North Carolina Tar Heels at NC State Wolfpack
Saturday, November 25th 2023 (8:00 PM EST)
North Carolina -2 (55.0) (-135) Open: -2.5
NC State 39 - North Carolina: 20 (ACC)
Tar Heels (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mack Brown (33 - 22)
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (31 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Mack Brown (33 - 22)
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (31 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNC 2nd straight Road Game
NCST is playing their 5th straight game
UNC is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: NC State -0 (SP+ UNC -1)
Projected Score: UNC: 28 - NCST: 28 (56)
UNC Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
UNC Travel: 20 miles
NCST is playing their 5th straight game
UNC is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: NC State -0 (SP+ UNC -1)
Projected Score: UNC: 28 - NCST: 28 (56)
UNC Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
UNC Travel: 20 miles
Wolfpack (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (74 - 55)
Avg Score : 26 - 21 (30 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#51)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (74 - 55)
Avg Score : 26 - 21 (30 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#51)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| North Carolina's 2023 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 9/2 | North Carolina vs South Carolina | +2.5 | 63.5 | W 31 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/9 | North Carolina vs App State | -18.0 | 58.0 | W 40 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/16 | North Carolina vs Minnesota | -7.0 | 51.0 | W 31 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/23 | North Carolina at Pittsburgh | -7.0 | 49.5 | W 41 - 24 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/7 | North Carolina vs Syracuse | -9.5 | 59.0 | W 40 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/14 | North Carolina vs Miami | -2.5 | 57.5 | W 41 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/21 | North Carolina vs Virginia | -24.0 | 58.0 | L 27 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/28 | North Carolina at Georgia Tech | -12.0 | 65.5 | L 42 - 46 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/4 | North Carolina vs Campbell | -45.5 | 68.5 | W 59 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/11 | North Carolina vs Duke | -9.5 | 52.5 | W 47 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/18 | North Carolina at Clemson | +7.5 | 58.0 | L 20 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/25 | North Carolina at NC State | -2.0 | 55.0 | L 20 - 39 | O | N | |
| Wed 12/27 | North Carolina vs West Virginia | +4.5 | 62.0 | L 10 - 30 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| NC State's 2023 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/31 | NC State at UConn | -14.5 | 47.5 | W 24 - 14 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/9 | NC State vs Notre Dame | +7.0 | 49.5 | L 24 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/16 | NC State vs VMI | -42.5 | 51.0 | W 45 - 7 | O | N | |
| Fri 9/22 | NC State at Virginia | -8.5 | 47.5 | W 24 - 21 | U | N | |
| Fri 9/29 | NC State vs Louisville | +3.5 | 56.5 | L 10 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/7 | NC State vs Marshall | -6.5 | 44.0 | W 48 - 41 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/14 | NC State at Duke | +3.5 | 44.0 | L 3 - 24 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/28 | NC State vs Clemson | +9.5 | 44.5 | W 24 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/4 | NC State vs Miami | +6.5 | 44.0 | W 20 - 6 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/11 | NC State at Wake Forest | +0.5 | 42.5 | W 26 - 6 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/18 | NC State at Virginia Tech | +2.5 | 40.5 | W 35 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/25 | NC State vs North Carolina | +2.0 | 55.0 | W 39 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Thu 12/28 | NC State vs Kansas State | +3.0 | 48.5 | L 19 - 28 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC | #17 (.3) | 47% (19) | 34.5 | 50% (16) | 3.41 (11) | 193 | 44% (44) | 299 | 4.13 (45) | #86 (.21) | 42% (70) | 27.3 | 43% (68) | 42% (76) | 3.41 (35) | 66.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| NCST | #89 (.15) | 40% (100) | 26.2 | 40% (96) | 3.11 (68) | 157 | 39% (96) | 194 | 4.11 (47) | #16 (.1) | 39% (34) | 20.8 | 39% (34) | 40% (40) | 3.77 (66) | 46.3 | 1.2 | 1.9 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC | #65 (.2) | 42% (80) | 47% (34) | 3.32 (22) | 175 | 37% (114) | 216 | 4.08 (52) | #70 (.17) | 41% (53) | 44% (82) | 37% (26) | 4.01 (90) | 59.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | ||
| NCST | #26 (.25) | 45% (36) | 44% (68) | 3.24 (36) | 130 | 47% (20) | 215 | 3.97 (61) | #86 (.19) | 41% (59) | 39% (31) | 43% (87) | 3.78 (67) | 45 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Offense | 13 | 34.5 | 30.8 | 46.8% | 4.13 | 1.3 | 25 | 492 | 193 | 299 | 5.1 | 46% | 53% | 50% | 44% | 13% | .3 |
| NCST Defense | 13 | 20.8 | 21.3 | 38.8% | 3.77 | 1.9 | - | - | - | - | - | 44% | 54% | 39% | 40% | 19% | .1 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Defense | 13 | 27.3 | 35 | 42.2% | 3.41 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 49% | 43% | 42% | 15% | .21 |
| NCST Offense | 13 | 26.2 | 30 | 39.5% | 4.11 | 1.2 | 19 | 350 | 157 | 194 | 4.3 | 52% | 48% | 40% | 39% | 18% | .15 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | 13 | 28:34 | 24.5 | 49% | 45% | 7.2 | 66.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 5.4 | 2.1 | 1 | 31.3 |
| NC State | 13 | 32:27 | 18.5 | 40% | 60% | 5.8 | 46.3 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 3 | 30.1 |
Run Game Stats (2023)
Pass Game Stats (2023)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Offense | 13 | 46% (97) | 50% (16) | 38.2 | 193.2 | 5.1 | 28 (25) | .28 (9) | 3.41 (11) | 75% (52) | 8% (31) | 1.03 (48) |
| NCST Defense | 13 | 44% (11) | 39% (34) | - | - | - | - | .12 (55) | 2.88 (31) | 66% (27) | 11% (32) | 1.07 (103) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Defense | 13 | 50% (70) | 43% (68) | - | - | - | - | .2 (100) | 3.33 (112) | 73% (68) | 10% (85) | 1.02 (81) |
| NCST Offense | 13 | 52% (52) | 40% (96) | 36.8 | 156.6 | 4.3 | 19 (69) | .13 (83) | 3.11 (68) | 80% (20) | 12% (106) | 0.93 (100) |
Pass Game Stats (2023)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Offense | 13 | 53% (36) | 44% (44) | 22.5 | 35.4 | 298.5 | 8.4 | 13.3 | 26 (31) | 11 (68) | .34 (47) | 1.6 (73) | 30% (33) | 32% (56) | .38 (55) | 5% (24) | 2.2 (21) |
| NCST Defense | 13 | 54% (122) | 40% (40) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 17 (3) | .14 (15) | 1.5 (28) | 36% (17) | 29% (50) | .2 (19) | 7% (25) | 1.9 (16) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Defense | 13 | 49% (63) | 42% (76) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (37) | .29 (82) | 1.6 (64) | 34% (43) | 34% (117) | .38 (100) | 6% (92) | 1.9 (22) |
| NCST Offense | 13 | 48% (80) | 39% (96) | 17.2 | 29.2 | 193.8 | 6.7 | 11.3 | 19 (78) | 12 (85) | .2 (95) | 1.6 (67) | 34% (102) | 27% (101) | .27 (90) | 6% (72) | 2 (92) |
North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 9.47 #25
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 22.89 #20
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 10.64 #81
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 44% #18
North Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
North Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
North Carolina's Power Rating: 9.47 #25
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 22.89 #20
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 10.64 #81
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 44% #18
North Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
North Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 9.47 NC State: 10.03
SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 10.2 NC State: 9.4
North Carolina: 9.47 NC State: 10.03
SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 10.2 NC State: 9.4
NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 10.03 #34
NC State's Offense Rating: 14.92 #83
NC State's Defense Rating: 3.52 #17
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #34
NC State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60
NC State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #30
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #69
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
NC State's Power Rating: 10.03 #34
NC State's Offense Rating: 14.92 #83
NC State's Defense Rating: 3.52 #17
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #34
NC State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60
NC State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #30
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #69
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 34.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35
North Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Offense: 34.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35
North Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 28
NC State 28
Total Points: 56
North Carolina 28
NC State 28
Total Points: 56
NC State Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 30
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3
NC State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 30
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3
