Boise State Broncos Team Profile
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Boise State Broncos (@BroncoSportsFB)
Spencer Danielson (3rd year) (15-2)
Record: 0 - 0  |  Prediction: 10.4 - 1.6 (#5)  |  SOS: (#107)
Power (#34)  | Off (#20)  | Def (#53)  |  Roster  |  Portals  |  Croots
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Boise State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Boise State at South Florida-7
Fri 9/5 Boise State vs Eastern Washington-33
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/19 Boise State at Air Force-19.5
Fri 9/26 Boise State vs App State-25.5
Fri 10/3 Boise State at Notre Dame+18
Fri 10/10 Boise State vs New Mexico-36.5
Fri 10/17 Boise State vs UNLV-16.5
Fri 10/24 Boise State at Nevada-26.5
Fri 10/31 Boise State vs Fresno State-18.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/14 Boise State at San Diego State-21
Fri 11/21 Boise State vs Colorado State-22.5
Fri 11/28 Boise State at Utah State-23

Record Prediction: 10.4 - 1.6 #5
Schedule Rating: #107
Future 2026 Schedule
Boise State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Boise State at Georgia Southern-13.057.5W 56 - 45ON
Sat 9/7 Boise State at Oregon+17.560.5L 34 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Boise State vs Portland State-43.069.5W 56 - 14ON
Sat 9/28 Boise State vs Washington State-6.566.0W 45 - 24OY
Sat 10/5 Boise State vs Utah State-28.066.5W 62 - 30OY
Sat 10/12 Boise State at Hawai'i-21.060.0W 28 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/25 Boise State at UNLV-4.064.0W 29 - 24UY
Fri 11/1 Boise State vs San Diego State-24.555.5W 56 - 24OY
Sat 11/9 Boise State vs Nevada-23.560.5W 28 - 21UN
Sat 11/16 Boise State at San José State-14.562.0W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/23 Boise State at Wyoming-22.054.0W 17 - 13UN
Fri 11/29 Boise State vs Oregon State-17.558.5W 34 - 18UN
Fri 12/6 Boise State vs UNLV-3.557.5W 21 - 7UY
Tue 12/31 Boise State vs Penn State+11.554.5L 14 - 31UN

2024 Schedule Rating: #78
2024 Record: 12 - 2 (MWC: 8 - 0)
Spread Record 7 - 6 - 1 | O/U 7 - 7

Opponents: 1 Elite, 0 Good, 1 Avg, 2 Bad, 8 Poor
Reg Season Opponents: 1 Elite, 1 Good, 1 Avg, 2 Bad, 7 Poor

Show Past Schedules
2025 class: 183 points  #67
2024 class: 181 points  #65
2023 class: 178 points  #68
2022 class: 175 points  #62
2021 class: 161 points  #70

Average Class Ranking:  #66
Average Recruiting Points: 176
Class Averages
Mountain West Class: 132 #105
Group of 5 Class: 135 #102
FBS Class: 179 #69

2020 class: 168 points  #65
2019 class: 190 points  #50
2018 class: 183 points  #57
2017 class: 167 points  #64
2016 class: 161 points  #68

Average Class Ranking:  #61
Average Recruiting Points: 174
 
Offensive Coordinator Nate Potter
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maddux Madsen24739662%30182367.6
Max Cutforth22100%13006.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Maddux Madsen5722153.949
Malik Sherrod (Tr)6019643.348
Sire Gaines2015617.838
Dylan Riley2213526.164
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Matt Lauter48629713.153
Latrell Caples38473512.436
Austin Bolt16196412.344
Chase Penry14164011.742
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator Erik Chinander
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Benefield825013
Zion Washington674006
A'Marion McCoy6020112
Marco Notarainni608433
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden Virgin40161050
Braxton Fely249610
Marco Notarainni608433
Max Stege145300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
A'Marion McCoy6020112
Jeremiah Earby341006
Zion Washington674006
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 69% #9
Offense Returning Production: 75% #9
Defense Returning Production: 64% #28
Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class #106
10 Commits, 84.6 Avg Rating
17% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 13% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 704.00 #71
Offense Talent #55 | Defense Talent #76
2024 #69 | 2023 #77 | 2022 #73 | 2021 #70
2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 0 - 0
2025 Conf Record: 0 - 0
Spread: 0 - 0 - 0 | Totals: 0 - 0

2024 Record: 12 - 2
2024 Conf Record: 8 - 0
Spread: 7 - 6 - 1 | Totals: 7 - 7

2023 Record: 8 - 6
2023 Conf Record: 7 - 2
Spread: 7 - 5 - 2 | Totals: 10 - 4

2022 Record: 10 - 4
2022 Conf Record: 8 - 1
Spread: 6 - 7 - 1 | Totals: 7 - 7

Four Year Record: 30 - 12
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 20 - 18 - 4
Four Year Conference Record: 23 - 3
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 7 - 5
2021 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 7 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 2 - 10

2020 Record: 5 - 2
2020 Conf Record: 5 - 1
Spread: 3 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 3

2019 Record: 12 - 2
2019 Conf Record: 9 - 0
Spread: 8 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 8

2018 Record: 10 - 3
2018 Conf Record: 7 - 2
Spread: 7 - 5 - 1 | Totals: 5 - 8

Eight Year Record: 64 - 24
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 45 - 38 - 5
Eight Year Conference Record: 57 - 9

