Texas A&M at North Carolina - 2020 Matchup Preview
Texas A&M logo   Texas A&M Aggies vs North Carolina Tar Heels  North Carolina logo
Saturday, January 2nd 2021 (8:00 PM EST)
Texas A&M -7 (67.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Texas A&M 41 - North Carolina: 27  (Capital One Orange Bowl)

 
Aggies (9 - 1) (7 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 21 (38 - 30 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -1.5  (SP+ TA&M -2.5)
Projected Score: TA&M: 31 - UNC: 23 (54)
TA&M Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
TA&M Travel: 1030 miles, 1 hrs behind
Tar Heels (8 - 4) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (21 - 26 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas A&M's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Texas A&M vs Vanderbilt-31.046.5W 17 - 12UN
Sat 10/3 Texas A&M at Alabama+18.054.0L 24 - 52ON
Sat 10/10 Texas A&M vs Florida+5.559.0W 41 - 38OY
Sat 10/17 Texas A&M at Mississippi State-4.556.0W 28 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Texas A&M vs Arkansas-10.5
Sat 11/7 Texas A&M at South Carolina-9.558.5W 48 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 Texas A&M vs LSU-16.060.5W 20 - 7UN
Sat 12/5 Texas A&M at Auburn-6.049.0W 31 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/19 Texas A&M at Tennessee-13.550.0W 34 - 13UY
Sat 1/2 Texas A&M vs North Carolina-7.067.5W 41 - 27OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule
North Carolina's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 North Carolina vs Syracuse-24.567.0W 31 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 North Carolina at Boston College-14.552.5W 26 - 22UN
Sat 10/10 North Carolina vs Virginia Tech-3.559.0W 56 - 45OY
Sat 10/17 North Carolina at Florida State-13.565.0L 28 - 31UN
Sat 10/24 North Carolina vs NC State-15.062.0W 48 - 21OY
Sat 10/31 North Carolina at Virginia-7.0
Sat 11/7 North Carolina at Duke-11.563.0W 56 - 24OY
Sat 11/14 North Carolina vs Wake Forest-13.070.5W 59 - 53ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/27 North Carolina vs Notre Dame+4.569.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 12/5 North Carolina vs Western Carolina-48.569.5W 49 - 9UN
Sat 12/12 North Carolina at Miami+3.072.5W 62 - 26OY
Sat 1/2 North Carolina vs Texas A&M+7.067.5L 27 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M.1848%33.850%3.0215944%2354.19.1340%2143%35%3.0655.31.51.4
UNC.2446%19.343%2.9818846%2864.1242%24.539%42%3.0753.90.92
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Offense1333.83847.6%4.191.5223951592354.845%53%50%44%20%.18
UNC Defense1324.52641.6%3.072 - - - - - 49%49%39%42%21%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Defense132130.240.4%3.061.4 - - - - - 46%51%43%35%22%.13
UNC Offense1319.32145.6%40.9244741882864.649%49%43%46%20%.24

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas A&M1333:0622.140%64%6.755.31.51.47.52.8030.2
North Carolina1330:1924.241%65%6.253.90.928.12.9127.8
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Offense1345%50%33159.24.824.143.0279%11%0.86
UNC Defense1349%39% - - - - .042.8574%14%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Defense1346%43% - - - - .082.5181%13%0.96
UNC Offense1349%43%40.6188.24.613.132.9872%14%1

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Offense1353%44%2134.8235.46.811.22210.241.431%35%.329%1.7
UNC Defense1349%42% - - - - - - 14.211.634%31%.247%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Defense1351%35% - - - - - - 10.171.737%32%.259%1.9
UNC Offense1349%46%20.433.2285.88.614397.391.733%38%.446%1.9

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: NR
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: NR
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas A&M's 2020 Expected Record: -
Texas A&M's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.8  #9
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.0  #11
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2  #13

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M:    North Carolina: 8.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 19.8   North Carolina: 17.1




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 8.55 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2020 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.1  #12
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 43.1  #6
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4  #54

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 38
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Texas A&M's 2020 Record
Record: 9 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 31
North Carolina 23

Projected Total Points: 54
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

North Carolina's 2020 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202001/02North Carolina27Texas A&M41Texas A&M -7Texas A&M67.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina001 Overs
Texas A&M110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0

Texas A&M Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2020Orange Bowl Texas A&M vs North Carolina-7.067.5W 41 - 27
2019Texas Bowl Texas A&M vs Oklahoma State-4.555.5W 24 - 21
2018N/A Texas A&M vs NC State-7.558.5W 52 - 13
2017N/A Texas A&M vs Wake Forest+3.563.0L 52 - 55
2016Texas Bowl Texas A&M vs Kansas State-2.556.0L 28 - 33
2015N/A Texas A&M vs Louisville-2.5L 21 - 27
2014Liberty Bowl Texas A&M vs West Virginia+3.066.5W 45 - 37
North Carolina Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2020Orange Bowl North Carolina vs Texas A&M+7.067.5L 27 - 41
2019Military Bowl North Carolina vs Temple-6.056.5W 55 - 13
2016N/A North Carolina vs Stanford+2.555.0L 23 - 25
2015Athletic Bowl North Carolina vs Baylor+3.5L 38 - 49
2014Lane Bowl North Carolina vs Rutgers-3.572.0L 21 - 40
  
(#) TA&M at (#) UNC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTA&MUNC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #9 #12
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #6 #23
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Texas A&M on Offense
CategoryCat
TA&M OffUNC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #11 #54
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas A&M Run Game
CategoryCat
TA&M OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Texas A&M Pass Game
CategoryCat
TA&M OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatUNC OffTA&M Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #6 #13
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffTA&M Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatUNC OffTA&M Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'20 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

TA&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'20 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hard Rock Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 74° - Wind: 5 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Texas A&M 7.0 (67.5)
Texas A&M won at North Carolina this year (41-27)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TA&M's OC ()
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TA&M's DC ()
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UNC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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UNC's DC ()
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