NC State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/30 | North Carolina | 30 | NC State | 35 | NC State | North Carolina -2.5 | NC State | 54.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/25 | NC State | 39 | North Carolina | 20 | NC State | North Carolina -2 | NC State | 55.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 11/25 | North Carolina | 27 | NC State | 30 | NC State | North Carolina -6.5 | NC State | 56.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 11/26 | NC State | 34 | North Carolina | 30 | NC State | NC State -6.5 | North Carolina | 62.0 | Over |
| 2020 | 10/24 | North Carolina | 48 | NC State | 21 | North Carolina | North Carolina -15.0 | North Carolina | 62.0 | Over |
| 2019 | 11/30 | NC State | 10 | North Carolina | 41 | North Carolina | North Carolina -11 | North Carolina | 57.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/24 | North Carolina | 28 | NC State | 34 | NC State | NC State -7.5 | North Carolina | 61.5 | Over |
| 2017 | 11/25 | NC State | 33 | North Carolina | 21 | NC State | NC State -14.5 | North Carolina | 57.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/25 | North Carolina | 21 | NC State | 28 | NC State | North Carolina -10 | NC State | 63.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/28 | NC State | 34 | North Carolina | 45 | North Carolina | North Carolina -6 | North Carolina | 65.0 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/29 | North Carolina | 7 | NC State | 35 | NC State | North Carolina -6 | NC State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/02 | NC State | 19 | North Carolina | 27 | North Carolina | North Carolina -3 | North Carolina | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/27 | North Carolina | 43 | NC State | 35 | North Carolina | ||||
| 2011 | 11/05 | NC State | 13 | North Carolina | 0 | NC State | ||||
| 2010 | 11/20 | North Carolina | 25 | NC State | 29 | NC State | ||||
| 2009 | 11/28 | NC State | 28 | North Carolina | 27 | NC State | ||||
| 2008 | 11/22 | North Carolina | 10 | NC State | 41 | NC State | ||||
| 2007 | 11/10 | NC State | 31 | North Carolina | 27 | NC State | ||||
| 2006 | 11/18 | North Carolina | 23 | NC State | 9 | North Carolina | ||||
| 2005 | 09/24 | NC State | 24 | North Carolina | 31 | North Carolina | ||||
| 2004 | 10/09 | North Carolina | 30 | NC State | 24 | North Carolina | ||||
| 2003 | 09/27 | NC State | 47 | North Carolina | 34 | NC State | ||||
| 2002 | 10/12 | North Carolina | 17 | NC State | 34 | NC State | ||||
| 2001 | 09/29 | NC State | 9 | North Carolina | 17 | North Carolina | ||||
| 2000 | 10/13 | North Carolina | 20 | NC State | 38 | NC State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| NC State | 16 | 5 | 7 Overs |
| North Carolina | 9 | 7 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 11 - 14 | 3 - 9 | 1 - 6 | 2 - 3 |
| Road Teams | 14 - 11 | 9 - 3 | 3 - 2 | 6 - 1 |
(#25) North Carolina Info
Power Rating: 9.47 #25
Offense Rating: 22.89 #20
Defense Rating: 10.64 #81
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 44% #18
Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
North Carolina has lost 1 straight
North Carolina has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 3 (1 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
North Carolina Highlights
North Carolina has Really Good Running Game (#93)
North Carolina offense is efficent (#105)
North Carolina has a top Offensive Line (#94)
North Carolina offense is good on 3rd downs
North Carolina does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#83)
North Carolina Deficiencies
North Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#25)
North Carolina Does Not Stuff Runs (#15)
North Carolina has a bad defensive line (#4)
Power Rating: 9.47 #25
Offense Rating: 22.89 #20
Defense Rating: 10.64 #81
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 44% #18
Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
North Carolina has lost 1 straight
North Carolina has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 3 (1 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
North Carolina Highlights
North Carolina has Really Good Running Game (#93)
North Carolina offense is efficent (#105)
North Carolina has a top Offensive Line (#94)
North Carolina offense is good on 3rd downs
North Carolina does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#83)
North Carolina Deficiencies
North Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#25)
North Carolina Does Not Stuff Runs (#15)
North Carolina has a bad defensive line (#4)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NCST | UNC |
| OverallOver | #66 | #29 |
| OffenseOff | #93 | #31 |
| DefenseDef | #36 | #39 |
| Special TeamsST | #47 | #96 |
| PassingPass | #64 | #7 |
| RushingRush | #66 | #18 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #68 | #76 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #62 | #37 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #103 | #48 |
