Boise State Team Profile
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Boise State Broncos (@BroncoSportsFB)
Spencer Danielson (3rd year) (19-4)
Record: 4 - 2 (2 - 0)  |  Proj: 8 - 4 (#41)  |  SOS: (#82)
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Boise State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Boise State at South Florida-8.563.5L 7 - 34UN
Fri 9/5 Boise State vs Eastern Washington-33.560.5W 51 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Boise State at Air Force-10.551.5W 49 - 37OY
Sat 9/27 Boise State vs App State-16.559.5W 47 - 14OY
Sat 10/4 Boise State at Notre Dame+21.563.5L 7 - 28UY
Sat 10/11 Boise State vs New Mexico-14.558.5W 41 - 25OY
Sat 10/18 Boise State vs UNLV-11.562.5
Fri 10/24 Boise State at Nevada-17
Sat 11/1 Boise State vs Fresno State-10
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Boise State at San Diego State+11
Sat 11/22 Boise State vs Colorado State-8
Fri 11/28 Boise State at Utah State-8

Record Prediction: 8.0 - 4.0  #41
Schedule Rating:  #82
Record: 4 - 2( MWC: 2 - 0)
Spread Record 5 - 1 - 0 | O/U 4 - 2
Future 2026 Schedule

Boise State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Boise State at Georgia Southern-13.057.5W 56 - 45ON
Sat 9/7 Boise State at Oregon+17.560.5L 34 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Boise State vs Portland State-43.069.5W 56 - 14ON
Sat 9/28 Boise State vs Washington State-6.566.0W 45 - 24OY
Sat 10/5 Boise State vs Utah State-28.066.5W 62 - 30OY
Sat 10/12 Boise State at Hawai'i-21.060.0W 28 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/25 Boise State at UNLV-4.064.0W 29 - 24UY
Fri 11/1 Boise State vs San Diego State-24.555.5W 56 - 24OY
Sat 11/9 Boise State vs Nevada-23.560.5W 28 - 21UN
Sat 11/16 Boise State at San José State-14.562.0W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/23 Boise State at Wyoming-22.054.0W 17 - 13UN
Fri 11/29 Boise State vs Oregon State-17.558.5W 34 - 18UN
Fri 12/6 Boise State vs UNLV-3.557.5W 21 - 7UY
Tue 12/31 Boise State vs Penn State+11.554.5L 14 - 31UN

2024 Schedule Rating:  #78
2024 Record: 12 - 2 (MWC: 8 - 0)
Spread Record 7 - 6 - 1 | O/U 7 - 7


Opponents: 1 Elite, 1 Good, 1 Avg, 3 Bad, 5 Poor
Played: 1 Elite, 1 Good, 0 Avg, 1 Bad, 2 Poor
Future: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 1 Avg, 2 Bad, 3Poor
Reg Season Opponents: 1 Elite, 1 Good, 1 Avg, 2 Bad, 7 Poor

Show Past Schedules
2025 class: 183 points   #67
2024 class: 181 points   #65
2023 class: 178 points   #68
2022 class: 175 points   #62
2021 class: 161 points   #70

Average Class Ranking:   #66
Average Recruiting Points: 176

Four Year Crootin Profile
Consistent Below Avg P4
4 Year Class:  #66 - Best:  #62 Worst:  #68



CFB Crootin Averages
Mountain West Class: 132  #105
Group of 5 Class: 135  #102
FBS Class: 179  #69


2020 class: 168 points   #65
2019 class: 190 points   #50
2018 class: 183 points   #57
2017 class: 167 points   #64
2016 class: 161 points   #68

Average Class Ranking:   #61
Average Recruiting Points: 174
 

2025 Portal Class  #106 - 10 players, 85 Avg
2024 Portal Class  #99 - 4 players, 91 Avg
2023 Portal Class  #85 - 9 players, 86 Avg
2022 Portal Class  #62 - 6 players, 87 Avg

Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward

Offensive Coordinator Nate Potter (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maddux Madsen12220061%15701157.9
Max Cutforth61060%67006.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Riley7149457.077
Sire Gaines6934935.146
Malik Sherrod (Tr)4422025.040
Maddux Madsen373821.014
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Marshall19344118.146
Ben Ford20299515.060
Latrell Caples21292213.934
Matt Lauter17179110.520
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator Erik Chinander (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Benefield426001
Marco Notarainni352050
Zion Washington312001
Jeremiah Earby302103
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braxton Fely145500
Jayden Virgin276350
Malakai Williams (Tr)52250
Dion Washington (Tr)91100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Earby302103
A'Marion McCoy152002
Jaden Mickey (Tr)91002
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 69%  #9
Offense Returning Production: 75%  #9
Defense Returning Production: 64%  #28

Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class  #106
10 Commits, 84.6 Avg Rating
20% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 14% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 692.00  #77
Offense Talent  #75 | Defense Talent  #78
2024  #69 | 2023  #1 | 2022  #73 | 2021  #70


2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 4 - 2
2025 Conf Record: 2 - 0
Spread: 5 - 1 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 2

2024 Record: 12 - 2
2024 Conf Record: 8 - 0
Spread: 7 - 6 - 1 | Totals: 7 - 7

2023 Record: 8 - 6
2023 Conf Record: 7 - 2
Spread: 7 - 5 - 2 | Totals: 10 - 4

2022 Record: 10 - 4
2022 Conf Record: 8 - 1
Spread: 6 - 7 - 1 | Totals: 7 - 7

Four Year Record: 34 - 14
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 25 - 19 - 4
Four Year Conference Record: 25 - 3
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 7 - 5
2021 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 7 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 2 - 10

2020 Record: 5 - 2
2020 Conf Record: 5 - 1
Spread: 3 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 3

2019 Record: 12 - 2
2019 Conf Record: 9 - 0
Spread: 8 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 8

2018 Record: 10 - 3
2018 Conf Record: 7 - 2
Spread: 7 - 5 - 1 | Totals: 5 - 8

Eight Year Record: 68 - 26
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 50 - 39 - 5
Eight Year Conference Record: 59 - 9

Boise State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024CFP Quarterfinal Boise State vs Penn State+11.554.5L 14 - 31
2023La Bowl Boise State vs UCLA+6.546.0L 22 - 35
2022Frisco Bowl Boise State vs North Texas-12.063.0W 35 - 32
2019Vegas Bowl Boise State vs Washington+4.048.0L 7 - 38
2017Vegas Bowl Boise State vs Oregon+7.063.0W 38 - 28
2016Cactus Bowl Boise State vs Baylor-10.071.0L 12 - 31
2015Poinsettia Bowl Boise State vs Northern Illinois-8.0W 55 - 7
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2025.25 (45)1.35 (24)44% (64)3.52 (105)32.4 (19)46%55%.16 (69)1.54 (134)35% (14)4.85 (132)26.2 (21)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2024.36 (3)1.32 (37)48% (12)4.83 (4)30.1 (49)49%71%.16 (59)1.41 (119)38% (27)3.33 (24)27.2 (25)



More Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
2025633:4924.246%55%8.572.71.31.75.82.22
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20241429:2521.649%71%4.539.80.61.17.43.63



Overall Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2025 Offense633.746.32143.6% (64)3.52 (105)1.3244661922754.950% (78)50% (59)44% (63)43% (63)15% (68).25 (45)
2025 Defense625.317.73335.5% (14)4.85 (132)1.7 - - - - - 54% (106)46% (34)37% (24)34% (16)17% (48).16 (69)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2024 Offense1437.343.134.348.3% (12)4.83 (4)0.6224372342046.555% (31)44% (103)49% (17)48% (12)12% (20).36 (3)
2024 Defense1422.619.724.538.2% (27)3.33 (24)1.1 - - - - - 43% (3)57% (133)39% (33)37% (29)20% (7).16 (59)



Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2025 Offense650% (78)44% (63)39.3191.74.913 (35).19 (44)3.02 (65)78% (38)10% (80)1.08 (31)
2025 Defense654% (106)37% (24) - - - - .15 (102)2.73 (48)57% (9)12% (30)1.29 (133)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2024 Offense1455% (31)49% (17)36.2233.56.542 (3).32 (6)3.22 (39)86% (3)7% (10)1.22 (5)
2024 Defense1443% (3)39% (33) - - - - .13 (72)2.8 (34)62% (12)15% (3)1.1 (113)



Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2025 Offense650% (59)43% (63)21.535.2274.57.812.812 (39)5 (77).31 (55)1.6 (37)34% (108)33% (56).32 (71)5% (61)1.8 (108)
2025 Defense646% (34)34% (16) - - - - - - 7 (23).18 (47)1.9 (131)37% (13)30% (82).31 (81)6% (80)2.2 (121)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2024 Offense1444% (103)48% (12)1727.1203.97.51222 (46)4 (1).41 (12)1.5 (119)29% (23)35% (28).37 (55)6% (58)1.9 (111)
2024 Defense1457% (133)37% (29) - - - - - - 7 (104).18 (42)1.7 (96)36% (10)30% (62).41 (105)6% (83)2.3 (124)