Boise State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024CFP Quarterfinal Boise State vs Penn State+11.554.5L 14 - 31
2023La Bowl Boise State vs UCLA+6.546.0L 22 - 35
2022Frisco Bowl Boise State vs North Texas-12.063.0W 35 - 32
2019Vegas Bowl Boise State vs Washington+4.048.0L 7 - 38
2017Vegas Bowl Boise State vs Oregon+7.063.0W 38 - 28
2016Cactus Bowl Boise State vs Baylor-10.071.0L 12 - 31
2015Poinsettia Bowl Boise State vs Northern Illinois-8.0W 55 - 7
Power Ranking Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2024.36 (3)48% (12)4.83 (4)30.1 (49)49%71%.16 (59)38% (27)3.33 (24)27.2 (25)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2023.3 (19)47% (21)4.2 (38)29.4 (65)46%82%.22 (90)41% (59)4.04 (90)27.5 (35)



More Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20241429:25 (14)21.6 (12)49%71%4.5 (32)39.8 (38)0.6 (2)1.17.4 (5)3.6 (2)3
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20231431:11 (8)21.4 (15)46%82%3.7 (10)32 (10)1.5 (97)1.45.9 (25)2.5 (15)0



Overall Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2024 Offense1437.343.134.348.3% (12)4.83 (4)0.6224372342046.555% (31)44% (103)49% (17)48% (12)12% (20).36 (3)
2024 Defense1422.619.724.538.2% (27)3.33 (24)1.1 - - - - - 43% (3)57% (133)39% (33)37% (29)20% (7).16 (59)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2023 Offense1432.132.333.446.6% (21)4.2 (38)1.5214362152215.457% (19)42% (117)51% (10)42% (69)14% (40).3 (19)
2023 Defense1425.617.231.441.3% (59)4.04 (90)1.4 - - - - - 46% (24)53% (112)44% (79)40% (42)17% (45).22 (90)



Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2024 Offense1455% (31)49% (17)36.2233.56.542 (3).32 (6)3.22 (39)86% (3)7% (10)1.22 (5)
2024 Defense1443% (3)39% (33) - - - - .13 (72)2.8 (34)62% (12)15% (3)1.1 (113)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2023 Offense1457% (19)51% (10)40214.95.434 (7).3 (6)3.46 (9)84% (6)8% (34)1.07 (31)
2023 Defense1446% (24)44% (79) - - - - .19 (95)3.08 (59)66% (29)11% (34)1.09 (108)



Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2024 Offense1444% (103)48% (12)1727.1203.97.51222 (46)4 (1).41 (12)1.5 (119)29% (23)35% (28).37 (55)6% (58)1.9 (111)
2024 Defense1457% (133)37% (29) - - - - - - 7 (104).18 (42)1.7 (96)36% (10)30% (62).41 (105)6% (83)2.3 (124)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2023 Offense1442% (117)42% (69)15.426.6221.38.314.320 (70)13 (97).38 (29)1.8 (12)29% (16)34% (38).38 (56)6% (66)2.1 (57)
2023 Defense1453% (112)40% (42) - - - - - - 11 (53).28 (72)1.7 (91)33% (48)32% (91).37 (95)6% (72)2.1 (80)




Power Ratings Overall: 9.93 #36
Offense: 22.05 #24
Defense: 12.12 #54
SP+ Overall: 9.5 #31
SP+ Offense: 35.3 #15
SP+ Defense: 25.8 #52
Returning Prod '24 QB Maddux Madsen returns
Returning Production: 69% #9
Offense: 75% #9 | Defense: 64% #28
OL Prod: 84% #15, 4 clear starters
OL Snaps: 4127 #17 | From Portal: 0 #98
Rush Prod: 23% #119 | Rec Prod: 58% #48
Def Front Seven: 67% - Secondary: 76%
Roster Team Talent #71 Blue Chips: 1% #83
Offense Talent #55 Defense Talent #76
Crootin Class #67 - 4 YR Rank #66
Portal Class #106 - 10 players, 85 Avg
17% of Roster from Portal, 13% TY
32 New Players, 34% of '25 Roster #41

2025 Schedule Record Prediction: 10.4 - 1.6 #5
Schedule Rating: -96 #107
View Schedule & Predicted Results
Opps: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 8
Scoring Scoring: 37.3 - 22.6 (32 - 26) in '24
Scoring at Home: 43 - 20 | Road: 34 - 25
OC: Nate Potter - in his first season
DC: Erik Chinander - in his second season
Records 2024 Record: 12 - 2 (7 - 6 - 1) (MWC: 8 - 0)
2023 Record: 8 - 6 (7 - 5 - 2) (MWC: 7 - 2)
2022 Record: 10 - 4 (6 - 7 - 1) (MWC: 8 - 1)
4 Yr Record: (30 - 12) | 8 Yr Record: (64 - 24)
 
'24 OffenseRun heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.83 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Great Offensive Turnovers
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good 1st/2nd Down Success 71%
Good when off Schedule 35%
'24 DefenseGood DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad at Forcing Turnovers
Good Penalty Team, Bad Field Position
Great 1st/2nd Down Success 64%
Avg when Opp is off Schedule 30%
Team NotesQB Madsen is back, 3K yds. How good is he?
TE Matt Lauter a G5 best. Good hands, YAC.
RB rebuild. Sherrod (Fres), Dunbar, Gaines
WR lost #1. Lots of Sr's. TE Lauter a weapon
OL 4/5 back, 4 more w/ exp. Best G5 OL
Def OK LY, returns a lot. 4 DL portals, 2 DBs
DE Vergin-Morgan, CB McCoy, S Benefield good
OC Potter promoted after Koetter retired
HC Danielson lost 1 game outside of bowls