| TacklingTkl | #9 | #47 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #12 | #51 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #75 | #35 |
| Coverage DefCov | #75 | #31 |
Rematch from Week 13
North Carolina 2.0 (55.0)
NC State won vs North Carolina this year (39-20)
Previous Matchups
NC State beat North Carolina last year (35-30)
NC State beat North Carolina in 2023 (39-20)
NC State beat North Carolina in 2022 (30-27)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: UNC | NCST
Depth Chart: UNC | NCST
Rosters: UNC | NCST
(#34) NC State Info
Power Rating: 10.03 #34
Offense Rating: 14.92 #83
Defense Rating: 3.52 #17
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #30
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #69
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #34
Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60
NC State has won 4 straight
NC State has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 2 (5 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
NC State Highlights
NC State Defense Sacks the QB a lot
NC State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#42)
NC State Secondary is very good (#80)
NC State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
NC State Deficiencies
NC State offense is really bad (#67)
Power Rating: 10.03 #34
Offense Rating: 14.92 #83
Defense Rating: 3.52 #17
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #30
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #69
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #34
Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60
NC State has won 4 straight
NC State has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 2 (5 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
NC State Highlights
NC State Defense Sacks the QB a lot
NC State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#42)
NC State Secondary is very good (#80)
NC State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
NC State Deficiencies
NC State offense is really bad (#67)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Maye | 269 | 425 | 63% | 3608 | 24 | 9 | 8.5 |
| Conner Harrell | 22 | 33 | 67% | 270 | 2 | 2 | 8.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omarion Hampton | 253 | 1504 | 15 | 5.9 | 68 |
| Drake Maye | 112 | 449 | 9 | 4.0 | 56 |
| British Brooks | 74 | 375 | 2 | 5.1 | 53 |
| Conner Harrell | 22 | 75 | 1 | 3.4 | 61 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Jones | 46 | 711 | 3 | 15.5 | 57 |
| Devontez Walker (Tr) | 41 | 699 | 7 | 17.0 | 56 |
| Bryson Nesbit | 41 | 585 | 5 | 14.3 | 62 |
| Nate Mccollum (Tr) | 44 | 469 | 1 | 10.7 | 48 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedric Gray | 121 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| Power Echols | 102 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Don Chapman | 64 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Antavious Lane (Tr) | 62 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaimon Rucker | 61 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 1 |
| Cedric Gray | 121 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| Beau Atkinson | 19 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Desmond Evans | 33 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Allen | 49 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Alijah Huzzie (Tr) | 42 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Desmond Evans | 33 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brennan Armstrong (Tr) | 160 | 262 | 61% | 1783 | 11 | 7 | 6.8 |
| MJ Morris | 63 | 113 | 56% | 719 | 7 | 5 | 6.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brennan Armstrong (Tr) | 143 | 665 | 7 | 4.7 | 43 |
| Kevin Concepcion | 41 | 320 | 0 | 7.8 | 65 |
| Kendrick Raphael | 67 | 311 | 1 | 4.6 | 31 |
| Delbert Mimms III | 96 | 282 | 8 | 2.9 | 18 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Concepcion | 71 | 839 | 10 | 11.8 | 72 |
| Keyon Lesane | 28 | 247 | 0 | 8.8 | 38 |
| Dacari Collins (Tr) | 14 | 210 | 2 | 15.0 | 38 |
| Brad Rozner | 18 | 208 | 2 | 11.6 | 21 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Wilson | 138 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 6 |
| Jaylon Scott | 75 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 3 |
| Sean Brown | 66 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| Devan Boykin | 54 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davin Vann | 43 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 1 |
| Payton Wilson | 138 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 6 |
| Red Hibbler | 12 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| Brandon Cleveland | 28 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aydan White | 37 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| Payton Wilson | 138 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 6 |
| Sean Brown | 66 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 5 |