%	2.2

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: NR
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Virginia Tech's 2022 Expected Record: -
Virginia Tech's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #99
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.5 #127
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #42

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: North Carolina: 6.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: -9.5 North Carolina: 7.8

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 6.4 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2022 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 #46
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.7 #11
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #104

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 16
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

Virginia Tech's 2022 Record
Record: 3 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
North Carolina 25
Virginia Tech 22

Projected Total Points: 47

North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

North Carolina's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	10/01	North Carolina	41	Virginia Tech	10	North Carolina -9.5	North Carolina	57.0	Under
2021	09/03	Virginia Tech	17	North Carolina	10	North Carolina -5.5	Virginia Tech	63.5	Under
2020	10/10	North Carolina	56	Virginia Tech	45	North Carolina -3.5	North Carolina	59.0	Over
2019	10/19	Virginia Tech	43	North Carolina	41	North Carolina -4.5	Virginia Tech	57.5	Over
2018	10/13	North Carolina	19	Virginia Tech	22	Virginia Tech -6.5	North Carolina	57.5	Under
2017	10/21	Virginia Tech	59	North Carolina	7	Virginia Tech -20	Virginia Tech	52.5	Over
2016	10/08	North Carolina	3	Virginia Tech	34	North Carolina -5.5	Virginia Tech	49.5	Under
2015	11/21	Virginia Tech	27	North Carolina	30	North Carolina -7.5	Virginia Tech	61.0	Under
2014	10/04	North Carolina	17	Virginia Tech	34	Virginia Tech -1.5	Virginia Tech	0
2013	10/05	Virginia Tech	27	North Carolina	17	Virginia Tech -7	Virginia Tech	0
2012	10/06	North Carolina	48	Virginia Tech	34
2011	11/17	Virginia Tech	24	North Carolina	21
2010	11/13	North Carolina	10	Virginia Tech	26
2009	10/29	Virginia Tech	17	North Carolina	20
2008	09/20	North Carolina	17	Virginia Tech	20
2007	09/29	Virginia Tech	17	North Carolina	10
2006	09/09	North Carolina	10	Virginia Tech	35
2005	11/26	Virginia Tech	30	North Carolina	3
2004	11/06	North Carolina	24	Virginia Tech	27

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
North Carolina	5	3	3 Overs
Virginia Tech	14	7	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 9	8 - 2	4 - 1	4 - 1
Road Teams	9 - 10	2 - 8	1 - 4	1 - 4

(#) VT at (#) UNC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	VT	UNC
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#99	#46
Perf GradeGrade	#108	#65
OffenseOff	#124	#43
DefenseDef	#52	#102
Spec TeamsST	#77	#25
TalentTal	#52	#16
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Virginia Tech Injury Report

North Carolina Injury Report

Virginia Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	VT Off	UNC Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#124	#102
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#127	#104
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Virginia Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	VT Off	UNC Def
Run GameRun	#131	#98
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#108	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#20

Virginia Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	VT Off	UNC Def
Pass GamePass	#86	#102
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#77	#62
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

North Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	UNC Off	VT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#43	#52
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#11	#42
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	VT Def
Run GameRun	#62	#47
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#117	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#24

North Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	VT Def
Pass GamePass	#2	#89
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#78	#35
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

VT 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'22 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
North Carolina -9.5 (57.0)
North Carolina won vs Virginia Tech this year (41-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

VT's OC Tyler Bowen (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC Chris Marve (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UNC's OC Phil Longo (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC Gene Chizik (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD