North Dakota at Boise State - 2023 Matchup Preview
North Dakota logo   North Dakota Fighting Hawks at Boise State Broncos  Boise State logo
Saturday, September 16th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Boise State -15 (58.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Boise State 42 - North Dakota: 18

 
Fighting Hawks (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 38 (35 - 38 on Road)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Boise State -8.5  (SP+ BSU -7)
BSU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
Broncos (8 - 6) (7 - 5 - 2)
Coach Andy Avalos (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (41 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 4.9 (#25)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
North Dakota's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/16 North Dakota at Boise State+15.058.0L 18 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Dakota's Schedule
Boise State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Boise State at Washington+14.059.0L 19 - 56ON
Sat 9/9 Boise State vs UCF+3.058.5L 16 - 18UY
Sat 9/16 Boise State vs North Dakota-15.058.0W 42 - 18OY
Fri 9/22 Boise State at San Diego State-6.546.0W 34 - 31ON
Sat 9/30 Boise State at Memphis+3.058.0L 32 - 35OY
Sat 10/7 Boise State vs San José State-8.057.5W 35 - 27ON
Sat 10/14 Boise State at Colorado State-7.560.0L 30 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Boise State vs Wyoming-4.548.5W 32 - 7UY
Sat 11/4 Boise State at Fresno State+2.553.5L 30 - 37ON
Sat 11/11 Boise State vs New Mexico-27.558.5W 42 - 14UY
Sat 11/18 Boise State at Utah State-5.562.5W 45 - 10UY
Fri 11/24 Boise State vs Air Force-6.544.5W 27 - 19OY
Sat 12/2 Boise State at UNLV-2.558.0W 44 - 20OY
Sat 12/16 Boise State vs UCLA+6.546.0L 22 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UND0%350%000%000%380%0%0000
BSU.2343%29.946%3.3419739%1894.07.0935%24.139%30%3.3847.41.21.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UND Offense135350%00000000%0%0%0%0%
BSU Defense1424.122.334.6%3.381.5 - - - - - 56%43%39%30%18%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UND Defense138380%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
BSU Offense1429.941.342.9%4.071.220386197189556%44%46%39%16%.23

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Dakota10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Boise State1430:5019.540%59%5.647.41.21.55.12.1231.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UND Offense10%0%000000%0%0
BSU Defense1456%39% - - - - .112.9376%12%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UND Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
BSU Offense1456%46%39.2196.5527.23.3476%9%0.97

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UND Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
BSU Defense1443%30% - - - - - - 15.121.935%19%.096%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UND Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
BSU Offense1444%39%16.427.5189.26.911.6209.321.731%32%.457%2.2

North Dakota's Power Ratings
North Dakota's Power Rating: NR
North Dakota's Offense Rating: NR
North Dakota's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: 14.37  #233
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Dakota's 2023 Expected Record: -
North Dakota's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Dakota's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Dakota's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average MVFC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
North Dakota:    Boise State: 8.485

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Dakota:    Boise State: 7.4




Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 8.485  #37
Boise State's Offense Rating: 21.76  #28
Boise State's Defense Rating: 8.84  #58
2023 Talent Rating: 579.88  #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #69
Boise State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90
Boise State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4  #41
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2  #29
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1  #70

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 517.06
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


North Dakota Scoring
Offense: 35 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

North Dakota's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 35
North Dakota 27

Projected Total Points: 62
Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.3
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Boise State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 2
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/16Boise State42North Dakota18Boise State -15Boise State58.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boise State111 Overs
North Dakota000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) UND at (#37) BSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNDBSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #37
SP+SP+NR #41
Perf GradeGradeNR #51
OffenseOffNR #26
DefenseDefNR #111
Spec TeamsSTNR #64
TalentTal #233 #72
Blue ChipsBC%NR #69
North Dakota on Offense
CategoryCat
UND OffBSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #111
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNR #58
SP+SP+NR #70
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Dakota Run Game
CategoryCat
UND OffBSU Def
Run GameRunNR #113
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #130
North Dakota Pass Game
CategoryCat
UND OffBSU Def
Pass GamePassNR #94
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #109
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Boise State on Offense
CategoryCatBSU OffUND Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #26NR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #28NR
SP+SP+ #29NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Boise State Run Game
CategoryCat
BSU OffUND Def
Run GameRun #3NR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #29 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Boise State Pass Game
CategoryCatBSU OffUND Def
Pass GamePass #95NR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #77NR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

UND 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Boise State -15.0 (58.0)
Boise State won vs North Dakota this year (42-18)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat North Dakota in 2023 (42-18)

  
UND's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Simon Romfo61155%73006.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sawyer Seidl188897134.841
Gaven Ziebarth6143247.151
Korey Tai94905.435
Simon Romfo101311.36
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate DeMontagnac38462212.230
Korey Tai23245210.741
Caden Dennis19236112.432
Sawyer Seidl1917749.356

View North Dakota's Full Roster

UND's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malachi McNeal60000
Lance Rucker20000
Antonio Bluiett10000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malachi McNeal60000
Lance Rucker20000
Antonio Bluiett10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malachi McNeal60000
Lance Rucker20000
Antonio Bluiett10000

BSU's OC Bush Hamdan (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taylen Green12121257%17521198.3
Maddux Madsen8113261%1191939.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ashton Jeanty2211351146.168
George Holani13374475.675
Taylen Green7843695.670
Jambres Dubar6233525.424
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric McAlister47873518.683
Ashton Jeanty43569513.275
Billy Bowens28383113.752
Prince Strachan12274222.874

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC Spencer Danielson (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alexander Teubner793005
Andrew Simpson6516752
Seyi Oladipo609214
Rodney Robinson542012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ahmed Hassanein50171370
Andrew Simpson6516752
Ty Benefield435335
Braxton Fely155340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Clark522018
Alexander Teubner793005
Ty Benefield435335