Overall
Power Rating  #87 | SP+ Rating  #55
Performance Grade  #63
Special Teams Grade  #69
Record Prediction 8.0 - 4.0  #41
5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Offense
Power  #83 | SP+  #43 | Grade  #66
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Off Success  #64 | Explosivness  #24
Rush Grade  #17 | Pass Grade  #100
Rush Success  #63 | Explosiveness  #31
Pass Success  #63 | Explosiveness  #37
Run Block  #27 | Pass Block  #116
OL YDS  #65 | Stuff Rate  #86
Scoring Zone Off:  #105

Defense
Power  #89 | SP+  #64 | Grade  #63
Def Success  #14 | Explosivness  #134
Rush Success  #24 | Explosiveness  #133
Tackling  #123 | Run Def  #104
Pass Success  #16 | Explosiveness  #131
Pass Rush  #44 | Coverage  #34
F7 Havoc  #30 | DB Havoc  #80
Scoring Zone Def  #132


Roster
Team Talent  #77 Blue Chips: 1%  #88
Offense Talent  #75 Defense Talent  #78
Crootin: '25 Class  #67 - 4 YR Class:  #66
Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
Portal Class  #106 - 10 players, 85 Avg
20% of Roster from Portal, 14% TY
54 New Players, 58% of '25 Roster  #34

Scoring & Records
Scoring: 33.7 - 25.3 (37 - 23) in '24
Scoring at Home: 46 - 18 | Road: 21 - 33
OC: Nate Potter - in his first season
DC: Erik Chinander - in his second season

2025 Record: 4 - 2 (5 - 1 - 0) (MWC: 2 - 0)
2024 Record: 12 - 2 (7 - 6 - 1) (MWC: 8 - 0)
2023 Record: 8 - 6 (7 - 5 - 2) (MWC: 7 - 2)
4 Yr Record: (34 - 14) | 8 Yr Record: (68 - 26)


Notes
TE M Lauter out vs ND. Huge loss
RB Dylan Riley 255 yds, 5 TD vs AFA. Def still bad
Pass Def bad, Run Off worse in loss at USF
WR Marshall getting buzz, former 5* croot
Def tackling was a big issue LY, not a fan of DC
RB Sherrod had 960 yds rush, 44/260 rec in '23
#2 WR Austin Bolt no longer with program
QB Madsen is back, 3K yds. How good is he?
TE Matt Lauter a G5 best. Good hands, YAC.
RB rebuild. Sherrod (Fres), Dunbar, Gaines
 
'25 Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.52 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad Offensive Turnovers
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Poor 1st/2nd Down Success 66%
Avg when off Schedule 33%

'25 Defense
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 35%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.85 PPO
Good Run Def Success 37%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good at Forcing Turnovers
Awful Penalty Team, Avg Field Position
Great 1st/2nd Down Success 63%
Bad when Opp is off Schedule 30%

Returning Prod
'24 QB Maddux Madsen returns
Returning Production: 69%  #9
Offense: 75%  #9 | Defense: 64%  #28
OL Prod: 84%  #10, 4 clear starters
OL Snaps: 4127  #16 | From Portal: 0  #100
Rush Prod: 23%  #122 | Rec Prod: 58%  #52
Def Front Seven: 58% - Secondary: 75%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 9.5 - 2.5

 
4 Year Overall
2025 SP+ Overall:  #55 - Power Rating:  #87
2024 SP+ Overall:  #29 - Power Rating:  #16
2023 SP+ Overall:  #41 - Power Rating:  #37
2022 SP+ Overall:  #52

#52 #39 #23 #71

4 Year Offense
2025 SP+ Offense:  #43 - Power Rating:  #83
2024 SP+ Offense:  #17 - Power Rating:  #10
2023 SP+ Offense:  #29 - Power Rating:  #28
2022 SP+ Offense:  #83

#83 #29 #14 #63

4 Year Defense
2025 SP+ Defense:  #64 - Power Rating:  #89
2024 SP+ Defense:  #50 - Power Rating:  #22
2023 SP+ Defense:  #70 - Power Rating:  #58
2022 SP+ Defense:  #26

#26 #64 #36 #77